Guizhou Aviation Technical Development (688239) 주식 개요구이저우 항공 기술 개발 유한 회사는 항공 군용 링 단조품을 개발, 제조 및 판매합니다. 자세히 보기688239 펀더멘털 분석스노우플레이크 점수가치 평가2/6미래 성장4/6과거 실적4/6재무 건전성4/6배당1/6강점가격 대비 수익 비율(44.1x)은 Aerospace & Defense 업계 평균(96.7x)보다 낮습니다.수익은 매년 33% 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.지난 1년간 수익이 13.6% 증가했습니다.위험 분석부채는 operating cash flow로 충분히 감당되지 않습니다.모든 위험 점검 보기688239 Community Fair Values Create NarrativeSee what others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.NEW469,747 membersJoin community and earn perksGain real feedbackFrom our editorial team, personally. Not silence.Grow your followingReal investors. The kind who actually invest, not scroll past.Unlock free accessFree premium subscription for consistent and quality authors.Learn moreCreate NarrativeBLINRODA469,747 investors already sharing narrativesYour Fair ValueCN¥Current PriceCN¥46.3036.4% 저평가 내재 할인율Growth estimate overAnnual revenue growth rate5 Yearstime period%/yrDecreaseIncreasePastFuture-41m5b2016201920222025202620282031Revenue CN¥4.7bEarnings CN¥441.6mAdvancedSet Fair ValueView all narrativesGuizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd 경쟁사Changchun UP OptotechLtdSymbol: SZSE:002338Market cap: CN¥10.3bSichuan 6912 Communication TechnologyLtdSymbol: SZSE:301592Market cap: CN¥7.2bTeemsun TechnologyLtdSymbol: SZSE:301571Market cap: CN¥11.6bBeijing Beimo High-tech Frictional MaterialLtdSymbol: SZSE:002985Market cap: CN¥8.3b가격 이력 및 성과Guizhou Aviation Technical Development 주가의 최고가, 최저가 및 변동 요약과거 주가현재 주가CN¥46.3052주 최고가CN¥81.4152주 최저가CN¥34.91베타0.631개월 변동15.81%3개월 변동-30.55%1년 변동20.67%3년 변동0.97%5년 변동-11.43%IPO 이후 변동53.86%최근 뉴스 및 업데이트New Risk • Jul 13New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 9.7% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (19% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (9.7% average weekly change).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 13Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%After last week's 20% share price decline to CN¥46.88, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28x. Average forward P/E is 58x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 9.4% over the past three years.공고 • Jun 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Aug 25, 2026Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Aug 25, 2026Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 01Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to CN¥58.70, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 34x. Average forward P/E is 55x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 22% over the past three years.New Risk • May 01New major risk - Financial positionThe company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Operating cash flow to total debt ratio: 19% This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (19% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (9.1% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results.Reported Earnings • Apr 30Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: CN¥0.98 (down from CN¥1.00 in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥2.03b (up 13% from FY 2024). Net income: CN¥186.0m (down 1.4% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 9.1% (down from 10% in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 16%. Revenue is forecast to grow 22% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 10% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.더 많은 업데이트 보기Recent updatesNew Risk • Jul 13New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 9.7% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (19% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (9.7% average weekly change).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 13Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%After last week's 20% share price decline to CN¥46.88, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28x. Average forward P/E is 58x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 9.4% over the past three years.공고 • Jun 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Aug 25, 2026Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Aug 25, 2026Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 01Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to CN¥58.70, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 34x. Average forward P/E is 55x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 22% over the past three years.New Risk • May 01New major risk - Financial positionThe company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Operating cash flow to total debt ratio: 19% This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (19% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (9.1% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results.Reported Earnings • Apr 30Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: CN¥0.98 (down from CN¥1.00 in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥2.03b (up 13% from FY 2024). Net income: CN¥186.0m (down 1.4% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 9.1% (down from 10% in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 16%. Revenue is forecast to grow 22% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 10% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.공고 • Apr 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd, Annual General Meeting, May 21, 2026Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd, Annual General Meeting, May 21, 2026, at 14:00 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Guiyang, Guizhou ChinaValuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 13Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to CN¥62.99, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 38x. Average forward P/E is 51x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 10% over the past three years.공고 • Mar 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 30, 2026Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Apr 30, 2026Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 13Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%After last week's 18% share price decline to CN¥61.35, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 37x. Average forward P/E is 56x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 18% over the past three years.Reported Earnings • Mar 05Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: CN¥0.98 (down from CN¥1.00 in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥2.03b (up 13% from FY 2024). Net income: CN¥185.9m (down 1.4% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 9.1% (down from 10% in FY 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 16%. Revenue is forecast to grow 19% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 23% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 8% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 13Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥77.34, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 51x. Average forward P/E is 60x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 33% over the past three years.