Domino's Pizza 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 1/6
Domino's Pizza은 연간 수입과 매출이 각각 6%와 3.3% 증가할 것으로 예상되고 EPS는 연간 9%만큼 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
6.0%
이익 성장률
9.02%
EPS 성장률
| Hospitality 이익 성장 | 19.7% |
| 매출 성장률 | 3.3% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | n/a |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 11 Sep 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 08
DPZ: Franchise Profitability And Menu Innovation Will Drive Future Share Rebound
The analyst price target for Domino's Pizza has been reset from an implied fair value of about $487 to $450. This change reflects revised views on discount rates, growth assumptions, and valuation multiples, as analysts weigh mixed U.S. sales trends, CEO succession questions, and a wide range of updated Street targets between roughly $295 and $425.
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 25
DPZ: CEO Transition And Weak U.S. Sales Will Pressure Rich Valuation
The analyst price target for Domino's Pizza has been nudged higher from $290.00 to about $295.89, as analysts balance softer revenue growth assumptions with slightly stronger profit margins and a steady future P/E outlook, following a mix of recent downgrades and trimmed targets across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Domino's Pizza points to a more cautious tone from several firms, even as the average price target edges higher.Seeking Alpha • Aug 14
Domino's Pizza: Franchise Performance Divergence Is Starting To Bite (Downgrade)
Summary Domino’s Pizza faces mounting headwinds, prompting my downgrade to a "Sell" rating despite a modest post-Q2 rebound. Franchisee performance, especially in the United States, is deteriorating and slowing new restaurant growth, threatening DPZ’s core business model. DPZ contends with intense industry competition and a discount-driven environment, pressuring pricing and contributing to disappointing comps. High leverage at 4.3x trailing EBITDA severely limits DPZ’s financial flexibility, with no valuation advantage to offset operational risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 11
DPZ: Future Returns Will Rely On Promotions Execution Through Leadership Change
Domino's Pizza price target is updated slightly lower to about $380 from roughly $392 as analysts factor in softer U.S. same-store sales expectations, ongoing promotional activity, CEO transition questions, and a mix of reduced revenue growth assumptions with steady profitability and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Domino's Pizza presents a mixed picture, with price targets moving in both directions and ratings clustered around Hold, Equal Weight, Neutral, Sector Perform and Outperform.내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 28
DPZ: Franchise Profitability And Menu Changes Will Drive Future Rebound
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Domino's Pizza to about $487 from roughly $515 as they consider softer revenue growth and slightly lower profit margins. At the same time, they highlight franchisee profitability, menu changes, and the leadership transition as key factors to monitor.내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 14
DPZ: Future Returns Will Rely On Digital Scale Through Leadership Change
Analysts have trimmed Domino's Pizza fair value estimate by about $12 to $392.46, reflecting lower price targets and updated models that factor in softer traffic trends, pressure on low income consumers, competitive intensity, and uncertainty around the CEO transition. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Domino's Pizza reflects a mixed backdrop, with most firms trimming price targets while still differing on how attractive the stock looks at current levels.내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 30
DPZ: CEO Succession And Slowing Sales Will Test Execution And Market Position
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Domino's Pizza to about $290 from roughly $353, citing reduced revenue growth expectations, questions around CEO succession, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple, partly offset by slightly higher margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research on Domino's Pizza has turned more cautious, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets and flagging risks tied to the CEO transition, execution, and growth visibility.내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 16
DPZ: Future Share Gains Will Rely On Digital Cash-Flow Strength
