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CareMax, Inc.OTCPK:CMAX.Q 주식 보고서

시가총액 US$3.0
주가
n/a
US$2.2
해당 없음내재 할인율
1Y-100.0%
7D-99.0%
포트폴리오 가치
​
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CareMax, Inc.

OTCPK:CMAX.Q 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$3.0

This company is no longer active

The company may no longer be operating, as it may be out of business. Find out why through their latest events.

CareMax (CMAX.Q) 주식 개요

는 의사와 의료 전문가를 통해 치료 및 만성 질환 관리 서비스를 제공합니다. 자세히 보기

CMAX.Q 펀더멘털 분석
스노우플레이크 점수
가치 평가3/6
미래 성장2/6
과거 실적0/6
재무 건전성0/6
배당0/6

강점

수익은 연간 25.96% 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

동종업계 및 업계 대비 좋은 가치로 거래

위험 분석

마이너스 주주 지분

의미 있는 시가총액이 없습니다($3)

지난 3개월 동안 주가 변동성이 US 시장과 비교했을 때 매우 높았습니다.

cash runway 경력이 1년 미만입니다.

+ 위험 1건 추가

CMAX.Q Community Fair Values

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CareMax, Inc. 경쟁사

가격 이력 및 성과

CareMax 주가의 최고가, 최저가 및 변동 요약
과거 주가
현재 주가US$0.000001
52주 최고가US$16.32
52주 최저가US$0.000001
베타0.55
1개월 변동-100.00%
3개월 변동-100.00%
1년 변동-100.00%
3년 변동-100.00%
5년 변동n/a
IPO 이후 변동-100.00%

최근 뉴스 및 업데이트

Recent updates

분석 기사 • Aug 14

US$2.60: That's What Analysts Think CareMax, Inc. (NASDAQ:CMAX) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

CareMax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CMAX ) missed earnings with its latest quarterly results, disappointing overly-optimistic...
분석 기사 • Jun 20

CareMax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CMAX) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Healthcare industry in the United States have price-to-sales...
분석 기사 • May 13

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For CareMax, Inc. (NASDAQ:CMAX) After Its First-Quarter Results

CareMax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CMAX ) missed earnings with its latest first-quarter results, disappointing overly-optimistic...
분석 기사 • Mar 11

Analysts Have Just Cut Their CareMax, Inc. (NASDAQ:CMAX) Revenue Estimates By 11%

Market forces rained on the parade of CareMax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CMAX ) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded...
Seeking Alpha • Sep 16

CareMax: Numbers Are Strong, Compelling Value On Offer

Summary CareMax has caught a strong bid lately following a number of catalysts that deliver forward earnings growth. Shares appear to be fairly valued at current multiples, although, negative earnings are also noted. Alas, the Steward Healthcare transaction provides meaningful accretion to pre and post-tax earnings. Net-net, CMAX presents with compelling value and I rate it a speculative buy. Investment summary Recent company-specific tailwinds have seen shares of CareMax, Inc. (CMAX) catch a strong bid in H2 FY22 and re-rate to the upside. Whilst there's an element that's beta-related from the July bounce in equities, there's still plenty of idiosyncratic premia to harvest in this name. With the Steward Healthcare transaction now complete, we now have more conclusiveness on its accretion to pre-and-post-tax earnings. Shares are also fairly priced at 1.2 book value, and net-net, I rate CMAX a speculative buy. CMAX Q2 earnings provide insights to FY22 full-year expectations CMAX came in with a fairly strong set of numbers that saw upside against consensus at the top line. Revenue lifted 280% YoY to $172 million ("mm"). Meaningful growth was observed across Medicare and Medicaid at-risk revenue, each up triple digits YoY. In fact, Medicare members grew by 3,000 sequentially from Q1 this year, as the company converted this amount to full-risk revenue, thus helping secure the uptick in turnover. Meanwhile, the consolidated medical expense ratio ("MER") for Q2 came in at 73.6% and sub-70% when excluding the medical service organization ("MSO") business. This does speak to the company's success rate in ensuring patient health and safety. Management believes that if CMAX can achieve its MER targets and new MSO membership nudges past 85%, this could represent an annualized medical margin addition of $10mm [even with no additional members after hitting these targets]. CMAX defines medical margin as: [Medicare & Medicaid at-risk revenue minus external provider costs]. This number came in smaller than in Q2 FY21, adding ~240bps to the reported MER. Further, cost of care numbers jumped 13% YoY to $30mm, as compensation adjustments were rolled out in April, plus from an uptick in pharmacy script volume [stretching up associated COGS]. More so, however, was that CMAX booked its first quarter of turnover from facility costs at the 3 de novo facilities opened recently in both Texas and New York. It continues to push towards opening 15 de novo centers for FY22 total. One key standout has been the company's contribution margin ("PCM") from FY20 to date, as seen in Exhibit 1. Trends have exhibited a growth from low points in Q2 FY21 and are now back above FY20 levels, and this serves as a key tailwind to non-GAAP earnings looking ahead. CMAX defines platform contribution as [revenue, minus the sum of external provider costs and cost of care]. What's been equally as pleasing is growth in these numbers has occurred alongside a simultaneous increase in new centers, patients and markets. Exhibit 1. CMAX patient contribution margin trends from FY20–date Satisfactory growth trends across all segments PCM now back above FY20 levels Data: CMAX 10-Q Q2 FY22, pp.26: "Platform Contribution"; see: table, "Non-GAAP Operating Metrics". As seen in Exhibit 2, the leverage of new centers to PCM has been a positive relationship. The pace of new center openings has ratcheted PCM up by double-digits following each period where de novo centers are completed. This is a satisfactory set of numbers when looking ahead, and serves as a bedrock to the company's planned growth trajectory. Should the company continue along this trend, this adds a bullish asymmetry to the risk/reward balance. Exhibit 2. There's a high degree of 'operating leverage' from new center openings on a sequential basis. Adds to predictability of future cash flows in gauging corporate value. Suggests efficiency in turning costs associated to new centers into contribution margin. Note: All figures in $mm or [%]. "Operating leverage from Centres to PCM" defined as QoQ percentage change in new centres / change in platform contribution margin. (Image: HB Insights. Data: HB Insights, CMAX SEC Filings) Price action – downtrend continues, seriously testing resistance Given the stock's relatively new entrance to public life [it listed in Q3 FY20'] I wanted to see how the market's reacted since its NASDAQ debut. As seen in Exhibit 3, shares have walked the stairs down south in H2 FY22 in continuation with the longer-term downtrend shown below. However, there's been a key change in price action to coincide with the Steward Health transaction [discussed later]. The stock has caught a bid since this point and tested lows of ~$3.45–$3.50 on 2 occasions before bouncing away and testing the long-term resistance level [light blue line shown to ceiling of resistance seen below]. In addition, long-term trend indicators have stretched up in the July bounce in equities, adding validity to the recent uptick. Momentum has, however, pulled back to range and is unsupportive of the same. We need to see shares test the upper resistance level shown and break through this point for CMAX to catch another strong bid up to our price target. Exhibit 3. Long-term downtrend since listing in FY20' Both price distribution and volatility has been held within this range. Now testing resistance at the levels seen below. Note: 12-month chart shown with daily bars, with momentum and on balance volume in the 2 subsequent windows, respectively. (Data: HB Insights, Refinitiv Eikon) In addition, on the 9-month daily cloud chart seen below, shares are trading in the cloud and now garnering cloud support at current levels. The lag line [shown in white] is also stretched up above the cloud, and combined, these 2 features have me constructive on the validity on the bullish trend.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 09

