Phillips 66

NYSE:PSX 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$70.3b

Phillips 66 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 1/6

Phillips 66 의 수익은 연간 1.4% 감소할 것으로 예상되는 반면, 연간 수익은 5.6% 로 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 9% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 16.5% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

5.6%

이익 성장률

9.01%

EPS 성장률

Oil and Gas 이익 성장10.9%
매출 성장률-1.4%
향후 자기자본이익률16.52%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트10 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 10

Phillips 66: Markets Underappreciate The Durability Of Refining Profitability

Summary Phillips 66 is well-positioned for a significant windfall from elevated crack spreads driven by global supply disruptions and the Iran War. Refining margins surged to $10.11/barrel, with spreads near $60, potentially delivering $7B+ cumulative windfall through 2027, or ~$20/share. Operational improvements and cost reductions, alongside a 50% capital return policy, support robust shareholder returns and accelerated debt reduction. I maintain a Buy rating on PSX, raising my 2026 EPS estimate to at least $17.50 and setting a 12-month price target of $190. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 26

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Western Gateway Midstream Expansion

Analysts have nudged the Phillips 66 fair value estimate higher by about $2 to roughly $181 per share. This reflects updated price targets that take into account refined oil price assumptions, recent conversations with management, and refreshed earnings models across multiple research firms.
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 20

Heavy Crude Exposure And Cost Targets Will Limit Long Term Earnings Potential

Catalysts About Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is a diversified energy company involved in refining, midstream logistics, chemicals, marketing and renewable fuels. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 09

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Delivery And Venezuela Crude Shift

Analysts have lifted the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $165.45 to $179.10, citing a series of higher Street price targets and updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 has been active, with a cluster of price target revisions and refreshed models across large banks and sector specialists.
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 02

Midstream Expansion And Heavy Crude Optionality Will Define This Refining Leader’s Next Chapter

Catalysts About Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is an integrated energy company with operations in refining, midstream, chemicals and marketing across North America and Europe. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 26

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Execution And Venezuela Crude Realignment

Analysts have lifted the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $160.15 to $165.45. The revision reflects a series of higher price targets that cite updated oil price assumptions, discussions with management on midstream growth, and refreshed models following recent commodity and geopolitical developments.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 12

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Projects And Venezuela Crude Shift

Our fair value estimate for Phillips 66 has moved modestly higher to $160.15 from $157.55, as analysts update models and price targets, including several recent increases toward the $158 level. They cite midstream growth expectations and refreshed assumptions following the latest Q4 updates and management commentary.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 26

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Expansion And Venezuela Crude Sourcing Shift

Our Phillips 66 fair value estimate edges up by about $2 to $157.55 as analysts lift price targets toward $158, pointing to updated models after recent results and a constructive view on midstream growth prospects for FY25 and FY26. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Phillips 66 is clustered around updated models and revised price targets, with most activity tied to Q4 reporting and views on midstream fundamentals heading into FY25 and FY26.
분석 기사 • Feb 11

Concerns Surrounding Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Performance

Following the solid earnings report from Phillips 66 ( NYSE:PSX ), the market responded by bidding up the stock price...
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 10

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Pipeline Expansion And Refiner Sentiment Reset

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Phillips 66 higher to $155.70 from $151.45, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly revised P/E outlook informed by a recent wave of price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revising price targets and updating their views ahead of upcoming quarters.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 26

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Cash Returns And Refiner Sentiment Reset

The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has shifted to US$151.45 from about US$149.30 as analysts incorporate updated commodity assumptions, modestly softer revenue and margin expectations, and slightly higher future P/E multiples into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Phillips 66 point to a mix of optimism around execution and margins, alongside fresh caution on sector risks and valuation after a strong share price move.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 12

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Cash Returns And Refining Margin Support

Analysts have made only a modest adjustment to their Phillips 66 fair value estimate, lifting it by about $0.45, as they weigh slightly softer revenue expectations against a small improvement in projected profit margin, a lower discount rate, and a marginally reduced future P/E multiple, all in the context of mixed recent price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Phillips 66 reflects a mix of optimism around cash returns and refining fundamentals, balanced against concerns about sector sentiment and crude price risks.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 23

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Robust Capital Returns Amid Refining Margin Support

Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Phillips 66 slightly lower to approximately $149 from about $149.35, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and softer long term revenue expectations. This is partially offset by slightly improved profit margin and future earnings multiple assumptions informed by recent target increases and ratings changes across the Street.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 09

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Resilient Margins And Capital Returns Balancing Risks

Phillips 66's fair value estimate has edged up by about $2 to $149.35, as analysts factor in a wave of higher price targets across the Street. This shift is supported by expectations for resilient refining margins, supply tightness, and improved profitability, despite more cautious revenue growth assumptions.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 25

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Shifting Refining and Crude Trends Ahead

The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has edged higher from $146.10 to $147.65, as analysts cite sustained refining profitability, an improving revenue growth outlook, and supportive trends in crude markets despite ongoing margin debates. Analyst Commentary Recent street research provides a comprehensive view of how analysts assess Phillips 66's near- and medium-term prospects.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 03

PSX: Rising Capital Returns And Refining Margins Will Support Sector Resilience Ahead

