Exelixis, Inc.

NasdaqGS:EXEL 株式レポート

時価総額：US$12.6b

Exelixis 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /26

Exelixis利益と収益がそれぞれ年間12.3%と7.3%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に26.5% 13.7%なると予測されています。

主要情報

12.3%

収益成長率

13.74%

EPS成長率

Biotechs 収益成長25.2%
収益成長率7.3%
将来の株主資本利益率26.51%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日22 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 23

Exelixis: Financial Performance Improves Faster Than Market Expectations

Summary Exelixis remains undervalued despite a 13%+ rally post-Q1, supported by robust double-digit growth, sector-leading profitability, and strong free cash flow. Q1 revenue grew 10% year-over-year, driven almost entirely by CABOMETYX demand; operating margin expanded to 41.1% as costs fell. I maintain a Buy rating with a $57 target, reflecting 13% upside; DCF and peer multiples confirm the valuation gap persists. Key risk: EXEL's revenue is ~90% dependent on CABOMETYX, heightening volatility and underscoring urgent need for pipeline diversification. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • May 01

EXEL: Future Colorectal Cancer Decision And Competitive Data Will Guide Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Exelixis higher by about $1, citing updated models that reflect slightly different assumptions for long term growth, profitability, and future P/E multiples, following recent research from firms including Barclays, Morgan Stanley, H.C. Wainwright, and RBC Capital. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Exelixis shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms fine tuning their price targets and assumptions instead of making sweeping changes.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 16

EXEL: Future Colorectal Cancer Decision And Competitive Data Will Shape Upside Potential

Exelixis' analyst price targets have adjusted in a tight range, with some firms trimming estimates by a few dollars to reflect heightened competitive pressure from Merck's HIF-2alpha data, while others nudged targets higher by $1 to $3 as they updated models and assumptions on the company. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Exelixis reflects a mix of cautious and constructive views, with modest price target adjustments rather than sweeping changes.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 02

EXEL: Future Returns Will Depend On Competitive Pressures In Key Oncology Categories

Exelixis' fair value estimate has been updated to $35.00 from $32.08 as analysts incorporate recent price target changes and adjust assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Exelixis points to a mixed setup.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 19

EXEL: Future Colorectal Cancer Data Will Shape Upside Potential

Analysts have fine tuned Exelixis's price targets in recent weeks, with cuts such as the move from $46 to $43 at RBC Capital balancing earlier increases as they factor in competitive pressures around HIF 2alpha data and updated views on the commercial potential of key pipeline assets like zanzalintinib. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Exelixis shows a split between bullish analysts who highlight pipeline optionality and cautious voices who focus on competitive pressure around HIF 2alpha data and existing oncology franchises.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 05

EXEL: Future Colorectal Cancer Readouts And Buybacks Will Shape Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Exelixis by about $0.33 to reflect slightly lower fair value assumptions and modestly softer long term growth and profitability expectations, influenced in part by renewed competitive concerns highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Exelixis reflects a mix of optimism around the company specific pipeline and partnerships, alongside caution around competitive risks and valuation sensitivity to clinical outcomes.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 19

EXEL: Pipeline Sentiment And Buybacks Will Shape A Measured Forward Outlook

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Exelixis higher by about $1.33 to $47.17. The revision reflects updated views on slightly faster revenue growth, a modestly lower discount rate, and a small adjustment to expected profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent research commentary.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 04

EXEL: Pipeline Sentiment And Buybacks Will Guide A Balanced Forward View

Analysts have nudged their price targets on Exelixis higher by a few dollars, citing recent research that highlights a modestly higher fair value estimate around $45.83. This figure is supported by updated views on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions tied to the commercial potential of zanzalintinib.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 21

EXEL: Pipeline Sentiment And Buybacks Will Shape A Measured Forward Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Exelixis higher by about $0.61, reflecting refreshed models that incorporate updated revenue growth assumptions, slightly adjusted discount rates and profit margins, and revised future P/E expectations following recent research updates that highlight sentiment around zanzalintinib across multiple tumor types. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Exelixis has been clustered around fresh modeling after the Q3 report and the Natera collaboration, with most of the discussion centering on how much value to ascribe to zanzalintinib across different tumor types and how that feeds into updated price targets.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 06

EXEL: Future Pipeline Execution Will Shape Sentiment On Lead Oncology Candidate

Analysts have nudged their implied price target for Exelixis higher, reflecting updated models that incorporate recent Q3 results, a higher assumed profit margin of about 57%, and ongoing debate around zanzalintinib's commercial potential across tumor types. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Exelixis has centered on updated models after the Q3 report and how much value investors may ascribe to zanzalintinib across multiple tumor types.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 14

EXEL: Future Returns Will Depend On Oncology Pipeline Execution Risk

Exelixis' analyst price target has been revised modestly higher, with the Street now generally looking for shares to move into the mid to high $40s. This is driven by updated post Q3 models that factor in improving long term profitability, slightly faster revenue growth, and growing confidence in the commercial potential of zanzalintinib across multiple tumor types, even as some analysts trim colorectal cancer assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 30

EXEL: Positive Trial Data And Share Buybacks Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

The analyst price target for Exelixis has increased modestly, with the consensus now approaching $45. Analysts cite improving profit margins and positive commercial prospects for zanzalintinib following the latest quarterly results.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 16

EXEL: Momentum From Key Readouts And Share Buybacks Will Support Balanced Outlook

