Ferguson Enterprises 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 2/6
Ferguson Enterprises (는) 각각 연간 8.2% 및 6.1% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 9.4% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 32.9% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
8.2%
이익 성장률
9.45%
EPS 성장률
| Trade Distributors 이익 성장 | 13.9% |
| 매출 성장률 | 6.1% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 32.88% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 21 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 28
FERG: Large Project Exposure And Buybacks Will Support Measured Medium Term Progress
Analysts made a modest upward adjustment to the consolidated price target for Ferguson Enterprises, reflecting slightly higher fair value around $276, small tweaks to growth and margin assumptions, and fresh research pointing to ongoing support from non residential exposure, large project work, and updated medium term targets following the recent Q4 update and hybrid analyst day. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ferguson Enterprises centers on refreshed price targets following the latest Q4 results, the hybrid analyst day, and updated medium term growth and margin targets.Seeking Alpha • Apr 15
Ferguson: More Appreciative Of A Long-Term Growth Story
Summary Ferguson Enterprises demonstrates robust long-term growth, driven by organic expansion, strategic M&A, and disciplined capital allocation. Ferguson reported 2025 revenues up 5% to $31.3B and adjusted EPS up 13% to $10.58, with operating margins nearing 10%. 2026 outlook calls for low-to-mid single-digit sales growth and flattish margins, reflecting macro headwinds but continued megatrend tailwinds. Ferguson trades at a premium (24x trailing earnings); shares are fairly valued, but I would buy on dips into the lower $200s. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 14
FERG: Large Project Exposure And Buybacks Will Support Balanced Medium Term Outlook
The updated analyst price target for Ferguson Enterprises edges lower to about $276 from roughly $277, as analysts fine-tune their models around slightly higher discount rates, modestly adjusted revenue growth assumptions, and ongoing support from recent Q4-driven target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research signals a mix of optimism and caution around Ferguson Enterprises, with most Street models adjusting to Q4 results, updated medium term targets, and evolving project pipelines.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 31
FERG: Large Project Exposure And Buybacks Will Support Medium Term Upside
Ferguson Enterprises' updated analyst price target edges higher to $277.18 from $276.55, as analysts factor in slightly lower discount rates, modestly adjusted revenue growth assumptions, a small uptick in profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of higher price targets for Ferguson Enterprises, with analysts reacting to Q4 results, updated medium term targets, and the company’s role in large capital projects.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 17
FERG: Large Project Exposure And Capital Returns Will Drive Medium Term Upside
Analysts have lifted their average price targets on Ferguson into a roughly $252 to $300 range, citing Q4 results, medium term growth and margin targets, and the company's positioning in non residential and large project markets as key supports for the updated outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a broadly constructive stance on Ferguson, with price targets clustered in the low to high $200s and a few reaching $300, as analysts refresh models following the latest Q4 report and management's medium term framework.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 03
FERG: Large Projects And Capital Returns Will Shape Medium Term Risk Reward
Analysts have lifted their consolidated price target on Ferguson from about $261 to roughly $277, citing stronger modeled revenue growth, continued support from large non-residential projects, and updated post Q4 assumptions that include a slightly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of higher price targets for Ferguson, with most analysts reacting to Q4 results, the non residential exposure, and management’s medium term guidance.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 17
FERG: Buybacks And Dividend Policy Will Support Distribution Exposure And Housing Risk
Analysts have nudged their average price targets for Ferguson higher, with recent upward revisions such as $243 to $247 supporting a slightly stronger outlook that leans on distribution exposure and relatively more attractive valuation assumptions, even as they continue to flag housing affordability, policy shifts, and sector volatility as key risks. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting their price targets in both US$ and £ terms, which signals that they see room for the shares to better reflect Ferguson's current valuation assumptions.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 02
FERG: Buybacks And Dividend Policy Will Counter Housing And Policy Uncertainty
Analysts have inched their price targets for Ferguson higher, with recent moves such as RBC Capital lifting its target to US$247 from US$243 and Morgan Stanley increasing its view to £201.00 from £193.00. These revisions reflect updated assumptions on discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E levels.분석 기사 • Jan 23
Does Ferguson Enterprises (NYSE:FERG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 19
FERG: Buybacks And Dividends Will Offset Housing And Nonresidential Market Uncertainty
Analysts have inched their price targets on Ferguson higher, with recent US$11 and £800 increases supported by updated views on fair value, modestly adjusted discount rates, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ferguson Enterprises highlights a mix of optimism on execution and valuation, balanced against caution on housing and broader macro risks.분석 기사 • Jan 06
Should You Think About Buying Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (NYSE:FERG) Now?
Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Ferguson Enterprises Inc. ( NYSE:FERG ). The company's stock...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 05
FERG: Ongoing Buybacks And Dividend Increases Will Support Constructive Long Term Outlook
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Ferguson Enterprises to approximately $259.77, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News From August 1, 2025 to October 31, 2025, Ferguson Enterprises repurchased 901,308 shares, or 0.46% of its share count, for a total of $208.75 million under its ongoing buyback program (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 20
FERG: Future Dividend And Buybacks Will Support Constructive Long Term Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price target on Ferguson Enterprises slightly higher to approximately $260 per share from about $259.60, reflecting modestly higher long term valuation multiples that more than offset slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Raised quarterly dividend to $0.89 per share, a 7% increase year over year, payable February 27, 2026 to shareholders of record on January 2, 2026 (company dividend announcement) Completed a major share repurchase tranche, buying back 901,308 shares between August 1 and October 31, 2025 and totaling 27,680,792 shares, or 13.2% of shares, under the program launched September 28, 2021 (company buyback update) Updated 2025 guidance to target approximately 5% net sales growth, refining prior calendar 2025 outlook of mid single digit growth (company guidance revision) Valuation Changes Fair Value: edged higher from approximately $259.59 to about $259.91 per share, reflecting a minimal upward adjustment in intrinsic valuation.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 06
FERG: Future Cycle Turn And Share Gains Will Support Balanced Outlook
The fair value estimate for Ferguson Enterprises edges higher to approximately $260 per share from about $258, as analysts cite robust non residential driven organic growth, ongoing share gains across key end markets, and resilient margins despite pockets of residential and HVAC volatility. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have broadly lifted their price targets following Ferguson's latest quarterly results, citing better than expected execution in challenging end markets and reinforcing confidence in the company’s long term growth algorithm.분석 기사 • Nov 28
Under The Bonnet, Ferguson Enterprises' (NYSE:FERG) Returns Look Impressive
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 22
FERG: Ongoing Share Gains And Market Stability Will Support Future Performance
Ferguson Enterprises' analyst price target has been raised modestly. Analysts cite strong organic growth in non-residential markets and ongoing share gains, which are offsetting headwinds in residential and HVAC sectors.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 07
FERG: Ongoing Share Gains And Sector Recovery Will Support Steady Performance
Ferguson Enterprises' analyst price target was modestly increased from $255.30 to $257.00, as analysts cited the company's strong organic growth, robust performance in non-residential markets, and continued share gains despite challenges in the residential and HVAC sectors. Analyst Commentary Following Ferguson Enterprises' latest quarterly results, a number of bullish analysts have raised their price targets, citing strong performance in key areas and ongoing share gains.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 24
Organic Share Gains And Non-Residential Strength Will Support Upside Momentum
Ferguson Enterprises' analyst price target has risen from $252.16 to $255.30, reflecting analysts' positive outlook on the company's strong Q4 performance, ongoing share gains, and resilience across end markets despite near-term industry headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a generally optimistic stance on Ferguson Enterprises, as analysts raise their price targets in response to the company’s strong quarterly results and proven ability to gain market share.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 10
HVAC And Waterworks Expansions Will Fuel Future Market Success
Ferguson Enterprises' analyst price target has been raised by approximately $2 to $252. Analysts cite strong Q4 results, share gains across key markets, and the company's resilience despite ongoing headwinds in residential segments.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 26
HVAC And Waterworks Expansions Will Fuel Future Market Success
Analysts have raised Ferguson Enterprises’ price target from $237.53 to $249.89, citing strong non-residential growth, consistent market share gains, and robust Q4 results that boost confidence in forward estimates and margin recovery despite ongoing residential sector headwinds. Analyst Commentary Strong organic growth led by robust performance in non-residential segments and positive pricing/inflation tailwinds, offsetting muted residential sector activity.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 11
HVAC And Waterworks Expansions Will Fuel Future Market Success
Analysts have raised their price target for Ferguson Enterprises to $237.53, reflecting confidence in stable margins, improved organic growth, supportive commodity pricing, and anticipated earnings benefits from U.S. tariffs. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite continued improvement in topline results, with Ferguson achieving 5% organic growth in Q3.분석 기사 • Sep 10
Estimating The Fair Value Of Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (NYSE:FERG)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Ferguson Enterprises fair value estimate is US$254 Current...내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 27
HVAC And Waterworks Expansions Will Fuel Future Market Success
Ferguson Enterprises’ consensus price target saw a modest increase to $235.00 as analysts cited stabilizing prices, supportive commodity trends, early signs of end-market recovery, and potential tariff tailwinds, all underpinned by solid organic growth. Analyst Commentary Continued topline improvement, with 5% organic growth in Q3.분석 기사 • Aug 03
What Does Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s (NYSE:FERG) Share Price Indicate?
