Wayfair Inc.

NYSE:W 株式レポート

時価総額：US$8.2b

Wayfair 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /36

Wayfairは、58.5%と5.4%でそれぞれ年率58.5%で利益と収益が成長すると予測される一方、EPSはgrowで60.5%年率。

主要情報

58.5%

収益成長率

60.53%

EPS成長率

Specialty Retail 収益成長9.7%
収益成長率5.4%
将来の株主資本利益率n/a
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日14 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Apr 30

Wayfair: A Strategic Dip To Buy As Margins Rise (Upgrade)

Summary Wayfair reported strong Q1 results that featured stable revenue growth, an outlier amid a declining furniture category. Wayfair is reducing its advertising spending and still gaining market share. The sharp post-Q1 earnings selloff in the stock overlooks the fact that Wayfair is growing adjusted EBITDA at a >40% y/y clip. I'm upgrading the stock to a "Buy," as Wayfair has fallen to attractive multiples of adjusted EBITDA. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 28

W: Store Expansion And Rewards Program Will Support Balanced Forward Outlook

Analysts now see Wayfair’s fair value holding at $80.00 per share, supported by updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that together reflect a slightly adjusted risk and earnings profile for the business. What's in the News Wayfair plans to open its first large format Florida store at Galleria Fort Lauderdale in late 2027.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 14

W: Store Expansion And Membership Program Will Support Bullish Outlook

Analysts have adjusted their Wayfair price target to $104.93 from $113.64, reflecting updated assumptions for a slightly higher discount rate, marginally lower revenue growth, a modestly higher profit margin, and a reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Wayfair plans to open its first large-format Florida store at Galleria Fort Lauderdale in late 2027, a two level, 94,000 square foot location that will offer a broad range of home products and design services as part of the mall's planned redevelopment (Key Developments).
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 30

W: Store Expansion And Rewards Program Will Support Positive Forward Outlook

Analysts have reiterated an $80.00 price target for Wayfair, citing small model adjustments in the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions as the main factors supporting this unchanged view. What's in the News Wayfair is being removed from the S&P Homebuilders Select Industry Index, which can affect how index-tracking funds and some institutional investors gain exposure to the stock (Index Constituent Drops).
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 16

W: Store Expansion And Rewards Program Will Support Balanced Forward Outlook

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Wayfair to $80.00. The updated view reflects recalibrated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, while keeping the fair value level unchanged at $80.00.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 02

W: Expanded Payment Options And AI Commerce Work Will Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Wayfair from $56.99 to $80.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, discount rate, profit margins and future P/E that collectively affect how they value the company today. What's in the News Affirm expanded its partnership with Wayfair, giving approved shoppers in the UK and Canada the option to split purchases using Affirm, with real-time approval decisions and no late or hidden fees disclosed in the announcement.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 16

W: AI Commerce Protocol And Index Inclusion Will Support Bullish Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target on Wayfair slightly lower to $113.64 from $114.21, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly adjusted future P/E multiple. What's in the News Affirm expanded its partnership with Wayfair, adding its pay over time products for approved shoppers in the UK and Canada, with no late fees or hidden fees, after previously rolling out across Wayfair's US online and in store checkouts (Client Announcements).
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 02

W: New Store Format And AI Commerce Partnerships Will Steady 2026 Outlook

Analysts have increased their price target for Wayfair by about US$0.21 to roughly US$114.21, citing updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. These changes leave their overall valuation view broadly steady.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 19

W: UCP Partnership Will Support Future Upside For Index Aligned Shares

Analysts have nudged their price target on Wayfair to around $150, a move supported by small adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and expected future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Wayfair is a foundational partner co developing Google's Universal Commerce Protocol, an open standard aimed at more seamless and secure interactions between AI agents and retailer platforms.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 05

W: Smaller Ohio Store Format And Index Inclusion Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target for Wayfair to $149.57, citing updated assumptions that pair a slightly lower discount rate and a higher revenue growth outlook with reduced profit margin expectations and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Wayfair is being added to the S&P Homebuilders Select Industry Index, which can change how index funds and ETFs with that benchmark gain exposure to the stock (Index Constituent Adds).
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 16

W: Smaller Ohio Store Format Will Drive Stronger Profit Margins Ahead

Analysts have raised their price target on Wayfair from approximately $105 to about $150 per share. This reflects improved expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, despite a slightly higher assumed discount rate and a modestly lower future price to earnings multiple.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 02

W: New Columbus Store And Share Buyback Will Shape Outlook In 2026

Analysts have maintained Wayfair's fair value estimate at $114.00 per share, citing consistent growth and profitability assumptions, even though only minor adjustments were made to model inputs. What's in the News Wayfair will open a new, smaller-format store in Columbus, Ohio in late 2026 to test new ways of bringing its shopping experience to customers.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 18

W: New Columbus Retail Location Will Expand Physical Presence In 2026

Analysts have raised their price target for Wayfair from $112.31 to $114.00. They cited minor adjustments to discount rates and profit margin forecasts as supporting factors for the higher valuation.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 03