Exelixis' analyst price target increased modestly to approximately $44.61. A generally positive outlook from analysts reflects confidence in future revenue growth and improved profit margins, although this is offset slightly by conservative updates to market share assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 08

Expanding Global Oncology Markets Will Broaden Patient Access

Exelixis’ consensus price target saw a marginal decrease to $44.06 as enthusiasm for positive Phase 3 colorectal cancer trial results and potential new revenue from zanzalintinib was offset by revenue model reductions from the discontinuation of head and neck cancer development and ongoing concerns about long-term growth beyond the Cabometyx 2031 patent expiry. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts raised price targets due to positive topline results from the STELLAR-303 Phase 3 trial, where zanzalintinib in combination with atezolizumab showed a statistically significant improvement in overall survival in metastatic colorectal cancer, paving the way for potential regulatory approval.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 13

Exelixis: Pinning Hopes On Cracking One Of The Toughest Nuts

Summary Exelixis relies heavily on cabozantinib, with potential growth from its NETs approval, but faces patent expiration (after 2030). Zanzalintinib shows promise in ongoing trials but lacks definitive data; 2025 will be pivotal for its success. Despite strong cabozantinib sales, EXEL's current valuation is high, making it a cautious investment; better entry points may arise. I hold a "Sell" sentiment due to high valuation and uncertain future growth, though holding shares would not be something I recommend against. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 09

Exelixis: Bullish On Cabo, Not So Convinced By It's Long-Term Replacement, Zanza

Summary Exelixis' stock has surged over 45% since my "Sell" rating given in March last year, driven by strong performance of cabozantinib, which remains a leading TKI for various cancers. Despite concerns over cabozantinib's patent expiry, Exelixis projects robust future revenues, with lead pipeline candidate zanzalintinib showing potential to offset future revenue losses. Exelixis is optimistic about new approvals for cabozantinib in neuroendocrine tumors and has promising pipeline assets besides zanzalintinib in various cancer indications. While cautious about zanzalintinib's clinical data, I remain bullish on Exelixis due to cabozantinib's continued success and potential short-term gains, e.g. driven by a potential new approval in NET. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 31

Exelixis: Cabometyx Drives Revenue While Zanzalintinib Emerges As Future Growth Engine

Summary Exelixis’s Cabometyx continues to drive revenue growth, prompting a raised 2024 forecast to $2.15–$2.2 billion. EXEL plans to diversify its oncology portfolio by launching one new indication for Zanzalintinib annually. Zanzalintinib could also grow into a $5 billion yearly revenue asset by 2033, potentially surpassing Cabometyx as Exelixis’s primary revenue source. The company has repurchased $462.4 million in shares this year, showcasing it's a shareholder-friendly company as well. Its relative valuation multiples and upside potential suggest EXEL still trades at a compelling price despite its recent appreciation. Thus, I maintain a “Buy” rating for Exelixis, as I believe Cabometyx’s revenue and Zanzalintinib’s long-term potential support robust long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NasdaqGS:EXEL - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20283,2541,1441,4311,28515
12/31/20272,9179479871,22218
12/31/20262,5948168461,10719
3/31/20262,375833905925N/A
12/31/20252,320783844884N/A
9/30/20252,288678744791N/A
6/30/20252,230602723772N/A
3/31/20252,299644772843N/A
12/31/20242,169521634700N/A
9/30/20242,082467405470N/A
6/30/20242,014350166316N/A
3/31/20241,847205185318N/A
12/31/20231,830208170333N/A
9/30/20231,77492134396N/A
6/30/20231,714164213389N/A
3/31/20231,664154118299N/A
12/31/20221,611182224363N/A
9/30/20221,638308343385N/A
6/30/20221,555273310359N/A
3/31/20221,521298453509N/A
12/31/20211,435231337401N/A
9/30/20211,254164275338N/A
6/30/20211,15794218272N/A
3/31/20211,03165152192N/A
12/31/2020988112179209N/A
9/30/2020958152310334N/A
6/30/2020998282372391N/A
3/31/2020979294408421N/A
12/31/2019968321N/A527N/A
9/30/2019956612N/A474N/A
6/30/2019910642N/A563N/A
3/31/2019856650N/A506N/A
12/31/2018854690N/A416N/A
9/30/2018745368N/A364N/A
6/30/2018672323N/A237N/A
3/31/2018585253N/A169N/A
12/31/2017452154N/A166N/A
9/30/2017410150N/A197N/A
6/30/201732058N/A154N/A
3/31/20172576N/A122N/A
12/31/2016191-70N/A210N/A
9/30/2016124-147N/A90N/A
6/30/201671-181N/A61N/A
3/31/201643-186N/A60N/A
12/31/201537-162N/A-141N/A
9/30/201535-178N/A-156N/A
6/30/201531-195N/A-180N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: EXELの予測収益成長率 (年間12.3% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: EXELの収益 ( 12.3% ) US市場 ( 16.8% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: EXELの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: EXELの収益 ( 7.3% ) US市場 ( 11.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: EXELの収益 ( 7.3% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: EXELの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には高くなると予測されています ( 26.5 %)

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/24 03:59
終値2026/05/22 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Exelixis, Inc. 19 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。41

アナリスト機関
Etzer DaroutBarclays
Peter LawsonBarclays
Jason Matthew GerberryBofA Global Research