Karoon Energy 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 0/6
Karoon Energy 의 수익은 연간 1.3% 감소할 것으로 예상되는 반면, 연간 수익은 2.9% 로 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 4.1% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 8.9% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
2.9%
이익 성장률
4.10%
EPS 성장률
| Oil and Gas 이익 성장 | 10.7% |
| 매출 성장률 | -1.3% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 8.87% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 28 Jul 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 11
KAR: Buybacks And Softer Margins Will Shape A Measured Future Profile
Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Karoon Energy from A$1.80 to A$1.48, citing updated assumptions for revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E that indicate a more conservative outlook for the stock. What's in the News Karoon Energy's board authorized a new share buyback plan on June 29, 2026, according to a company transaction announcement.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 10
A Cash-Generating Oil Producer the Market Has Turned Against
danmad has increased revenue growth from 3.0% to 11.0%.새로운 내러티브 • Jul 08
A Cash-Generating Oil Producer the Market Has Turned Against
Karoon Energy is one of those stocks where the underlying cash generation and the share price narrative have drifted a long way apart. On paper, Karoon should be a relatively attractive energy business: it has producing offshore assets, strong free cash flow, exposure to resilient oil prices and a strategy that includes both shareholder returns and future growth.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 27
KAR: Deferred Who Dat Volumes Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook
Karoon Energy's analyst price target has been revised to A$2.05 from A$2.26. Analysts point to slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower profit margin outlook and a reduced future P/E expectation to support the change.분석 기사 • Jun 17
Karoon Energy (ASX:KAR) Shares Could Be 47% Undervalued After 2026 Guidance Cut
Karoon Energy (ASX:KAR) has cut its 2026 production guidance after a riser failure at the Who Dat field in the Gulf of Mexico, delaying recovery to the second half of 2027, while Brazilian output guidance remains unchanged. See our latest analysis for Karoon Energy. That production reset has coincided with sharp selling pressure, with Karoon Energy’s share price falling 13.37% in the last session and down 31.49% over 30 days, while the 1 year total shareholder return is down 27.24% but still...내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 13
KAR: New CFO Appointment Will Support More Confident Long Term Outlook
Analysts have inched up their A$ fair value estimate for Karoon Energy from A$2.24 to A$2.26, reflecting updated assumptions for a slightly higher discount rate, softer revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Karoon Energy plans to put proposed amendments to its Constitution to a shareholder vote at the 2026 Annual General Meeting, scheduled for May 21, 2026.내러티브 업데이트 • May 30
KAR: Higher Margin Outlook And Governance Changes Will Shape Balanced Future Profile
Analysts have adjusted their valuation on Karoon Energy, lifting the fair value estimate from A$1.50 to A$1.80 as they factor in slightly softer forecast revenue declines, a higher projected profit margin and a marginally lower future P/E multiple, while applying a modestly higher discount rate. What's in the News Karoon Energy plans to put proposed amendments to its Constitution to a shareholder vote at the 2026 Annual General Meeting scheduled for May 21, 2026, which could affect how the company is governed going forward (Key Developments).
내러티브 업데이트 • May 11
Karoon Energy's Reserves Set to Soar Amid FPSO Efficiency Gains in 2026
Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX: KAR) Investment Memorandum (Updated 2026) 1. Executive Summary Karoon Energy is a mid-cap independent E&P company with core producing assets in Brazil (Baúna) and the U.S. Gulf of Mexico (Who Dat).