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 19Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%After last week's 17% share price decline to CN¥62.96, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 39x. Average forward P/E is 67x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 3.4% over the past three years.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 29Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to CN¥70.69, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 44x. Average forward P/E is 55x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 20% over the past three years.공고 • Dec 26Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Apr 30, 2026Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Apr 30, 2026New Risk • Dec 12New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 9.9% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (18% operating cash flow to total debt). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (9.9% average weekly change).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 12Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 24%After last week's 24% share price gain to CN¥67.20, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 42x. Average forward P/E is 50x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 16% over the past three years.Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.21 (vs CN¥0.24 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: CN¥0.21. Revenue: CN¥603.4m (up 47% from 3Q 2024). Net income: CN¥55.6m (up 26% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 9.2% (down from 11% in 3Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 25% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 24Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to CN¥46.60, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 32x. Average forward P/E is 49x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 33% over the past three years.New Risk • Oct 17New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 7.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (9.9% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.4% average weekly change).공고 • Sep 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 31, 2025Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Oct 31, 2025New Risk • Sep 14New major risk - Financial positionThe company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Operating cash flow to total debt ratio: 9.9% This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (9.9% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risk Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows.공고 • Jun 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 30, 2025Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Aug 30, 2025Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 03Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%After last week's 20% share price decline to CN¥31.54, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22x. Average forward P/E is 43x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 45% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥21.81 per share.Board Change • Apr 25Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 2 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 3 non-independent directors. Independent Director Qiyong Fan was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2023. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 17Now 26% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 1.1% to CN¥40.77. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥32.38, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 21% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 19% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 26% per annum over the same time period.New Risk • Apr 15New minor risk - Dividend sustainabilityThe dividend is not well covered by cash flows. The company is paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Dividend yield: 0.6% This is considered a minor risk. Dividends are ultimately paid out of the company's available cash reserves. Companies that pay out too much of their cash flow are at risk of having to reduce or cut their dividend in future. If cash flow growth slows or cash flows fall, then there may not be enough cash reserves to maintain the same dividend. Or in extreme cases, companies may opt to take on debt to maintain the dividend. This risk is mitigated by the fact the dividend is covered by earnings, however, cash flows are generally more important. For dividend paying companies, any reduction in the dividend can significantly impact the share price. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.Major Estimate Revision • Apr 14Consensus revenue estimates fall by 14%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥2.61b to CN¥2.25b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥2.14 to CN¥1.78 per share. Net income forecast to grow 39% next year vs 32% growth forecast for Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Consensus price target down from CN¥42.83 to CN¥38.48. Share price rose 5.6% to CN¥39.80 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Apr 08Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: CN¥1.30 (up from CN¥1.30 in FY 2023). Revenue: CN¥1.81b (down 14% from FY 2023). Net income: CN¥188.6m (up 1.6% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 10% (up from 8.8% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 16%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 14%. Revenue is forecast to grow 26% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 18% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 2% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.