Vipshop Holdings Limited

NYSE:VIPS 株式レポート

時価総額：US$6.8b

Vipshop Holdings 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /06

Vipshop Holdings利益と収益がそれぞれ年間1.1%と1.7%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に15.7% 3.5%なると予測されています。

主要情報

1.1%

収益成長率

3.48%

EPS成長率

Multiline Retail 収益成長16.8%
収益成長率1.7%
将来の株主資本利益率15.72%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日21 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

分析記事 • Nov 23

Vipshop Holdings Limited Just Beat EPS By 18%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Vipshop Holdings Limited ( NYSE:VIPS ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • 15h

Vipshop: Staying Bullish After Q1 Profit Beat

Summary Vipshop Holdings remains a 'Buy' based on my assessment of its quarterly performance and full-year outlook. VIPS's 1Q2026 EBIT and EPS exceeded their respective consensus estimates by 5% and 2%, respectively. I anticipate that VIPS can return to positive revenue and earnings growth in FY2026. The key levers include an optimized marketing strategy, online-to-offline expansion, asset monetization, and AI-driven cost savings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • May 01

VIPS: Stable Earnings And 10% Yield Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Vipshop by around $0.18 to approximately $20.06. The revision reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E following recent target changes from firms that cited stable earnings, cash flow and yield appeal alongside modest target reductions.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 17

VIPS: Stable Earnings And 2026 Yield Will Support Income-Focused Upside

Vipshop's updated fair value estimate has moved to $25.24 from $24.28, reflecting analysts' mixed price target revisions around $20 to $22 that cite steady earnings, cash flow, and an appealing yield profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have leaned into Vipshop's income appeal and steadier execution, updating their work to reflect what they describe as more stable earnings, cash flow and a relatively high yield profile.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 02

VIPS: Stable Earnings And 2026 Yield Will Support Future Upside

The updated analyst price target for Vipshop Holdings is now approximately $24.28, a slight change from about $24.26, as analysts balance recent target reductions at JPMorgan and Barclays with more supportive views on stable earnings, cash flow, and yield highlighted in the recent Nomura upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Vipshop centers on how resilient earnings, cash generation, and yield assumptions fit with the current share price, even as some large firms trim price targets at the margin.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 19

VIPS: Stable Earnings And High 2026 Yield Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Vipshop to $24.26 from $25.09, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, higher profit margin expectations, and updated P/E targets informed by recent price target revisions from $18.50 to $20 and $22. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Vipshop highlights a cluster of constructive views, with bullish analysts pointing to income potential, earnings resilience, and updated price targets that remain above the latest fair value estimate.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 05

VIPS: Stable Earnings And High Yield Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have inched their average price target on Vipshop higher to about $20.24, helped by supportive views on stable earnings, cash flow and yield, even though individual targets range from $20 to $22. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to what they describe as stable earnings and cash flow as key supports for the current valuation, arguing that this visibility helps justify price targets around US$20 to US$22.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 19

VIPS: Future Execution And P/E Support Will Drive Fair Value Ahead

Analysts have lifted their price target on Vipshop Holdings to $22 from $21, reflecting adjustments to fair value estimates, discount rate assumptions, revenue growth expectations, profit margin outlook, and future P/E inputs. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher US$22 target as support for the view that current pricing still leaves room for upside if the company delivers on execution.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 04

VIPS: Reorganization And Buybacks Will Support Higher Future Share Price

Analysts have nudged their fair value view on Vipshop higher, with recent price target increases to $21 and $22 supporting a modest uplift, driven by slightly adjusted discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more constructive tone around Vipshop, with price targets nudged higher as analysts revisit their assumptions for revenue, margins, and forward P/E.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 21

VIPS: Reorganization And Buybacks Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their consolidated price target for Vipshop to about US$25.09 from US$24.73, citing recent target increases from US$19 to US$21 and from US$21 to US$22, along with updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Vipshop have leaned constructive, with higher price targets and supportive commentary around the company’s execution and business reorganization.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 07

VIPS: Rising Confidence In Reorganization Will Expose Execution Weaknesses

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Vipshop has moved higher, supported by recent Street research that lifted targets to US$21 and US$22. Analysts highlight improving efficiency from the company’s reorganization and expectations for steadier growth and profitability over time.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 15

VIPS: Reorganization Will Support Stronger Margins And Lift Future Earnings Multiple