내러티브 업데이트 • May 01
KAR: Future Dividend And 2026 Production Guidance Will Support Bullish View
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Karoon Energy at A$2.85, with updated assumptions around higher forecast revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins and a marginally higher future P/E multiple shaping the latest price target view. What's in the News Karoon Energy plans to put proposed amendments to its Constitution to a shareholder vote at the 2026 Annual General Meeting on May 21, 2026 (company announcement).내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 17
KAR: Higher Margins And New CFO Hire Will Support Measured Outlook
Analysts have lifted their A$ fair value estimate for Karoon Energy from A$1.95 to about A$2.24, citing updated assumptions for a smaller revenue decline, higher profit margins, and a lower forward P/E multiple. What's in the News Karoon Energy appointed Eric Williams as Chief Financial Officer, effective 23 March 2026, succeeding Ray Church after more than 4.5 years in the role (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 02
KAR: Future Dividend And 2026 Production Guidance Will Underpin Bullish Outlook
The analyst price target for Karoon Energy has shifted from A$2.50 to A$2.85, reflecting updated assumptions around more moderate revenue growth, a slightly higher profit margin profile, and a revised forward P/E multiple, according to analysts. What's in the News Karoon Energy appointed Eric Williams as Chief Financial Officer, effective 23 March 2026, succeeding Ray Church after more than 4.5 years in the role (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 13
KAR: Future Dividend And 2026 Production Guidance Will Underpin Bullish Outlook
Analysts have lifted their A$ fair value estimate for Karoon Energy to A$2.50 from A$2.49, citing updated assumptions that include higher forecast revenue growth, a stronger profit margin profile, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Karoon Energy announced a new distribution of A$0.031 per ordinary share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, with an ex date of March 5, 2026, a record date of March 6, 2026, and payment scheduled for March 31, 2026 (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 27
KAR: Future Dividend And Production Guidance Will Underpin Bullish Outlook
Analysts have reduced their price target for Karoon Energy from A$2.70 to A$2.49, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Karoon Energy announced a distribution of A$0.031 per ordinary share for the six months ended 31 December 2025, with an ex date of 5 March 2026, record date of 6 March 2026 and payment date of 31 March 2026 (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 13
KAR: Higher Discount Rate And Margin Pressure Will Still Support Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Karoon Energy to A$1.95 from A$2.00, citing updated assumptions that reflect a slightly higher discount rate, softer revenue growth, a lower profit margin outlook and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly to A$1.95 from A$2.00.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 30
KAR: Future Profit Margin Reset Will Drive A$1.50 Downside Risk
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Karoon Energy from A$1.80 to A$1.50, citing updates to their models that now reflect a higher future P/E multiple, lower assumed profit margins, slightly softer revenue contraction and a modestly reduced discount rate. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are using the lower A$1.50 price target to flag what they see as a more balanced risk and reward profile for Karoon Energy, even with higher future P/E assumptions built into their models.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 15
KAR: Updated Leadership And Execution Will Support Upside Potential
Narrative update on Karoon Energy Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Karoon Energy from A$2.20 to about A$2.00, reflecting slightly lower long term margin and growth assumptions, alongside a modestly reduced P/E multiple and discount rate in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Analysts covering Karoon Energy are framing their views around how the updated fair value, margin outlook and P/E assumptions affect the risk and reward for shareholders.분석 기사 • Dec 18
Karoon Energy Ltd's (ASX:KAR) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.3x Karoon Energy Ltd ( ASX:KAR ) may be sending very bullish signals at...새로운 내러티브 • Aug 26
Karoon Energy will target efficiency and cost reduction with Brazilian FPSO acquisition
Karoon Energy Ltd – Fundamental Analysis Company Overview Karoon Energy Ltd is an ASX-listed international oil and gas exploration and production company with assets in: Brazil : Baúna Project (100% interest) USA : Who Dat, Dome Patrol, Abilene (various interests) Australia : Exploration assets Financial Performance 2024 Full-Year Highlights Revenue : US$776.5 million (+14% YoY) Underlying NPAT : US$214.0 million (+3% YoY) Statutory NPAT : US$127.5 million (↓39% YoY due to non-cash tax adjustments and exploration write-offs) Operating Cash Flow : US$434.6 million Free Cash Flow : US$176.6 million Net Debt : US$8.8 million (↓from US$103.7 million in 2023) Capital Returns : US$85.7 million (dividends + buybacks) Q2 2025 Performance Production (NRI) : 2.94 MMboe (↑25% QoQ) Sales Revenue : US$159.7 million (↑7% QoQ) Capex : US$102.9 million (includes Baúna FPSO acquisition) Net Debt : US$237.9 million (↑due to FPSO acquisition and buybacks) ⚙️ Operational Performance Baúna Project (Brazil) 2024 Production : 7.5 MMbbl FPSO Efficiency : 84.5% in 2024; targeted 88–92% in 2025 FPSO Acquisition : Completed April 2025; expected to reduce opex by US$4–6/bbl from 2026 SPS-92 ESP Issue : Temporary production drop; intervention planned for Q2 2026 Who Dat (USA) 2024 Production : 2.9 MMboe (NRI) 2025 Guidance : 2.3–2.8 MMboe Development : Sidetrack drilling and tieback studies underway; FID for East/South expected by early 2026 ️ Reserves & Resources 2P Reserves (2024) : 67.9 MMboe (↓from 77.5 MMboe due to production) 2C Contingent Resources : 121.4 MMboe (↑17% YoY) Includes Neon (Brazil) and Who Dat East/South (USA) Sustainability & ESG Carbon Neutral (Scope 1 & 2) : Achieved since FY21 Net Zero Target : By 2050 or sooner Social Projects : 21 planned for 2025; aligned with UN SDGs 2025 Guidance (as of August 2025) MetricGuidance Total Production9.7–10.5 MMboeUnit Production Cost (NWI)US$12.5–17.5/boeCapexUS$99–117 millionFinance CostsUS$50–60 millionPetrobras PaymentUS$88 million Investment Considerations ✅ Strengths Diversified production base (Brazil + USA) Strong cash generation and liquidity Strategic FPSO acquisition to improve efficiency Mature development pipeline (Neon, Who Dat East/South) Active capital return policy (dividends + buybacks) ⚠️ Risks Operational reliability issues (e.g., ESP failure at Baúna) High capex and net debt increase in 2025 Commodity price volatility Regulatory and environmental risks in Brazil and USA Conclusion Karoon Energy is fundamentally strong with solid financials, a diversified asset base, and a clear strategy for growth and shareholder returns. However, operational execution and commodity price stability will be key to sustaining performance.분석 기사 • May 15
It's Probably Less Likely That Karoon Energy Ltd's (ASX:KAR) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year
Key Insights Karoon Energy's Annual General Meeting to take place on 22nd of May Salary of US$602.6k is part of CEO...분석 기사 • May 12
Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX:KAR) Shares Fly 27% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Karoon Energy Ltd ( ASX:KAR ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand...