공고 • Apr 08Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd, Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2025Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd, Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2025, at 14:00 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Guiyang, Guizhou China공고 • Mar 28Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 29, 2025Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Apr 29, 2025Reported Earnings • Feb 26Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.30 (vs CN¥1.30 in FY 2023)Full year 2024 results: EPS: CN¥1.30 (up from CN¥1.30 in FY 2023). Revenue: CN¥1.81b (down 14% from FY 2023). Net income: CN¥188.6m (up 1.6% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 10% (up from 8.8% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 26% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 26% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 2% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 12% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.공고 • Dec 27Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Apr 08, 2025Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Apr 08, 2025분석 기사 • Dec 19Guizhou Aviation Technical Development (SHSE:688239) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return TrendsFinding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...분석 기사 • Nov 12Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) Stocks Shoot Up 36% But Its P/E Still Looks ReasonableGuizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd ( SHSE:688239 ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 36...분석 기사 • Nov 06Guizhou Aviation Technical Development's (SHSE:688239) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You ThinkDespite Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd's ( SHSE:688239 ) recent earnings report having lackluster...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 06Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥45.53, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 41x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 26% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥19.52 per share.Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.31 (vs CN¥0.35 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.31 (down from CN¥0.35 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥411.6m (down 22% from 3Q 2023). Net income: CN¥44.0m (down 14% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 11% (up from 9.7% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 27% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 23% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 12% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 15Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to CN¥34.65, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 38x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 31% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥20.23 per share.공고 • Sep 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 31, 2024Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Oct 31, 2024분석 기사 • Sep 28Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd's (SHSE:688239) EarningsWith a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 29x in China, you could be forgiven for feeling...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 27Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to CN¥31.65, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 34x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 36% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥20.01 per share.New Risk • Sep 07New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 6.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.9% average weekly change).Reported Earnings • Sep 04Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.33 (vs CN¥0.46 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.33 (down from CN¥0.46 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥423.4m (down 32% from 2Q 2023). Net income: CN¥47.7m (down 27% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 11% (in line with 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 26% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 21% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 9% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 22% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.분석 기사 • Sep 01Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) Analysts Just Trimmed Their Revenue Forecasts By 15%The analysts covering Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd ( SHSE:688239 ) delivered a dose of negativity to...Major Estimate Revision • Aug 31Consensus revenue estimates fall by 15%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥2.63b to CN¥2.23b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥2.15 to CN¥2.05 per share. Net income forecast to grow 52% next year vs 46% growth forecast for Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Consensus price target of CN¥46.16 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 5.0% to CN¥28.84 over the past week.분석 기사 • Aug 26Guizhou Aviation Technical Development (SHSE:688239) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share PriceDid you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 01Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to CN¥36.31, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 30x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 41% over the past three years.New Risk • Jul 30New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 7.1% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (dividend per share is over 5x cash flows per share). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.1% average weekly change).공고 • Jun 29Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 30, 2024Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report first half, 2024 results on Aug 30, 2024분석 기사 • Jun 18Here's Why Guizhou Aviation Technical Development (SHSE:688239) Has A Meaningful Debt BurdenHoward Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 09Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥40.91, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 31x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 37% over the past year.분석 기사 • May 06Why Guizhou Aviation Technical Development's (SHSE:688239) Earnings Are Better Than They SeemInvestors signalled that they were pleased with Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd's ( SHSE:688239 ) most...분석 기사 • May 01Earnings Report: Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd Missed Revenue Estimates By 13%It's been a good week for Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd ( SHSE:688239 ) shareholders, because the...