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CarMax, Inc.NYSE:KMX 株式レポート

時価総額 US$7.6b
株価
US$53.66
US$42.69
25.7% 割高 内在価値ディスカウント
1Y-21.7%
7D4.7%
1D
ポートフォリオ価値
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CarMax, Inc.

NYSE:KMX 株式レポート

時価総額:US$7.6b

CarMax(KMX)株式概要

カーマックス社はその子会社を通じて、米国で中古車および関連商品の小売業を営んでいる。 詳細

KMX ファンダメンタル分析
スノーフレーク・スコア
評価0/6
将来の成長3/6
過去の実績0/6
財務の健全性3/6
配当金0/6

KMX Community Fair Values

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See what 25 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

CarMax, Inc. 競合他社

価格と性能

株価の高値、安値、推移の概要CarMax
過去の株価
現在の株価US$53.66
52週高値US$71.99
52週安値US$30.26
ベータ1.2
1ヶ月の変化33.05%
3ヶ月変化25.11%
1年変化-21.74%
3年間の変化-37.76%
5年間の変化-57.88%
IPOからの変化408.02%

最新ニュース

分析記事 1h

CarMax (KMX) Stock Could Be 26% Overvalued as Lending Expansion Shapes the Narrative

CarMax (KMX) is drawing fresh attention after a recent stretch of mixed share performance, with gains over the past month alongside declines over the past year, prompting investors to reassess the used-car retailer. See our latest analysis for CarMax. The recent 1-day share price return of 13.14% and 30-day share price return of 33.05% suggest momentum is rebuilding for CarMax, even though the 1-year total shareholder return is down 21.74% and longer horizons also show declines. If this...
Seeking Alpha Jun 17

CarMax: Still Missing The GPU Boost (Q1 Earnings Review)

Summary CarMax (KMX) is rated a sell due to unfavorable risk/reward, high valuation multiples, and gross margin pressures. Q1 FY27 results showed revenue growth driven by higher ASPs and wholesale volume, but gross profit per used car declined $230 YoY to $2,177. SG&A cost control and redesigned extended protection plans offer some margin support, but buybacks have paused and customer credit quality is deteriorating. With no FY27 guidance and a new CEO, near-term upside is limited; a further drop to the $30–$35 range is anticipated. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 Jun 15

KMX: Future Returns Will Depend On Execution Under New Leadership

Analysts have adjusted their view on CarMax, raising the fair value estimate from $38.31 to $42.69 and citing higher price targets in the $31 to $42 range. They highlight cautious optimism about the new CEO, slightly better same-store trends, and potential trade-offs between sales growth and profitability.

Recent updates

分析記事 1h

CarMax (KMX) Stock Could Be 26% Overvalued as Lending Expansion Shapes the Narrative

CarMax (KMX) is drawing fresh attention after a recent stretch of mixed share performance, with gains over the past month alongside declines over the past year, prompting investors to reassess the used-car retailer. See our latest analysis for CarMax. The recent 1-day share price return of 13.14% and 30-day share price return of 33.05% suggest momentum is rebuilding for CarMax, even though the 1-year total shareholder return is down 21.74% and longer horizons also show declines. If this...
Seeking Alpha Jun 17

CarMax: Still Missing The GPU Boost (Q1 Earnings Review)

Summary CarMax (KMX) is rated a sell due to unfavorable risk/reward, high valuation multiples, and gross margin pressures. Q1 FY27 results showed revenue growth driven by higher ASPs and wholesale volume, but gross profit per used car declined $230 YoY to $2,177. SG&A cost control and redesigned extended protection plans offer some margin support, but buybacks have paused and customer credit quality is deteriorating. With no FY27 guidance and a new CEO, near-term upside is limited; a further drop to the $30–$35 range is anticipated. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 Jun 15

KMX: Future Returns Will Depend On Execution Under New Leadership

Analysts have adjusted their view on CarMax, raising the fair value estimate from $38.31 to $42.69 and citing higher price targets in the $31 to $42 range. They highlight cautious optimism about the new CEO, slightly better same-store trends, and potential trade-offs between sales growth and profitability.
ナラティブの更新 Jun 01

KMX: Starboard Reforms And New Leadership Will Support Multiple Rerating Potential

