GRAIL, Inc.

NasdaqGS:GRAL 株式レポート

時価総額:US$2.6b

GRAIL 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /26

GRAILの収益は年間5.8%で減少すると予測されていますが、年間収益は年間23.1%で増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予測されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に-25.3% 1%なると予測されています。

主要情報

-5.8%

収益成長率

1.04%

EPS成長率

Biotechs 収益成長25.6%
収益成長率23.1%
将来の株主資本利益率-25.26%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日06 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

分析記事 May 08

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For GRAIL, Inc. (NASDAQ:GRAL) After Its First-Quarter Results

A week ago, GRAIL, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GRAL ) came out with a strong set of first-quarter numbers that could potentially lead...

Recent updates

分析記事 May 08

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For GRAIL, Inc. (NASDAQ:GRAL) After Its First-Quarter Results

A week ago, GRAIL, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GRAL ) came out with a strong set of first-quarter numbers that could potentially lead...
ナラティブ更新 May 07

GRAL: Future Returns Will Reflect Trial Outcomes And Reimbursement Progress

Narrative Update on GRAIL Analysts have trimmed their average price target for GRAIL by incorporating lower profit margin assumptions and a slightly higher future P/E of about 101x, following mixed reactions to recent study readouts and reimbursement uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on GRAIL reflect a split tape, with some firms trimming price targets after the NHS Galleri readout and reimbursement uncertainty, while others still see room for upside based on the company’s test portfolio and addressable market.
ナラティブ更新 Apr 19

GRAL: Future Returns Will Depend On Upcoming FDA Approval Decision

Analysts have trimmed GRAIL's average price target to about $67.71 from $72.40. They cited updated models that factor in recent price target cuts following the NHS-Galleri topline readout and lingering uncertainty around broad reimbursement, even as revenue growth and margin assumptions are slightly adjusted.
Seeking Alpha Apr 08

GRAIL: NHS-Galleri Trial Results Are A Foul Ball, Not A Strikeout

Summary GRAIL, Inc. (formerly an Illumina subsidiary) remains a buy despite missing the NHS-Galleri trial’s primary endpoint. Galleri’s commercial viability is underscored by 31% YoY U.S. revenue growth and expanding partnerships, including Samsung. A strong cash position ($904.4M) supports operations through 2030, offsetting trial extension and sales force expansion costs. Revised TAM-based valuation implies $78/share (~43% upside), reflecting immense long-term potential for liquid biopsy adoption. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 Apr 05

GRAL: Future Returns Will Hinge On Upcoming Regulatory And Coverage Milestones

Narrative Update on GRAIL The analyst price target for GRAIL has been reduced by $11.00. This change reflects recent cuts across firms citing the NHS Galleri study missing its primary endpoint and greater uncertainty around broad reimbursement, even as analysts still reference GRAIL's position in multi cancer early detection and upcoming regulatory and coverage milestones.
ナラティブ更新 Mar 21

GRAL: Future Returns Will Depend On NHS Study Outcome

Narrative Update: GRAIL Analyst Price Target Shift The updated analyst fair value estimate for GRAIL has moved from $88.00 to $83.40 as analysts factor in lower published price targets following the NHS Galleri study missing its primary endpoint and increased uncertainty around broad reimbursement, while still modeling higher revenue, stronger profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a mix of optimism and caution around GRAIL, with several firms revising price targets after the NHS Galleri study update and recent quarterly results.
新しいナラティブ Mar 08

Clinical Trial Setbacks And Reimbursement Delays Will Eventually Support Early Cancer Detection Potential

Catalysts About GRAIL GRAIL focuses on multi cancer early detection through its Galleri screening test and related clinical programs. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブ更新 Mar 06

GRAL: Future Returns Will Hinge On NHS Study And FDA Decision

The analyst fair value estimate for Grail has been trimmed from $114.50 to $88.00 as analysts factor in lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions following the NHS Galleri readout and increased uncertainty around broad reimbursement. Analyst Commentary Street research on Grail has shifted meaningfully following the NHS Galleri top line readout, with several firms reducing price targets and reassessing the risk and reward profile around Galleri adoption and reimbursement.
新しいナラティブ Feb 22

NHS Trial Momentum And Medicare Pathway Will Support Long Term Multi Cancer Screening Adoption