공고 • May 01Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd, Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2024Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd, Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2024, at 14:00 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Guiyang, Guizhou ChinaReported Earnings • Apr 30Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.30 (vs CN¥1.31 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: CN¥1.30. Revenue: CN¥2.10b (up 45% from FY 2022). Net income: CN¥185.6m (up 1.2% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 8.8% (down from 13% in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 29% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China.분석 기사 • Apr 24There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Guizhou Aviation Technical Development's (SHSE:688239) Returns On CapitalWhat are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...공고 • Mar 29Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Apr 30, 2024Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 27Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to CN¥32.51, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 31x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 55% over the past year.분석 기사 • Mar 14Guizhou Aviation Technical Development (SHSE:688239) Seems To Use Debt Quite SensiblyWarren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...공고 • Feb 24Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) announces an Equity Buyback for CNY 50 million worth of its shares.Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to CNY 50 million worth of its shares. The repurchase price will not more than CNY 53 per Share. The repurchased shares will be to maintain the company's value and shareholders' rights. The repurchase period will be not more than 3 months.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 01Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to CN¥31.75, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12x. Average forward P/E is 23x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 61% over the past year.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 09Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%After last week's 15% share price decline to CN¥39.84, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 28x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 49% over the past year.Reported Earnings • Nov 01Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.35 (vs CN¥0.29 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.35 (up from CN¥0.29 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥528.8m (up 44% from 3Q 2022). Net income: CN¥51.3m (up 26% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 9.7% (down from 11% in 3Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 28% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 24% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China.공고 • Aug 05Zhejiang Yongjin Metal Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:603995) completed the acquisition of 5% stake in Henan Zhongyuan Titanium Industry Co., Ltd. from Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239).Zhejiang Yongjin Metal Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:603995) agreed to acquire 5% stake in Henan Zhongyuan Titanium Industry Co., Ltd. from Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) for CNY 0 on June 16, 2023. For the period ended March 2023, Total Assets were of CNY 121 million and Net Assets were of CNY 89 million. Zhejiang Yongjin Metal Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:603995) completed the acquisition of 5% stake in Henan Zhongyuan Titanium Industry Co., Ltd. from Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) on August 4, 2023.공고 • Jun 28Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 30, 2023Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report first half, 2023 results on Aug 30, 2023Price Target Changed • Nov 16Price target increased to CN¥99.96Up from CN¥70.00, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 22% above last closing price of CN¥81.60. Stock is up 26% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥0.99 next year compared to a net loss per share of CN¥0.58 last year.Board Change • Nov 16No independent directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 4 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. No independent directors (3 non-independent directors). was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.Price Target Changed • Oct 10Price target increased to CN¥80.69Up from CN¥70.00, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 16% above last closing price of CN¥69.60. Stock is up 38% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥0.99 next year compared to a net loss per share of CN¥0.58 last year.공고 • Sep 02Huaneng Trust Yuanhe No. 6 Collection Fund Trust Plan, managed by Huaneng Guicheng Trust Corp.,Ltd. completed the acquisition of 5.04% stake in Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) from Hangzhou Canyun Yingyi Investment Partnership Enterprise (L.P.), managed by Zwing Asset Management Co., Ltd.Huaneng Trust Yuanhe No. 6 Collection Fund Trust Plan, managed by Huaneng Guicheng Trust Corp.,Ltd. signed a share transfer agreement to acquire a 5.04% stake in Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) from Hangzhou Canyun Yingyi Investment Partnership Enterprise (L.P.), managed by Zwing Asset Management Co., Ltd. for approximately CNY 370 million on July 30, 2022. Under the terms, Huaneng Trust Yuanhe No. 6 Collection Fund will acquire 7,050,000 shares at a price of CNY 52.9 per share. Huaneng Trust Yuanhe No. 6 Collection Fund will pay the consideration of CNY 30 million within 2 working days after the payment conditions for the first share transfer price agreed in this agreement are satisfied or are waived, CNY 221.5 million within within 2 working days after the payment conditions for the second share transfer price agreed in this agreement are satisfied or waived and the remaining CNY 121.5 million within 7 working days after the transfer date. Huaneng Trust Yuanhe No. 6 Collection Fund Trust Plan, managed by Huaneng Guicheng Trust Corp.,Ltd. completed the acquisition of 5.04% stake in Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) from Hangzhou Canyun Yingyi Investment Partnership Enterprise (L.P.), managed by Zwing Asset Management Co., Ltd. on August 31, 2022.