Xponential Fitness 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 3/6
Xponential Fitness 의 수익은 연간 1.3% 감소할 것으로 예상되는 반면, 연간 수익은 108.3% 로 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 144.6% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
108.3%
이익 성장률
144.58%
EPS 성장률
| Hospitality 이익 성장 | 18.5% |
| 매출 성장률 | -1.3% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | n/a |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 20 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • May 13
XPOF: Reset Plan And Franchise Backlog Conversion Will Unlock Brand Value Potential
Analysts have nudged the average price target for Xponential Fitness to $10.00, reflecting updated views that factor in modest revenue growth assumptions, slightly higher profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple, even as several firms recently adjusted their targets and ratings to account for weaker same store sales, slower franchise backlog conversion, and near term operational challenges. Analyst Commentary Recent research has been mixed for Xponential Fitness, but there are a few clear positive threads that bullish analysts keep coming back to, even as they adjust models for softer comps, slower franchise conversion, and higher leverage.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 21
XPOF: Franchise Reset And Marketing Investment Will Unlock Brand Value Potential
Analysts have reset the narrative fair value on Xponential Fitness from $14.35 to $10.00. This reflects a lower assumed future P/E multiple alongside mixed research commentary that balances sector tailwinds with company-specific comp pressure, slower franchise conversion, and an investment-heavy period ahead.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 07
XPOF: Activist Pressure And Franchise Reset May Unlock Long Term Brand Value
Analysts have reduced the fair value estimate for Xponential Fitness from $19.39 to $14.35, as recent research highlights softer revenue expectations, lower profit margins, higher required returns, and more conservative P/E assumptions amid operational and same store sales headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Xponential Fitness reflects a mixed backdrop, with several firms reducing price targets and ratings as they reassess same store sales trends, operational execution, and leverage on the balance sheet.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 24
XPOF: 2026 Investment Year Reset Will Prioritize Healthier Member Acquisition
The updated analyst price target for Xponential Fitness edges down from about $8.55 to roughly $8.39, as analysts factor in softer same store sales trends, slower conversion of the franchise backlog, weaker 2026 guidance, and an investment year ahead, while still acknowledging supportive fitness industry demand and brand value at Club Pilates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Xponential Fitness highlights a split view, with some analysts focused on brand strength and long term potential, while others are more focused on near term execution risks and guidance.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 09
XPOF: Asset Light Model Will Rely On 2026 Investment Year Reset
The updated analyst price target for Xponential Fitness has been reduced from $10.90 to $8.55. Analysts attribute this change to lower expectations for comparable sales, weaker guidance, higher discount rates, and a planned investment-focused year in 2026.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 23
XPOF: Asset Light Fitness Model Will Benefit From Stable Long Term Assumptions
Analysts have maintained their $10.90 price target for Xponential Fitness, making only slight adjustments to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions. They continue to view the current fair value as consistent with their updated risk and earnings outlook.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 09
XPOF: Wellness Demand Will Test Stable Outlook And Margin Assumptions
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price targets for Xponential Fitness, citing slightly different assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Together, these factors support an updated fair value of about US$8.00 per share compared with the prior US$8.00 view.분석 기사 • Feb 03
Why We Like The Returns At Xponential Fitness (NYSE:XPOF)
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Typically, we'll want...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 25
XPOF: Wellness Demand Will Face Adjusted Guidance And Margin Execution Tests
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Xponential Fitness to US$8.00 from US$8.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Xponential Fitness reiterated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, with expected revenue in the range of US$300.0 million to US$310.0 million (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 10
XPOF: Asset Light Fitness Model Will Capture Rising Wellness Prioritization
Analysts held their fair value view on Xponential Fitness steady around $10.90 while refining assumptions on discount rate, margins and future P/E. They point to UBS's new Neutral rating with an $8 price target and focus on scalable, asset light fitness models as a key reason for the pricing update at the Street level.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 25
XPOF: Wellness Demand Will Meet Execution And Profitability Tests Ahead
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Xponential Fitness to $8.00 from $9.00. This change reflects a lower fair value and tempered expectations for revenue growth and profitability, even as they still see support from broader consumer shifts toward scalable, health and wellness focused fitness models.분석 기사 • Dec 14
Improved Revenues Required Before Xponential Fitness, Inc. (NYSE:XPOF) Stock's 31% Jump Looks Justified
Those holding Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in...내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 11
