Orica 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 3/6
Orica (는) 각각 연간 27.6% 및 2.4% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 24.2% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 17.5% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
27.6%
이익 성장률
24.24%
EPS 성장률
| Chemicals 이익 성장 | 29.6% |
| 매출 성장률 | 2.4% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 17.49% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 28 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 01
ORI: Future Shareholder Returns Will Be Driven By Completed Buyback Program
Analysts have lifted their price target for Orica slightly to A$25.79 from A$25.42 as they factor in updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Orica declared an unfranked ordinary dividend of A$0.285 per share for the six months ending March 31, 2026, with a record date of May 22, 2026, an ex dividend date of May 21, 2026, and payment set for July 7, 2026 (company announcement).내러티브 업데이트 • May 02
ORI: Refined Forecast Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Outlook
Analysts have made a marginal adjustment to Orica's price target, with fair value moving slightly from A$25.44 to A$25.42, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised from A$25.44 to A$25.42, a very small downward adjustment in the modelled fair value.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 17
ORI: Refined Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly lower to A$25.44 from A$25.64. This reflects updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 03
ORI: Refined Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Orica slightly to A$25.64 from A$25.75. This reflects small adjustments to assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 19
ORI: Slightly Higher Assumptions Will Support A Steady Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Orica from A$26.50 to A$25.75 as small adjustments to key inputs, including discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, filter through their valuation models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$26.50 to A$25.75, a small downward adjustment to the modelled valuation.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 04
ORI: Slightly Lower Assumptions Will Support A Steady Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Orica slightly lower to A$26.50 from A$26.58, reflecting modest adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions while keeping the future P/E view broadly stable. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly to A$26.50 from A$26.58.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 18
ORI: Slightly Higher Return Assumptions Will Support A Steady Fair Value Outlook
Analysts now set their price target for Orica at about A$26.58, up slightly from around A$26.44, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$26.44 to A$26.58, a slight upward adjustment in the modelled estimate.분석 기사 • Feb 16
Is Orica (ASX:ORI) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 04
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Stable Assumptions Will Support Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly higher to A$26.44 from A$26.10, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Orica increased its equity buyback authorization by A$100 million to a total of A$500 million on November 13, 2025, expanding the size of its existing program (Key Developments).분석 기사 • Jan 26
Why We're Not Concerned About Orica Limited's (ASX:ORI) Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 74.3x Orica Limited ( ASX:ORI ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 20
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Steady Assumptions Will Support Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts now keep their fair value estimate for Orica steady at A$26.10, with only marginal adjustments to model inputs such as the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions resulting in an unchanged price target. What's in the News On November 13, 2025, Orica increased its equity buyback authority by A$100 million to a total of A$500 million, signaling continued use of capital for share repurchases (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 06
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Steady Assumptions Will Support Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts have reaffirmed their price target on Orica at A$26.10, with only minor tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate, long run revenue growth, profit margin and assumed future P/E. This keeps their valuation view broadly unchanged.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 22
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Higher Dividend Will Support Moderately Balanced Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have raised their price target on Orica to approximately A$26.10 from A$23.68, reflecting slightly lower perceived risk, stronger expected revenue growth, and a higher future earnings multiple that more than offset a modest downward revision to profit margins. What's in the News Expanded equity buyback authorization by AUD 100 million, lifting the total program to AUD 500 million as of November 13, 2025 (company announcement) Declared an increased ordinary dividend of AUD 0.32 per share for the six months ended September 30, 2025, with ex date November 21, record date November 24, and payment date December 22, 2025 (company announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has risen moderately to approximately A$26.10 from about A$23.68.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 08
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Dividend Will Support Moderately Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly higher to reflect a modest improvement in the company’s risk profile and earnings sustainability, with the updated valuation now implying a fair value of approximately $23.68 per share. What's in the News Orica increased its equity buyback plan by AUD 100 million on November 13, 2025, lifting the total authorization to AUD 500 million (company announcement).내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 24
ORI: Buyback Expansion And Dividend Actions Will Shape Balanced Market Sentiment
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Orica upward from $23.38 to $23.68. This change reflects updated forecasts and supportive changes in core financial metrics.분석 기사 • Nov 17
Orica (ASX:ORI) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
Orica Limited ( ASX:ORI ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on...내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 07
ORI: Revenue Forecasts Will Drive Modest Shifts In Future Market Expectations
Analysts have raised their price target for Orica, increasing the estimated fair value from $22.95 to $23.38. This change reflects slightly improved revenue growth forecasts and updated discount rates.분석 기사 • Nov 03