W: Repurchase And Margin Improvements Will Balance Risks And Opportunities Ahead

Analysts have raised their price target for Wayfair significantly from $84.90 to $112.31. They cite anticipated improvements in revenue growth and profit margins, along with a lowered discount rate and a more attractive future price-to-earnings ratio.
分析記事 • Oct 31

US$112 - That's What Analysts Think Wayfair Inc. (NYSE:W) Is Worth After These Results

Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 23% over the past week following Wayfair Inc. 's ( NYSE:W ) latest...
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 20

CastleGate And Wayborhood Initiatives Will Improve Customer Experience And Drive Future Sales

Analysts have raised their price target for Wayfair slightly, increasing it from $83.17 to $84.90. They cite minor improvements in profitability and discount rate assumptions as reasons for this adjustment.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 05

CastleGate And Wayborhood Initiatives Will Improve Customer Experience And Drive Future Sales

Wayfair’s analyst price target has been raised slightly from $82.10 to $83.17 per share. Analysts point to modest improvements in profit margin and a lower projected price-earnings ratio as key factors behind the upward revision.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 20

CastleGate And Wayborhood Initiatives Will Improve Customer Experience And Drive Future Sales

Wayfair’s consensus price target saw only a negligible increase to $82.10, as both its net profit margin and discount rate remained essentially unchanged. What's in the News Wayfair has completed the repurchase of 2,354,491 shares for $611.61 million under its 2020 buyback plan, with no additional shares repurchased in the latest quarter; the 2021 buyback plan remains unused.
ナラティブの更新 • Aug 06

CastleGate And Wayborhood Initiatives Will Improve Customer Experience And Drive Future Sales

Despite a sharp decline in net profit margin and a substantial increase in future P/E, reflecting reduced profitability and higher valuation expectations, the analyst consensus price target for Wayfair has markedly increased from $50.48 to $80.45. What's in the News Wayfair announced the opening of a 140,000-square-foot large-format retail location in Denver, Colorado, expanding further into brick-and-mortar, with new stores also set for Atlanta and Yonkers.
分析記事 • Jul 03

Wayfair Inc.'s (NYSE:W) 36% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Wayfair Inc. ( NYSE:W ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 36% gain in the last month alone...
分析記事 • Jun 15

Is Wayfair Inc. (NYSE:W) Trading At A 45% Discount?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Wayfair fair value estimate is US$84.19 Current share price of...
分析記事 • May 19

Optimistic Investors Push Wayfair Inc. (NYSE:W) Shares Up 49% But Growth Is Lacking

Those holding Wayfair Inc. ( NYSE:W ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 49% in the last...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 29

Wayfair: Weak Macro Environment Led Me To Downgrade My Rating

Summary I am less bullish on Wayfair near-term due to weak consumer spending and negative customer metrics, despite solid business fundamentals and market share gains. US revenue has shown positive growth, driven by logistics cost savings, better in-stock availability, and delivery enhancements, indicating strong relative market share gains. Wayfair's push into physical retail is proving successful, attracting new customers and enhancing overall customer lifetime value and acquisition efficiency. Near-term demand recovery remains uncertain, with weak consumer confidence and housing market, leading to a cautious investment stance despite long-term growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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新しいナラティブ • Mar 20

CastleGate And Wayborhood Initiatives Will Improve Customer Experience And Drive Future Sales

Wayfair's CastleGate logistics network and strategic cost efficiencies can boost revenue growth and improve net margins over time.
Seeking Alpha • Feb 21

Wayfair: Strong Execution In A Challenging Environment

Summary Shares of Wayfair stumbled slightly after a mixed Q4 earnings print, which showed a slight improvement in revenue trends but saw receding gross margins. At the same time, the company has improved its structural profitability, targeting new high-growth categories like outdoor structures and spas while also reducing opex. It is aiming to hit 10%+ adjusted EBITDA margins upon normalization of the furniture industry, relative to 3.8% in FY24. Still, recovery in sales will take a while as the real estate industry suffers from very tight supply. I remain at a neutral rating and recommend staying on the sidelines. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 12

Wayfair: The Furniture Depression Will Not Abate Until Home Affordability Improves

Summary Wayfair faces macroeconomic headwinds, including low consumer spending on furniture, high borrowing costs, and low home sales, impacting its profitability and growth potential. The company's exit from Germany and significant layoffs aim to focus on core operations but limit growth and signal weak performance. Wayfair's positive operating cash flow depends on stock-based compensation, diluting shareholders at a potentially accelerated pace with its lower market capitalization. Despite efforts to improve margins and cash flow, Wayfair's economic and competitive challenges raise doubts about its ability to grow and earn a sustained net profit. Wayfair's debt maturities over the coming years will likely dramatically raise its interest spending as it replaces convertible debt with junk bonds. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 07

Wayfair: Increased Spending Lowers Its Q4 2024 Adjusted EBITDA Outlook

Summary Wayfair's Q3 2024 results were largely in-line with expectations. It expects increased spending in Q4 2024, reducing its adjusted EBITDA margins compared to Q3 2024. Wayfair may now end up with $450 million to $475 million in 2024 adjusted EBITDA, not including the impact of $400 million in equity compensation. Around 50% of Wayfair's inventory comes from China, resulting in some exposure to additional tariffs. Wayfair is still trading at a high multiple to adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, given that sales growth is flat to slightly negative currently. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 05