Catalysts About GRAIL GRAIL develops and commercializes Galleri, a blood based multi cancer early detection test aimed at finding cancers at earlier stages. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブ更新 Feb 20

GRAL: Future Returns Will Hinge On Upcoming NHS Trial Readout

The average analyst price target for Grail has edged down by $0.50 to about $114.50, as analysts balance optimism around upcoming trial readouts and potential regulatory milestones with a more cautious stance after the stock's very large move earlier in 2025 and ongoing execution risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Grail reflects a mix of enthusiasm for its position in multi cancer early detection and caution around valuation and execution timelines.
ナラティブ更新 Feb 04

GRAL: Future Returns Will Depend On NHS Readout And Execution Consistency

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price target on GRAIL from $105 to $115, citing refreshed models that reflect updated assumptions for growth, margins and future P/E. Recent research highlights steady execution, the long term Galleri opportunity, and the absence of thesis changing developments in recent results.
ナラティブ更新 Jan 20

GRAL: Future Returns Will Hinge On NHS Trial And Execution Risks

Analysts have nudged their price target on GRAIL up to $110 from $85, citing steady execution, a modest Q4 revenue beat, and the longer term opportunity for the Galleri test, despite the inherent risks that come with new technologies. Analyst Commentary Analysts see GRAIL's recent results as an incremental step rather than a major reset, with views split between confidence in execution and caution around key milestones like the NHS Galleri trial readout.
ナラティブ更新 Jan 06

GRAL: Long Term MCED Opportunity And Execution Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have raised their price target range for GRAIL to about $85 from around $38, citing updated post-Q3 estimates and what they view as a significant long-term commercial opportunity for the Galleri multi-cancer early detection test, while also highlighting the risks associated with this type of novel technology. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the increase in the price target range to about $85 as a reflection of what they view as a sizeable commercial runway for the Galleri multi cancer early detection test over the long term.
ナラティブ更新 Dec 16

GRAL: Future MCED Policy Shifts Will Drive Upside Despite Execution Risks

Analysts have raised their price target on GRAIL to $105 from $96.67, citing updated post earnings estimates and growing confidence in the long term commercial potential of the Galleri multi cancer early detection platform, despite ongoing technology and regulatory risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a meaningful reset in expectations for GRAIL, with multiple price target increases grounded in updated post earnings models and a clearer view of Galleri's commercial runway.
ナラティブ更新 Dec 01

GRAL: Risks From Clinical Data and Execution Will Remain a Key Concern

Analysts have raised their price target for GRAIL from approximately $90 to $97 per share, citing strengthened confidence in the company’s long-term growth prospects. This outlook is driven by recent developments and opportunities in multi-cancer early detection.
ナラティブ更新 Nov 17

GRAL: Confidence Will Increase With Upcoming Clinical Data and Legislative Progress

Analysts have raised their price target for GRAIL from $61.50 to $90.00. This change reflects increased confidence in the company’s long-term prospects and growth potential, following recent updates and a positive outlook on its multi-cancer early detection technology.
ナラティブ更新 Nov 01

GRAL: Execution Risks Remain High Amid PATHFINDER 2 Progress And Regulatory Shifts

Analysts have raised GRAIL's fair value estimate from $56.50 to $61.50 per share, citing greater confidence in the company's platforms, ongoing clinical milestones, and evolving market opportunities as key drivers for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight growing confidence in GRAIL's platforms.
ナラティブ更新 Oct 18

FDA Approval And NHS Studies Will Transform Cancer Detection

Analysts have raised their price target on GRAIL significantly, from $43 to $75. They cite growing confidence in the company's platforms, anticipated improvements in test performance, and the potential impact of future legislative changes as reasons for this adjustment.
ナラティブ更新 Oct 04

FDA Approval And NHS Studies Will Transform Cancer Detection

Analysts have raised their price target for GRAIL from $40.50 to $56.50. They cite strengthened confidence in the company's platforms, positive expectations for future study results, and anticipation of supportive legislative developments.
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新しいナラティブ Jun 15

Overvaluation Risks And NHS Trials Will Spur Future Resilience

Market optimism may overestimate Galleri's near-term adoption and pricing power due to regulatory, payer, and competitive pressures.
Seeking Alpha Jan 22