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Orica Limited (ASX:ORI)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Orica is AU$24.40 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Orica's AU$22.14...내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 24
Sustained Earnings Expected From Recent Acquisitions And Technology Improvements
Analysts have raised their price target for Orica from $22.56 to $22.95. They cite a slight improvement in projected revenue growth, while discount rates remain stable and profit margin expectations have been adjusted only slightly.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 23
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Orica's fair value has been revised marginally higher as analysts factor in slightly improved revenue growth expectations, with the consensus price target moving from A$22.17 to A$22.56. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Orica The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from A$22.17 to A$22.56.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 08
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Despite lower consensus revenue growth forecasts, a higher future P/E multiple has supported a moderate increase in Orica’s analyst price target to A$22.17. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Orica The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from A$21.56 to A$22.17.분석 기사 • Aug 08
Does Orica (ASX:ORI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
ASX:ORI 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Orica's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Some say...분석 기사 • Jul 08
An Intrinsic Calculation For Orica Limited (ASX:ORI) Suggests It's 41% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Orica is AU$33.84 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Orica's AU$19.82...분석 기사 • Jun 20
The Price Is Right For Orica Limited (ASX:ORI)
It's not a stretch to say that Orica Limited's ( ASX:ORI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x right now seems...
새로운 내러티브 • Dec 06
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Strategic acquisitions and focus on advanced technology are expected to drive revenue growth and enhance earnings through integration and cross-selling opportunities.이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 8,653 | 706 | 902 | 1,234 | 14 |
| 9/30/2027 | 8,416 | 646 | 751 | 1,109 | 14 |
| 9/30/2026 | 8,124 | 269 | 303 | 642 | 14 |
| 3/31/2026 | 8,116 | 251 | 465 | 935 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 8,149 | 207 | 500 | 942 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 8,183 | 162 | 535 | 949 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 8,104 | 130 | 495 | 906 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,999 | 98 | 456 | 862 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,845 | 311 | 403 | 835 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,691 | 525 | 351 | 808 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 7,647 | 518 | 468 | 948 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 7,604 | 511 | 585 | 1,088 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 7,775 | 403 | 522 | 993 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,945 | 296 | 460 | 899 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,997 | 282 | 314 | 710 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 8,049 | 267 | 169 | 521 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 7,573 | 206 | 91 | 441 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 7,096 | 145 | 13 | 362 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,870 | -262 | -19 | 323 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,556 | -225 | 138 | 471 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,242 | -188 | 296 | 619 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,690 | -21 | -70 | 176 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,926 | 25 | -158 | 161 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,161 | 71 | -247 | 145 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 5,789 | 273 | -44 | 474 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,948 | 377 | 158 | 671 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,922 | 311 | N/A | 708 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,896 | 245 | N/A | 746 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 5,794 | 230 | N/A | 758 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 5,691 | 214 | N/A | 770 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 5,547 | 83 | N/A | 692 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 5,402 | -48 | N/A | 615 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 5,282 | -43 | N/A | 478 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 5,162 | -38 | N/A | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,116 | 174 | N/A | 403 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,070 | 386 | N/A | 466 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,035 | 388 | N/A | 633 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,999 | 389 | N/A | 800 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,055 | 366 | N/A | 789 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,111 | 343 | N/A | 778 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,431 | -1,336 | N/A | 593 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,552 | -1,306 | N/A | 666 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,673 | -1,275 | N/A | 739 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: ORI 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(27.6%)이 saving rate(3.6%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: ORI 의 연간 수익(27.6%)이 Australian 시장(12.1%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: ORI 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: ORI 의 수익(연간 2.4%)이 Australian 시장(연간 6.2%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: ORI 의 수익(연간 2.4%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: ORI의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 17.5%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/06/06 16:17 |
| 종가 | 2026/06/05 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/09/30 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
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| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
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| 경영진 | 10년 |
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| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Orica Limited는 31명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 14명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Brook Campbell-Crawford | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Benjamin Brayshaw | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Joseph House | Bell Potter |