XPOF: Asset-Light Model Will Benefit From Rising Health And Wellness Prioritization
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Xponential Fitness to $8.00, citing expectations for faster revenue growth and a lower perceived risk profile, despite slightly softer long term margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Analysts view Xponential Fitness as a direct beneficiary of accelerating consumer prioritization of health and wellness, particularly among younger demographics, but see execution and business model risks that temper near term enthusiasm.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 27
XPOF: Durable Asset-Light Model Will Capture Growing US Health Priority Trend
Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Xponential Fitness from $11.10 to $10.90, citing changing consumer priorities and a cautious outlook on scalable and asset-light fitness models. Analyst Commentary Analysts have provided a balanced perspective on Xponential Fitness, reflecting both optimism about industry trends and caution about potential challenges.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 11
XPOF: Expanded Health Prioritization Will Drive Member Growth in Coming Years
Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Xponential Fitness from $12.33 to $11.10 per share, citing evolving consumer health priorities and an uncertain near-term growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst evaluations reflect a balanced view on Xponential Fitness, emphasizing both growth opportunities and structural challenges facing the company.Seeking Alpha • Sep 28
Xponential Fitness: Despite Being Cheap, Certain Risks Make This A Challenge
Summary Xponential Fitness operates as a major franchisor of boutique health and wellness brands, showing strong revenue and studio growth. Despite top-line expansion, XPOF faces bottom-line volatility, rising net debt, and ongoing government investigations impacting its financial performance. XPOF trades at attractive valuation multiples compared to peers like PLNT and LTH, making it appealing from a value perspective. Given profitability concerns and regulatory risks, I rate XPOF as a 'hold' and recommend a cautious approach for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 08
International Expansion Will Capture Rising Wellness Demand
Despite improved regulatory clarity and expectations for stronger growth execution and market share gains, Xponential Fitness’s consensus analyst price target has been revised downward from $13.78 to $12.67. Analyst Commentary Recent no-action decision from the SEC investigation removes a significant uncertainty overhang.분석 기사 • Jun 18
Why The 25% Return On Capital At Xponential Fitness (NYSE:XPOF) Should Have Your Attention
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...분석 기사 • May 14
Xponential Fitness, Inc. (NYSE:XPOF) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 28%
Those holding Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in...분석 기사 • May 11
Xponential Fitness, Inc. Reported A Surprise Loss, And Analysts Have Updated Their Forecasts
Last week, you might have seen that Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) released its first-quarter result to the...Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
Xponential Fitness: Despite Negatives, All Is Not Lost
Summary Xponential Fitness' Club Pilates is highly valuable, initially undervalued due to a short report and regulatory issues, now showing potential for growth with new management. Regulatory issues are clearing, with California's inquiry resolved and positive signs from the SEC, prompting an increased investment position in Q1. Despite disappointing earnings and guidance, Club Pilates performs well, and management is considering divesting underperforming brands, suggesting potential future positive developments. The upcoming investor day in May hints at good news, but the mistake was increasing the position based on regulatory rather than operational improvements. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 29
Xponential Fitness: Why I Bought More
Summary Xponential Fitness reported Q4 '24 post-market on March 13th, with shares declining 40%. The company also announced that they restated their 2023 financials. This quarter was about taking a medicine once for historical missteps, and it was the new CEO's first full quarter, as he came on only in June of 2024. With the new CEO's experience at Adidas and Taco Bell and a new management team, I believe the company can expand internationally and achieve healthy franchisor economics. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Mar 09
Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s (NYSE:XPOF) 27% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period...분석 기사 • Feb 27
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Xponential Fitness (NYSE:XPOF)
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...분석 기사 • Jan 23
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Xponential Fitness, Inc. (NYSE:XPOF) With Shares Advancing 27%
Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month...분석 기사 • Nov 26
What Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s (NYSE:XPOF) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...Seeking Alpha • Nov 18
Xponential Fitness: An Exercise In Judging Management Potential
Summary Xponential Fitness had a troublesome 2023, but the latter half of 2024 has changed the narrative of this ticker. In June of this year, Mark King was hired as the new CEO. Mark, previously of Adidas North America and Taco Bell, profitably grew both brands. I believe he is poised to do the same in his new position, and he is actively hiring a new management team. While the shares are up since the announcement of the new CEO, I believe significant upside potential remains. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Nov 10
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Xponential Fitness (NYSE:XPOF)
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...
