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ConocoPhillipsNYSE:COP 주식 보고서

시가총액 US$149.1b
주가
US$120.55
US$140.59
14.3% 저평가 내재 할인율
1Y40.0%
7D1.3%
1D
포트폴리오 가치
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ConocoPhillips

NYSE:COP 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$149.1b

ConocoPhillips (COP) 주식 개요

코노코필립스는 원유, 역청, 천연가스, 액화천연가스(LNG) 및 천연가스 액체를 탐사, 생산, 운송 및 판매하는 기업입니다. 자세히 보기

COP 펀더멘털 분석
스노우플레이크 점수
가치 평가3/6
미래 성장1/6
과거 실적2/6
재무 건전성5/6
배당4/6

COP Community Fair Values

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ConocoPhillips 경쟁사

가격 이력 및 성과

ConocoPhillips 주가의 최고가, 최저가 및 변동 요약
과거 주가
현재 주가US$120.55
52주 최고가US$135.87
52주 최저가US$84.28
베타0.15
1개월 변동0.24%
3개월 변동9.07%
1년 변동39.96%
3년 변동18.55%
5년 변동117.09%
IPO 이후 변동4,300.30%

최근 뉴스 및 업데이트

Seeking Alpha May 14

ConocoPhillips: More Upside Given Long-Term Cash Flow Tailwinds

Summary ConocoPhillips remains a "Buy," with ~15% upside to a $135 fair value, driven by sustained high oil prices post-Strait of Hormuz closure. COP's oil-weighted production and disciplined capex position it to benefit from the ongoing supply shock, despite headwinds from weak natural gas prices. Q2 and 2026 free cash flow are set to surge, with at least $12.5 billion expected this year and major projects like Willow and Port Arthur LNG driving medium-term growth. Balance sheet strength (0.8x leverage), a secure 2.9% yield, and a 45% cash return policy underpin COP's capital return and buyback acceleration. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 May 09

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Track Elevated Middle East Oil Price Risks

Analysts have raised the ConocoPhillips fair value estimate by about $2.59 to $140.59. This reflects a series of higher price targets from major firms that are tying their views to updated oil price assumptions, geopolitical risk premiums, and modestly adjusted long term growth and margin expectations.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 14

ConocoPhillips: More Upside Given Long-Term Cash Flow Tailwinds

Summary ConocoPhillips remains a "Buy," with ~15% upside to a $135 fair value, driven by sustained high oil prices post-Strait of Hormuz closure. COP's oil-weighted production and disciplined capex position it to benefit from the ongoing supply shock, despite headwinds from weak natural gas prices. Q2 and 2026 free cash flow are set to surge, with at least $12.5 billion expected this year and major projects like Willow and Port Arthur LNG driving medium-term growth. Balance sheet strength (0.8x leverage), a secure 2.9% yield, and a 45% cash return policy underpin COP's capital return and buyback acceleration. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 May 09

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Track Elevated Middle East Oil Price Risks

Analysts have raised the ConocoPhillips fair value estimate by about $2.59 to $140.59. This reflects a series of higher price targets from major firms that are tying their views to updated oil price assumptions, geopolitical risk premiums, and modestly adjusted long term growth and margin expectations.
내러티브 업데이트 Apr 24

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Middle East Risks And Portfolio Moves

Analysts have raised ConocoPhillips’ fair value estimate from $131.52 to $138.00. This change reflects updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly lower assumed future P/E multiple, following a series of higher Street price targets tied to revised oil price assumptions and geopolitical risk.
새로운 내러티브 Apr 23

Future LNG And Shale Execution Risks Will Pressure Cash Generation

Catalysts About ConocoPhillips ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company focused on oil, natural gas and LNG projects across the Lower 48 U.S. states, Alaska and international assets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
새로운 내러티브 Apr 21

ConocoPhillips (COP): The Global Energy Sovereign and the "Cash Harvesting" Pivot