공고 • Jul 28Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that it expects to receive CNY 149.999996 million in fundingGuizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced a private placement of 3,468,208 A shares at an issue price of CNY 43.25 per share for gross proceeds of CNY 149,999,996 on July 27, 2022. The transaction will include participation from Zhang Hua. The shares subscribed shall not be transferred within 18 months from the date of the end of the issuance. The transaction was approved by the board of directors of the company at its 19th meeting of the fourth board of directors, 13th session of the 4th supervisory board and is subject to company's shareholders' meeting, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the China Securities Regulatory Commission to make a registration decision.주주 수익률688239CN Aerospace & DefenseCN 시장7D-3.4%-4.2%-1.5%1Y20.7%-21.4%3.9%전체 주주 수익률 보기수익률 대 산업: 688239은 지난 1년 동안 -21.4%의 수익을 기록한 CN Aerospace & Defense 산업보다 더 좋은 성과를 냈습니다.수익률 대 시장: 688239은 지난 1년 동안 3.9%를 기록한 CN 시장보다 더 좋은 성과를 냈습니다.주가 변동성Is 688239's price volatile compared to industry and market?688239 volatility688239 Average Weekly Movement9.7%Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement7.8%Market Average Movement7.4%10% most volatile stocks in CN Market12.6%10% least volatile stocks in CN Market4.4%안정적인 주가: 688239는 지난 3개월 동안 CN 시장에 비해 주가 변동성이 크지 않았습니다.시간에 따른 변동성: 688239의 주간 변동성(10%)은 지난 1년 동안 안정적이었습니다.회사 소개설립직원 수CEO웹사이트2006939Chaohui Liuwww.gzhykj.net구이저우 항공 기술 개발 유한회사는 항공 군용 링 단조를 개발, 제조 및 판매합니다. 이 회사는 항공 우주 링 단조품도 개발합니다. 이 회사의 제품은 항공, 선박, 고속철도, 원자력, 항공우주 및 건설 기계 분야에 사용됩니다.더 보기Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd 기초 지표 요약Guizhou Aviation Technical Development의 순이익과 매출은 시가총액과 어떻게 비교됩니까?688239 기초 통계시가총액CN¥8.79b순이익 (TTM)CN¥199.53m매출 (TTM)CN¥2.14b44.1x주가수익비율(P/E)4.1x주가매출비율(P/S)688239는 고평가되어 있습니까?공정 가치 및 평가 분석 보기순이익 및 매출최근 실적 보고서(TTM)의 주요 수익성 지표688239 손익계산서 (TTM)매출CN¥2.14b매출원가CN¥1.59b총이익CN¥551.36m기타 비용CN¥351.83m순이익CN¥199.53m최근 보고된 실적Mar 31, 2026다음 실적 발표일Aug 25, 2026주당순이익(EPS)1.05총이익률25.73%순이익률9.31%부채/자본 비율73.7%688239의 장기 실적은 어땠습니까?과거 실적 및 비교 보기배당0.3%현재 배당 수익률14%배당 성향View Valuation기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)기업 분석2026/08/24 00:01종가2026/08/24 00:00수익2026/03/31연간 수익2025/12/31데이터 소스당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *기업 재무제표10년손익계산서현금흐름표대차대조표SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 10-Q분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년재무 예측분석가 목표주가분석가 리서치 보고서Blue Matrix시장 가격30년주가배당, 분할 및 기타 조치ICE 시장 데이터SEC 양식 S-1지분 구조10년주요 주주내부자 거래SEC 양식 4SEC 양식 13D경영진10년리더십 팀이사회SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 DEF 14A주요 개발10년회사 공시SEC 양식 8-K* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델의 세부 정보는 당사의 GitHub 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 사용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공하고 있습니다.Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.산업 및 섹터 지표산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.분석가 소스Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd는 7명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 2명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.분석가기관Liang LiChina Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd.Zhongyu LiuChina International Capital Corporation LimitedChenshuo FuCitic Securities Co., Ltd.4명의 분석가 더 보기
New Risk • Jul 13New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 9.7% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (19% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (9.7% average weekly change).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 13Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%After last week's 20% share price decline to CN¥46.88, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28x. Average forward P/E is 58x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 9.4% over the past three years.
공고 • Jun 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Aug 25, 2026Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Aug 25, 2026
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 01Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to CN¥58.70, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 34x. Average forward P/E is 55x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 22% over the past three years.
New Risk • May 01New major risk - Financial positionThe company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Operating cash flow to total debt ratio: 19% This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (19% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (9.1% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results.
Reported Earnings • Apr 30Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: CN¥0.98 (down from CN¥1.00 in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥2.03b (up 13% from FY 2024). Net income: CN¥186.0m (down 1.4% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 9.1% (down from 10% in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 16%. Revenue is forecast to grow 22% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 10% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
New Risk • Jul 13New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 9.7% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (19% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (9.7% average weekly change).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 13Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%After last week's 20% share price decline to CN¥46.88, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28x. Average forward P/E is 58x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 9.4% over the past three years.
공고 • Jun 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Aug 25, 2026Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Aug 25, 2026
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 01Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to CN¥58.70, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 34x. Average forward P/E is 55x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 22% over the past three years.
New Risk • May 01New major risk - Financial positionThe company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Operating cash flow to total debt ratio: 19% This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (19% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (9.1% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results.
