American Airlines Group 過去の業績
過去 基準チェック /16
American Airlines Groupは66.4%の年平均成長率で業績を伸ばしているが、Airlines業界はgrowingで45.9%毎年増加している。売上は成長しており、年平均16%の割合である。
主要情報
66.43%
収益成長率
68.91%
EPS成長率
| Airlines 業界の成長 | 0.092% |
| 収益成長率 | 15.97% |
| 株主資本利益率 | n/a |
| ネット・マージン | 0.36% |
| 前回の決算情報 | 31 Mar 2026 |
最近の業績更新
Recent updates
AAL: Rising Jet Fuel Costs Will Pressure Margins And Earnings Outlook
American Airlines Group's analyst price target has shifted modestly as mixed revisions across the Street, with some targets raised and others reduced by between $1 and $7, reflecting updated views on fuel cost pressures and revenue resilience. Analyst Commentary Recent research on American Airlines Group has centered on how higher jet fuel assumptions and mixed revenue expectations feed into valuation.AAL: Engineering the Global Premium Network Pivot toward the Realization of a Sustainable Operational Deleveraging Inflection Point
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL), the world’s largest airline by fleet size and a critical architect of the domestic hub and spoke model, is navigating a high stakes structural recovery in 2026.AAL: Higher Fuel Costs Will Constrain Margins And Future Earnings Flexibility
The analyst fair value estimate for American Airlines Group has shifted from $12.68 to $10.00. This reflects how recent Street research has been recalibrating revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations in light of higher fuel costs and mixed price target changes across firms.AAL: Fuel Resilience And Demand Strength Will Support Future Margin Execution
Narrative Update on American Airlines Group The updated analyst price target for American Airlines Group reflects a modest reset in fair value to $14.94, as analysts factor in higher fuel cost assumptions alongside relatively steady expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples across recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research around American Airlines Group has centered on resetting price targets to reflect higher fuel cost assumptions, with views split between those focused on demand resilience and those emphasizing margin pressure and balance of risks.AAL: Fuel Cost Headwinds Will Test Rebounding Demand And Margin Execution
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for American Airlines Group to $15.40 from $16.40. This reflects a reset in price targets as higher fuel cost assumptions temper P/E expectations, even as revenue growth and profit margin forecasts are revised modestly upward.American Airlines: Back In The Game
Summary American Airlines delivered a major Q1'26 guide-up, projecting revenue up 10% and a loss per share far better than consensus. AAL demonstrates resilience, absorbing $400M in higher fuel costs and outperforming expectations despite geopolitical and commodity headwinds. The airlines continues to drive the updated loyalty program towards $1.5B in additional pre-tax income by 2030, roughly double current levels. The stock trades at just 5x EPS targets that should reach $2, a valuation deeply discounted versus peers. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAAL: Revenue Initiatives And Demand Trends Are Expected To Offset Fuel Risks
Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for American Airlines Group to $22.00 from $21.00, as updated research reflects slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower discount rate, and a future P/E of about 8.1x, partly balanced by ongoing fuel cost concerns across recent Street reports. Analyst Commentary Street research on American Airlines Group over recent months has been mixed, with many firms revisiting estimates as fuel assumptions shift.AAL: Fuel Costs And Capacity Pressures Will Temper Execution Upside Potential
The latest analyst price target reset for American Airlines Group reflects a mix of higher Street targets and fresh caution on fuel and capacity. Our updated fair value is anchored at about $12.68 as analysts balance expectations for margin improvement against risks from rising costs and crowded domestic routes.AAL: Execution And Regulatory Setbacks Will Likely Cap Earnings Repricing Potential
The latest analyst price target update for American Airlines Group reflects a modest adjustment. Fair value has moved slightly to $12.68 as analysts factor in updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower discount rate supported by a series of recent target revisions and broader Q4 and 2026 outlooks for the airline group.AAL: Execution And Regulatory Risks Will Likely Restrain Margin-Driven Repricing
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for American Airlines Group higher to about US$12.69 from roughly US$10.81, citing Street research that points to stronger revenue initiatives, improving margin potential, and a recalibration of future P/E expectations across the airline group. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on American Airlines Group has been mixed, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they reassess revenue potential, cost trends, and the outlook for sector earnings over the next couple of years.AAL: Revenue Initiatives And Demand Momentum Are Expected To Support Upside
Analysts have lifted their implied price target for American Airlines Group to $21.00 from $18.74, citing higher modeled revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, a modestly lower profit margin assumption, and a richer future P/E multiple that reflect recent Street research highlighting revenue initiatives, demand momentum into 2026, and supportive industry commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted more constructive on American Airlines Group, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and revising their views to reflect what they see as a healthier setup into 2026.AAL: Rebounding Demand And Cost Actions Will Shape Measured Earnings Progress
