BlackSky Technology 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 5/6
BlackSky Technology은 연간 수입과 매출이 각각 70.2%와 25% 증가할 것으로 예상되고 EPS는 연간 72.2%만큼 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
70.2%
이익 성장률
72.23%
EPS 성장률
| Professional Services 이익 성장 | 15.1% |
| 매출 성장률 | 25.0% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | n/a |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 13 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 10
BlackSky: Another Lackluster Quarter, Shares Look Dramatically Overvalued
Summary BlackSky Technology reported a disappointing Q1, with revenues down 29.5% year-over-year and EPS badly missing expectations. BKSY raised full-year midpoint revenue guidance to $140 million, implying 31% growth, but so far that optimism isn't reflected in results. The stock trades at 16x EV/Sales despite stagnant revenues, leaving valuation highly vulnerable if sector momentum fades or the company misses guidance. Even if the company hits its ambitious full-year guide, shares still appear to be overvalued. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • May 04
BKSY: Overvaluation Risk Will Hinge On Domestic Volume Recovery Through 2026
Analysts have raised their average price target on BlackSky stock to around $27, up from about $23. They cited stronger Q4 execution, steady international demand and potential benefits from growing interest in low cost, scalable defense and surveillance solutions.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 20
BKSY: Defense Demand And Gen 3 Ramp Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have nudged the average BlackSky Technology price target higher by $4 to $27, pointing to stronger Q4 execution, resilient international demand, and a view that current outlooks still include some conservatism around domestic volume recovery and the Gen-3 constellation ramp. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a constructive tone around BlackSky Technology, with several bullish analysts revisiting their valuation work following the latest Q4 and full-year updates.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 05
BKSY: Rising Defense And Counter Drone Demand Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on BlackSky Technology to $27, citing stronger Q4 execution, resilient international demand, and a supportive 2026 outlook, along with ongoing interest in the company as a secondary play on growing defense and counter drone needs. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are pointing to stronger Q4 execution, expanding international demand, and progress on the Gen 3 constellation as key reasons for their more constructive stance on BlackSky Technology.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 21
BKSY: International Defense Demand And 2026 Guidance Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts now estimate BlackSky’s fair value at approximately $27.63 per share, up from about $27.29, citing recent price target revisions in the $23 to $27 range and continued interest in its position as a secondary beneficiary of evolving defense and intelligence demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around BlackSky focus on how the company is executing against demand for defense and intelligence data, how that execution lines up with current valuation targets, and what could support or pressure those targets over the next few years.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 07
BKSY: Rising Defense Demand And Gen 3 Rollout Will Drive Long Term Upside
Narrative Update: BlackSky Technology The updated analyst price target for BlackSky Technology reflects a modest fair value adjustment, alongside higher projected profit margins and a lower, though still very large, forward P/E multiple of about 132x. Analysts point to solid Q4 execution, ongoing international demand, and potential benefits from rising interest in lower cost defense and intelligence solutions.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 21
BKSY: New Gen 3 Defense Contracts Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target framework for BlackSky Technology, reflecting small parameter updates to the discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple. Together, these changes point to a slightly different risk and return balance around the current fair value estimate of about $40.08 per share.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 07
BKSY: New Equity Offering And Gen 3 Rollout Will Restrain Returns
Analysts have reiterated a fair value estimate of $20.00 for BlackSky Technology, citing slightly adjusted assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that together fine tune, rather than overhaul, their outlook on the stock. What's in the News BlackSky secured multiple Gen-3 Assured services contracts with a new international defense customer, described as totaling seven figures and focused on time sensitive tactical ISR needs and space based monitoring integrated into existing intelligence workflows (Key Developments).분석 기사 • Jan 28