Reported Earnings • Apr 30Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: CN¥0.98 (down from CN¥1.00 in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥2.03b (up 13% from FY 2024). Net income: CN¥186.0m (down 1.4% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 9.1% (down from 10% in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 16%. Revenue is forecast to grow 22% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 10% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
공고 • Apr 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd, Annual General Meeting, May 21, 2026Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd, Annual General Meeting, May 21, 2026, at 14:00 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Guiyang, Guizhou China
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 13Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to CN¥62.99, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 38x. Average forward P/E is 51x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 10% over the past three years.
공고 • Mar 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 30, 2026Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Apr 30, 2026
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 13Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%After last week's 18% share price decline to CN¥61.35, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 37x. Average forward P/E is 56x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 18% over the past three years.
Reported Earnings • Mar 05Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: CN¥0.98 (down from CN¥1.00 in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥2.03b (up 13% from FY 2024). Net income: CN¥185.9m (down 1.4% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 9.1% (down from 10% in FY 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 16%. Revenue is forecast to grow 19% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 23% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 8% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 13Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥77.34, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 51x. Average forward P/E is 60x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 33% over the past three years.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 19Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%After last week's 17% share price decline to CN¥62.96, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 39x. Average forward P/E is 67x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 3.4% over the past three years.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 29Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to CN¥70.69, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 44x. Average forward P/E is 55x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 20% over the past three years.
공고 • Dec 26Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Apr 30, 2026Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Apr 30, 2026
New Risk • Dec 12New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 9.9% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (18% operating cash flow to total debt). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (9.9% average weekly change).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 12Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 24%After last week's 24% share price gain to CN¥67.20, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 42x. Average forward P/E is 50x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 16% over the past three years.
Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.21 (vs CN¥0.24 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: CN¥0.21. Revenue: CN¥603.4m (up 47% from 3Q 2024). Net income: CN¥55.6m (up 26% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 9.2% (down from 11% in 3Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 25% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 24Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to CN¥46.60, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 32x. Average forward P/E is 49x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 33% over the past three years.
New Risk • Oct 17New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 7.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (9.9% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.4% average weekly change).
공고 • Sep 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 31, 2025Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Oct 31, 2025
New Risk • Sep 14New major risk - Financial positionThe company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Operating cash flow to total debt ratio: 9.9% This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (9.9% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risk Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows.
공고 • Jun 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 30, 2025Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Aug 30, 2025
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 03Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%After last week's 20% share price decline to CN¥31.54, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22x. Average forward P/E is 43x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 45% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥21.81 per share.
Board Change • Apr 25Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 2 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 3 non-independent directors. Independent Director Qiyong Fan was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2023. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 17Now 26% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 1.1% to CN¥40.77. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥32.38, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 21% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 19% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 26% per annum over the same time period.
New Risk • Apr 15New minor risk - Dividend sustainabilityThe dividend is not well covered by cash flows. The company is paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Dividend yield: 0.6% This is considered a minor risk. Dividends are ultimately paid out of the company's available cash reserves. Companies that pay out too much of their cash flow are at risk of having to reduce or cut their dividend in future. If cash flow growth slows or cash flows fall, then there may not be enough cash reserves to maintain the same dividend. Or in extreme cases, companies may opt to take on debt to maintain the dividend. This risk is mitigated by the fact the dividend is covered by earnings, however, cash flows are generally more important. For dividend paying companies, any reduction in the dividend can significantly impact the share price. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.
Major Estimate Revision • Apr 14Consensus revenue estimates fall by 14%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥2.61b to CN¥2.25b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥2.14 to CN¥1.78 per share. Net income forecast to grow 39% next year vs 32% growth forecast for Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Consensus price target down from CN¥42.83 to CN¥38.48. Share price rose 5.6% to CN¥39.80 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Apr 08Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: CN¥1.30 (up from CN¥1.30 in FY 2023). Revenue: CN¥1.81b (down 14% from FY 2023). Net income: CN¥188.6m (up 1.6% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 10% (up from 8.8% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 16%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 14%. Revenue is forecast to grow 26% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 18% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 2% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
공고 • Apr 08Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd, Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2025Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd, Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2025, at 14:00 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Guiyang, Guizhou China
공고 • Mar 28Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 29, 2025Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Apr 29, 2025
Reported Earnings • Feb 26Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.30 (vs CN¥1.30 in FY 2023)Full year 2024 results: EPS: CN¥1.30 (up from CN¥1.30 in FY 2023). Revenue: CN¥1.81b (down 14% from FY 2023). Net income: CN¥188.6m (up 1.6% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 10% (up from 8.8% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 26% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 26% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 2% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 12% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
공고 • Dec 27Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Apr 08, 2025Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Apr 08, 2025
분석 기사 • Dec 19Guizhou Aviation Technical Development (SHSE:688239) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return TrendsFinding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
분석 기사 • Nov 12Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) Stocks Shoot Up 36% But Its P/E Still Looks ReasonableGuizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd ( SHSE:688239 ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 36...
분석 기사 • Nov 06Guizhou Aviation Technical Development's (SHSE:688239) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You ThinkDespite Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd's ( SHSE:688239 ) recent earnings report having lackluster...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 06Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥45.53, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 41x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 26% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥19.52 per share.
Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.31 (vs CN¥0.35 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.31 (down from CN¥0.35 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥411.6m (down 22% from 3Q 2023). Net income: CN¥44.0m (down 14% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 11% (up from 9.7% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 27% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 23% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 12% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 15Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to CN¥34.65, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 38x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 31% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥20.23 per share.
공고 • Sep 30Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 31, 2024Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Oct 31, 2024
분석 기사 • Sep 28Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd's (SHSE:688239) EarningsWith a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 29x in China, you could be forgiven for feeling...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 27Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to CN¥31.65, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 34x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 36% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥20.01 per share.
New Risk • Sep 07New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 6.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.9% average weekly change).
Reported Earnings • Sep 04Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.33 (vs CN¥0.46 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.33 (down from CN¥0.46 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥423.4m (down 32% from 2Q 2023). Net income: CN¥47.7m (down 27% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 11% (in line with 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 26% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 21% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 9% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 22% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
분석 기사 • Sep 01Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) Analysts Just Trimmed Their Revenue Forecasts By 15%The analysts covering Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd ( SHSE:688239 ) delivered a dose of negativity to...
Major Estimate Revision • Aug 31Consensus revenue estimates fall by 15%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥2.63b to CN¥2.23b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥2.15 to CN¥2.05 per share. Net income forecast to grow 52% next year vs 46% growth forecast for Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Consensus price target of CN¥46.16 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 5.0% to CN¥28.84 over the past week.
분석 기사 • Aug 26Guizhou Aviation Technical Development (SHSE:688239) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share PriceDid you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 01Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to CN¥36.31, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 30x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 41% over the past three years.
New Risk • Jul 30New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Chinese stocks, typically moving 7.1% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (dividend per share is over 5x cash flows per share). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.1% average weekly change).
공고 • Jun 29Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 30, 2024Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report first half, 2024 results on Aug 30, 2024
분석 기사 • Jun 18Here's Why Guizhou Aviation Technical Development (SHSE:688239) Has A Meaningful Debt BurdenHoward Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 09Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥40.91, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 31x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 37% over the past year.
분석 기사 • May 06Why Guizhou Aviation Technical Development's (SHSE:688239) Earnings Are Better Than They SeemInvestors signalled that they were pleased with Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd's ( SHSE:688239 ) most...
분석 기사 • May 01Earnings Report: Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd Missed Revenue Estimates By 13%It's been a good week for Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd ( SHSE:688239 ) shareholders, because the...
공고 • May 01Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd, Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2024Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd, Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2024, at 14:00 China Standard Time. Location: The Company's Meeting Room, Guiyang, Guizhou China
Reported Earnings • Apr 30Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.30 (vs CN¥1.31 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: CN¥1.30. Revenue: CN¥2.10b (up 45% from FY 2022). Net income: CN¥185.6m (up 1.2% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 8.8% (down from 13% in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 29% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China.
분석 기사 • Apr 24There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Guizhou Aviation Technical Development's (SHSE:688239) Returns On CapitalWhat are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...
공고 • Mar 29Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Apr 30, 2024
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 27Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to CN¥32.51, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 31x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 55% over the past year.
