ConocoPhillips

NYSE:COP 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$164.0b

ConocoPhillips 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 1/6

ConocoPhillips 의 수익은 연간 0.2% 감소할 것으로 예상되는 반면, 연간 수익은 4.5% 로 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 8.5% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 16.1% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

4.5%

이익 성장률

8.53%

EPS 성장률

Oil and Gas 이익 성장3.8%
매출 성장률-0.2%
향후 자기자본이익률16.12%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트02 Sep 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

분석 기사 • Aug 09

ConocoPhillips Just Beat EPS By 6.1%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Last week, you might have seen that ConocoPhillips ( NYSE:COP ) released its quarterly result to the market. The early...

Recent updates

내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 08

COP: Fair Value View Will Balance Q2 Margins And Middle East Risks

Analysts have nudged the ConocoPhillips fair value estimate to $126 from $121, reflecting a series of higher price targets and updated models that emphasize the company's scale, diversified project pipeline, and balance sheet strength despite mixed rating views across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on ConocoPhillips over recent months has been active, with a cluster of price target revisions around the latest quarterly results and management transition.
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 25

COP: Iraq Project Pipeline And Q2 Execution Are Expected To Drive Upside

ConocoPhillips’ analyst-derived fair value estimate has moved from $170.41 to $175.29 as analysts factor in updated Q2 results, revised energy price outlooks, and the company’s balance sheet strength and project pipeline. Analyst Commentary Recent research on ConocoPhillips shows a cluster of higher price targets and rating upgrades following Q2 results and updated energy price assumptions.
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 10

COP: Fair Value View Will Weigh Q2 Margins And Middle East Oil Risks

Analysts have raised the ConocoPhillips fair value estimate to $121 from $115 as they factor in recent price target increases tied to a solid Q2 update, higher profit margin expectations, and evolving views on oil market risks linked to Middle East conflict. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ConocoPhillips shows a mix of optimism around the stock and a clear thread of caution.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 10

ConocoPhillips: A Revised Outlook Following Q2 Earnings (Rating Upgrade)

Summary ConocoPhillips is upgraded to BUY, projecting high-teen CAGR through 2029, driven by robust free cash flow and favorable commodity trends. Q2 FCF surged 75% over Q1, with YTD realized prices aligning with five-year historical averages, supporting the 'higher for longer' oil thesis. Permian natural gas headwinds are expected to ease as new pipelines come online in 2H 2026, enhancing COP's earnings resilience. Willow Project and Middle East deals diversify production, lower cost of supply, and underpin accelerated buybacks, dividend growth, and a $195–$205/share valuation range. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 • Aug 09

ConocoPhillips Just Beat EPS By 6.1%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Last week, you might have seen that ConocoPhillips ( NYSE:COP ) released its quarterly result to the market. The early...
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 23

COP: Iraq Reserves Expansion Is Expected To Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their outlook on ConocoPhillips, with the updated fair value estimate rising from $156.00 to about $170.41 as they incorporate revised oil price assumptions, mixed changes to individual price targets, and updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ConocoPhillips shows a wide range of views, but the most optimistic analysts are leaning into higher oil assumptions, tighter supply expectations, and what they see as attractive entry points after pullbacks in the stock.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 09

COP: Fair Value View Balances Middle East Oil Swings And Syria Deal

Analysts have reset the fair value estimate for ConocoPhillips shares to $115, reflecting a mix of lower Street price targets clustered around revised oil price assumptions, modestly adjusted growth and margin expectations, and a higher implied future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ConocoPhillips shows a more mixed tone, with several Bearish analysts trimming price targets and flagging a few pressure points that could matter for valuation and execution.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 25

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Track Tighter Post Conflict Middle East Oil Supply

Analysts have nudged their price expectations for ConocoPhillips higher, with the updated fair value estimate moving from $142.77 to $143.72 as they factor in tighter oil supply conditions, more supportive long term commodity price assumptions, and a series of rising Street price targets across the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on ConocoPhillips points to a mix of optimism about exposure to tighter oil markets and some caution around geopolitical risk and commodity price assumptions.
분석 기사 • Jun 20

ConocoPhillips (COP) Stock Could Be 24.5% Undervalued on Its LNG Growth Narrative

ConocoPhillips (COP) has drawn fresh attention after recent share price moves, with the stock down 3.1% over the past day, declining 10.6% over the past month, and falling 15.1% in the past 3 months. See our latest analysis for ConocoPhillips. Looking beyond the recent pullback, ConocoPhillips has seen its share price rise 11.42% year to date, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 17.55% and 5 year total shareholder return of 110.03% point to a stronger longer term picture. If...
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 06

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Track Prolonged Middle East Oil Supply Disruptions