BlackSky Technology Inc.'s (NYSE:BKSY) 39% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
BlackSky Technology Inc. ( NYSE:BKSY ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 39% after a shaky period...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 23
BKSY: Gradual Gen 3 Rollout Will Pressure Forward Returns
Narrative Update Overview Analysts now place BlackSky Technology's fair value at US$20.00, reduced from US$24.00. They cite updated revenue and EBITDA estimates that reflect a more gradual Gen-3 constellation rollout and ongoing budget uncertainty.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 09
BKSY: Gradual Gen 3 Rollout Will Support Long Term Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on BlackSky Technology to US$20 from US$24, citing revised expectations for a more gradual Gen-3 constellation rollout and continued budget uncertainty, which also leads them to lower revenue and adjusted EBITDA estimates for 2026 and 2027. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around BlackSky reflects a mix of caution on timing and continued interest in the long term potential of the business.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 26
BKSY: Future Gen 3 Rollout Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on BlackSky Technology, trimming fair value estimates by about $1.25 per share to approximately $40.59. They are factoring in a slower Gen 3 constellation rollout and ongoing budget uncertainty, which temper near term revenue and EBITDA expectations.분석 기사 • Dec 14
BlackSky Technology Inc.'s (NYSE:BKSY) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 38% Share Price Bounce
BlackSky Technology Inc. ( NYSE:BKSY ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 38% in...내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 12
BKSY: Future Contract Wins Will Drive Confidence In Long Term Upside
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on BlackSky Technology to about $41.84 per share, down from $31.00, citing more conservative revenue and EBITDA expectations tied to a slower Gen-3 constellation rollout and ongoing budget uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge the trimmed price target and reduced forward estimates but continue to see long term strategic value in BlackSky's differentiated real time geospatial intelligence platform.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 24
Gen-3 Satellite Advancements Will Drive International Expansion And Defense Opportunities
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for BlackSky Technology to $27.29 per share, citing modest adjustments to the discount rate and profit margin projections. They have maintained an optimistic outlook on revenue growth.분석 기사 • Oct 18
BlackSky Technology Inc. (NYSE:BKSY) Looks Just Right With A 27% Price Jump
BlackSky Technology Inc. ( NYSE:BKSY ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period...내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 10
Gen-3 Satellite And Spectra Analytics Will Expand International Markets
Analysts have raised their price target for BlackSky Technology from $25.29 to $27.29, citing strong year-to-date performance and a shift toward a more balanced risk/reward outlook, even with recent valuation concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates have provided a nuanced view on BlackSky Technology following its substantial year-to-date rally.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 13
Gen-3 Satellite And Spectra Analytics Will Expand International Markets
Driven by major contract wins, strong government demand, and clear technology differentiation—although tempered by valuation concerns after significant share price gains—analysts have raised BlackSky Technology’s consensus price target modestly from $24.38 to $25.29. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight BlackSky's selection for the $200M Luno B contract and the $1.02B EOCL contract as key drivers of future revenue and market validation.분석 기사 • Aug 19
BlackSky Technology Inc.'s (NYSE:BKSY) Stock Retreats 26% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
NYSE:BKSY 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore BlackSky Technology's Fair Values from the Community and select...분석 기사 • Jul 04
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By BlackSky Technology Inc.'s (NYSE:BKSY) 90% Share Price Surge
BlackSky Technology Inc. ( NYSE:BKSY ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 90% gain in the last month...분석 기사 • May 06
Market Participants Recognise BlackSky Technology Inc.'s (NYSE:BKSY) Revenues Pushing Shares 27% Higher
Those holding BlackSky Technology Inc. ( NYSE:BKSY ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in...
