Mattel 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 1/6
Mattel (는) 각각 연간 0.8% 및 3.7% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 5% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 22.8% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
0.8%
이익 성장률
4.95%
EPS 성장률
| Leisure 이익 성장 | 37.7% |
| 매출 성장률 | 3.7% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 22.82% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 19 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Apr 30
Mattel: Lackluster Execution Limits Upside (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Mattel is downgraded to 'hold' after persistent underperformance, margin pressures, and disappointing execution despite a surprise Q1 profit. Tariff headwinds are fading, but oil-driven cost inflation and continued weakness in the toddler segment offset potential margin recovery for MAT. MAT's Q1 benefited from a one-time accounting gain; underlying free cash flow guidance is cut to $300–375 million, with a 7% free cash flow yield. Buybacks accelerated on share weakness, but with limited growth prospects and downside risk to margin guidance, I see no near-term catalyst for MAT shares. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 28
MAT: 2026 Spending And Tariff Relief Will Shape Content Option Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets for Mattel by a few dollars, reflecting a mix of cautious views around 2026 investment spending and recent target cuts, along with supportive commentary on potential EPS tailwinds from lower tariffs, new content and entertainment optionality. Analyst Commentary Street research around Mattel has become more mixed, with several firms cutting price targets or shifting to a more cautious stance even as others see upside tied to content, entertainment options and potential tariff related EPS support.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 14
MAT: Content And Entertainment Expansion Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Outlook
Mattel's updated analyst price target shows a modest adjustment around $27, as analysts balance recent target cuts with expectations that investments for 2026, potential tariff tailwinds, and content and entertainment initiatives could influence earnings power over time. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Mattel shows a mix of target cuts and fresh initiations, with some firms highlighting potential earnings support from 2026 investment spending, lower tariffs, and new content and entertainment efforts.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 31
MAT: 2026 Investment Spend And Tariff Relief Will Shape Balanced Upside
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price expectations for Mattel, with recent targets ranging from $17 to $30, as they weigh a 2026 investment year against potential catalysts in content, entertainment tie ins, and possible tariff relief. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Mattel reflects a mix of optimism around long term growth initiatives and caution around near term execution and spending plans, especially as 2026 is framed as an investment year.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 16
MAT: Content And Gaming Expansion Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Outlook
The analyst price target for Mattel has shifted from a fair value estimate of $29 to about $27.16, as analysts weigh higher assumed revenue growth and a slightly richer future P/E against lower projected profit margins, a modestly higher discount rate, and a recent mix of cautious and supportive research views around 2026 investment spending, content opportunities, and tariff related EPS tailwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Mattel reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several Bullish analysts pointing to potential upside tied to content, new growth initiatives, and possible tariff related EPS benefits, while others highlight uncertainties around 2026 investment spending and the consumer backdrop for toys.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 02
MAT: 2026 Execution And Macro Toy Demand Risks Will Limit Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Mattel in a mixed way, with some firms lifting targets toward $18 to $30 on product lineup strength and clearer growth initiatives, while others have trimmed estimates by $4 to $7 and moved to more cautious ratings, reflecting a more balanced view of risk and reward. Analyst Commentary Street research on Mattel has shifted toward a more balanced, and in some cases cautious, stance.분석 기사 • Feb 17
We Think You Can Look Beyond Mattel's (NASDAQ:MAT) Lackluster Earnings
The most recent earnings report from Mattel, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MAT ) was disappointing for shareholders. However, our...내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 16
MAT: 2026 Toy Demand Headwinds And Execution Risks Will Restrain Upside
The analyst price target for Mattel has shifted from $20 to $14, as analysts factor in more cautious assumptions around growth, margins and valuation multiples following a series of recent downgrades and target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Across the Street, recent research on Mattel has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and flagging execution and growth risks that they feel are not fully reflected in the current share price.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 02
MAT: Fair Outlook As 2026 Toy Demand And New Initiatives Shape Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Mattel in mixed fashion, including at least one increase to US$30 and one reaffirmed at US$21. This reflects a balance of views that hinges on progress in newer growth initiatives and caution around the toy market outlook into 2026.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 19
MAT: Fair Outlook Balances New Initiatives With Toy Cycle Execution Risks
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Mattel from $17 to $20. They cite a higher assumed future P/E multiple and updated views on revenue growth, while balancing this with a higher discount rate and slightly lower profit margin expectations amid mixed recent rating and price target actions on the stock.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 05
MAT: Expanded Digital And Licensing Platforms Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Outlook
Analysts have slightly raised their price target on Mattel to approximately $29 per share. This reflects modestly lower growth and margin expectations, offset by a higher anticipated future earnings multiple.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 14
MAT: Digital And Licensing Expansion Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Mattel to $29 from $30, citing a higher perceived discount rate and a lower assumed future P/E multiple, which more than offset modestly stronger expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Mattel reiterated its 2025 guidance, expecting constant currency net sales growth of 1% to 3%, signaling steady underlying demand despite market volatility (company guidance).분석 기사 • Aug 01
Analysts Are Updating Their Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results
Last week saw the newest second-quarter earnings release from Mattel, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MAT ), an important milestone in...분석 기사 • Jul 23