GRAIL: Cash Burn And Commercialization Timeline Are Problematic

Summary GRAIL is a developer of blood-based cancer tests and is initially targeting the multi-cancer early detection market. This market will be large due to the prevalence of cancer, along with the lack of screening options for some cancers and poor compliance rates with current screening methods. GRAIL's flagship product, Galleri, has enormous potential but faces competition and is years away from generating meaningful revenue. Regulatory approval and reimbursement are critical, with key trials ongoing in support of this. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Dec 24

Here's Why We're Watching GRAIL's (NASDAQ:GRAL) Cash Burn Situation

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com...
Seeking Alpha Dec 16

Grail: Lack Of Near Term Catalyst; Market Likely To Lose Interest Soon

Summary Grail's net cash balance of $25.71 per share suggests potential undervaluation as it trades at ~$21 per share. However, this cash balance is already part of ongoing expenditure. The risk of failing current NHS trials further complicates the investment outlook. Given these factors, entry at current prices is not favorable. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 24

GRAIL: Post-Spinoff, Illumina Maintains Control And Incentive To Support Success

Summary GRAIL Inc., spun off from Illumina Inc. in June 2024, faces financial challenges but holds significant growth potential with its Galleri cancer-screening test. Despite a strong balance sheet, GRAIL's Q2 2024 operational loss was $1.64 billion, primarily due to non-cash goodwill and intangible impairments. GRAIL's restructuring plan aims to cut costs, focus on Galleri sales, and extend its cash runway to 2028, supported by Illumina's continued involvement. GRAIL's revenue growth hinges on FDA approval and insurance reimbursement for Galleri, potentially transforming cancer detection and driving substantial future sales. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 09

GRAIL's Potential Turnaround: Seeking FDA Approval For Galleri

Summary GRAIL's Galleri test detects over 50 cancer types early, potentially saving lives, and is progressing towards FDA approval and broader insurance coverage. The company, a spinoff from Illumina, has significant backing and aims to reduce costs while expanding its market presence and regulatory validation. Despite high cash burn, GRAIL's strong cash reserves and strategic focus on FDA approval and Medicare reimbursement present substantial upside potential. Additionally, management’s cost-cutting measures, including a 30% workforce reduction, aim to extend GRAIL's cash runway. Given its promising technology and current valuation below cash value, I rate GRAL a speculative "buy" for investors who understand its unique risks and opportunities. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NasdaqGS:GRAL - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/2028284-483-222N/A8
12/31/2027223-487-255N/A8
12/31/2026180-433-262N/A8
3/31/2026156-395-292-291N/A
12/31/2025147-408-300-299N/A
9/30/2025142-406-330-329N/A
6/30/2025134-443-372-370N/A
3/31/2025131-1,914-468-465N/A
12/31/2024126-2,027-582-577N/A
9/30/2024118-2,117-621-613N/A
6/30/2024110-2,883-676-665N/A
3/31/2024100-1,491-645-633N/A
12/31/202393-1,466-609-596N/A
1/1/202356-5,399-584-561N/A
1/2/202215-1,248-758-688N/A
6/30/20211-387-363-295N/A
3/31/20210-350-303-263N/A
12/31/2020N/A-312-244-232N/A
9/30/2020N/A-284-215-212N/A
6/30/2020N/A-264-215-213N/A
3/31/2020N/A-254-232-229N/A
12/31/2019N/A-245N/A-246N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: GRAL今後 3 年間、利益が出ない状態が続くと予測されています。

収益対市場: GRAL今後 3 年間、利益が出ない状態が続くと予測されています。

高成長収益: GRAL今後 3 年間、利益が出ない状態が続くと予測されています。

収益対市場: GRALの収益 ( 23.1% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高い収益成長: GRALの収益 ( 23.1% ) 20%よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。


一株当たり利益成長率予想


将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: GRAL 3 年以内に赤字になると予測されています。


成長企業の発掘

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/05/11 16:45
終値2026/05/08 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

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業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

GRAIL, Inc. 8 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。11

アナリスト機関
Catherine Ramsey SchulteBaird
Kyle MiksonCanaccord Genuity
Subhalaxmi NambiGuggenheim Securities, LLC