ConocoPhillips (COP) , the world’s largest independent oil and gas producer, enters Tuesday, April 21, 2026 , as a company masterfully navigating a high-volatility geopolitical landscape. Trading at $119.07 USD —marking a strong 2.26% surge in today's session—the stock is currently testing its 52-week high of $135.87.
내러티브 업데이트 Apr 09

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Geopolitical Oil Risk And Cash Returns

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for ConocoPhillips higher to $131.52 from $128.29 as widespread price target increases reflect updated oil price assumptions, slightly higher future P/E expectations around 20.6x, and revised margin outlooks across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on ConocoPhillips has been active, with a series of price target revisions and rating changes driven largely by updated oil and gas price decks, geopolitical risk, and evolving expectations for cash generation and capital returns.
새로운 내러티브 Apr 07

Long Life Projects And LNG Portfolio Will Drive Powerful Future Cash Flow Transformation

Catalysts About ConocoPhillips ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company focused on oil and natural gas, with a large Lower 48 shale position, LNG projects and long life assets in Alaska and internationally. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
내러티브 업데이트 Mar 26

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Higher Oil Risk And Dividend Capacity

Analysts have lifted their ConocoPhillips fair value estimate from $118.15 to $128.29, citing higher medium term oil price assumptions that are expected to contribute to revenue growth, a slightly richer future P/E multiple, and adjusted margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ConocoPhillips points to a split view, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets on the back of higher medium term oil price assumptions and a few more cautious voices flagging valuation risk and potential commodity softness.
내러티브 업데이트 Mar 11

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Dividend Capacity And Geopolitical Oil Risk

Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for ConocoPhillips up from $114.74 to $118.15, reflecting higher Street price targets tied to increased long term oil price assumptions, modest valuation multiple expansion, and expectations for stronger free cash flow as recent project spending rolls off. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ConocoPhillips reflects a wide range of opinions, with some focusing on upside from higher long term oil price assumptions and free cash flow, and others flagging valuation and commodity risk.
내러티브 업데이트 Feb 10

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Dividend Support And Venezuela Uncertainty

Analysts have raised their ConocoPhillips price targets by about $10. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly lower future P/E, and a small increase in estimated fair value to $114.74.
내러티브 업데이트 Jan 26

COP: Future Cash Flows Will Strengthen As Dividend Capacity Expands

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for ConocoPhillips edges higher to about US$113. Analysts point to slightly stronger margin assumptions, a modestly higher future P/E multiple, and refreshed views on dividend growth and valuation across recent research updates.
내러티브 업데이트 Jan 11

COP: Free Cash Flow Will Improve As Peak Capex Eases And Volumes Advance

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on ConocoPhillips, with our fair value estimate edging from US$112.37 to about US$111.48 as they factor in a softer crude backdrop, updated 2025 and 2026 guidance, and mixed expectations around cash flow and organic growth. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around ConocoPhillips reflects a mix of optimism on execution and balance sheet quality, alongside caution around crude pricing and near term cash flow.
내러티브 업데이트 Dec 25

COP: Free Cash Flow Will Strengthen As Peak Capex Fades And Production Increases

The analyst price target for ConocoPhillips edges slightly lower by approximately $0.02 to reflect modestly softer medium term growth and margin assumptions, as analysts recalibrate models following Q3 updates, refreshed 2025 and preliminary 2026 guidance, and a sector-wide bias toward gas over oil. Analyst Commentary Street research indicates that the modestly lower consolidated price target reflects mixed revisions at the single stock level, with most firms maintaining positive fundamental views while trimming outer year assumptions to reflect softer gas and NGL realizations and more conservative commodity decks.
내러티브 업데이트 Dec 11

COP: Free Cash Flow Will Strengthen As Production Outperformance Follows Peak Capex

Our ConocoPhillips analyst price target edges slightly lower, reflecting a modest recalibration in fair value to $112.39 as analysts factor in updated Q3 results, 2025 guidance, and preliminary 2026 outlook. These elements temper cash flow expectations while still acknowledging solid production growth and capital returns.
내러티브 업데이트 Nov 27