Analysts have reduced their average price target on Domino's Pizza by a double digit dollar amount, with cuts ranging from about $10 to $95 as they reassess the stock using slightly higher discount rates and updated P/E assumptions following a broad wave of Street downgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Domino's Pizza clusters around lower price targets and more conservative P/E assumptions, but analysts are not aligned on what that should mean for Domino's Pizza stock.내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 02
DPZ: Future Share Gains Will Rely On Robust Cash Returns
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Domino's Pizza stock from about $463.81 to $404.31, as a group of firms lowered price targets and cited more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, most firms trimmed their Domino's Pizza price targets, pointing to a mix of valuation reset and execution questions rather than a single new issue.새로운 내러티브 • May 02
Carryout Expansion And Tech Upgrades Will Support Long Term Strength
Catalysts About Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza operates a global quick service pizza network focused on delivery and carryout through a largely franchised store base and vertically integrated supply chain. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
내러티브 업데이트 • May 01
Q1 - 2026
Updated with most recent quarterly report.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 23
DPZ: Franchise Cash Returns Will Support Share Gains In A Challenged Category
Narrative Update: Domino's Pizza The analyst price target for Domino's Pizza has been revised slightly lower to reflect a modestly reduced fair value estimate of about $464 from roughly $476. Analysts cite tempered revenue growth assumptions, a marginally higher discount rate, and updated sector multiples following a series of recent target cuts across the Street.새로운 내러티브 • Apr 16
Carryout Mix Shifts And Tech Costs Will Shape Future Performance But Long-Term Targets Remain Intact
Catalysts About Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza operates a global quick service pizza chain focused on delivery and carryout through a predominantly franchised store base. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 09
DPZ: Franchise Cash Returns Will Offset Category Pressures Into 2026
The analyst price target for Domino's Pizza has been trimmed by a few dollars to reflect slightly lower fair value and revenue growth assumptions, as well as a modestly higher discount rate, with recent research pointing to a challenged U.S. pizza category and mixed post earnings takes on long term same store sales guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Domino's Pizza reflects a mixed setup, with several firms trimming price targets following Q4 results and updated guidance, while others highlight ongoing execution strengths and a franchise model they view as resilient.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 25
DPZ: Franchise Model And Cash Returns Will Underpin Earnings Resilience Into 2026
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Domino's Pizza has shifted slightly lower by a few dollars, reflecting updated views on tax rate assumptions, earnings forecasts, and a mix of lowered and raised targets across firms following the latest Q4 results and 2026 outlooks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Domino's Pizza reflects a mix of optimism on the business model and caution around 2026 guidance and sector headwinds.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 10
DPZ: Cash Returns And Franchise Model Will Support Earnings Resilience Through 2026
Our updated narrative on Domino's Pizza reflects a small trim in the fair value estimate to $478.58 from $480.90, as analysts adjust price targets across the $370 to $545 range on mixed readthroughs from recent earnings, tax rate changes, and updated long term EPS and valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Domino's Pizza shows a wide range of views on both valuation and execution, with price targets spanning from $370 to $545 and ratings running from Underweight to Overweight.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 24
DPZ: International Expansion And Cash Returns Will Support Earnings Resilience Through 2026
Narrative Update Our updated analyst price framework for Domino's Pizza now points to a slightly lower implied value of about $481 per share. This reflects a modest adjustment to long term revenue growth assumptions and a small increase in the forward P/E multiple as analysts weigh recent target cuts, cautious 2026 same store sales commentary and ongoing sector headwinds against still supportive long term earnings expectations.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 10
DPZ: International Expansion And Execution Improvements Will Support Earnings Resilience Despite 2026 Headwinds