Wayfair: Fundamentals Remain Sound

Summary Despite near-term headwinds, Wayfair's fundamentals remain strong. Wayfair continues to gain market share, demonstrating its strong competitive position in the online furniture market. As the company continues to execute on its growth strategy and the macro environment improves, the stock has the potential to significantly outperform. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 28

Wayfair: Cost Cutting Has Helped Results, But It Needs Revenue Growth

Summary Wayfair's revenue growth is essentially flat currently. The company has significantly improved its results through cost-cutting, optimizing its organization for current revenue levels. I believe further improvements will be limited without revenue growth, though. Wayfair also has issued a lot of equity compensation, granting over 9 million RSUs over the past six quarters. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 20

Wayfair's On The Edge Of Comfort: Promising Margins, Lingering Uncertainty

Summary Wayfair Inc. has improved cost control and operational efficiency but faces challenges with heavy debt, economic uncertainty, and shifting consumer spending. Despite strong market share gains and positive EBITDA growth, Wayfair's high P/E ratio and significant debt raise concerns about long-term profitability. The home furnishings sector's decline and competition from Amazon and Walmart further pressure Wayfair's growth prospects. I rate Wayfair as “Hold” due to its strong cash position, market-share gains, and potential for improved consumer sentiment and housing market recovery. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 07

Wayfair: Long-Term Growth And Margin Expansion Narrative Remains Intact

Summary Wayfair remains a buy due to its positive long-term growth outlook and strong competitive advantage. 2Q24 results showed revenue decline and missed EBITDA estimates, but W continues to gain market share. Near-term EBITDA margin expansion may be muted, but long-term growth and margin expansion drivers remain intact. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 28

Wayfair: Is An H2 FY24 Turnaround Achievable? (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Wayfair is banking on aggressive turnaround actions to return to growth in Q2 and the second half of FY24. The company has launched a new advertising campaign ("Wayborhood") and expects a category-based rebound in the second half of the year. In addition, it has opened its first physical store. In spite of these potential upside catalysts, we should still note that Wayfair faces stiff competition, and its international segment is still incurring double-digit adjusted EBITDA margin losses. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:W - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/202814,7433417921,08015
12/31/202713,90618063291729
12/31/202613,138948765629
3/31/202612,658-305362578N/A
12/31/202512,457-313329534N/A
9/30/202512,241-325286494N/A
6/30/202512,008-300184388N/A
3/31/202511,852-357137360N/A
12/31/202411,851-49283317N/A
9/30/202411,844-53843313N/A
6/30/202411,904-62794385N/A
3/31/202411,958-63139357N/A
12/31/202312,003-738-2349N/A
9/30/202311,990-915-83289N/A
6/30/202311,886-1,035-663-263N/A
3/31/202311,999-1,367-1,035-595N/A
12/31/202212,218-1,331-1,132-674N/A
9/30/202212,369-1,182-1,097-683N/A
6/30/202212,650-977-764-383N/A
3/31/202213,223-468-3137N/A
12/31/202113,708-131130410N/A
9/30/202114,12795242528N/A
6/30/202114,845346702990N/A
3/31/202115,2934891,5491,850N/A
12/31/202014,1451851,0821,417N/A
9/30/202013,008-1697951,174N/A
6/30/202011,474-614360766N/A
3/31/20209,512-1,070-786-372N/A
12/31/20199,127-985N/A-197N/A
9/30/20198,608-798N/A-118N/A
6/30/20198,008-678N/A-34N/A
3/31/20197,320-597N/A17N/A
12/31/20186,779-504N/A85N/A
9/30/20186,204-433N/A79N/A
6/30/20185,697-358N/A96N/A
3/31/20185,164-296N/A67N/A
12/31/20174,721-245N/A34N/A
9/30/20174,266-216N/A70N/A
6/30/20173,930-200N/A61N/A
3/31/20173,594-210N/A68N/A
12/31/20163,380-194N/A63N/A
9/30/20163,136-166N/A80N/A
6/30/20162,868-120N/A116N/A
3/31/20162,573-92N/A119N/A
12/31/20152,250-77N/A135N/A
9/30/20151,919-120N/A100N/A
6/30/20151,661-133N/A37N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: Wは今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予測されており、これは 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) よりも高い成長率であると考えられます。

収益対市場: W今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予想されており、これは市場平均を上回る成長と考えられます。

高成長収益: W今後 3 年以内に収益を上げることが予想されます。

収益対市場: Wの収益 ( 5.4% ) US市場 ( 11.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: Wの収益 ( 5.4% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: Wの 自己資本利益率 が 3 年後に高くなると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/15 21:32
終値2026/05/15 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Wayfair Inc. 29 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。48

アナリスト機関
null nullArgus Research Company
Colin SebastianBaird
Adrienne Yih-TennantBarclays