CarMax's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly lower to $78.20 from $79.69, as analysts factor in more moderate revenue declines, a marginally higher profit margin, and the view that any push to reignite unit growth by trimming used gross profit per unit could cap future P/E expansion. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax presents a mixed picture, with a blend of cautious views and more supportive voices.
ナラティブの更新 May 18

KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And New CEO Will Support Re Rating Potential

Analysts collectively see a slightly higher long term value for CarMax stock, with the average price target moving up about $2 as updated models factor in modestly higher fair value and profit margin assumptions, partly offset by softer revenue growth expectations and a slightly higher discount rate and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax has been mixed, but the pricing and rating changes skew modestly constructive, with several firms adjusting models and price targets to reflect updated views on execution, profitability and long term positioning.
ナラティブの更新 May 01

KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And New Leadership Will Drive Re Rating Potential

The updated analyst price target on CarMax reflects a modest reset, with a roughly $2 swing in recent targets as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, lower profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple based on the latest research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax shows a mix of views, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets while others stay more cautious on the shares.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 17

KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And AI Rollout Will Drive Re Rating Potential

Analysts have adjusted the CarMax fair value estimate upward by about $1.73 to $77.89, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E expectations following a mix of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax shows a mix of views, with several bullish analysts adjusting price targets upward while a few take a more cautious stance.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 02

KMX: Activist Demands And Execution Risks Will Limit Future Share Returns

Analysts have lifted their price targets on CarMax by mid single digit dollar amounts, citing refreshed models following the recent investor meeting and updated views on the company's earnings power, as reflected in slightly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CarMax has centered on refreshed models following the investor meeting, with several firms revising their price targets by mid single digit dollar amounts.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 19

KMX: Activist Pressure And Execution Risks Will Restrain Future Share Returns

Analysts have nudged CarMax price targets higher, with recent moves such as Evercore ISI raising its target to $39 from $37 and Baird moving to $48 from $44, reflecting updated views on the company following its investor meeting and other research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on CarMax show a mix of support and caution.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 05

KMX: Refreshed Investor Day Plan And AI Initiatives Will Drive Re Rating Potential

Narrative Update on CarMax Analysts have lifted their price target for CarMax by $4 to $48, citing refreshed models after the recent investor meeting, improved revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower expected future P/E multiple in their updated views. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more constructive tone on CarMax, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets after reviewing the latest investor meeting materials and updating their models.
ナラティブの更新 Feb 18

KMX: Refreshed Investor Day Framework Will Drive Re Rating Potential

Analysts have raised their CarMax price targets, with recent updates moving one estimate to $48 from $44 and others higher by $2 to $4. They cited refreshed models following the company’s investor meeting and modestly adjusted expectations for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E.
ナラティブの更新 Feb 04

KMX: Mixed Sector Backdrop And Weaker Margins Will Pressure Future Returns

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price targets on CarMax by a few dollars, citing mixed sector fundamentals, questions around the company’s direction, and lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E, which together support a more conservative but still constructive outlook. Analyst Commentary Street research around CarMax has centered on how the business fits into a mixed auto retail sector, with some firms taking a cautious stance even as they fine tune price targets.
ナラティブの更新 Jan 21

KMX: Digital Auction Execution Will Drive Re Rating Potential Despite Sector Caution

The analyst price target for CarMax has been cut from about US$114 to roughly US$75, with analysts citing a reduced revenue growth outlook, a lower assumed future P/E multiple, and ongoing uncertainty around the company’s strategy. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage highlights that views on CarMax are cautious overall, but there are still a few angles that more optimistic investors might focus on.
分析記事 Jan 18

CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Soars 27% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand...
ナラティブの更新 Jan 06

KMX: Future Returns Will Hinge On Credit Risk And Execution Clarity

Narrative Update: CarMax Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts have reduced their average CarMax price target by $32, from $78 to $46. This reflects fresh concerns around the company's strategy and credit risk, even as they point to mixed but resilient sector fundamentals and updated earnings guidance.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 20

KMX: Future Returns Will Depend On Credit Normalization Amid Execution Concerns

Analysts have trimmed their CarMax fair value estimate by about $1.50 per share to roughly $38, reflecting a series of reduced Street price targets in the $40s and $50s as concerns mount over slowing unit growth, weaker margins, and uncertainty around the company’s strategic execution. Analyst Commentary Street research on CarMax has shifted decisively toward caution, but views are not uniformly negative.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 06

KMX: Future Recovery Will Hinge On Loan Loss And Credit Normalization

Analysts have trimmed their CarMax price target slightly, reflecting a modest reset in fair value to about $40 per share as they factor in weaker unit trends, persistent credit headwinds, and increased uncertainty around the company’s strategic execution. Analyst Commentary Research coverage around CarMax has tilted more cautious in recent weeks, with multiple firms cutting price targets and downgrading ratings as they recalibrate expectations for growth, margins, and credit performance.
ナラティブの更新 Nov 22

KMX: Recovery Will Depend On Resolution Of Loan Loss Headwinds

CarMax's analyst price target has been reduced significantly from approximately $55 to $40 per share, as analysts cite weaker revenue growth, margin compression, and persistent headwinds in retail trends and credit quality. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage on CarMax reflects a divided outlook in the wake of disappointing financial results and evolving market dynamics.
分析記事 Nov 18

Not Many Are Piling Into CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Stock Yet As It Plummets 25%

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days...
ナラティブの更新 Nov 07

KMX: Future Recovery Will Rely on Easing Loan Loss Pressures

CarMax's analyst price target has been lowered significantly, with the consensus now reflecting a cut of more than $20 per share. Analysts cite continued earnings misses, weaker retail sales, and growing uncertainty around the company’s recovery outlook.
ナラティブの更新 Oct 24

Auto Credit Trends And Digital Expansion Will Shape Dealer Reach Ahead

CarMax’s analyst fair value target has been lowered from $57.79 to $55.50. Analysts cite continued softness in earnings, elevated loan losses, and weaker retail sales forecasts following recent quarterly results.
ナラティブの更新 Oct 10

Auto Finance And Digital Sales Will Expand Dealer Reach

CarMax's fair value estimate has been revised sharply lower, dropping from $76.93 to $57.79. Analysts point to mounting sales uncertainty, downward earnings revisions, and lack of visible turnaround strategies following weaker-than-expected Q2 results and multiple price target cuts across the Street.
分析記事 Sep 27

CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%

The CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. The...
ナラティブの更新 Sep 26

Auto Finance And Digital Sales Will Expand Dealer Reach

CarMax’s consensus price target has been reduced from $81.44 to $76.93 as weaker-than-expected Q2 results, increased uncertainty around future strategy, and ongoing operating headwinds overshadow cautious optimism regarding operational improvements and growth initiatives. Analyst Commentary Weak Q2 results, including a broad earnings miss and underperformance across key metrics, have raised doubts about CarMax's ability to sustain market leadership and deliver additional growth.
分析記事 Sep 10

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, CarMax fair value estimate is US$66.00 Current share price of...
分析記事 Aug 09

Investors Could Be Concerned With CarMax's (NYSE:KMX) Returns On Capital

NYSE:KMX 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore CarMax's Fair Values from the Community and select yours If you're...
Seeking Alpha Mar 28

CarMax: Tariff Benefits Appear Priced In

Summary CarMax shares have declined 12% in the past year due to a stagnant used car market and rising credit losses. President Trump's 25% auto tariffs could indirectly benefit CarMax by increasing used car prices, though this may not boost long-term profitability. Higher used car prices may provide a one-time windfall for CarMax, but affordability issues could reduce sales volumes. Despite potential short-term gains, CarMax stock remains overvalued; I maintain a sell rating, cautious of extrapolating temporary benefits. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 22

CarMax: Near-Term Growth Outlook Is Not Great

Summary I recommend a sell rating for CarMax due to affordability challenges and fierce competition, which are significant growth headwinds. KMX faces declining revenues and affordability issues, with average selling prices of used vehicles dropping for eight consecutive quarters. Competition from Carvana is intensifying, with CVNA showing better growth and profitability, putting additional pressure on KMX. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 19