Narrative Update on Vipshop Holdings Vipshop Holdings' fair value estimate has been raised by analysts from approximately $22.57 to $24.73 as they factor in slightly stronger revenue growth, a modestly higher future P/E multiple, and continued benefits from the company reorganization and steady growth outlook into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates highlight growing optimism around Vipshop Holdings as bullish analysts raise their price targets and reiterate constructive views on the company’s execution and growth trajectory.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 30

VIPS: Recent Reorganization And Share Buybacks Will Drive Fair Value Ahead

The average analyst price target for Vipshop Holdings has been raised from $19.08 to $19.73, as analysts cite positive effects from the company's recent reorganization and a continued steady growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent updates reveal a mixed yet overall positive sentiment among analysts following Vipshop Holdings' latest results and corporate restructuring.
分析記事 • Nov 23

Vipshop Holdings Limited Just Beat EPS By 18%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Vipshop Holdings Limited ( NYSE:VIPS ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell...
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 16

VIPS: Future Earnings Prospects And Discount Rate Will Shape Fair Value

Narrative Update on Vipshop Holdings Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vipshop Holdings slightly, increasing it from $19.03 to $19.08 per share. This reflects minor adjustments to discount rate assumptions and forward earnings projections.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 01

VIPS: Share Buybacks And Steady Financials Will Support Recovery Prospects

Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Vipshop Holdings from $19.02 to $19.03, citing updated valuation metrics and recent modest improvements in key financial indicators. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the recent upward revision in price targets, which signals increased confidence in the company’s ongoing execution and stability.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 17

China Outlet Expansion And AI Investments Will Drive Success

Narrative Update on Vipshop Holdings Analysts have raised their price target for Vipshop Holdings by $1, reflecting revised fair value estimates and updated considerations of discount rates and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have raised their price targets, indicating increased confidence in the company’s valuation and earnings outlook.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 03

China Outlet Expansion And AI Investments Will Drive Success

Analysts have increased their price target for Vipshop Holdings from $18.17 to $18.90. They cite modest improvements in revenue growth and profit margin forecasts as the reason for this adjustment.
ナラティブの更新 • Aug 16

Expanding 'Made For VIP' Line And AI Tech Will Elevate Customer Experiences

Vipshop Holdings’ analyst price target has been raised to $17.64, reflecting improved bullish sentiment on core business momentum and profitability relative to peers, despite modest downward revisions to near-term revenue and profit forecasts amid ongoing product-specific headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge continued mild improvement in GMV and revenue year-over-year, supporting share price upside at an attractive valuation.
分析記事 • Jul 24

Vipshop Holdings Limited's (NYSE:VIPS) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Vipshop Holdings Limited's ( NYSE:VIPS ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.2x might make it look like a strong...
分析記事 • Jul 03

Vipshop Holdings (NYSE:VIPS) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world...
分析記事 • Jun 11

Does Vipshop Holdings (NYSE:VIPS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Seeking Alpha • Feb 24

Vipshop: Fundamental Challenges Remain

Summary Vipshop's 4Q24 revenue beat consensus, but underlying fundamentals remain weak, with flat GMV growth and declining active buyers and orders. Overreliance on Super VIP membership and the apparel segment poses risks, while non-apparel categories underperform despite government subsidies. Lack of global exposure limits growth potential compared to peers like PDD and Alibaba; better cash allocation towards overseas markets is recommended. VIPS' current valuation is compelling at less than 6x forward earnings, but caution is advised until stable GMV recovery is evident; prefer PDD and Meituan. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 13

Vipshop: Stock Repurchase Program, Massive Headcount Growth, And Extremely Cheap

Summary Vipshop Holdings Limited shows strong FCF growth, benefits from China's stimulus, and has a significant stock repurchase program, making it a clear buy. Despite a challenging 2024, VIPS's agreements with well-known brands and substantial hiring indicate potential for future net income and FCF growth. Risks include related party transactions and incorporation in the Cayman Islands, but VIPS's valuation appears attractive compared to competitors. My valuation model suggests a fair price of $18 per share, with VIPS trading at a discount relative to peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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新しいナラティブ • Nov 20

SVIP Growth And AI Innovations Brighten Prospects But Revenue Decline And Competition Cast Shadows

Vipshop's growth in SVIP memberships and strategic initiatives to enhance customer engagement could boost revenue and customer loyalty.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 20

