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The GEO Group, Inc.

NYSE:GEO 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$4.1b

  • 회사 개요
    • 가치 평가
    • 미래 성장
    • 과거 실적
    • 재무 건전성
    • 배당
  • 경영진
  • 지분
  • 기타 정보
  • 주식 커뮤니티

GEO Group 과거 순이익 실적

과거 기준 점검 4/6

GEO Group은 연평균 20.9%의 비율로 수입이 증가해 온 반면, Commercial Services 산업은 수입이 7.9% 증가했습니다. 매출은 연평균 3.5%의 비율로 증가했습니다. GEO Group의 자기자본이익률은 19.2%이고 순이익률은 10.3%입니다.

핵심 정보

20.90%

순이익 성장률

16.82%

주당순이익(EPS) 성장률

Commercial Services 산업 성장률8.53%
매출 성장률3.49%
자기자본이익률19.24%
순이익률10.31%
최근 순이익 업데이트30 Jun 2026

최근 과거 실적 업데이트

분석 기사 • Nov 14

GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Last week's profit announcement from The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 18

GEO Group: The Sustainability Of The Growth Surge Is In Doubt

Summary The GEO Group has rallied higher in 2026 with the stock almost doubling in value, but the pace seems to have slowed to a crawl more recently. Growth has surged in 2026, especially in terms of earnings, and GEO could even be undervalued relative to growth if this continues. There is reason to doubt whether GEO will be able to maintain the current rate of growth over the longer term. Growth is likely to stay strong short-term, but beyond that is a question mark, which is why I am neutral on GEO with a hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 22

GEO: ICE Contracts And Asset Strength Will Shape Bullish 2026 Outlook

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for GEO Group by $4 to $37.75, citing higher Street price targets around $40, the recent Q2 outperformance, support from new ICE contracts, and perceived underlying asset value. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on GEO Group has focused on how the Q2 report and new ICE contracts feed into valuation, as well as what the current business mix means for execution risk and future growth potential.
분석 기사 • Aug 09

The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) last week reported its latest second-quarter results, which makes it a good time for...
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내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 08

GEO: Pricing Gains And New ICE Contracts Offset Census And Policy Risks

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for GEO Group from $27.00 to $31.00, citing higher Street price targets near $40 and recent research that points to supportive pricing, mix, and sector demand expectations despite softer census trends. Analyst Commentary on GEO Group Recent Street research on GEO Group has focused on how pricing, mix, and sector demand interact with softer census trends and evolving government policy.
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내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 25

GEO: Facility Acquisitions And Detention Standards Scrutiny Will Shape 2026 Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised the GEO Group fair value estimate from $32.00 to $33.75, citing updated price targets, including a move to $40.00, and increased confidence that government facility acquisition plans and a more active back half of 2026 could support the stock's outlook. What’s in the News for GEO Group An off duty GEO Group employee operating at the ICE detention center in Aurora, Colorado was charged with assault after a shooting incident involving protesters, with the company placing the employee on unpaid administrative leave and stating it would cooperate with law enforcement investigations, according to recent news reports.
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내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 11

GEO: Government Facility Acquisitions And ICE Detention Exposure Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts raised their price target on GEO Group stock to $40 from $30, citing updated assumptions that include a higher $40 fair value estimate, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by expectations for an active security services backdrop and ongoing government interest in acquiring private detention facilities. What’s in the News for GEO Group GEO Group was reported by the Washington Post to have asked Immigration and Customs Enforcement to revise federal detention standards, including language on compliance with state and local laws and the legal status of detainees working in facilities, amid ongoing minimum wage related lawsuits in multiple states.
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내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 26

GEO: Government Facility Acquisitions And Detention Policy Scrutiny Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have raised the GEO Group fair value estimate from $29.50 to $32.00, citing recent Street research that lifts the broader price target range toward $40 and points to continued confidence in the government's initiative to acquire private detention facilities. What’s in the News for GEO Group GEO Group reportedly asked U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to amend federal detention standards, including removing certain language about following state and local laws on detainee treatment and clarifying that detainees are not employees of the facilities where they work, according to reporting cited from the Washington Post.
분석 기사 • Jun 20

GEO Group (GEO) Stock Near Fair Value After ICE Detention Standards Change

Why GEO Group Stock Is Back in Focus After ICE Detention Standard Changes GEO Group (GEO) is drawing attention after reports that U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement updated detention center standards in ways that reportedly reflect changes the company requested regarding language on detainee treatment. This development goes to the heart of GEO Group’s role as a government services contractor in secure facilities and immigrant detention, raising fresh questions about operational...
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내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 11

GEO: ICE Detention Exposure And Political Ties Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price target on GEO Group to $33.00, reflecting updated views on discount rate assumptions, revenue growth expectations, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Watchdog group alleges GEO Group illegally directed US$250,000 to a political network tied to Rep.
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내러티브 업데이트 • May 28

GEO: ICE Detention Demand And Political Scrutiny Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price target for GEO Group to $29.50, with the change primarily reflecting minor updates to the discount rate and expected future P/E, rather than any major shift in the underlying fair value assumptions. What's in the News The House Oversight Committee opened an inquiry into Corey Lewandowski that mentions GEO Group in related reporting (NBC News).
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내러티브 업데이트 • May 13

GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Political Scrutiny Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their GEO Group price targets, with recent cuts such as a move to $28 from $35, mainly citing slower than expected growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research comments have focused on how GEO Group’s updated Q4 results and 2026 guidance feed into both growth expectations and the valuation framework that analysts are using.
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내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 28

GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on GEO Group, with reductions such as from $35 to $28, reflecting slower than anticipated growth following recent Q4 results and 2026 guidance updates. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are trimming price targets on GEO Group, but are still signaling confidence in the company’s long term execution and growth potential despite the slower than anticipated trajectory implied by Q4 results and 2026 guidance.
User avatar
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 13

GEO: Slower Guidance And Leadership Shifts Set Up Future Detention Upside

Analysts have reduced GEO Group's fair value estimate to $27 from $35, reflecting updated expectations for slower growth and lower profit margins following recent guidance. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have moved to lower GEO Group's valuation anchors, pointing to slower growth expectations and pressure on profit margins after the latest quarter and 2026 guidance.
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내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 30

GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Reset Earnings Expectations

Analysts have reduced their price expectations for GEO Group, with recent updates lowering targets to $28. This reflects slower than anticipated growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance.
User avatar
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 16

GEO: ICE Detention Spending Upside Will Drive 2026 Earnings Repricing

Analysts have reduced the fair value estimate for GEO Group from $35.00 to $33.00, citing slower than anticipated growth, as reflected in recent price target cuts and updated earnings assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the recent fair value and price target revisions as a recalibration after updated Q4 results and 2026 guidance, rather than a shift away from a constructive long term view on GEO Group.
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내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 02

GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Buybacks Will Support Path Toward $3b Revenue

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GEO Group to $29.50 from $32.25, citing slower than anticipated growth, as reflected in recent price target cuts and updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has generally aligned with the trimmed fair value estimate, with price targets recalibrated after the company issued Q4 results and 2026 guidance that pointed to slower than previously assumed growth.
User avatar
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 16

GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Leadership Shift Will Shape 2026 Earnings

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GEO Group by $2 to $35, citing updated assumptions for growth, profitability, and a lower future P/E multiple reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the latest target changes as a recalibration rather than a shift in view on GEO Group’s underlying thesis.
User avatar
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 02

GEO: Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Programs Will Underpin 2026 Earnings Profile

Analysts have trimmed their price target on GEO Group to US$37 from US$50, citing revised growth estimates and a softer profit outlook, even as they continue to highlight potential revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring programs. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the lower US$37 price target as a reset rather than a reversal in their view on GEO Group.
User avatar
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 19

GEO: Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Will Support Path Toward $3B Revenue

Narrative Update Analysts cut their price target on GEO Group by $13 to $37, citing revised estimates that reflect slower than expected growth toward the projected $3b+ in annualized revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring. They still expressed a positive view on all business segments, including the Intensive Supervision Appearance Program opportunity.
User avatar
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 05

GEO: Upcoming Monitoring Contracts Will Drive Path Toward $3B Annualized Revenue

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on GEO Group, trimming expectations by approximately $13 per share to reflect slower than expected growth. They are still emphasizing long term revenue potential from upcoming contracts and monitoring programs.
User avatar
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 21

GEO Will Benefit From Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Expansion By 2026

Analysts have reduced their price target on GEO Group to $37.00 from $50.00, citing slower than previously expected revenue growth and profitability, despite continued optimism about the company’s long term contract and monitoring opportunities. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts emphasize that the revised $37.00 price target still implies meaningful upside from current trading levels, arguing that the market has not fully reflected GEO Group’s multi year contract pipeline and expanding monitoring footprint in its valuation.
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내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 07

GEO: Upcoming Monitoring And Contract Wins Will Drive Revenue Expansion By 2026

Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on GEO Group, reflecting a recalibration toward slower near term growth. They continue to highlight multi year contract wins and monitoring opportunities that could support the path to more than $3 billion in annualized revenue and underpin an updated fair value estimate of approximately $32.25 per share.
User avatar
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 23

GEO: Upcoming Contracts Will Significantly Boost Annual Revenue By 2026

Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $34.25 to $32.25. They cite revised estimates that reflect slower-than-expected growth, although there remains continued optimism around new contract opportunities and segment performance.
분석 기사 • Nov 14

GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Last week's profit announcement from The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline...
User avatar
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 08

GEO: New Contracts Will Drive Annualized Revenue Past $3 Billion

Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $39 to $34.25 per share, citing slower-than-expected revenue growth and profit margins based on recent research updates. However, they remain optimistic about the company's long-term opportunities.
User avatar
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 04

Federal Funding Will Expand ICE Facility Activations

Analyst sentiment on GEO Group is mixed, with bulls citing favorable immigration policy momentum and likely funding increases while bears flag slower growth in alternatives to detention, resulting in the consensus price target holding steady at $39.00. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts expect significant demand tailwinds for GEO Group due to major U.S. immigration policy proposals, including anticipated funding increases for detention and monitoring services.
분석 기사 • Aug 08

Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) just released its second-quarter report and things are looking bullish. It was overall...
분석 기사 • Jul 10

GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
분석 기사 • Jun 22

Investors Will Want GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Growth In ROCE To Persist

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
분석 기사 • May 14

Investors Can Find Comfort In GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Earnings Quality

The GEO Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GEO ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. Despite the soft profit...
분석 기사 • Apr 27

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

The GEO Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GEO ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x may not look like an appealing investment...
분석 기사 • Mar 22

GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 21

The GEO Group: The Stock Has Re-Priced And No Longer Offers Attractive Risk/Reward

Summary GEO Group's EBITDA declined in 2024, and missed my expectations. Refinancing in April 2024 lowered interest expenses but increased share count by 15%, diluting stock value. The market cap is $3.6 billion with an EV/EBITDA ratio over 11x, making the stock overvalued compared to my initial target. The stock no longer offers favorable risk/reward, as it missed EBITDA expectations and has a higher share count. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

매출 및 비용 세부 내역

GEO Group가 돈을 벌고 사용하는 방법. 최근 발표된 LTM 실적 기준.


순이익 및 매출 추이

NYSE:GEO 매출, 비용 및 순이익 (USD Millions)
날짜매출순이익일반관리비연구개발비
30 Jun 262,8272922460
31 Mar 262,7322732370
31 Dec 252,6322542340
30 Sep 252,5322372350
30 Jun 252,452902220
31 Mar 252,423272180
31 Dec 242,424302130
30 Sep 242,424362040
30 Jun 242,424302040
31 Mar 242,411891940
31 Dec 232,413891910
30 Sep 232,4261031880
30 Jun 232,4391141910
31 Mar 232,4341341990
31 Dec 222,3771421970
30 Sep 222,314651990
30 Jun 222,254621990
31 Mar 222,231531970
31 Dec 212,257702040
30 Sep 212,2771261940
30 Jun 212,2991361900
31 Mar 212,3211371880
31 Dec 202,3501131930
30 Sep 202,3941391900
30 Jun 202,4461461920
31 Mar 202,4721511930
31 Dec 192,4781671860
30 Sep 192,4561621900
30 Jun 192,4081551890
31 Mar 192,3771511890
31 Dec 182,3311451850
30 Sep 182,3011481820
30 Jun 182,2841471790
31 Mar 182,2781411700
31 Dec 172,2631461900
30 Sep 172,2611591660
30 Jun 172,2491651600
31 Mar 172,2201571570
31 Dec 162,1791491490
30 Sep 162,1131431450
30 Jun 162,0291381410
31 Mar 161,9261431360
31 Dec 151,8431391370
30 Sep 151,7711331280

양질의 수익: GEO는 $184.3M 규모의 큰 일회성 이익이 있어 30th June, 2026까지 지난 12개월 재무 결과에 영향을 미쳤습니다.

이익 마진 증가: GEO의 현재 순 이익률 (10.3%)은 지난해 (3.7%)보다 높습니다.


잉여현금흐름 대비 순이익 분석


과거 순이익 성장 분석

수익추이: GEO의 수익은 지난 5년 동안 연평균 20.9%로 크게 증가했습니다.

성장 가속화: 지난 1년간 GEO 의 수익 증가율(225%)은 연간 평균(20.9%)을 초과합니다.

수익 대 산업: GEO의 지난 1년 수익 증가율(225%)은 Commercial Services 업계의 12.7%를 상회했습니다.


자기자본이익률

높은 ROE: GEO의 자본 수익률(19.2%)은 낮음으로 평가됩니다.


총자산이익률


투하자본수익률


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기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/09/20 19:39
종가2026/09/18 00:00
수익2026/06/30
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

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Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

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분석가 소스

The GEO Group, Inc.는 14명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 4명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Manav PatnaikBarclays
Ryan MelikerCanaccord Genuity
Tan WeiDeutsche Bank

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