분석 기사 • Mar 14Guizhou Aviation Technical Development (SHSE:688239) Seems To Use Debt Quite SensiblyWarren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
공고 • Feb 24Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) announces an Equity Buyback for CNY 50 million worth of its shares.Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to CNY 50 million worth of its shares. The repurchase price will not more than CNY 53 per Share. The repurchased shares will be to maintain the company's value and shareholders' rights. The repurchase period will be not more than 3 months.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 01Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to CN¥31.75, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12x. Average forward P/E is 23x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 61% over the past year.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 09Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%After last week's 15% share price decline to CN¥39.84, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 28x in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 49% over the past year.
Reported Earnings • Nov 01Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.35 (vs CN¥0.29 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.35 (up from CN¥0.29 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥528.8m (up 44% from 3Q 2022). Net income: CN¥51.3m (up 26% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 9.7% (down from 11% in 3Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 28% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 24% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in China.
공고 • Aug 05Zhejiang Yongjin Metal Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:603995) completed the acquisition of 5% stake in Henan Zhongyuan Titanium Industry Co., Ltd. from Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239).Zhejiang Yongjin Metal Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:603995) agreed to acquire 5% stake in Henan Zhongyuan Titanium Industry Co., Ltd. from Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) for CNY 0 on June 16, 2023. For the period ended March 2023, Total Assets were of CNY 121 million and Net Assets were of CNY 89 million. Zhejiang Yongjin Metal Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:603995) completed the acquisition of 5% stake in Henan Zhongyuan Titanium Industry Co., Ltd. from Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) on August 4, 2023.
공고 • Jun 28Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 30, 2023Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that they will report first half, 2023 results on Aug 30, 2023
Price Target Changed • Nov 16Price target increased to CN¥99.96Up from CN¥70.00, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 22% above last closing price of CN¥81.60. Stock is up 26% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥0.99 next year compared to a net loss per share of CN¥0.58 last year.
Board Change • Nov 16No independent directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 4 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. No independent directors (3 non-independent directors). was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.
Price Target Changed • Oct 10Price target increased to CN¥80.69Up from CN¥70.00, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 16% above last closing price of CN¥69.60. Stock is up 38% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥0.99 next year compared to a net loss per share of CN¥0.58 last year.
공고 • Sep 02Huaneng Trust Yuanhe No. 6 Collection Fund Trust Plan, managed by Huaneng Guicheng Trust Corp.,Ltd. completed the acquisition of 5.04% stake in Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) from Hangzhou Canyun Yingyi Investment Partnership Enterprise (L.P.), managed by Zwing Asset Management Co., Ltd.Huaneng Trust Yuanhe No. 6 Collection Fund Trust Plan, managed by Huaneng Guicheng Trust Corp.,Ltd. signed a share transfer agreement to acquire a 5.04% stake in Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) from Hangzhou Canyun Yingyi Investment Partnership Enterprise (L.P.), managed by Zwing Asset Management Co., Ltd. for approximately CNY 370 million on July 30, 2022. Under the terms, Huaneng Trust Yuanhe No. 6 Collection Fund will acquire 7,050,000 shares at a price of CNY 52.9 per share. Huaneng Trust Yuanhe No. 6 Collection Fund will pay the consideration of CNY 30 million within 2 working days after the payment conditions for the first share transfer price agreed in this agreement are satisfied or are waived, CNY 221.5 million within within 2 working days after the payment conditions for the second share transfer price agreed in this agreement are satisfied or waived and the remaining CNY 121.5 million within 7 working days after the transfer date. Huaneng Trust Yuanhe No. 6 Collection Fund Trust Plan, managed by Huaneng Guicheng Trust Corp.,Ltd. completed the acquisition of 5.04% stake in Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:688239) from Hangzhou Canyun Yingyi Investment Partnership Enterprise (L.P.), managed by Zwing Asset Management Co., Ltd. on August 31, 2022.
공고 • Jul 28Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced that it expects to receive CNY 149.999996 million in fundingGuizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd announced a private placement of 3,468,208 A shares at an issue price of CNY 43.25 per share for gross proceeds of CNY 149,999,996 on July 27, 2022. The transaction will include participation from Zhang Hua. The shares subscribed shall not be transferred within 18 months from the date of the end of the issuance. The transaction was approved by the board of directors of the company at its 19th meeting of the fourth board of directors, 13th session of the 4th supervisory board and is subject to company's shareholders' meeting, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the China Securities Regulatory Commission to make a registration decision.