CarMax Delivers Despite Lower Car Prices, Lock In Gains

Summary CarMax, Inc.'s fiscal Q2 2025 revenues increased slightly, with a $170 million beat versus consensus, driven by higher volumes despite lower pricing. Comparable store used unit sales rose 4.3%, and total retail used vehicle unit sales increased 5.4%, showing positive momentum. Gross profit increased 10.6% year-over-year, with retail gross profit per used unit flat and wholesale gross profit per unit up $54. CarMax repurchased 1.5 million shares for $114.8 million in Q2, with $2.04 billion remaining for repurchase, supporting a long-term investment thesis. The author has provided multiple winning trades on CarMax and suggests letting some profit run. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
新しいナラティブ Sep 29

Revamping Retail Experience And Finance Innovation Fuels Company's Growth Path

The new order processing system and omnichannel retail strategy emphasize operational efficiency and digital sales growth, aiming for increased margins and sales.
Seeking Alpha Sep 27

CarMax: Still Overvalued Relative To Peers

Summary CarMax lacks competitive advantages and has underperformed the market, with stagnant stock prices, while the S&P 500 gained 30% over the same period. CarMax's Q2 results showed mixed performance, with retail used unit sales up but overall revenue down 4.3% due to a strong decline in wholesale vehicles. KMX's margins and ROIC are significantly lower than its peers, indicating a weaker competitive position and capital allocation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 05

CarMax: Mixed Signs Of Stabilization

Summary CarMax, Inc.'s sales continue to be pressured by a weak automotive sales industry, but the company's focus on gross profit has already started stabilizing the gross margin. The industry outlook remains cloudy regarding used car prices, the consumer sentiment, and interest rates. A fair midterm earnings recovery is still priced into CarMax's stock price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

株主還元

KMXUS Specialty RetailUS 市場
7D4.7%-0.3%1.4%
1Y-21.7%8.0%25.7%

業界別リターン: KMX過去 1 年間で8 % の収益を上げたUS Specialty Retail業界を下回りました。

リターン対市場: KMXは、過去 1 年間で25.7 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。

価格変動

Is KMX's price volatile compared to industry and market?
KMX volatility
KMX Average Weekly Movement8.6%
Specialty Retail Industry Average Movement7.5%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

安定した株価: KMX 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。

時間の経過による変動: KMXの 週次ボラティリティ ( 9% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。

会社概要

設立従業員CEO(最高経営責任者ウェブサイト
199328,000Keith Barrwww.carmax.com

カーマックス(CarMax, Inc.)は子会社を通じて、米国で中古車および関連商品の小売業を営んでいる。同社は2つのセグメントで運営されている:カーマックス販売事業部門とカーマックス・オート・ファイナンス事業部門である。カーマックス販売事業部門は、国産車、輸入車、高級車、ハイブリッド車、電気自動車を含む様々なメーカーとモデルの中古車、卸売オークション、販売時の顧客への延長プロテクションプラン、再生と車両修理サービスを顧客に提供している。カーマックス・オート・ファイナンス部門は、様々なクレジット・スペクトラムと様々な金融機関との取り決めにより、小売顧客に融資の選択肢を提供している。同社は1993年に設立され、バージニア州リッチモンドに本社を置いている。

CarMax, Inc. 基礎のまとめ

CarMax の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。
KMX 基礎統計学
時価総額US$7.61b
収益(TTM)US$222.54m
売上高(TTM)US$28.20b
34.2x
PER(株価収益率
0.3x
P/Sレシオ

収益と収入

最新の決算報告書(TTM)に基づく主な収益性統計
KMX 損益計算書(TTM)
収益US$28.20b
売上原価US$23.58b
売上総利益US$3.33b
その他の費用US$3.11b
収益US$222.54m

直近の収益報告

May 31, 2026

次回決算日

Sep 29, 2026

一株当たり利益(EPS)1.57
グロス・マージン11.80%
純利益率0.79%
有利子負債/自己資本比率296.3%

KMX の長期的なパフォーマンスは?

過去の実績と比較を見る

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/06/21 08:23
終値2026/06/18 00:00
収益2026/05/31
年間収益2026/02/28

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社の Github ページ でご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使い方に関する ガイド や YouTube の チュートリアル もご用意しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

CarMax, Inc. 15 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。36

アナリスト機関
null nullArgus Research Company
Craig KennisonBaird
John BabcockBarclays