새로운 내러티브 • Mar 16
Bauna FPSO Acquisition And Neon Project Will Boost Future Profitability
Acquisition of Bauna FPSO and debottlenecking at Who Dat are expected to boost operational efficiency and revenue growth.분석 기사 • Feb 06
Weekly Picks: Bull and Bear cases for NVDA, plus KAR's low-cost advantage
Two of our picks this week are covering Nvidia, one argues the bullish case, and the other takes the bearish point of view. Our third pick covers Karoon energy and all the positive catalysts that the market seems to be missing.
새로운 내러티브 • Feb 03
Karoon Energy (ASX:KAR) - Buy Baby Buy 🚀
Forward Oil Price Projections: Established via a Monte Carlo simulation, incorporating geopolitical supply risks, OPEC+ output strategies, and long-term energy transition factors. The base case assume분석 기사 • Jul 04
Here's Why We Think Karoon Energy (ASX:KAR) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...분석 기사 • Jun 04
Earnings Working Against Karoon Energy Ltd's (ASX:KAR) Share Price
Karoon Energy Ltd's ( ASX:KAR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.7x might make it look like a strong buy right...분석 기사 • Mar 05
Is Now The Time To Put Karoon Energy (ASX:KAR) On Your Watchlist?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 588 | 119 | 214 | 283 | 9 |
| 12/31/2027 | 609 | 139 | 152 | 284 | 9 |
| 12/31/2026 | 582 | 94 | -22 | 231 | 9 |
| 12/31/2025 | 629 | 126 | -37 | 251 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 652 | 131 | -25 | 272 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 675 | 137 | -12 | 292 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 726 | 132 | 101 | 363 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 777 | 128 | 214 | 435 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 826 | 245 | -850 | 607 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 567 | 163 | -49 | 306 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 532 | 137 | -25 | 272 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 498 | 111 | 0 | 237 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 442 | 23 | 20 | 196 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 385 | -64 | 40 | 154 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 359 | -78 | 79 | 155 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 334 | -92 | 117 | 156 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 252 | -44 | -13 | 93 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 171 | 4 | -143 | 30 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 97 | -34 | -199 | -33 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 24 | -69 | -240 | -92 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 12 | -78 | -182 | -80 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | N/A | -86 | -120 | -67 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 1 | -49 | -90 | -45 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 1 | -21 | -74 | -22 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 1 | -17 | N/A | -18 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2 | -13 | N/A | -16 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1 | -66 | N/A | -17 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1 | -118 | N/A | -19 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1 | -126 | N/A | -19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1 | -135 | N/A | -19 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 0 | -109 | N/A | -25 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 0 | -79 | N/A | -31 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1 | -72 | N/A | -31 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1 | -63 | N/A | -29 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 1 | -42 | N/A | -27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1 | -21 | N/A | -24 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1 | -52 | N/A | -25 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1 | -78 | N/A | -23 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2 | -64 | N/A | -17 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2 | -45 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2 | 60 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: KAR 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(2.9%)이 saving rate(3.6%) 미만입니다.
수익 vs 시장: KAR 의 연간 수익(2.9%)이 Australian 시장(11.2%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: KAR 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.
수익 대 시장: KAR 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -1.3%).
고성장 매출: KAR 의 수익은 향후 3년 동안 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -1.3%).
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: KAR의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 8.9%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/08/01 18:19 |
| 종가 | 2026/07/31 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
|
* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델의 세부 정보는 당사의 GitHub 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 사용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공하고 있습니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Karoon Energy Ltd는 18명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 9명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Uwan Minogue | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Dale Koenders | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| James Redfern | BofA Global Research |