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Domino's Pizza by about US$2 to reflect slightly higher discount rate assumptions, modestly softer revenue growth expectations, and a marginally lower future P/E multiple, even as profit margin estimates remain broadly steady. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Domino's Pizza reflects a mix of optimism about long term growth drivers and caution on near term industry headwinds, which is feeding through to a cluster of price target cuts and a few more supportive views.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 25
DPZ: International Expansion And Execution Improvements Will Support Resilient Earnings Power Into 2026
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Domino's Pizza slightly lower, trimming fair value by about US$3.52 to reflect modestly softer revenue growth assumptions, a slightly lower future P/E and sector wide target cuts, even as margin expectations edge higher. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Domino's Pizza reflects a mix of optimism about the brand's long term potential and caution around nearer term industry pressures.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 10
DPZ: Menu And Delivery Levers Will Support Resilient Performance Into 2026
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed the price target on Domino's Pizza by about $5, reflecting slightly lower fair value estimates tied to a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer long term assumptions for revenue growth and profit margin. They continue to highlight both industry headwinds into 2026 and company specific levers around value, menu initiatives and third party partnerships.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 15
DPZ: Same Store Sales Levers Will Support Resilient Performance Into 2026
Analysts have modestly trimmed their blended price target on Domino's Pizza to about $497 per share, weighing evidence of resilient same-store sales growth drivers and menu innovation against choppy near term demand trends and lingering concerns over international expansion and industry wide softness. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a divided but generally constructive view on Domino's, with bullish analysts emphasizing the durability of same store sales levers and cautious analysts focusing on near term macro and execution risks.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 27
DPZ: Same-Store Sales Momentum And Menu Expansion Will Drive Performance Into 2026
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Domino's Pizza by approximately $2 to around $497. They cited mixed near-term sales trends, while expressing continued confidence in management's strategic initiatives and long-term growth levers.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 11
DPZ: Same-Store Sales Exceed Estimates And New Menu Additions Will Sustain Momentum
Domino's Pizza's fair value estimate was modestly reduced by analysts to $498.26, reflecting cautious optimism due to mixed sector trends and ongoing menu innovation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Domino's Pizza reflects a balance between optimism for the company's growth initiatives and caution regarding market headwinds, resulting in a modest adjustment of price targets across major firms.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 27
Digital Partnerships And Menu Expansion Will Drive Shareholder Value Through 2026
Domino's Pizza's analyst fair value target has been modestly reduced by about $2 to $500. Analysts cite ongoing sector-wide softness and near-term sales uncertainties, while also expressing continued confidence in the company's long-term sales drivers and innovation efforts.분석 기사 • Oct 18
Domino's Pizza, Inc. (NASDAQ:DPZ) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year
It's been a good week for Domino's Pizza, Inc. ( NASDAQ:DPZ ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 13
DoorDash Integration And Digital Platforms Will Expand Global Reach
Analysts have lowered their price target for Domino's Pizza, reducing fair value expectations by approximately $7 to $502. They cite cautious views on demand trends and ongoing growth challenges.Seeking Alpha • Mar 30
Domino's Pizza: This Pizza Giant Is Well-Positioned, But Beware Of The Technicals
Summary Domino’s Pizza, Inc. shows strong topline growth and solid liquidity, outperforming competitors despite inflation. High concentration on franchising supports consistent revenue and limits cost sensitivity, but debt management remains a concern with high net debt/EBITDA and upcoming maturities. Despite the seemingly high price, the stock remains reasonable with a slight upside potential relative to its P/E. Technical indicators show high volatility; holding DPZ is recommended until the sustainability of the recent rally is confirmed. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 05