Analysts have nudged the ConocoPhillips fair value estimate higher to $142.77 from $140.59 as they factor in higher long term oil price assumptions, which they link to ongoing Middle East tensions and a tighter supply backdrop highlighted in recent price target revisions across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent research on ConocoPhillips points to a cluster of price target increases tied to higher oil price assumptions, tighter crude balances and changing views on refining margins and gas pricing.
내러티브 업데이트 • May 09

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Track Elevated Middle East Oil Price Risks

Analysts have raised the ConocoPhillips fair value estimate by about $2.59 to $140.59. This reflects a series of higher price targets from major firms that are tying their views to updated oil price assumptions, geopolitical risk premiums, and modestly adjusted long term growth and margin expectations.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 24

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Middle East Risks And Portfolio Moves

Analysts have raised ConocoPhillips’ fair value estimate from $131.52 to $138.00. This change reflects updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly lower assumed future P/E multiple, following a series of higher Street price targets tied to revised oil price assumptions and geopolitical risk.
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 23

Future LNG And Shale Execution Risks Will Pressure Cash Generation

Catalysts About ConocoPhillips ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company focused on oil, natural gas and LNG projects across the Lower 48 U.S. states, Alaska and international assets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 09

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Geopolitical Oil Risk And Cash Returns

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for ConocoPhillips higher to $131.52 from $128.29 as widespread price target increases reflect updated oil price assumptions, slightly higher future P/E expectations around 20.6x, and revised margin outlooks across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on ConocoPhillips has been active, with a series of price target revisions and rating changes driven largely by updated oil and gas price decks, geopolitical risk, and evolving expectations for cash generation and capital returns.
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 07

Long Life Projects And LNG Portfolio Will Drive Powerful Future Cash Flow Transformation

Catalysts About ConocoPhillips ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company focused on oil and natural gas, with a large Lower 48 shale position, LNG projects and long life assets in Alaska and internationally. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 26

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Higher Oil Risk And Dividend Capacity

Analysts have lifted their ConocoPhillips fair value estimate from $118.15 to $128.29, citing higher medium term oil price assumptions that are expected to contribute to revenue growth, a slightly richer future P/E multiple, and adjusted margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ConocoPhillips points to a split view, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets on the back of higher medium term oil price assumptions and a few more cautious voices flagging valuation risk and potential commodity softness.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 11

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Dividend Capacity And Geopolitical Oil Risk

Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for ConocoPhillips up from $114.74 to $118.15, reflecting higher Street price targets tied to increased long term oil price assumptions, modest valuation multiple expansion, and expectations for stronger free cash flow as recent project spending rolls off. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ConocoPhillips reflects a wide range of opinions, with some focusing on upside from higher long term oil price assumptions and free cash flow, and others flagging valuation and commodity risk.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 10

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Dividend Support And Venezuela Uncertainty

Analysts have raised their ConocoPhillips price targets by about $10. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly lower future P/E, and a small increase in estimated fair value to $114.74.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 26

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Strengthen As Dividend Capacity Expands

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for ConocoPhillips edges higher to about US$113. Analysts point to slightly stronger margin assumptions, a modestly higher future P/E multiple, and refreshed views on dividend growth and valuation across recent research updates.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 11

COP: Free Cash Flow Will Improve As Peak Capex Eases And Volumes Advance

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on ConocoPhillips, with our fair value estimate edging from US$112.37 to about US$111.48 as they factor in a softer crude backdrop, updated 2025 and 2026 guidance, and mixed expectations around cash flow and organic growth. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around ConocoPhillips reflects a mix of optimism on execution and balance sheet quality, alongside caution around crude pricing and near term cash flow.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 25

COP: Free Cash Flow Will Strengthen As Peak Capex Fades And Production Increases

The analyst price target for ConocoPhillips edges slightly lower by approximately $0.02 to reflect modestly softer medium term growth and margin assumptions, as analysts recalibrate models following Q3 updates, refreshed 2025 and preliminary 2026 guidance, and a sector-wide bias toward gas over oil. Analyst Commentary Street research indicates that the modestly lower consolidated price target reflects mixed revisions at the single stock level, with most firms maintaining positive fundamental views while trimming outer year assumptions to reflect softer gas and NGL realizations and more conservative commodity decks.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 11

COP: Free Cash Flow Will Strengthen As Production Outperformance Follows Peak Capex

Our ConocoPhillips analyst price target edges slightly lower, reflecting a modest recalibration in fair value to $112.39 as analysts factor in updated Q3 results, 2025 guidance, and preliminary 2026 outlook. These elements temper cash flow expectations while still acknowledging solid production growth and capital returns.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 27