Phillips 66’s analyst price target has risen modestly to $146.10, reflecting analyst expectations for firmer profit margins and continued sector resilience as energy market dynamics evolve. Analyst Commentary Recent street research provides insight into the factors driving both optimism and caution among analysts covering Phillips 66.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 20

NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success

Phillips 66’s analyst price target has increased from $141.58 to $145.20, as analysts cite resilient refining margins and ongoing industry optimism despite softer demand indicators and modest growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary on Phillips 66 reflects both confidence in the company’s positioning and ongoing caution regarding sector dynamics.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 05

NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success

Analysts have raised their price target for Phillips 66 by $1.74 to $141.58, citing stronger-than-expected refining margins and improved outlooks for profit and revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reveals a mix of optimism and caution among analysts evaluating Phillips 66.
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 20

NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success

Consensus price targets for Phillips 66 have increased to $139.84, reflecting analyst confidence in persistent refining margin strength, strong recent results, and upside from chemicals, while near-term risks from potential activist exits and sector pullbacks are noted. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite persistent strength in refining margins, with global product markets remaining relatively tight and distillate tightness expected to continue into winter, supporting a higher margin risk well into 2026.
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 27

NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success

Analysts have slightly lowered Phillips 66’s price target to $136.00, reflecting near-term caution due to potential post-proxy battle selling pressure and high Q2 expectations, despite an improved medium-term refining outlook and a strong balance sheet. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite positive earnings revisions expected in the second half of the year, supported by distillate strength and tightening global product supply/demand balances forecasted for 2026 and 2027.
분석 기사 • Aug 14

Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

NYSE:PSX 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Phillips 66's Fair Values from the Community and select yours There...
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 06

room for higher margins

Industry Position: Phillips 66 is a major player in the energy sector, particularly in refining, marketing, and transportation. Analysts often look at the company's ability to capitalize on operationa
Seeking Alpha • Mar 26

Elliott Management Applies Pressure With Phillips 66 Board Fight

Summary Phillips 66 has underperformed compared to peers, with chronic issues in its Refining Segment and large investments in underperforming global pet-chem plants. Earlier this month, activist investor Elliott Management nominated seven directors to PSX's board and is lobbying to spin-off PSX's Midstream Segment to unlock shareholder value. PSX's Midstream Segment has shown strong growth and is its most consistent well-performing segment, enabling robust dividend growth since going public. I maintain a Hold rating for PSX due to limited downside, the attractive 3.64% dividend yield, and potential for continued strong dividend growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:PSX - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/2028134,1987,1267,0067,5963
12/31/2027138,5906,6086,7877,9497
12/31/2026146,7206,9497,0037,1187
3/31/2026134,4864,1141192,511N/A
12/31/2025132,3764,3942,7294,962N/A
9/30/2025131,9531,4971,3513,408N/A
6/30/2025132,9661,7081,4883,362N/A
3/31/2025137,7721,8462,9604,614N/A
12/31/2024143,1532,1072,3324,191N/A
9/30/2024147,7383,3583,1965,183N/A
6/30/2024151,8535,1104,5156,736N/A
3/31/2024148,8145,7923,1895,594N/A
12/31/2023147,3997,0044,8747,029N/A
9/30/2023149,4087,6297,3559,589N/A
6/30/2023154,72010,9227,67110,048N/A
3/31/2023168,20712,3928,67410,876N/A
12/31/2022169,99011,0148,92510,813N/A
9/30/2022162,31510,4035,7857,863N/A
6/30/2022147,6035,4165,0276,922N/A
3/31/2022126,0282,5434,9836,882N/A
12/31/2021111,4761,3064,1576,017N/A
9/30/202195,242-5063,0874,856N/A
6/30/202180,948-1,7081,3753,144N/A
3/31/202164,881-2,142-1632,165N/A
12/31/202064,129-3,983-8092,111N/A
9/30/202076,863-2,707-5263,166N/A
6/30/202088,148-1,1963304,337N/A
3/31/2020105,0833691,8045,503N/A
12/31/2019107,2933,070N/A4,808N/A
9/30/2019107,3304,573N/A7,253N/A
6/30/2019109,8845,354N/A6,173N/A
3/31/2019110,9945,270N/A6,607N/A
12/31/2018111,4925,589N/A7,573N/A
9/30/2018108,7196,547N/A5,365N/A
6/30/2018101,1825,878N/A5,184N/A
3/31/201893,0375,088N/A4,685N/A
12/31/201789,3005,100N/A3,648N/A
9/30/201783,1772,066N/A2,384N/A
6/30/201779,2091,753N/A2,866N/A
3/31/201776,7251,699N/A2,156N/A
12/31/201670,8981,549N/A2,963N/A
9/30/201669,1432,036N/A3,793N/A
6/30/201673,1393,103N/A4,347N/A
3/31/201679,8373,620N/A4,619N/A
12/31/201585,2284,221N/A5,713N/A
9/30/201598,0554,717N/A5,088N/A
6/30/2015112,4124,319N/A4,080N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: PSX 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(5.6%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: PSX 의 연간 수익(5.6%)이 US 시장(16.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: PSX 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: PSX 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -1.4%).

고성장 매출: PSX 의 수익은 향후 3년 동안 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -1.4%).

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: PSX의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 16.5%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/13 12:55
종가2026/05/13 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

Phillips 66는 32명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 14명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theresa ChenBarclays
Phillip JungwirthBMO Capital Markets Equity Research