새로운 내러티브 • Sep 24
Mark King's Leadership And Strategic Shifts Set To Propel Business Growth And Profitability
Mark King's appointment as CEO suggests strategic shifts aimed at operational improvements and business growth, without mentioning specific performance metrics.분석 기사 • Aug 28
Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s (NYSE:XPOF) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%
Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair...분석 기사 • Aug 09
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Xponential Fitness (NYSE:XPOF)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Seeking Alpha • Jul 26
Xponential Fitness: Asymmetrical Reward Payoff At Current Valuations
Summary Xponential Fitness is a global franchisor of boutique fitness brands with diversified revenue streams. The company's differentiated model and competitive advantages drive top-line growth and higher margins vs. peers. XPOF's attractive economics, >90% FCF conversion, and extensive growth runway imply an intrinsic value of $32/share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Jul 05
Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s (NYSE:XPOF) Shares Climb 70% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 70% after a shaky period...Seeking Alpha • Jun 12
Optimist Fund - Xponential Fitness: Worth Significantly More Than The Current Price
Summary Xponential Fitness is a leading franchisor in the boutique fitness sector with brands like Club Pilates, Stretch Lab, and Pure Barre. CEO Anthony Geisler has a successful track record in growing boutique fitness brands, with Xponential Fitness currently valued at around $100 million. Despite a short report criticizing the company, Xponential Fitness is seen as a high-quality business with strong financial performance and potential for significant growth, offering a potential 275% return on investment in the next 2 years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 298 | 32 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 279 | 22 | 31 | 41 | 9 |
| 12/31/2026 | 264 | 16 | -7 | -3 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 299 | -48 | -4 | 1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 315 | -51 | 23 | 28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 315 | -55 | 14 | 18 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 317 | -58 | 9 | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 318 | -68 | 9 | 15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 320 | -73 | 5 | 12 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 327 | -28 | -1 | 5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 327 | 11 | 0 | 8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 327 | 68 | 16 | 24 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 318 | 34 | 23 | 33 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 300 | 5 | 40 | 52 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 283 | -64 | 39 | 56 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 265 | -26 | 44 | 60 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 243 | -22 | 36 | 52 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 223 | -48 | 34 | 48 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 200 | -17 | 33 | 40 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 176 | -98 | 12 | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 155 | -64 | 9 | 14 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 133 | -13 | 2 | 7 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 118 | -7 | 0 | 5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 104 | -16 | -7 | -2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 107 | -14 | -5 | -1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 129 | -37 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 59 | -42 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: XPOF 은 향후 3년 동안 수익을 낼 것으로 예상되며, 이는 절약률(3.5%)보다 빠른 성장으로 간주됩니다.
수익 vs 시장: XPOF (는) 향후 3년 동안 평균 시장 성장보다 높은 수익을 올릴 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: XPOF 향후 3년 내에 수익을 낼 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: XPOF 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -1.3%).
고성장 매출: XPOF 의 수익은 향후 3년 동안 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -1.3%).
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: XPOF의 자본 수익률이 3년 후 높을 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에 데이터가 부족합니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/21 01:05 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
|
| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
|
* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Xponential Fitness, Inc.는 16명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 10명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Komp | Baird |
| Alexander Perry | BofA Global Research |
| Jeffrey Van Sinderen | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |