Elastic 将来の成長
Future 基準チェック /26
Elasticの収益は年間55.1%で減少すると予測されていますが、年間収益は年間13.7%で増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 減少すると予測されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に24.5% 58.4%なると予測されています。
主要情報
-55.1%
収益成長率
-58.43%
EPS成長率
| Software 収益成長 | 20.4% |
| 収益成長率 | 13.7% |
| 将来の株主資本利益率 | 24.45% |
| アナリストカバレッジ | Good |
| 最終更新日 | 10 Sep 2026 |
今後の成長に関する最新情報
Recent updates
ナラティブ更新 • Sep 03
ESTC: AI Demand Uncertainty Will Cap Future Share Price Upside
The fair value estimate for Elastic has been raised from $53.00 to about $67.59 as analysts lift price targets into upcoming earnings, citing expectations for healthy sales led subscription trends, improving profit margins, and cautious optimism around AI driven search and security demand, despite still elevated execution and valuation risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Elastic highlights a mix of optimism on long term potential and caution on near term execution.Seeking Alpha • Aug 28
Elastic: No SaaSpocalypse Here As Revenue Continues To Accelerate
Summary Elastic delivered strong fiscal Q1 results, raised full-year guidance, and saw a ~15% post-earnings stock surge. ESTC’s consumption-based model insulates it from per-seat SaaS risks and positions it to benefit from rising data usage and AI trends. Net expansion rates exceed 110% and backlog growth outpaces revenue, signaling robust customer engagement and future revenue visibility. With nearly $1 billion net cash, a $500 million buyback, and high-teen growth/margins, ESTC remains attractively valued and a continued "Buy." Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 17
ESTC: AI Search And Security Demand Will Drive Future Upside
Elastic's analyst fair value estimate has moved from $106.01 to $111.35 as analysts factor in updated views on revenue growth, profitability and P/E assumptions, alongside recent price target changes clustered around expectations for AI search, security demand and subscription momentum. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Elastic shows a wide spread of views, but bullish analysts are increasingly highlighting specific execution drivers such as sales led subscription growth, AI search use cases and security demand.ナラティブ更新 • Jul 15
ESTC: AI Monetization Uncertainty Will Limit Future Share Price Upside
Elastic's updated analyst price target edges higher to $53.00, with analysts pointing to a modest adjustment in long term revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple to reflect ongoing AI related opportunities and execution risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Elastic shows a mixed but cautious tone, with many bearish analysts trimming price targets as they reassess growth visibility, AI monetization, and execution risk following recent results and guidance.ナラティブ更新 • Jul 01
ESTC: AI Demand And Large Deals Will Drive Future Upside
Elastic's analyst-derived fair value estimate has been trimmed from $112.23 to $106.01 as analysts recalibrate price targets in light of mixed post-earnings commentary, leadership changes, and questions around the timing of AI-driven revenue acceleration. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Elastic highlights a split view, but there are clear pockets of optimism around the company’s AI positioning, large customer activity, and the potential for bookings and sales-led subscriptions to influence valuation over time.
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 17
ESTC: AI Data Demand And RPO Strength Will Drive Stock Upside
Elastic's updated analyst price target moves down from about $100 to roughly $75, as analysts factor in tempered revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with mixed signals on AI driven demand and subscription momentum. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Elastic reflects a wide range of opinions, with price targets spanning from the mid US$50s to just above US$100.ナラティブ更新 • Jun 02
ESTC: AI Demand And Cloud Headwinds Will Limit Future Upside Potential
Elastic's updated fair value estimate moves from $60.00 to about $49.36 as analysts adjust their price targets and valuation multiples in response to mixed signals around AI driven growth, cloud revenue trends, and the timing of sales led subscription acceleration. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Elastic points to a more cautious tone, even where ratings remain positive.ナラティブ更新 • May 18
ESTC: AI Workloads And Larger Deals Will Support Future Upside
Elastic's analyst price targets have generally shifted lower, with cuts ranging from about $5 to $35 as analysts factor in softer cloud momentum, a more cautious revenue outlook, and a slightly higher assumed discount rate, even as they point to steady self managed demand and ongoing interest in AI driven use cases. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge the recent round of price target cuts but still point to several positives around Elastic's execution, especially in self managed deployments and AI focused workloads.ナラティブ更新 • May 02
ESTC: AI Workloads And Larger Deals Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Narrative Update on Elastic The updated analyst price target for Elastic edges higher to $112.23 from $110.90. This reflects models that now assume more moderate revenue growth and profit margins alongside a much higher future P/E, in line with recent Street research that pairs cautious cloud and AI adoption expectations with ongoing interest in Elastic as an observability and data infrastructure name.ナラティブ更新 • Apr 17
ESTC: AI And Self Managed Demand Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed their average Elastic price targets by $10 to reflect more cautious assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and cloud adoption, even as they continue to highlight ongoing AI and self managed demand as key supports for the story. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, bearish analysts have largely focused on resetting expectations for Elastic by trimming price targets, even when they acknowledge solid Q3 execution and ongoing interest in AI use cases.ナラティブ更新 • Apr 03
ESTC: AI Demand And Larger Deals Will Support Future Upside Potential
Elastic's analyst price targets have been reset lower, with cuts ranging from about $5 to $35 as analysts factor in Q3 cloud softness, conservative guidance, and updated AI adoption expectations, despite generally solid reported results. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Elastic reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance, with many firms trimming price targets after the Q3 print while still pointing to solid execution, ongoing AI traction, and potential for subscription driven growth.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 20
ESTC: AI Demand And Larger Deals Will Drive Future Upside
Elastic's fair value estimate has been revised from $119.00 to $110.90 as analysts factor in lower Street price targets, more conservative revenue growth assumptions, and stronger profitability supported by AI driven demand and solid self managed and SaaS performance. Analyst Commentary Street research on Elastic has shifted toward more conservative price targets, but many firms still highlight constructive views on execution, AI driven demand, and the mix of self managed and SaaS revenue.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 06
ESTC: AI Adoption And Self Managed Demand Will Support Future Upside Potential
Elastic's fair value estimate has been reduced from about $89.66 to $60.00 as analysts trim price targets following solid Q3 results, paired with more cautious revenue guidance, softer cloud momentum, and a greater mix of self managed deployments as customers focus on tighter AI related cost controls. Analyst Commentary Street research around Elastic has turned more cautious, even as many firms acknowledge solid Q3 execution.ナラティブ更新 • Feb 20
ESTC: GenAI And Data Demand Will Support Upside Through Cloud Volatility
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Elastic, with our fair value estimate moving from about $104.54 to $99.63 as several firms cut targets into the $77 to $115 range, while still pointing to solid demand checks for data infrastructure and a specific preference for Elastic within software coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that while price targets on Elastic are coming down, many firms still see the company as one of the more attractive names within data infrastructure and broader software coverage.ナラティブ更新 • Feb 05
ESTC: GenAI And Large Deals Will Shape Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Elastic to $119 from about $137, reflecting a series of reduced price targets that weigh a slightly higher discount rate and a lower assumed future P/E against ongoing expectations for steady revenue growth and modestly improving margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Elastic has centered on recalibrated price targets after a mixed fiscal Q2, with most firms keeping positive views on execution and long term demand drivers.ナラティブ更新 • Jan 22
ESTC: GenAI And Large Deals Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Elastic across several firms, and our updated fair value estimate now aligns slightly lower. This reflects mixed Q2 results, slower cloud growth, and peer multiple compression, even as analysts point to raised FY26 guidance, large deal progress, and ongoing GenAI and observability opportunities as supportive factors.ナラティブ更新 • Jan 07
ESTC: GenAI And Large Deals Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Elastic from about $140.57 to roughly $137.33. This reflects lower price targets across Wall Street as they weigh mixed Q2 results, softer cloud trends, higher assumed discount rates, a reduced profit margin outlook, and a materially higher future P/E assumption.ナラティブ更新 • Dec 20
ESTC: GenAI Demand Will Drive Long-Term Upside Despite Near-Term Cloud Headwinds
Analysts have modestly trimmed their fair value estimate for Elastic to approximately $104.54 from about $106.22. This reflects lowered price targets across the Street as mixed Q2 execution, softer cloud momentum, and broader multiple compression temper enthusiasm around otherwise solid large deal activity, GenAI progress, and raised long term guidance.ナラティブ更新 • Dec 06
ESTC: GenAI Adoption And Large Deal Momentum Will Drive Long-Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Elastic to about $106 from roughly $108, citing mixed Q2 execution, slowing cloud momentum, and a modestly higher risk profile, even as they highlight resilient large deal activity, raised long term guidance, and growing GenAI opportunities. Analyst Commentary Analyst opinion on Elastic is split, with several firms trimming price targets but maintaining constructive views on the company’s long term positioning, while others have moved to the sidelines amid concerns about execution and valuation following the latest quarter.分析記事 • Nov 23
Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) Price Target After Its Latest Report
One of the biggest stories of last week was how Elastic N.V. ( NYSE:ESTC ) shares plunged 23% in the week since its...ナラティブ更新 • Nov 21
ESTC: GenAI Adoption And Expanding Pipelines Will Drive Platform Differentiation
Elastic's fair value estimate has been reduced from $120.16 to $107.96. Analysts point to a series of mixed quarterly results and ongoing segment shifts, despite an improved long-term outlook and strengthening profit margins.ナラティブ更新 • Aug 27
GenAI And Serverless Expansion Will Drive Future Success
Elastic’s consensus price target saw a modest downgrade to $108.65 as analysts weighed intensifying AI competition and conservative CFO guidance against the company’s AI and subscription growth potential, with shares remaining attractively valued versus software peers. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note Elastic is favorably positioned for revenue upside and generative AI optionality, highlighting potential acceleration in key subscription revenue metrics.業績と収益の成長予測
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | フリー・キャッシュフロー | 営業活動によるキャッシュ | 平均アナリスト数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/30/2029 | 2,637 | 161 | 598 | 671 | 12 |
| 4/30/2028 | 2,300 | 89 | 533 | 542 | 28 |
| 4/30/2027 | 2,005 | 30 | 424 | 423 | 27 |
| 7/31/2026 | 1,802 | 376 | 349 | 354 | N/A |
| 4/30/2026 | 1,739 | 368 | 322 | 327 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 1,677 | -85 | 257 | 261 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 1,609 | -109 | 302 | 306 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 1,551 | -83 | 314 | 318 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 1,483 | -108 | 262 | 266 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 1,430 | -133 | 237 | 240 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 1,376 | 60 | 201 | 204 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 1,321 | 61 | 160 | 164 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 1,267 | 62 | 145 | 149 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 1,212 | 56 | 111 | 115 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 1,159 | -193 | 67 | 70 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 1,113 | -215 | 80 | 83 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 1,069 | -236 | 33 | 36 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 1,028 | -255 | 2 | 5 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 978 | -239 | -2 | 3 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 919 | -239 | -24 | -18 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 862 | -204 | -2 | 6 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 801 | -182 | 0 | 7 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 734 | -163 | 15 | 22 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 673 | -145 | 9 | 15 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 608 | -129 | 18 | 23 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 555 | -117 | 15 | 18 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 511 | -124 | -28 | -24 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 467 | -144 | -11 | -7 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 428 | -167 | N/A | -31 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 385 | -171 | N/A | -44 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 342 | -148 | N/A | -30 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 305 | -125 | N/A | -31 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 272 | -102 | N/A | -24 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 241 | -89 | N/A | -28 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 211 | -81 | N/A | -21 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 185 | -61 | N/A | -17 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 160 | -53 | N/A | -21 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 88 | -52 | N/A | -16 | N/A |
アナリストによる今後の成長予測
収入対貯蓄率: ESTCの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-55.1% )。
収益対市場: ESTCの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-55.1% )。
高成長収益: ESTCの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています。
収益対市場: ESTCの収益 ( 13.7% ) US市場 ( 13.4% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。
高い収益成長: ESTCの収益 ( 13.7% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。
一株当たり利益成長率予想
将来の株主資本利益率
将来のROE: ESTCの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には高くなると予測されています ( 24.5 %)
成長企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/09/11 23:14 |
| 終値 | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/07/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2026/04/30 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
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| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した ご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Elastic N.V. 28 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。34
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Shrenik Kothari | Baird |
| Raimo Lenschow | Barclays |
| William Kingsley Crane | Berenberg |