새로운 내러티브 • Mar 30
Gen-3 Satellite Rollout Will Expand Global Constellation
The Gen-3 satellite launch and expanded government contracts drive demand, revenue, and future growth, enhancing BlackSky's competitive advantage.Seeking Alpha • Mar 25
BlackSky: Strong Growth And Improving Margins
Summary BlackSky has successfully launched its first Gen-3 satellite, which is now providing high-resolution imagery. BlackSky also continues to have considerable commercial success, with the company's backlog providing support for expected strong growth in 2025. BlackSky's margins continue to improve with scale, although CapEx remains elevated, and an accounting change will weigh on margins in the near-term. BlackSky's valuation appears low given current growth expectations and the fact the company should transition to profitability over the next 1–2 years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Mar 11
With A 44% Price Drop For BlackSky Technology Inc. (NYSE:BKSY) You'll Still Get What You Pay For
BlackSky Technology Inc. ( NYSE:BKSY ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough...분석 기사 • Mar 09
US$18.57 - That's What Analysts Think BlackSky Technology Inc. (NYSE:BKSY) Is Worth After These Results
BlackSky Technology Inc. ( NYSE:BKSY ) just released its latest yearly report and things are not looking great...Seeking Alpha • Feb 11
BlackSky Technology: Still Light Years From GAAP Profitability
Summary The space sector is booming, and traders are taking a look at smaller-capitalization space names like BlackSky Technology Inc. BlackSky's focus on geospatial intelligence is interesting, but commercial adoption has remained fairly modest. Despite improved cost management, BlackSky is still struggling to reach profitability, and it has to keep spending significant sums on capital expenditures. Given the recent BKSY stock rally and weak quarterly earnings results, it's prudent to wait for a potentially cheaper entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Jan 25
BlackSky Technology Inc. (NYSE:BKSY) Looks Just Right With A 36% Price Jump
Despite an already strong run, BlackSky Technology Inc. ( NYSE:BKSY ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 36...분석 기사 • Jan 13
Does BlackSky Technology (NYSE:BKSY) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Nov 19
BlackSky: Next-Gen Satellites Bring Opportunities And Risks
Summary BlackSky's Q3 results were weak, which the company attributed to contract timing. As a result, full-year guidance remains unchanged. While Q3 earnings caused BlackSky's stock to drop, its share price has since recovered, creating pressure to perform in the coming quarters. The satellite imagery market is becoming more competitive, particularly as next-gen satellites with higher-resolution, lower latency and hyperspectral capabilities are introduced. BlackSky's valuation is reasonable, but the company will need far greater scale to generate the high margins investors expect. This could be difficult with increasing competition. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Nov 07
BlackSky Technology Inc.'s (NYSE:BKSY) 36% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Those holding BlackSky Technology Inc. ( NYSE:BKSY ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 36% in...Seeking Alpha • Oct 03
BlackSky Technology: Progress Continues
Summary BlackSky Technology Inc. has shown some significant progress since my last article 10 months ago, warranting a fresh evaluation of its investment potential. The company continues to narrow its operating losses as it continues to see solid revenue growth. BlackSky also recently did a reverse stock split, addressed its near/medium term funding needs, and got an upgrade from Oppenheimer. An updated analysis around BlackSky Technology, Inc. follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 243 | 6 | 19 | 60 | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 183 | -23 | -22 | 43 | 8 |
| 12/31/2026 | 138 | -57 | -43 | 17 | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 98 | -87 | -111 | -58 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 107 | -70 | -75 | -28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 102 | -89 | -64 | -21 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 105 | -86 | -22 | 19 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 107 | -54 | -20 | 25 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 102 | -57 | -57 | -6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 107 | -42 | -55 | -6 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 106 | -28 | -50 | -7 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 100 | -52 | -47 | -5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 94 | -54 | -61 | -17 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 78 | -65 | -92 | -21 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 74 | -79 | -99 | -32 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 70 | -72 | -95 | -48 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 65 | -75 | -89 | -44 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 57 | -54 | -64 | -55 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 48 | -87 | -67 | -61 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 41 | -95 | -71 | -56 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 34 | -244 | -55 | -54 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 29 | -260 | -44 | -43 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 26 | -227 | -31 | -31 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 24 | -202 | -25 | -24 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 21 | -48 | -32 | -32 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 14 | -60 | N/A | -26 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: BKSY 은 향후 3년 동안 수익을 낼 것으로 예상되며, 이는 절약률(3.5%)보다 빠른 성장으로 간주됩니다.
수익 vs 시장: BKSY (는) 향후 3년 동안 평균 시장 성장보다 높은 수익을 올릴 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: BKSY 향후 3년 내에 수익을 낼 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: BKSY 의 수익(연간 25%)이 US 시장(연간 11.6%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: BKSY 의 수익(연간 25%)은 연간 20%보다 빠르게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: BKSY의 자본 수익률이 3년 후 높을 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에 데이터가 부족합니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/20 04:24 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
BlackSky Technology Inc.는 10명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 9명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Austin Moeller | Canaccord Genuity |
| Jeffrey Van Rhee | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |
| Xin Yu | Deutsche Bank |