COP: Free Cash Flow Will Outperform as Workforce Reduction Improves Efficiency

ConocoPhillips' analyst price target saw a modest decrease of $0.63, as analysts cited updated company outlooks for 2025 and 2026 as well as evolving sector dynamics in their revised forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ConocoPhillips presents a blend of optimism for the company's prospects alongside some caution about sector headwinds and near-term execution challenges.
분석 기사 • Nov 13

Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) Shareholders

A lackluster earnings announcement from ConocoPhillips ( NYSE:COP ) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we...
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 12

COP: Free Cash Flow Strength Will Drive Outperformance Despite Sector Uncertainty

The consensus analyst price target for ConocoPhillips has edged slightly lower, decreasing by $0.24 to approximately $113.54. Analysts are adjusting their models following recent Q3 results and expectations for softer revenue growth, even with improved profit margins.
분석 기사 • Nov 10

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.84

ConocoPhillips ( NYSE:COP ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment...
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 29

Production Expansion And Capital Returns Will Drive Longer-Term Opportunity Despite Workforce Cuts

ConocoPhillips’ analyst price target has been revised downward by analysts, with the consensus fair value estimate dropping from $115.46 to $113.78 per share. This reflects tempered cash flow outlooks and shifting sector dynamics, despite resilient operational performance.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 15

Strong Global Energy Demand And LNG Projects Will Drive Future Momentum

Analysts have adjusted their price targets for ConocoPhillips slightly downward, with the updated consensus reflecting a modest decrease of around $1 to $115. This adjustment comes as analysts expect steady operational performance in the upcoming quarter but acknowledge headwinds from softer gas and NGL markets as well as mixed outlooks on cash flow and production growth.

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:COP - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/202866,90110,90312,11923,9784
12/31/202767,08611,09511,86824,0615
12/31/202672,56912,90613,37425,4325
6/30/202664,4599,25310,06421,925N/A
3/31/202659,3787,2985,85317,976N/A
12/31/202560,2797,9617,24319,796N/A
9/30/202561,2808,8247,08819,935N/A
6/30/202559,3869,1566,92319,820N/A
3/31/202559,0909,5168,67421,254N/A
12/31/202456,4509,2188,00620,124N/A
9/30/202456,9249,9169,24620,930N/A
6/30/202458,08010,6529,29920,612N/A
3/31/202456,82010,5538,28019,547N/A
12/31/202357,86110,9228,71719,965N/A
9/30/202361,83911,16010,39621,294N/A
6/30/202368,77512,88213,73924,589N/A
3/31/202377,69715,78718,75428,649N/A
12/31/202280,57518,62018,15528,314N/A
9/30/202276,89917,99218,40727,590N/A
6/30/202266,89015,86015,65923,647N/A
3/31/202254,90012,82212,71619,984N/A
12/31/202146,6608,06011,67216,996N/A
9/30/202136,7854,6807,97512,800N/A
6/30/202129,6411,8514,2168,871N/A
3/31/202122,772204944,777N/A
12/31/202019,216-2,707874,802N/A
9/30/202021,475-1,2098606,112N/A
6/30/202025,1002,2971,7867,581N/A
3/31/202030,4003,617N/A10,315N/A
12/31/201933,3467,189N/A11,104N/A
9/30/201935,4838,337N/A11,905N/A
6/30/201937,1807,142N/A12,978N/A
3/31/201937,8237,202N/A13,429N/A
12/31/201837,4916,257N/A12,934N/A
9/30/201835,8355,968N/A11,632N/A
6/30/201832,9764,527N/A9,277N/A
3/31/201831,166-553N/A7,686N/A
12/31/201729,878-855N/A7,077N/A
9/30/201728,551-2,469N/A6,039N/A
6/30/201728,022-3,929N/A6,264N/A
3/31/201726,491-1,560N/A5,772N/A
12/31/201623,745-3,615N/A4,403N/A
9/30/201623,017-7,030N/A4,556N/A
6/30/201624,147-7,061N/A5,210N/A
3/31/201627,270-6,169N/A5,925N/A
12/31/201530,219-4,428N/A7,572N/A
9/30/201535,646-1,017N/A8,787N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: COP 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(4.5%)이 saving rate(3.7%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: COP 의 연간 수익(4.5%)이 US 시장(17.3%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: COP 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: COP 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -0.2%).

고성장 매출: COP 의 수익은 향후 3년 동안 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -0.2%).

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: COP의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 16.1%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/09/10 23:21
종가2026/09/10 00:00
수익2026/06/30
연간 수익2025/12/31

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기업 재무제표10년
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분석가 소스

ConocoPhillips는 47명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 13명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Joseph AllmanBaird
Yim ChengBarclays