Narrative Update: American Airlines Group The updated analyst price target for American Airlines Group increases to about US$16.40 from US$15.35, with analysts pointing to slightly higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as they refresh their views following recent sector research and Q4 earnings previews. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on American Airlines Group centers on refreshed Q4 earnings previews and updated 2026 outlooks, with several firms adjusting their price targets and reaffirming views on the stock.The "Big Four" Dominance
1. Fundamental Moat: The "Big Four" Dominance American Airlines is a cornerstone of the US "Big Four" legacy carriers.AAL: Rising Execution Risks Will Likely Cap Upside Amid Industry Shift
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on American Airlines Group, reflecting a fair value increase from roughly $9.00 to about $10.80 per share as they factor in improving revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and higher industry price targets from recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on American Airlines Group reflects a cautiously constructive but uneven backdrop, with a mix of higher price targets and restrained ratings that underscore lingering concerns around execution and competitive positioning.Even With A 26% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding American Airlines Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAL) Performance Completely
American Airlines Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAL ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last...AAL: Demand And Fare Tailwinds Will Support Gradual Earnings And Risk Rebalancing
American Airlines Group's fair value estimate has been modestly increased to $15.35 from $15.07, reflecting analysts' higher price targets, now as high as $20, supported by expectations of improving demand, firmer fare trends, and a more favorable long term earnings outlook for select U.S. carriers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a constructive but selective stance on American Airlines, with multiple price target increases signaling improved confidence in the companys medium term earnings power and balance of risk and reward.AAL: Sustained Demand And Pricing Momentum Will Drive Margin Expansion Ahead
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for American Airlines Group, reflecting greater confidence in the company's slight improvements in revenue growth and profit margin. The fair value estimate has risen from $15.02 to $15.07 based on updated industry outlooks and recent positive demand and pricing trends.AAL: Industry Shifts And Expense Pressures Will Shape Fair Value Outlook
American Airlines Group's analyst price target has increased from $14.55 to $15.02. This reflects moderate optimism among analysts amid encouraging industry trends and updated financial estimates.Industry Transformation And Demand Shifts Will Shape Airline Performance Ahead
American Airlines Group’s analyst price target has increased from $14.23 to $14.55. Analysts cite improved demand, positive fare trends, and continued industry transformation as key drivers for the upward revision.Domestic Recovery And Upgraded Fleet Will Sustain Future Success
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for American Airlines Group from $13.88 to $14.23, citing recent improvements in profit margins and resilient demand trends within the broader airline sector. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst evaluations have reflected both optimism and caution regarding American Airlines Group.Domestic Recovery And Upgraded Fleet Will Sustain Future Success
The consensus analyst price target for American Airlines Group has been revised upward to $13.88, as improving demand and fare trends offset cost pressures and drive more optimistic long-term earnings forecasts, though valuation concerns and peer competition remain headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note improving demand and fare trends that are helping offset modest cost pressures in the airline sector.American Airlines is the ugly duckling in the US airlines industry
American aims to improve yields by doubling down on Premium Economy I wouldn't go so far as to change my general description of American Airlines as one of the most precarious legacy carriers out there, completely at the mercy of its creditors and, thus, benign refinancing conditions. Yet not only does the latter stand to materialise now that the Fed has restarted to cut interest rates; American also aims to double down just on the right lever to improve its business operationally.Domestic Recovery And Upgraded Fleet Will Sustain Future Success
Analysts cite a more balanced risk/reward profile and less favorable competitive trends versus peers as reasons for their caution on American Airlines, resulting in only a modest price target increase from $13.43 to $13.58. Analyst Commentary Valuation concerns as the stock has approached its prior $14 price target.American Airlines Group's (NASDAQ:AAL) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point
American Airlines Group Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:AAL ) earnings announcement last week was disappointing for investors, despite...When Should You Buy American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL)?
American Airlines Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAL ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise...American Airlines: Rating Downgrade On Huge Debt
Summary American Airlines posted a Q1 loss due to soft domestic demand and increased regional airline costs, despite stable revenues year-on-year. The company has pulled its full-year guidance, citing significant uncertainty and weak domestic market conditions impacting main cabin bookings. American Airlines faces a huge debt load, expected to reach $35 billion by 2027, leading to a downgrade from strong buy to speculative buy. The stock is undervalued, but carries significant risk due to operational challenges and high debt, with a revised price target of $18.65. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAmerican Airlines: Industry Profits Will Fall Until Consolidation Limits Competition
Summary Although American Airlines has fallen by around 40% from its recent peak, its enterprise value is down only around 11-12%. Like most large airlines, American has seen its operating margins compress in the long run due to excessive supply and demand competition over the past decade. Of the largest four US Airlines, American likely has the highest risk of bankruptcy in a recession event, mitigated by the potential for government intervention or a merger. Recent economic data show that air travel demand has stagnated and may decline, given the sharp decline in consumer economic stability. I would avoid most airline stocks as long-term investments until the industry faces a consolidation wave that limits excessive competition among the 'Big Four.' Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAmerican Airlines is the ugly duckling in the US airlines industry
There's a single reason why American is the least attractive of US legacy carriers (in terms of investing, anyway): its balance sheet.If most airlines and certainly those in the US are loaded up to thAmerican Airlines' Stock Is Losing Altitude - Here's Why I'm Short
Summary I believe American Airlines’ lowered Q1 guidance signals deeper demand issues, extending beyond leisure into corporate travel, making me skeptical of a quick rebound in 2025. I anticipate that tariffs and government cost-cutting initiatives will hit business travel, a key profit driver for the airline. I find AAL’s price action weak, with the next historical support nearly 25% below current levels. I bought September 2025 $11 puts early on the March 11 session when IV was reasonable. Now, I wouldn’t enter a position at current IV levels considering the 5.5% selloff. I caution that any shift in tariff policies could drive a reversal in price direction, making this a high-risk bet. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAmerican Airlines: Only The Start
Summary American Airlines Group Inc.'s Q4 results highlight significant improvements in financials despite ongoing headwinds. The expanded AAdvantage loyalty program with Citigroup is set to nearly double pre-tax income over ~5 years. Despite higher debt and new union costs, American Airlines forecasts strong free cash flow and EPS growth in 2025. Investors should consider the current dip to $15 as a solid entry point, with the stock trading at only 5x 2026 EPS targets. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNew Citi Partnership And Fleet Expansion Will Boost Customer Experience And Demand
New contracts and partnerships improve cost certainty and revenue, boosting margins and profitability.Why Did American Airlines Stock Drop After Q4 Earnings?
Summary American Airlines reported strong Q4 earnings, driven by lower fuel costs, but saw an 8.7% stock drop due to a soft 2025 EPS outlook. Despite the drop, AAL stock has gained 14.4% since hitting my $17.85 price target, and I now see a potential $22.87 target. The company plans to reduce debt by $4 billion by FY2027, focusing less on shareholder returns compared to peers like United and Delta. Given the 36% discount to peers and expected earnings growth, American Airlines is a strong buy, despite higher risks from leverage and capital expenditures. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAmerican Airlines: Operating Margins Are Improving, But Now 'Priced For Perfection'
Summary American Airlines Group Inc. is expected to see significant EPS growth in Q4, driven by lower fuel costs, strong holiday travel demand, and lower labor and capital cost pressures. Spirit Airlines' failure has likely eased labor and capital cost pressures across the industry, benefiting AAL's profit margins and competitive position. Despite recent stock gains, AAL's high debt load and potential risks from rising fuel prices and economic slowdown warrant a cautious outlook. AAL's current valuation seems overly optimistic, with potential downside risks outweighing rewards, leading to a slightly bearish long-term view. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAmerican Airlines Is Poised To Continue Its Ascent
Summary U.S. airline stocks saw significant stock growth in 2025 with American Airlines outperforming in December 2024. AAL's strategic focus on the southern U.S. and premium domestic travel, coupled with a new exclusive credit card partnership, supports future revenue growth. AAL's fleet modernization, including the Airbus A321XLR, and strong transatlantic joint ventures position it well for international expansion. AAL is addressing its high debt and has recently settled with its flight attendant union. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAmerican Airlines: No Bankruptcy Fear, But I Watch The Debt Load
Summary Airline stocks are volatile; American Airlines struggles with long-term value but offers short-term gains for risk-takers, evidenced by recent stock performance. Q2 results show modest revenue growth but declining unit revenues and rising controllable costs, pressuring operating margins. The 2024 outlook predicts further margin pressure due to higher costs and declining unit revenues, despite capacity increases. Maintaining a buy rating, but American Airlines' significant debt and long-term debt management remain critical concerns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAmerican Airlines: Earnings Tailwind Expected While Debt Picture Improves
Summary American Airlines gets buy rating as continued strong travel demand expected to fuel further revenue growth in near future, helping earnings. Although having a negative equity, the firm is showing signs of reducing its debt load, which could help reduce interest expenses in the future. The airline is #3 in US market share and has over 900 aircraft as well as many global destinations, fueling its brand presence and reputation. With its valuation mixed but trading well below its 1 year highs, it presents an interesting opportunity for upside potential. The future impact of a potential recession on travel spending has calmed down since recent analyses point to lower likelihood of a recession. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAmerican Airlines: Look Past S&P 500 Exit