Here's Why Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...분석 기사 • Jul 02
Investors Will Want Mattel's (NASDAQ:MAT) Growth In ROCE To Persist
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...분석 기사 • May 21
There's No Escaping Mattel, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAT) Muted Earnings Despite A 34% Share Price Rise
Those holding Mattel, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MAT ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 34% in the last...분석 기사 • Apr 24
Here's Why Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...분석 기사 • Apr 06
Investors Don't See Light At End Of Mattel, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAT) Tunnel
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may...분석 기사 • Mar 18
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Seeking Alpha • Mar 11
Mattel Has Good Long-Term Outlook, But Is A Short-Term Hold
Summary Mattel's stock has been doing well, recently trading near its 52-week high after strong earnings. The company reported strong margins, with adjusted gross margin at 50.8%, up 200 basis points, thanks to efficiency measures and favorable currency-exchange effects. MAT has exciting prospects for the long term, most notably to me, being the company's further push into movies and television on the heels of the 'Barbie' success. There is a lot of volatility in the marketplace with tariff uncertainty, and unlike competitor Hasbro, Mattel does not have a dividend yield. For now, I rate the stock as a 'Hold', but it could become a 'Buy' on a significant pullback or compelling strategic progress in entertainment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Jan 13
Is Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Jan 11
Mattel: Diversification Plan Moves Into Manga Comic Book Partnership With TokyoPop
Summary Mattel's move into cult comic phenomenon Japanese manga comics is not yet understood by Mr. Market. Revenue declines are being aggressively addressed with new field for legacy IPs. TOKYOPOP has books that have sold 100m copies. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Dec 11
Mattel, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAT) P/S Is On The Mark
It's not a stretch to say that Mattel, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:MAT ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x right now seems...분석 기사 • Nov 26
Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...Seeking Alpha • Oct 29
Mattel: A Solid IP Treasure Trove Acquisition Candidate Hiding In Plain Sight
Summary Top global toy maker Mattel is a solid little company ripe for an acquisition by one of the content-short techies. Its gross margins and cost controls contribute value that a stagnant revenue line cannot until its TV and film IP value is recognized. We think at $19 it's a strong buy with low risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 6,112 | 457 | 538 | 768 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,945 | 434 | 417 | 634 | 12 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,669 | 483 | 164 | 512 | 12 |
| 3/31/2026 | 5,383 | 499 | 335 | 545 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,348 | 398 | 411 | 593 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 5,228 | 432 | 488 | 659 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,336 | 526 | 530 | 743 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 5,397 | 530 | 582 | 790 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 5,380 | 542 | 598 | 801 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 5,354 | 548 | 688 | 888 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 5,429 | 322 | 826 | 978 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 5,436 | 293 | 964 | 1,112 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 5,441 | 214 | 709 | 870 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 5,222 | 83 | 461 | 638 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 5,059 | 227 | 361 | 542 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 5,208 | 266 | 187 | 380 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 5,435 | 394 | 256 | 443 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,828 | 604 | 303 | 467 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,834 | 1,109 | 147 | 302 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,625 | 1,037 | 226 | 377 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,458 | 903 | 334 | 485 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,289 | 806 | 320 | 472 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5,163 | 322 | 374 | 514 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,869 | 217 | 305 | 424 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,588 | 124 | 167 | 286 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 4,436 | -5 | 130 | 253 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,281 | -246 | -10 | 112 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 4,409 | -243 | 72 | 199 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 4,505 | -219 | N/A | 168 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 4,555 | -204 | N/A | 190 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 4,511 | -268 | N/A | 129 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 4,496 | -398 | N/A | 54 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,515 | -533 | N/A | -27 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,601 | -825 | N/A | -19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 4,724 | -1,434 | N/A | -35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 4,855 | -1,252 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 4,881 | -1,055 | N/A | -28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,105 | -598 | N/A | 186 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,340 | 240 | N/A | 286 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 5,323 | 276 | N/A | 374 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,453 | 312 | N/A | 595 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,622 | 357 | N/A | 626 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 5,618 | 344 | N/A | 735 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,649 | 351 | N/A | 698 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,703 | 366 | N/A | 735 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,697 | 300 | N/A | 811 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 5,926 | 407 | N/A | 727 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: MAT 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(0.8%)이 saving rate(3.5%) 미만입니다.
수익 vs 시장: MAT 의 연간 수익(0.8%)이 US 시장(16.9%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: MAT 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.
수익 대 시장: MAT 의 수익(연간 3.7%)이 US 시장(연간 11.9%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: MAT 의 수익(연간 3.7%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: MAT의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 22.8%로 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/27 12:13 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/27 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
|
| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
|
* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Mattel, Inc.는 32명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 12명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| Felicia Kantor Hendrix | Barclays |
| Alok Patel | Berenberg |