COP: Free Cash Flow Will Outperform as Workforce Reduction Improves Efficiency

ConocoPhillips' analyst price target saw a modest decrease of $0.63, as analysts cited updated company outlooks for 2025 and 2026 as well as evolving sector dynamics in their revised forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ConocoPhillips presents a blend of optimism for the company's prospects alongside some caution about sector headwinds and near-term execution challenges.
분석 기사 Nov 13

Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) Shareholders

A lackluster earnings announcement from ConocoPhillips ( NYSE:COP ) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we...
내러티브 업데이트 Nov 12

COP: Free Cash Flow Strength Will Drive Outperformance Despite Sector Uncertainty

The consensus analyst price target for ConocoPhillips has edged slightly lower, decreasing by $0.24 to approximately $113.54. Analysts are adjusting their models following recent Q3 results and expectations for softer revenue growth, even with improved profit margins.
분석 기사 Nov 10

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.84

ConocoPhillips ( NYSE:COP ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment...
내러티브 업데이트 Oct 29

Production Expansion And Capital Returns Will Drive Longer-Term Opportunity Despite Workforce Cuts

ConocoPhillips’ analyst price target has been revised downward by analysts, with the consensus fair value estimate dropping from $115.46 to $113.78 per share. This reflects tempered cash flow outlooks and shifting sector dynamics, despite resilient operational performance.
내러티브 업데이트 Oct 15

Strong Global Energy Demand And LNG Projects Will Drive Future Momentum

Analysts have adjusted their price targets for ConocoPhillips slightly downward, with the updated consensus reflecting a modest decrease of around $1 to $115. This adjustment comes as analysts expect steady operational performance in the upcoming quarter but acknowledge headwinds from softer gas and NGL markets as well as mixed outlooks on cash flow and production growth.
분석 기사 Jul 18

Insufficient Growth At ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) Hampers Share Price

ConocoPhillips' ( NYSE:COP ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.3x might make it look like a buy right now...
분석 기사 Jun 01

An Intrinsic Calculation For ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) Suggests It's 34% Undervalued

Key Insights The projected fair value for ConocoPhillips is US$129 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Seeking Alpha Mar 30

Conoco Phillips: Undervalued Laggard Poised To Outperform

Summary ConocoPhillips (COP) stock has underperformed peers and the SPDR Energy Sector ETF, but its strong operational and financial performance supports a BUY rating. COP boasts a low-cost production profile; significant assets in the Permian Basin, Alaska, and LNG technology, contributing to its robust free-cash-flow. Despite generating $6.96/share of FCF last year, current price targets by 4 major Street firms average ~$130/share, 25%+ higher than COP's current stock price. Despite macro-economic risks, COP's strong balance sheet, a 3.0% dividend yield, and expected 18.8% production growth make it undervalued with a potential 30% total return. COP's disciplined cap-ex approach and strategic acquisitions, like Marathon Oil, position it well for future shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 23

ConocoPhillips: Starting 2025 With Marathon

Summary ConocoPhillips' $22 billion acquisition of Marathon Oil enhances reserves and production, adding 400,000 barrels of oil-equivalent per day. The deal is expected to achieve $500 million in synergies within a year and supports a 34% dividend increase to $3.12 per share. With oil prices around $70 per barrel, ConocoPhillips' 2024 earnings are projected at $8 per share, trading at a mere 12 times multiple. Despite modest price headwinds, its strong balance sheet and disciplined sector production practices ensure continued investor returns, with a >3% dividend yield. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 22

ConocoPhillips: Trump Will Help, But Bound To Oil Volatility

Summary ConocoPhillips has shown recent gains but remains volatile due to its dependence on crude oil prices, leading me to rate it a hold. The Marathon Oil acquisition adds significant resources and showcases internal confidence, but revenue and earnings are still impacted by fluctuating oil prices. President Trump's pro-oil agenda could benefit COP, especially with the potential expansion of the Willow project in Alaska. Technical indicators suggest COP may be overbought, and its performance lags peers like EOG, Chevron, and ExxonMobil. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 21

ConocoPhillips' Merger With Marathon Oil Offers Synergies (Rating Upgrade)

Summary ConocoPhillips, a $123 billion market cap company, successfully completed its acquisition of the much smaller Marathon Oil. It has an investor-friendly capital return program with a 3.3% dividend, and large share repurchases. Pro forma post-acquisition annual cost savings are estimated at $500 million, while asset disposition is expected to total another $2 billion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 18

ConocoPhillips: Navigating Market Pressures

Summary ConocoPhillips has a diversified portfolio and significant operations in 13 countries, with the Lower 48 segment contributing the largest revenue share. Recent underperformance is linked to the Marathon Oil acquisition, despite projected benefits like earnings accretion, cost synergies, and a planned dividend increase. Downward EPS revisions and slower growth prospects compared to peers weigh on COP, with a significant rebound in oil prices needed to reverse this trend. Despite short-term challenges, major analysts maintain a positive outlook with a consensus target price implying an 18% upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

주주 수익률

COPUS Oil and GasUS 시장
7D1.3%1.1%-0.8%
1Y40.0%37.4%27.1%

수익률 대 산업: COP은 지난 1년 동안 37.4%의 수익을 기록한 US Oil and Gas 산업보다 더 좋은 성과를 냈습니다.

수익률 대 시장: COP은 지난 1년 동안 27.1%를 기록한 US 시장보다 더 좋은 성과를 냈습니다.

주가 변동성

Is COP's price volatile compared to industry and market?
COP volatility
COP Average Weekly Movement4.5%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement6.1%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

안정적인 주가: COP는 지난 3개월 동안 US 시장에 비해 주가 변동성이 크지 않았습니다.

시간에 따른 변동성: COP의 주간 변동성(5%)은 지난 1년 동안 안정적이었습니다.

회사 소개

설립직원 수CEO웹사이트
19179,700Ryan Lancewww.conocophillips.com

코노코필립스는 원유, 역청, 천연가스, 액화천연가스(LNG) 및 천연가스 액체를 탐사, 생산, 운송 및 판매합니다. 5개 부문으로 나뉘어 운영됩니다: 알래스카, 미국 48개 주, 캐나다, 유럽, 중동 및 북아프리카, 아시아 태평양. 회사의 포트폴리오에는 북미의 비전통 광구, 북미, 유럽, 아시아, 호주의 기존 자산, 글로벌 LNG 개발, 캐나다의 오일샌드 자산, 글로벌 탐사 전망 인벤토리가 포함됩니다.

ConocoPhillips 기초 지표 요약

ConocoPhillips의 순이익과 매출은 시가총액과 어떻게 비교됩니까?
COP 기초 통계
시가총액US$149.07b
순이익 (TTM)US$7.30b
매출 (TTM)US$59.38b
20.1x
주가수익비율(P/E)
2.5x
주가매출비율(P/S)

COP는 고평가되어 있습니까?

공정 가치 및 평가 분석 보기

순이익 및 매출

최근 실적 보고서(TTM)의 주요 수익성 지표
COP 손익계산서 (TTM)
매출US$59.38b
매출원가US$32.31b
총이익US$27.07b
기타 비용US$19.77b
순이익US$7.30b

최근 보고된 실적

Mar 31, 2026

다음 실적 발표일

해당 없음

주당순이익(EPS)5.99
총이익률45.59%
순이익률12.29%
부채/자본 비율35.0%

COP의 장기 실적은 어땠습니까?

과거 실적 및 비교 보기

배당

2.8%
현재 배당 수익률
55%
배당 성향

COP는 안정적으로 배당을 지급합니까?

COP 배당 기록 및 벤치마크 보기
다가오는 배당을 받으려면 언제까지 COP를 매수해야 하나요?
ConocoPhillips 배당 일정
배당락일May 11 2026
배당 지급일Jun 01 2026
배당락일까지 남은 일수12 days
배당 지급일까지 남은 일수9 days

COP는 안정적으로 배당을 지급합니까?

COP 배당 기록 및 벤치마크 보기

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/21 16:31
종가2026/05/21 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

ConocoPhillips는 49명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 13명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Joseph AllmanBaird
Yim ChengBarclays