Let's talk about the popular Ferguson Enterprises Inc. ( NYSE:FERG ). The company's shares received a lot of attention...분석 기사 • Jul 07
Under The Bonnet, Ferguson Enterprises' (NYSE:FERG) Returns Look Impressive
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world...Seeking Alpha • Mar 13
Ferguson: Construction Headwinds Limit Recovery Potential
Summary Ferguson Enterprises' stock has fallen 21% due to disappointing earnings and economic uncertainty, despite solid free cash flow and capital returns. The company faces margin pressure and subdued construction demand, impacting earnings and leading to lower guidance for operating margins and cap-ex. Ferguson remains cash generative with a strong balance sheet, continuing share buybacks, dividends, and potential for bolt-on acquisitions. Given macro uncertainty and slow recovery expectations, FERG shares are a hold, with a more compelling buy case at or below $150. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 13
Ferguson: Rating Downgrade On Uncertain Near-Term Margin Outlook
Summary Downgrade Ferguson to hold due to disappointing 1Q25 results, with sales in line, but margins significantly compressed by price deflation and rising SG&A costs. The residential demand outlook remains uncertain, with no positive signs from macro indicators like housing starts and existing home sales. FERG's near-term margin performance is at risk, with potential for further compression if revenue does not grow and SG&A costs remain high. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 05
Ferguson Enterprises Is Struggling To Grow
Summary Ferguson Enterprises showed strong growth up to July 2022 but has shown minimal growth in 2023 and 2024. Their competitors in industrial distribution also faced difficult trading conditions in 2023 but have grown their revenue in 2024. The share price of $197.06 and P/E (TTM) of 22.9 (10/31/24) are expensive for a company with no growth. At the current price, there are shares with better prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
새로운 내러티브 • Sep 24
Calculated Expansion In Plumbing And HVAC, Alongside Smart Acquisitions, Fuels Market Leadership And Shareholder Gains
Strategic focus on plumbing and HVAC, alongside optimizing supply chain through automation, positions Ferguson for growth and improved operational efficiency.이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 36,908 | 2,486 | 2,234 | 2,798 | 15 |
| 12/31/2027 | 34,537 | 2,284 | 2,165 | 2,624 | 24 |
| 12/31/2026 | 32,692 | 2,083 | 2,132 | 2,390 | 24 |
| 3/31/2026 | 31,058 | 1,955 | 1,497 | 1,960 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 30,799 | 1,886 | 1,618 | 2,062 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 31,159 | 1,956 | 1,647 | 1,993 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 30,762 | 1,856 | 1,603 | 1,908 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 30,211 | 1,607 | 1,389 | 1,733 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 29,898 | 1,640 | 1,357 | 1,695 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 29,699 | 1,686 | 1,303 | 1,661 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 29,635 | 1,735 | 1,501 | 1,873 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 29,527 | 1,868 | 2,085 | 2,428 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 29,359 | 1,761 | 2,024 | 2,415 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 29,511 | 1,813 | 2,345 | 2,782 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 29,734 | 1,889 | 2,282 | 2,723 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 29,867 | 1,887 | 1,814 | 2,270 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 30,011 | 2,097 | 1,681 | 2,091 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 29,694 | 2,159 | 1,325 | 1,656 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 28,566 | 2,099 | 859 | 1,149 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 27,162 | 2,182 | 1,013 | 1,272 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 25,794 | 2,008 | 1,040 | 1,277 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 24,223 | 1,849 | 944 | 1,179 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 22,792 | 1,630 | 1,141 | 1,382 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 21,249 | 1,224 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 20,356 | 1,110 | 1,544 | 1,808 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 20,366 | 1,062 | 1,585 | 1,865 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 19,940 | 973 | 1,262 | 1,545 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 21,056 | 979 | N/A | 1,563 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 21,533 | 1,020 | N/A | 1,427 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 19,729 | 1,042 | N/A | 1,290 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 21,791 | 1,001 | N/A | 1,093 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 21,572 | 941 | N/A | 896 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 21,162 | 891 | N/A | 966 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 20,752 | 841 | N/A | 1,036 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 20,341 | 967 | N/A | 1,026 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 19,929 | 1,093 | N/A | 1,016 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 19,607 | 1,073 | N/A | 983 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 19,284 | 1,053 | N/A | 950 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 19,065 | 846 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 16,613 | 663 | N/A | 1,077 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 15,866 | 617 | N/A | 1,007 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 16,663 | 629 | N/A | 1,045 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 19,392 | 813 | N/A | 1,054 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 20,877 | 692 | N/A | 1,103 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 20,851 | 502 | N/A | 1,070 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: FERG 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(8.2%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: FERG 의 연간 수익(8.2%)이 US 시장(16.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: FERG 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.
수익 대 시장: FERG 의 수익(연간 6.1%)이 US 시장(연간 11.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: FERG 의 수익(연간 6.1%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: FERG의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 32.9%로 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/21 11:37 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
|
| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
|
* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Ferguson Enterprises Inc.는 41명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 24명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| David Manthey | Baird |
| Paul Daniel Checketts | Barclays |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |