Elastic N.V.

NYSE:ESTC 株式レポート

時価総額:US$5.7b

Elastic バランスシートの健全性

財務の健全性 基準チェック /56

Elasticの総株主資本は$791.0M 、総負債は$570.6Mで、負債比率は72.1%となります。総資産と総負債はそれぞれ$2.4Bと$1.6Bです。

主要情報

72.14%

負債資本比率

US$570.60m

負債

インタレスト・カバレッジ・レシオn/a
現金US$1.25b
エクイティUS$790.99m
負債合計US$1.65b
総資産US$2.44b

財務の健全性に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 May 18

ESTC: AI Workloads And Larger Deals Will Support Future Upside

Elastic's analyst price targets have generally shifted lower, with cuts ranging from about $5 to $35 as analysts factor in softer cloud momentum, a more cautious revenue outlook, and a slightly higher assumed discount rate, even as they point to steady self managed demand and ongoing interest in AI driven use cases. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge the recent round of price target cuts but still point to several positives around Elastic's execution, especially in self managed deployments and AI focused workloads.
ナラティブの更新 May 02

ESTC: AI Workloads And Larger Deals Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Narrative Update on Elastic The updated analyst price target for Elastic edges higher to $112.23 from $110.90. This reflects models that now assume more moderate revenue growth and profit margins alongside a much higher future P/E, in line with recent Street research that pairs cautious cloud and AI adoption expectations with ongoing interest in Elastic as an observability and data infrastructure name.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 17

ESTC: AI And Self Managed Demand Will Support Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average Elastic price targets by $10 to reflect more cautious assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and cloud adoption, even as they continue to highlight ongoing AI and self managed demand as key supports for the story. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, bearish analysts have largely focused on resetting expectations for Elastic by trimming price targets, even when they acknowledge solid Q3 execution and ongoing interest in AI use cases.
Seeking Alpha Apr 07

Elastic: AI Resistant, Strong Growth, And Great Value

Summary Elastic remains fundamentally strong despite a ~30% YTD decline and sector-wide SaaS selloff. ESTC's consumption-based pricing model and 112% net retention rate insulate it from AI-driven layoffs and churn. AI trends may serve as a tailwind for ESTC, supporting its complex, developer-focused search platform. With high-teens growth and margins, ESTC trades at just 2.3x FY27 EV/revenue, making the current dip a buying opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 Apr 03

ESTC: AI Demand And Larger Deals Will Support Future Upside Potential

Elastic's analyst price targets have been reset lower, with cuts ranging from about $5 to $35 as analysts factor in Q3 cloud softness, conservative guidance, and updated AI adoption expectations, despite generally solid reported results. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Elastic reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance, with many firms trimming price targets after the Q3 print while still pointing to solid execution, ongoing AI traction, and potential for subscription driven growth.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 20

ESTC: AI Demand And Larger Deals Will Drive Future Upside

Elastic's fair value estimate has been revised from $119.00 to $110.90 as analysts factor in lower Street price targets, more conservative revenue growth assumptions, and stronger profitability supported by AI driven demand and solid self managed and SaaS performance. Analyst Commentary Street research on Elastic has shifted toward more conservative price targets, but many firms still highlight constructive views on execution, AI driven demand, and the mix of self managed and SaaS revenue.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 06

ESTC: AI Adoption And Self Managed Demand Will Support Future Upside Potential

Elastic's fair value estimate has been reduced from about $89.66 to $60.00 as analysts trim price targets following solid Q3 results, paired with more cautious revenue guidance, softer cloud momentum, and a greater mix of self managed deployments as customers focus on tighter AI related cost controls. Analyst Commentary Street research around Elastic has turned more cautious, even as many firms acknowledge solid Q3 execution.
ナラティブの更新 Feb 20

ESTC: GenAI And Data Demand Will Support Upside Through Cloud Volatility

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Elastic, with our fair value estimate moving from about $104.54 to $99.63 as several firms cut targets into the $77 to $115 range, while still pointing to solid demand checks for data infrastructure and a specific preference for Elastic within software coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that while price targets on Elastic are coming down, many firms still see the company as one of the more attractive names within data infrastructure and broader software coverage.
ナラティブの更新 Feb 05

ESTC: GenAI And Large Deals Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Elastic to $119 from about $137, reflecting a series of reduced price targets that weigh a slightly higher discount rate and a lower assumed future P/E against ongoing expectations for steady revenue growth and modestly improving margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Elastic has centered on recalibrated price targets after a mixed fiscal Q2, with most firms keeping positive views on execution and long term demand drivers.
ナラティブの更新 Jan 22

ESTC: GenAI And Large Deals Will Drive Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Elastic across several firms, and our updated fair value estimate now aligns slightly lower. This reflects mixed Q2 results, slower cloud growth, and peer multiple compression, even as analysts point to raised FY26 guidance, large deal progress, and ongoing GenAI and observability opportunities as supportive factors.
ナラティブの更新 Jan 07

ESTC: GenAI And Large Deals Will Support Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Elastic from about $140.57 to roughly $137.33. This reflects lower price targets across Wall Street as they weigh mixed Q2 results, softer cloud trends, higher assumed discount rates, a reduced profit margin outlook, and a materially higher future P/E assumption.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 20

ESTC: GenAI Demand Will Drive Long-Term Upside Despite Near-Term Cloud Headwinds

Analysts have modestly trimmed their fair value estimate for Elastic to approximately $104.54 from about $106.22. This reflects lowered price targets across the Street as mixed Q2 execution, softer cloud momentum, and broader multiple compression temper enthusiasm around otherwise solid large deal activity, GenAI progress, and raised long term guidance.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 06

ESTC: GenAI Adoption And Large Deal Momentum Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Elastic to about $106 from roughly $108, citing mixed Q2 execution, slowing cloud momentum, and a modestly higher risk profile, even as they highlight resilient large deal activity, raised long term guidance, and growing GenAI opportunities. Analyst Commentary Analyst opinion on Elastic is split, with several firms trimming price targets but maintaining constructive views on the company’s long term positioning, while others have moved to the sidelines amid concerns about execution and valuation following the latest quarter.
分析記事 Nov 23

Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) Price Target After Its Latest Report

One of the biggest stories of last week was how Elastic N.V. ( NYSE:ESTC ) shares plunged 23% in the week since its...
ナラティブの更新 Nov 21

ESTC: GenAI Adoption And Expanding Pipelines Will Drive Platform Differentiation

Elastic's fair value estimate has been reduced from $120.16 to $107.96. Analysts point to a series of mixed quarterly results and ongoing segment shifts, despite an improved long-term outlook and strengthening profit margins.
ナラティブの更新 Aug 27

GenAI And Serverless Expansion Will Drive Future Success

Elastic’s consensus price target saw a modest downgrade to $108.65 as analysts weighed intensifying AI competition and conservative CFO guidance against the company’s AI and subscription growth potential, with shares remaining attractively valued versus software peers. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note Elastic is favorably positioned for revenue upside and generative AI optionality, highlighting potential acceleration in key subscription revenue metrics.
分析記事 Aug 05

Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) Shares Could Be 42% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

NYSE:ESTC 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Elastic's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Key...
分析記事 Jul 07

Is There Now An Opportunity In Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC)?

Elastic N.V. ( NYSE:ESTC ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...
分析記事 Jun 02

Elastic (NYSE:ESTC) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Seeking Alpha Feb 26

Elastic: Rolling Up And Forward

Summary I initially valued Elastic at $95 in September using a DCF model and recommended a covered Call strategy due to slight bullishness. Elastic's stock appreciated to $104.9, leading to a potential 20.3% ROI in 6 months from my covered Call, though a higher strike could have yielded 35%. Elastic's strong economic moat in Search and moderate moats in Security and Observability support its valuation, despite challenges in passing the Rule of 40. Rolling up and forward the Call option can increase maximum ROI to 41.66% in one year, with slightly higher risk from a new break-even at $70.59. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 29

Elastic: Great Buying Opportunity After A Year Of Consolidation (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Elastic's stock has been volatile, dropping from $136 to $70 in 2024, but now presents a compelling buy opportunity after a year of consolidation. Previous Hold rating was due to elevated valuation, increased competition, and slowing growth; these concerns have now diminished. Recent quarterly results show strength, with a more appealing valuation, a promising new business model, and strong financials. Technical analysis indicates strong support around $95-100, suggesting potential for upward movement, supported by converging price and trading volumes. ESTC might reach $150-220 in 2026 if the company executes its strategy effectively. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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新しいナラティブ Jan 26

Investment In GenAI And Sales Expansion Will Strengthen Future Market Share

Strategic focus on generative AI and platform consolidation is enhancing market position and driving future revenue growth.
Seeking Alpha Jan 04

Elastic: Staying On The Sidelines For Now

Summary I am neutral on Elastic (ESTC) due to the need for tangible growth acceleration to justify a higher valuation multiple. Current bookings metrics do not reflect strong underlying demand, raising concerns. Given the uncertainty, I prefer to wait on the sidelines until ESTC demonstrates clear signs of growth acceleration. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 11

Elastic: Caution Is Warranted

Summary Elastic's stock rebounded post-Q2 earnings, supported by the exit of the company’s CFO and growing optimization regarding sales productivity. Elastic's exposure to generative AI is a positive, but competition is fierce, and tailwinds already appear to be moderating. Elastic's modest growth, low services gross margins, modest net customer additions and weak net expansion rate are concerning. Given Elastic's current valuation and growth trajectory, the stock is unlikely to perform well over the next 12 months. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

財務状況分析

短期負債: ESTCの 短期資産 ( $1.8B ) が 短期負債 ( $983.2M ) を超えています。

長期負債: ESTCの短期資産 ( $1.8B ) が 長期負債 ( $664.2M ) を上回っています。


デット・ツー・エクイティの歴史と分析

負債レベル: ESTC総負債よりも多くの現金を保有しています。

負債の削減: ESTCの負債対資本比率は、過去 5 年間で0%から72.1%に増加しました。


貸借対照表


キャッシュ・ランウェイ分析

過去に平均して赤字であった企業については、少なくとも1年間のキャッシュ・ランウェイがあるかどうかを評価する。

安定したキャッシュランウェイ: 利益は出ていないものの、 ESTCは現在のプラスの フリーキャッシュフロー レベルを維持すれば、3 年以上は十分な キャッシュランウェイ を有しています。

キャッシュランウェイの予測: ESTCは利益は出ていませんが、フリーキャッシュフローがプラスであり、年間60.6 % 増加しているため、3 年以上は十分なキャッシュランウェイがあります。


健全な企業の発掘

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/05/25 21:59
終値2026/05/22 00:00
収益2026/01/31
年間収益2025/04/30

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Elastic N.V. 28 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。38

アナリスト機関
Shrenik KothariBaird
Raimo LenschowBarclays
William Kingsley CraneBerenberg