Vipshop: A Paradox Of Attractive Valuations And Deteriorating Fundamentals

Summary Vipshop's Q3 2024 results were in line with consensus, but deteriorating fundamentals suggest further risks heading into 2025 amid a soft macro backdrop. Despite attractive valuation multiples, VIPS faces sustainability issues due to supply and demand side risks, and declining GMV and user metrics. VIPS's reliance on excess inventory from brands and competition from other channels like PDD and Tmall pose significant threats to its business model. Our DCF analysis implies VIPS is fairly valued with no upside, recommending investors seek higher growth opportunities in companies like PDD. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 07

Vipshop: Large Data Sets, FCF Growth, And Undervalued

Summary Vipshop Holdings Limited is significantly undervalued, with a fair price estimate of $36 per share, driven by strong user growth and brand partnerships. The company's AI-powered searches, diverse product channels, and extensive logistics network are key catalysts for future net sales and free cash flow growth. VIPS' strategic promotions and robust inventory management system enhance its competitive edge, offering significant discounts and efficient operations. Potential risks include changes in data privacy regulations, economic conditions in China, and online regulatory challenges, which could impact future growth and profitability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 22

Vipshop: The Struggle Continues

Summary VIPS reported poor Q2 2024 results with revenue, active customers, and orders all down, leading to a weak Q3 guidance. Despite challenges, VIPS saw positive developments in increased gross margin and decreased operating expenses during the quarter. VIPS announced an upsized share repurchase program, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder-friendly capital allocation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 19

Vipshop: Cheap But A Tough Year Ahead

Summary VIPS stock down 18% since December 2023 due to short-term challenges and unexpected competition. Abnormal weather in China and intense price wars impacting VIPS' business fundamentals in 2024. SVIP members remain loyal, dividends and share buyback program support valuation, maintaining "buy" rating for VIPS. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 21

Vipshop: Significantly Undervalued With A Unique Model

Summary Vipshop Holdings stock has outperformed the S&P 500 by 25% over the last 5 years, with a potential double-digit upside. VIPS is a prominent online discount retailer in China, known for its unique flash sale model and focus on branded products. The company has solid financial fundamentals, including strong revenue growth, profitability, and a strong balance sheet, making it an attractive investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 04

In Tight Times, Vipshop Wows Investors With Dividend Policy

Summary Vipshop said it will pay $250 million to investors this year under a newly announced dividend policy, equaling a relatively low payout ratio of about 23%. The company looks relatively well situated to weather China’s economic downturn due to its focus on bargain-priced clothing and relatively small average order size. VIPS is quite a conservative company financially and looks quite good at controlling costs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:VIPS - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )CNY Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/2025105,9207,2425,3887,454N/A
9/30/2025106,6707,100N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2025105,9756,925N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2025107,0437,366N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2024108,4217,7405,5669,129N/A
9/30/2024109,8718,245N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2024111,9618,408N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2024112,9668,575N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2023112,8568,1179,18414,415N/A
9/30/2023109,9397,398N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2023108,7887,876N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2023105,4447,062N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2022103,1526,2997,41710,520N/A
9/30/2022105,5265,480N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2022108,8334,422N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2022113,9064,231N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2021117,0604,6813,1666,745N/A
9/30/2021118,7035,707N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2021116,9616,323N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2021111,4646,768N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2020101,8585,9079,54911,820N/A
9/30/202095,4034,922N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202091,8364,553N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202090,4693,829N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201992,9944,017N/A12,290N/A
9/30/201989,7593,250N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201987,9772,603N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201985,9722,471N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201884,5242,129N/A5,746N/A
9/30/201882,5702,113N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201880,0522,223N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201876,8301,927N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201772,9121,950N/A981N/A
9/30/201767,7632,044N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201764,4522,049N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201760,3752,114N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201656,5912,037N/A2,831N/A
9/30/201651,5121,775N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201648,1811,749N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201643,7601,697N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201540,2031,590N/A1,915N/A
9/30/201534,7161,433N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201531,3751,283N/AN/AN/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: VIPSの予測収益成長率 (年間1.1% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を下回っています。

収益対市場: VIPSの収益 ( 1.1% ) US市場 ( 16.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: VIPSの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: VIPSの収益 ( 1.7% ) US市場 ( 11.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: VIPSの収益 ( 1.7% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: VIPSの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 15.7 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/21 20:39
終値2026/05/21 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Vipshop Holdings Limited 20 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。47

アナリスト機関
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
Alicia YapBarclays
Jiong ShaoBarclays