Summary American Airlines is being removed from the S&P 500 despite a forecasted profit rebound, presenting a buying opportunity near COVID lows. Historical data shows stocks often rally after exiting major indexes. Recent examples include Comerica and Illumina. Industry improvements are evident with Delta, JetBlue, and Alaska Airlines guiding up numbers, benefiting American Airlines' future performance. American Airlines' revised sales strategy should boost profits, aiming for $3 EPS by 2025/26, making current stock valuations attractive. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAmerican Airlines: 2025 Refinancing Risks Grow As Air Travel Demand Peaks
Summary American Airlines stock has declined by 35% since March, while short interest on it has risen to 12.7%, indicating hedge funds or speculators may be betting on continued declines. AAL's financial stability is at risk due to high debt, declining profitability, and a potential decline in airline demand. To me, this makes it the least solvent US airline after Spirit. I expect AAL's operating margins to continue to slide, with recession risks potentially exacerbating negative headwinds in 2025. American Airlines' refinancing risks appear high, with over $4B in current LT debt maturities and negative free cash flow. AAL's stability will likely depend on Federal Reserve stimulus, with significant rate cuts potentially necessary to carry it through its refinancing pressures. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAmerican Airlines: Underperformance Continues As Growth Is Sputtering (Rating Upgrade)
Summary American Airlines stock underperformed the index by over 75% since my Strong Sell rating last year. Company fundamentals remain weak with flat revenues and a challenged balance sheet. If this is how the performance and the financials look in a "good" environment I hate to think how this will turn out if we actually realize a recession. At its present levels the valuation is fair and rating the stock as a Hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha収支内訳
American Airlines Group の稼ぎ方とお金の使い方。LTMベースの直近の報告された収益に基づく。
収益と収入の歴史
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | G+A経費 | 研究開発費 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 55,994 | 202 | 2,054 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 54,633 | 111 | 1,997 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 54,294 | 602 | 1,948 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 54,250 | 567 | 1,933 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 54,192 | 685 | 1,854 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 54,211 | 846 | 1,812 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 53,613 | 275 | 1,773 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 53,448 | -121 | 1,736 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 53,169 | 500 | 1,769 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 52,788 | 822 | 1,799 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 52,914 | 1,606 | 1,841 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 52,894 | 2,634 | 1,906 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 52,261 | 1,772 | 1,921 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 48,971 | 127 | 1,815 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 45,210 | -1,608 | 1,684 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 40,717 | -1,921 | 1,507 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 34,773 | -2,378 | 1,279 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 29,882 | -1,993 | 1,098 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 24,483 | -3,239 | 871 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 18,686 | -5,808 | 651 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 12,830 | -7,894 | 432 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 17,337 | -8,885 | 666 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 24,622 | -6,293 | 948 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 33,361 | -3,469 | 1,273 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 43,699 | -740 | 1,617 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 45,768 | 1,686 | 2,004 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 45,393 | 1,596 | 1,578 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 45,041 | 1,543 | 1,549 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 44,724 | 1,438 | 1,534 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 44,541 | 1,412 | 1,520 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 44,214 | 505 | 1,519 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 43,619 | 794 | 1,525 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 43,203 | 1,101 | 1,515 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 42,622 | 1,282 | 1,477 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 41,800 | 2,154 | 1,427 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 41,429 | 2,230 | 1,375 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 40,565 | 2,316 | 1,333 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 40,142 | 2,584 | 1,323 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 40,021 | 5,668 | 1,333 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 40,134 | 6,624 | 1,350 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 40,598 | 7,378 | 1,366 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 40,990 | 7,610 | 1,394 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 41,520 | 4,926 | 1,399 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 41,953 | 4,175 | 1,426 | 0 |
質の高い収益: AALには$175.0M } という大きな 一回限りの 損失があり、過去 12 か月の財務実績が31st March, 2026に影響を及ぼしています。
利益率の向上: AALの現在の純利益率 (0.4%)は、昨年(1.3%)よりも低くなっています。
フリー・キャッシュフローと収益の比較
過去の収益成長分析
収益動向: AAL過去 5 年間で収益を上げており、収益は年間66.4%増加しています。
成長の加速: AALは過去 1 年間の収益成長がマイナスであったため、5 年間の平均と比較することはできません。
収益対業界: AALは過去 1 年間で収益成長率がマイナス ( -70.5% ) となったため、 Airlines業界平均 ( 17.2% ) と比較することが困難です。
株主資本利益率
高いROE: AALの負債は資産を上回っているため、自己資本利益率を計算することは困難です。
総資産利益率
使用総資本利益率
過去の好業績企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日(UTC時間) |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/05/22 00:09 |
| 終値 | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
American Airlines Group Inc. 21 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。40
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| Brandon Oglenski | Barclays |
| Brandon Oglenski | Barclays |