Domino's Pizza: Weaker U.S. Trends Persist As Inflation Stacks On Higher Costs
Summary Shares of Domino’s have jumped ~15% this year, with investors cheering the recent Q4 earnings print despite numerous risks popping up. Domino’s is facing weak same-store sales, particularly in the U.S. where tough macro conditions are reducing delivery orders from lower-income consumers. Globally, the company is already quite saturated with over 21,000 locations. Its plans to add ~1k new stores per year, predominately overseas, may cannibalize existing locations. The company recently boosted its dividend by ~15%, despite the fact that its shareholder returns in FY24 already exceeded its free cash flow. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 24
Domino's Pizza: Tasty Gains, Juicy Dividend Growth
Summary Domino's Pizza, Inc. is a quality long-term hold; the author recommended buying under $400 and now suggests running a house position for future gains and dividend growth. Sales rose 2.9% in Q4 2024, with positive same-store sales and store count growth, despite mixed international performance and U.S. competition. Margins, earnings, and cash flow improved; net income up 7.7%, and free cash flow increased to $512 million in 2024, with ongoing share repurchases. Forecasts for 2025 are provided, and more opportunities for trading DPZ stock are presented. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,506 | 712 | 743 | 852 | 14 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,306 | 674 | 723 | 820 | 28 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,182 | 633 | 645 | 789 | 27 |
| 6/14/2026 | 5,028 | 597 | 653 | 778 | N/A |
| 3/22/2026 | 4,979 | 592 | 654 | 775 | N/A |
| 12/28/2025 | 4,940 | 602 | 672 | 792 | N/A |
| 9/7/2025 | 4,848 | 590 | 632 | 730 | N/A |
| 6/15/2025 | 4,781 | 597 | 613 | 718 | N/A |
| 3/23/2025 | 4,734 | 608 | 573 | 681 | N/A |
| 12/29/2024 | 4,706 | 584 | 512 | 625 | N/A |
| 9/8/2024 | 4,665 | 572 | 499 | 616 | N/A |
| 6/16/2024 | 4,613 | 573 | 512 | 623 | N/A |
| 3/24/2024 | 4,540 | 540 | 493 | 600 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,479 | 519 | 485 | 591 | N/A |
| 9/10/2023 | 4,469 | 520 | 471 | 567 | N/A |
| 6/18/2023 | 4,510 | 473 | 472 | 564 | N/A |
| 3/26/2023 | 4,550 | 466 | 417 | 511 | N/A |
| 1/1/2023 | 4,537 | 452 | 388 | 475 | N/A |
| 9/11/2022 | 4,488 | 450 | 406 | 500 | N/A |
| 6/19/2022 | 4,418 | 470 | 419 | 512 | N/A |
| 3/27/2022 | 4,385 | 484 | 490 | 580 | N/A |
| 1/2/2022 | 4,357 | 510 | 560 | 654 | N/A |
| 9/12/2021 | 4,371 | 507 | 619 | 707 | N/A |
| 6/20/2021 | 4,340 | 485 | 588 | 676 | N/A |
| 3/28/2021 | 4,228 | 487 | 562 | 650 | N/A |
| 1/3/2021 | 4,117 | 491 | 504 | 593 | N/A |
| 9/6/2020 | 3,911 | 469 | 449 | 543 | N/A |
| 6/14/2020 | 3,764 | 456 | 414 | 507 | N/A |
| 3/22/2020 | 3,656 | 430 | N/A | 495 | N/A |
| 12/29/2019 | 3,619 | 401 | N/A | 497 | N/A |
| 9/8/2019 | 3,551 | 383 | N/A | 456 | N/A |
| 6/16/2019 | 3,516 | 381 | N/A | 441 | N/A |
| 3/24/2019 | 3,483 | 366 | N/A | 407 | N/A |
| 12/30/2018 | 3,433 | 362 | N/A | 394 | N/A |
| 9/9/2018 | 3,242 | 344 | N/A | 376 | N/A |
| 6/17/2018 | 3,100 | 316 | N/A | 383 | N/A |
| 3/25/2018 | 2,949 | 304 | N/A | 348 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,788 | 278 | N/A | 341 | N/A |
| 9/10/2017 | 2,716 | 257 | N/A | 353 | N/A |
| 6/18/2017 | 2,639 | 248 | N/A | 331 | N/A |
| 3/26/2017 | 2,558 | 232 | N/A | 347 | N/A |
| 1/1/2017 | 2,473 | 215 | N/A | 292 | N/A |
| 9/11/2016 | 2,394 | 205 | N/A | 287 | N/A |
| 6/19/2016 | 2,312 | 195 | N/A | 258 | N/A |
| 3/27/2016 | 2,254 | 192 | N/A | 224 | N/A |
| 1/3/2016 | 2,217 | 193 | N/A | 292 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: DPZ 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(6%)이 saving rate(3.7%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: DPZ 의 연간 수익(6%)이 US 시장(17.2%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: DPZ 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.
수익 대 시장: DPZ 의 수익(연간 3.3%)이 US 시장(연간 13.4%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: DPZ 의 수익(연간 3.3%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: DPZ의 자본 수익률이 3년 후 높을 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에 데이터가 부족합니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/09/12 12:08 |
| 종가 | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/06/14 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/28 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델의 세부 정보는 당사의 GitHub 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 사용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공하고 있습니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Domino's Pizza, Inc.는 51명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 28명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |