Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.

NYSE:ESRT 株式レポート

時価総額：US$1.5b

Empire State Realty Trust 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /06

Empire State Realty Trustは収益が増加すると予測されています。

主要情報

n/a

収益成長率

n/a

EPS成長率

Office REITs 収益成長-2.2%
収益成長率3.2%
将来の株主資本利益率0.67%
アナリストカバレッジ

Low

最終更新日08 Jun 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • Jun 08

ESRT: Capital Recycling And Midtown Land Consolidation Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have trimmed the 12 month price target for Empire State Realty Trust by $0.50 to $6.00, citing updated views following recent industry conferences and refreshed assumptions for growth, margins, and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates indicate that analysts are reassessing Empire State Realty Trust's valuation following sector conversations at industry conferences, with price targets nudged lower but core views on the stock's positioning broadly maintained.
ナラティブの更新 • May 25

ESRT: NYC Leasing And Capital Recycling Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts recently lowered their price target on Empire State Realty Trust by $1.25 to reflect updated views on the company’s outlook and valuation drivers. Analyst Commentary Analysts trimming the price target by $1.25 signals a recalibration of expectations rather than a complete shift in the core thesis around Empire State Realty Trust.
ナラティブの更新 • May 06

ESRT: NYC Leasing And Capital Recycling Will Support Forward Repricing Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Empire State Realty Trust to $7.00 from $8.25, citing updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Empire State Realty Trust have focused on recalibrating price targets to US$7.00, with analysts aligning their views around current assumptions for revenue, margins, discount rates, and P/E multiples.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 21

ESRT: NYC Leasing And Capital Recycling Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Empire State Realty Trust reflects a modest fair value move from about $6.86 to $6.61. This is in line with recent reductions in Street targets to $7 from $8 as analysts factor in slightly higher discount rates and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 07

Empire State Realty: Positive Leasing Spreads On Healthy Manhattan Office Market

Summary Empire State Realty Trust trades at a historically low 5.6x multiple to FFO despite resilient Manhattan leasing and NOI growth. ESRT has maintained positive leasing spreads for 18 consecutive quarters, with its office occupancy at 89.9% and total commercial occupancy at 90.3%. Dividend yield is 2.71%, below the US 10-year Treasury, making ESRT more of an FFO recovery play than an income play. I rate ESRT a Buy, supported by manageable debt maturities, growing retail exposure, and discounted valuation versus broader market headwinds. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 07

ESRT: Leasing Momentum And NYC Asset Shift Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their implied fair value for Empire State Realty Trust from $7.26 to $6.86, reflecting recent cuts in Street price targets to $7 from $8 and a slightly lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has centered on a reset of price targets for Empire State Realty Trust to $7 from $8, alongside a Neutral and an In Line rating.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 24

ESRT: Neutral Ratings And Leasing Progress Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target for Empire State Realty Trust to $7 from $8, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, growth, margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a consistent reset of fair value assumptions for Empire State Realty Trust, with both major firms now aligning on a US$7 price target and maintaining neutral stances rather than expressing clear positive or negative conviction.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 08

ESRT: Leasing Momentum And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Empire State Realty Trust to $7 from $8, with the shift reflecting updated views on discount rates, profit margins, and longer term P/E assumptions in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Empire State Realty Trust points to a more measured stance on the shares, with price targets adjusted to $7 and ratings held in the middle of the range.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 22

ESRT: Buybacks And New Manhattan Leasing Are Expected To Unlock Upside

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Empire State Realty Trust has been reduced by $1 to $7, as analysts reflect a lower fair value estimate of $7.36, a slightly higher discount rate, softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E of 129.45x. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a tighter range of expectations around Empire State Realty Trust, with several firms reducing price targets but maintaining their existing ratings.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 08

ESRT: Cautious Outlook Will Balance Buybacks With Broadway Acquisition Risk

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Empire State Realty Trust to US$6.80 from US$8.30, citing generally healthy REIT operating conditions while maintaining a cautious stance on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are signaling a more cautious stance on Empire State Realty Trust after the latest review of the stock, pointing to risks that they believe are not fully reflected in the current share price.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 24

ESRT: Share Repurchases And Portfolio Leasing Will Support Future Upside Potential

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Empire State Realty Trust from about US$10.00 to roughly US$9.00, citing modestly higher discount rates, slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E outlook, even as recent REIT earnings broadly reflected healthy operating conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary points to a more cautious stance on Empire State Realty Trust, with a lower fair value framework and a reduced published price target.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 09

ESRT: Buybacks And Leasing Execution Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Empire State Realty Trust, with one prominent cut from US$8.30 to US$6.80. This reflects updated fair value estimates and views on sector operating conditions despite generally healthy recent REIT earnings.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 14

ESRT: Share Repurchases And Leasing Strength Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lowered their price target on Empire State Realty Trust to $6.80 from $8.30, citing a more cautious view on valuation despite generally healthy operating conditions across most REITs. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on Empire State Realty Trust, with the latest price target cut to $6.80 reflecting a more conservative stance on valuation, even as fundamentals appear broadly stable across the REIT sector. Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to generally healthy Q3 2025 operating conditions across the REIT universe, suggesting that Empire State Realty Trust should continue to benefit from a supportive demand backdrop.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 30

ESRT: Leasing Momentum Will Support Resilient Performance Amid Market Uncertainty

Empire State Realty Trust's analyst price target has been reduced from $8.97 to $8.55 per share, as analysts cite ongoing macroeconomic and labor market concerns even though the REIT sector has generally shown stable performance. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Several analysts note that, despite current macroeconomic and labor market headwinds, the majority of REITs, including Empire State Realty Trust, reported stable earnings and maintained positive outlooks for Q3 2025.
分析記事 • Feb 22

Earnings Beat: Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. ( NYSE:ESRT ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 20

Empire State Realty Trust In An Empire State Of Mind, As NYC Office Demand Returns

Summary ESRT gets a buy rating, more bullish than the consensus, as macro and micro-level growth factors drive future upside potential. A strong profit margin vs peers, and stable positive cash flow per share, add to the upside case. This stock does not have a strong 5-year dividend growth CAGR, for investors focused on proven dividend growth stocks. An overconcentration in one geography, and heavy concentration in office property, could pose a portfolio risk to consider, compared to REITs that have nationwide properties. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 15

Empire State Realty Trust Is A Way To Go Long New York City

Summary Empire State Realty Trust has surged 16% in the past year, driven by Manhattan's office market recovery and increasing return-to-office mandates. ESRT's fiscal 2024 third-quarter revenue rose 4.2% year-over-year, fueled by its diversified portfolio, including the iconic Empire State Building. The REIT's strong FFO growth, record free cash flow, and strategic acquisitions position it well for future expansion and increased occupancy rates. Trading at 10.8x annualized Q3 FFO, ESRT is reasonably valued, with a promising outlook for its core assets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 10

Empire State Realty Trust: Expensive Valuation, Wait For A Better Entry Point

Summary Empire State Realty Trust offers investors exposure to NYC real estate, including office, retail, and multifamily properties, and the iconic Empire State Building. The REIT's diverse portfolio includes significant rentable office and retail space, along with 727 residential units, providing a balanced investment opportunity. Q2'24 results came in better than expected and the near-term outlook looks strong with occupancy gains ahead for the office portfolio. Compared to its peers, ESRT looks expensive and so investors should consider waiting for a better entry point before initiating a position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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新しいナラティブ • Sep 05

Williamsburg Expansion And ESG Focus Risk Undermining ESRT's Financial Stability

Expansion into Williamsburg and an optimistic office leasing strategy amidst evolving work dynamics might increase operational risks and strain occupancy rates.
分析記事 • May 03

Shareholders May Not Be So Generous With Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.'s (NYSE:ESRT) CEO Compensation And Here's Why

Key Insights Empire State Realty Trust will host its Annual General Meeting on 9th of May CEO Tony Malkin's total...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 05

Empire State Realty Trust: A Bet On The Mean Reversion

Summary Like its peers, Empire State Realty Trust suffered greatly through the pandemic. But Empire State has done perhaps the best job of any NYC REIT of returning to pre-pandemic levels. It's now expanding and diversifying, leveraging its strong financial position. A massive buyback program could turbocharge returns going forward. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:ESRT - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/2028850N/AN/AN/A1
12/31/2027835N/AN/AN/A1
12/31/2026812N/AN/AN/A1
3/31/202677735235235N/A
12/31/202576843249249N/A
9/30/202576635265265N/A
6/30/202576340263263N/A
3/31/202576251273273N/A
12/31/202476347261261N/A
9/30/202475845247247N/A
6/30/202475543235235N/A
3/31/202475648217217N/A
12/31/202374049232232N/A
9/30/202372853233233N/A
6/30/202372047233233N/A
3/31/202370954230230N/A
12/31/202270736211211N/A
9/30/202268621219219N/A
6/30/20226568212212N/A
3/31/2022627-19207207N/A
12/31/2021608-11212212N/A
9/30/2021591-8186186N/A
6/30/2021584-9192192N/A
3/31/2021574-24191191N/A
12/31/2020600-17182182N/A
9/30/20206500198198N/A
6/30/202069424218218N/A
3/31/202073048219219N/A
12/31/201972749N/A233N/A
9/30/201971455N/A290N/A
6/30/201970956N/A259N/A
3/31/201971161N/A288N/A
12/31/201870866N/A279N/A
9/30/201870560N/A207N/A
6/30/201870562N/A212N/A
3/31/201870262N/A202N/A
12/31/201769663N/A194N/A
9/30/201768862N/A231N/A
6/30/201767959N/A219N/A
3/31/201767054N/A220N/A
12/31/201667051N/A215N/A
9/30/201666443N/A206N/A
6/30/201666138N/A218N/A
3/31/201666038N/A215N/A
12/31/201565634N/A203N/A
9/30/201566030N/A197N/A
6/30/201565727N/A170N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: ESRTの予測収益成長が 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っているかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。

収益対市場: ESRTの収益がUS市場よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です

高成長収益: ESRTの収益が今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。

収益対市場: ESRTの収益 ( 3.2% ) US市場 ( 12.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: ESRTの収益 ( 3.2% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: ESRTの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 0.7 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/06/12 20:14
終値2026/06/12 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. 2 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。17

アナリスト機関
John KimBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Jing Xian Tan BonnelBofA Global Research
William CatherwoodBTIG