Genesco Inc.

NYSE:GCO 株式レポート

時価総額:US$344.3m

Genesco 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /06

Genescoは収益が増加すると予測されています。

主要情報

n/a

収益成長率

n/a

EPS成長率

Specialty Retail 収益成長9.7%
収益成長率1.4%
将来の株主資本利益率5.60%
アナリストカバレッジ

Low

最終更新日08 Mar 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Feb 27

Genesco: The Worst Has Passed, But Progress Still Needs To Be Made (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Genesco is upgraded from 'sell' to a speculative 'hold' as recent revenue and cash flow improvements offset ongoing structural challenges. Journeys Group drives GCO's recovery with rising same-store sales and profitability, aided by brand awareness campaigns and cost reductions. Despite improved metrics, GCO faces persistent headwinds from declining store count and reduced FY26 guidance, tempering bullishness. Shares remain deeply discounted versus peers, but further upside depends on resolving structural issues and upcoming Q4 results. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Dec 31

Here's Why Genesco (NYSE:GCO) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
分析記事 Dec 31

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Genesco Inc.'s (NYSE:GCO) Shares After Tumbling 29%

Genesco Inc. ( NYSE:GCO ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand...
分析記事 Sep 26

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Genesco (NYSE:GCO)

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things...
分析記事 Aug 27

Genesco Inc.'s (NYSE:GCO) 30% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Despite an already strong run, Genesco Inc. ( NYSE:GCO ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last...
分析記事 May 09

Optimistic Investors Push Genesco Inc. (NYSE:GCO) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking

Those holding Genesco Inc. ( NYSE:GCO ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last...
分析記事 Apr 24

Some Investors May Be Worried About Genesco's (NYSE:GCO) Returns On Capital

What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? Businesses in decline often have...
Seeking Alpha Mar 10

Genesco Can't Drive Operational Leverage, Is Unattractive Even After Recent Dip

Summary Genesco Inc.'s Q4 showed strong revenue growth, especially from Journeys, but overall profitability remains a challenge, justifying a Hold rating. Operating leverage is a key issue; despite some margin improvements, the company is unprofitable for half the year. FY26 guidance is muted with minimal margin expansion, making the current valuation unattractive at 16x forward earnings. Significant margin improvement could make GCO stock compelling, but current guidance does not support this, maintaining the Hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Mar 08

Genesco Inc.'s (NYSE:GCO) 34% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

Genesco Inc. ( NYSE:GCO ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 34...
分析記事 Mar 05

Does Genesco (NYSE:GCO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Seeking Alpha Jan 05

Genesco's Q3 2025 Topline Was Impressive, But The Lack Of Operating Leverage Is Concerning

Summary Genesco's impressive 6% comparable sales growth, driven by Journeys' 11% increase, was offset by flat operating margins and higher advertising expenses. E-commerce growth and investments in digital marketing diluted the operating leverage benefits typically seen with higher sales in brick-and-mortar stores. Schuh and J&M segments also improved sequentially but remained down, with Schuh needing better assortments and J&M considering diversification into non-footwear categories. Despite strong sales growth, the lack of margin improvement and rising debt lead me to maintain a Hold rating on GCO. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 24

Genesco: A Structural Issue Prevents This From Being A Good Prospect Right Now (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Genesco's stock has declined 38% since November 2021, despite a recent surge, due to worsening fundamentals like declining store count and weakening cash flows. Recent optimism is based on Q3 2025 earnings exceeding expectations, but structural issues like store closures and revenue declines persist. Digital sales are growing but still only account for a small portion of overall revenue, highlighting the company's reliance on physical stores. Despite cost-cutting measures, revenue reductions continue, making the stock cheap for a reason; I downgrade it to a soft ‘sell’. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Nov 26

Optimistic Investors Push Genesco Inc. (NYSE:GCO) Shares Up 31% But Growth Is Lacking

Genesco Inc. ( NYSE:GCO ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand...
分析記事 Nov 13

Is Genesco (NYSE:GCO) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
分析記事 Oct 18

Returns On Capital Signal Difficult Times Ahead For Genesco (NYSE:GCO)

If we're looking to avoid a business that is in decline, what are the trends that can warn us ahead of time? More often...
Seeking Alpha Sep 07

Genesco Q2: Underperforming Comparable Sales, As Wall Street Expected

Summary Genesco, the shoe & apparel retailer, reported Q2 results beat that Wall Street expectations but fell short of market expectations as the stock declined -12%. Comparable retail sales declined -4% as the industry remained challenging, but the performance also expectedly underperformed many industry peers as Genesco's brands seem to have a weak perception. The FY2025 outlook was slightly raised due to a good start to Q3, being interesting as many peers have experienced more weakness from July forward. The valuation remains neutral in my opinion, but incredibly volatile based on Genesco's future brand performance and ultimately margins. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Aug 01

Genesco Inc.'s (NYSE:GCO) Shares Climb 31% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

The Genesco Inc. ( NYSE:GCO ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 31...
分析記事 Jul 12

The Returns On Capital At Genesco (NYSE:GCO) Don't Inspire Confidence

When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in...
Seeking Alpha Jun 30

Genesco's Assortment Bet For H2 2025 Is Risky, The Stock Is Still A Hold

Summary Genesco's 1Q25 results show flat to down revenues, with margins protected by store closures. The company plans to incrementally pivot away from brands like Vans and Converse in the second half of the year. Stock price offers little protection given the uncertain consumer environment and risky assortment transition, leading to a Hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 19

Genesco: Faces A Challenging Demand Environment

Summary Genesco is a footwear retailer with operations in the US and UK, selling third-party and first-party brands. Genesco is facing a challenging demand environment, with falling sales and compressing margins. Despite this, the company has maintained operational profitability and is growing YoY. Longer-term, Genesco's characteristics are not great for competition. The main problem is selling third-party brands, which puts pressure on margins. I believe the current multiple on earnings (15x for a negative scenario and 7.5x for a positive one) is not a sufficient discount given Genesco's long-term competitive characteristics. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Mar 09

Returns On Capital At Genesco (NYSE:GCO) Paint A Concerning Picture

If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop...
Seeking Alpha Feb 27

Genesco: Focus On Future Margin Trajectory

Summary Genesco is a retail apparel with a focus on footwear. The company's long-term financial profile shows modest organic revenue growth and a worrying downward trend in margins. GCO's financials have been pressured by a challenging market environment in FY2024, lowering the already weak profitability. Cost savings and an improving economy should elevate the profitability, but I keep my estimates modest in light of the historical performance. The current valuation reflects my baseline estimates quite accurately, making the risk-to-reward balanced in my eyes. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Feb 13

Does This Valuation Of Genesco Inc. (NYSE:GCO) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Genesco fair value estimate is US$25.22 Current share price of...
分析記事 Jan 04

Genesco Inc.'s (NYSE:GCO) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.4x in the Specialty Retail industry in the United States...
Seeking Alpha Dec 11

Genesco: Weak Results And Future Outlook

Summary Genesco recently reported weak Q3 FY24 results, with declining sales and margins under pressure. The company is facing challenges due to macroeconomic headwinds and decreased consumer spending. Technical analysis suggests that the stock price may continue its downtrend, making it risky to invest in GCO. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Nov 04

Genesco (NYSE:GCO) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
分析記事 Sep 11

Should You Think About Buying Genesco Inc. (NYSE:GCO) Now?

Genesco Inc. ( NYSE:GCO ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the...
Seeking Alpha Sep 07

Genesco: Promising Initiatives, But Upside Is Limited

Summary The company's revenue decreased by 2.3% YoY, while adj. operating loss (% of revenue) reached 1.9%. The decrease in growth rates and profitability in the main segment (Journeys Group) continues to have a negative impact on the consolidated financial results. I expect the company's financials to continue to be under pressure in the coming quarters, while the stock valuation no longer looks cheap. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Aug 26

Be Wary Of Genesco (NYSE:GCO) And Its Returns On Capital

If we're looking to avoid a business that is in decline, what are the trends that can warn us ahead of time? A business...

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:GCO - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
1/31/20292,576N/A841571
1/31/20282,482N/A751364
1/31/20272,431N/A61914
1/31/20262,4361384146N/A
11/1/20252,382-12389N/A
8/2/20252,362-251979N/A
5/3/20252,341-16-3321N/A
2/1/20252,325-204788N/A
11/2/20242,318-335189N/A
8/3/20242,301-775114N/A
5/4/20242,299-2972121N/A
2/3/20242,325-243495N/A
10/28/20232,311-5-1456N/A
7/29/20232,3359-3234N/A
4/29/20232,34748-195-133N/A
1/28/20232,38572-225-165N/A
10/29/20222,38895-215-156N/A
7/30/20222,384108-173-110N/A
4/30/20222,40411146104N/A
1/29/20222,422115186240N/A
10/30/20212,331143218259N/A
7/31/20212,210117204237N/A
5/1/20212,04687200230N/A
1/30/20211,787-56134158N/A
10/31/20201,827-111139166N/A
8/1/20201,885-99175202N/A
5/2/20201,981-7994124N/A
2/1/20202,1976287117N/A
11/2/20192,19556N/A182N/A
8/3/20192,19857N/A156N/A
5/4/20192,19856N/A202N/A
2/2/20192,18951N/A237N/A
11/3/20181,664226N/A235N/A
8/4/20181,84141N/A232N/A
5/5/20181,97038N/A183N/A
2/3/20182,12837N/A165N/A
10/28/20172,860-121N/A155N/A
7/29/20172,85470N/A106N/A
4/29/20172,86388N/A129N/A
1/28/20172,02173N/A165N/A
10/29/20162,91796N/A219N/A
7/30/20162,980103N/A274N/A
4/30/20163,01096N/A164N/A
1/30/20163,02295N/A150N/A
10/31/20152,983102N/A105N/A
8/1/20152,93298N/A87N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: GCOの予測収益成長が 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っているかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。

収益対市場: GCOの収益がUS市場よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です

高成長収益: GCOの収益が今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。

収益対市場: GCOの収益 ( 1.4% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: GCOの収益 ( 1.4% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。


一株当たり利益成長率予想


将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: GCOの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 5.6 %)。


成長企業の発掘

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/05/13 10:49
終値2026/05/13 00:00
収益2026/01/31
年間収益2026/01/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Genesco Inc. 4 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。14

アナリスト機関
Jonathan KompBaird
Jeffrey LickB. Riley Securities, Inc.
John SciarraCantor Fitzgerald & Co.