CareMax GAAP EPS of -$0.11 misses by $0.09, revenue of $172.28M beats by $36.85M

CareMax press release (NASDAQ:CMAX): Q2 GAAP EPS of -$0.11 misses by $0.09. Revenue of $172.28M (+283.5% Y/Y) beats by $36.85M.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 02

CareMax: Steward Health Care Acquisition Highlights Growth Ambitions

CareMax has disclosed the planned acquisition of the Medicare VBC business of Steward Health Care System for a c. $135 million consideration. The strategic rationale ticks the right boxes, while the financial terms seem favorable. With the funding risk also limited following the latest credit line, the shares offer good value at the current discount to book. CareMax (CMAX), a value-based care provider to seniors, looks set to further capitalize on secular tailwinds in the Medicare Advantage global capitation primary care space with the addition of the Medicare VBC ("value-based care") business of Steward Health Care System. Financially, the c. $135 million purchase price and steady EBITDA generation ($110-115 million projected by fiscal 2025), as well as the aligned incentives (performance-linked earnout), make this a compelling deal for shareholders. Strategically, acquiring Steward also widens CMAX's MSO ("Managed Services Organization") membership, significantly accelerating the path to profitability via operating leverage as the company expands its revenue base. With growth funding needs also accounted for with a new credit line and CMAX's industry-leading MLR ("medical loss ratio") intact, I see plenty of upside to the shares at the current c. 0.7x P/Book valuation. A Closer Look at the Steward Health Care System Acquisition CMAX recently announced the acquisition of the Medicare VBC business of Steward Health Care System. As part of the deal, CMAX will provide a c. $25 million cash consideration and 23.5 million Class A shares (equivalent to c. 21% of Class A shares outstanding pre-deal), which implies a c. $135 million total consideration. Steward shareholders also have the option of an earnout of additional CMAX Class A shares - a scenario that could see its current shareholders owning a sizeable c. 41% of outstanding Class A shares. The earnout would, however, be dependent on the conversion of 100k Medicare lives to value-based risk arrangements while maintaining an 85% MLR ratio for consecutive quarters. CareMax Post-acquisition, CMAX will be the exclusive value-based MSO for Steward's Medicare Network, comprising 170k VBC beneficiaries and 1.8k providers to Steward's healthcare programs. The patient breakdown is as follows - 112k from MSSP ("Multipurpose Senior Services Program"), 50k from MA ("Medicare Advantage"), and 9k from DCE ("Direct Contracting"). At close, this would imply a total of over 200k beneficiaries and over 2k providers across ten states for CMAX, with new states reached including Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Texas, among others. While the incremental revenue contribution stands at only $35-40 million/year under the current shared-savings accounting, the targeted conversion of 100+k lives to MA capitation would produce a considerably larger $1.6-1.7 billion revenue opportunity by fiscal 2025. As things stand, the transaction is expected to close in H2 '22. Financially Attractive Deal Terms Relative to the projected fiscal 2023 EBITDA of $15-20 million, the initial c. $135 million consideration amounts to a 7-9x EV/EBITDA multiple. But Steward's EBITDA projections are guided to ramp up further. From $10-13 million in fiscal 2022 and $15-20 million in fiscal 2023, the acquired assets are guided to generate an impressive $100-115 million of EBITDA by fiscal 2025 (implying a 100+% CAGR). As such, using the base case medium-term projection would imply an undemanding c. 1x EV/EBITDA valuation. Importantly, the Steward EBITDA projections also reflect additional operating expenses to professionalize membership and, therefore, will fully accrue to CMAX. Similarly, the expected revenue growth seems realistic as they are mainly driven by the conversion of MA partial risk and MA Fee-for-Service contracts into MA full-risk contracts. CareMax Worth noting, however, that Steward shareholders stand to gain an additional c. 20% equity stake if the company can successfully convert 100k members to at-risk VBC arrangements post-acquisition and sustain an 85% medical expense ratio for consecutive quarters. This could entail considerable equity dilution ahead for CMAX shareholders, but as the dilution is tied to the material improvements in the EBITDA profile of CMAX, shareholders likely come out with meaningful accretion anyway. Longer-Term Growth Ambitions Boosted by New Credit Line With the acquisition of Steward assets, CMAX will not only gain entry into new markets but also the opportunity to reprioritize clinic builds around MSO density, focusing on overlap with strategic partners like Elevance Health (ELV) and privately-owned Related. The focus on patient density is a key positive for newbuild economics, as it reduces the initial cash burn and allows for better complementarity between new clinics and the company's overall MSO growth. Longer-term, the hope is that CMAX identifies more high-performing providers and transitions them to owned clinic/hybrid models. As the transition would allow for a higher impact on patient health outcomes through ancillary services with more touch points, success here could be massively accretive to the overall business. CareMax

주주 수익률

CMAX.QUS HealthcareUS 시장
7D-99.0%-2.8%-0.3%
1Y-100.0%12.5%26.7%

수익률 대 산업: CMAX.Q은 지난 1년 동안 12.5%의 수익을 기록한 US Healthcare 산업보다 저조한 성과를 냈습니다.

수익률 대 시장: CMAX.Q은 지난 1년 동안 26.7%를 기록한 US 시장보다 저조한 성과를 냈습니다.

주가 변동성

Is CMAX.Q's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CMAX.Q volatility
CMAX.Q Average Weekly Movement89.5%
Healthcare Industry Average Movement7.6%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

안정적인 주가: CMAX.Q의 주가는 지난 3개월 동안 US 시장보다 변동성이 컸습니다.

시간에 따른 변동성: CMAX.Q의 주간 변동성은 지난 1년간 60%에서 89%로 증가했습니다.

회사 소개

설립직원 수CEO웹사이트
n/a1,450Carlos de Solowww.caremax.com

는 의사와 의료 전문가를 통해 치료 및 만성 질환 관리 서비스를 제공합니다. 이 회사는 1차 진료, 전문 진료, 원격 진료, 건강 및 웰빙, 검안, 치과, 약국, 교통편 등 다양한 의료 및 사회 서비스를 환자에게 제공하며, 메디케이드 프로그램과 상업 보험 플랜을 통해 어린이와 성인에게 서비스를 제공합니다. 또한 미국 내 의사에게 데이터, 분석, 규칙 기반 의사 결정 도구/워크플로우를 제공하는 독점 소프트웨어 및 서비스 플랫폼인 CareOptimize를 제공합니다.

CareMax, Inc. 기초 지표 요약

CareMax의 순이익과 매출은 시가총액과 어떻게 비교됩니까?
CMAX.Q 기초 통계
시가총액US$3.00
순이익 (TTM)-US$782.86m
매출 (TTM)US$784.55m
0.0x
주가매출비율(P/S)
0.0x
주가수익비율(P/E)

CMAX.Q는 고평가되어 있습니까?

공정 가치 및 평가 분석 보기

순이익 및 매출

최근 실적 보고서(TTM)의 주요 수익성 지표
CMAX.Q 손익계산서 (TTM)
매출US$784.55m
매출원가US$810.50m
총이익-US$25.94m
기타 비용US$756.91m
순이익-US$782.86m

최근 보고된 실적

Jun 30, 2024

다음 실적 발표일

해당 없음

주당순이익(EPS)-205.21
총이익률-3.31%
순이익률-99.78%
부채/자본 비율-263.9%

CMAX.Q의 장기 실적은 어땠습니까?

과거 실적 및 비교 보기

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2025/02/04 08:18
종가2025/01/29 00:00
수익2024/06/30
연간 수익2023/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

CareMax, Inc.는 4명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 1명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Brian TanquilutJefferies LLC
Jessica TassanPiper Sandler Companies
Gary TaylorTD Cowen