The Mosaic Company

NYSE:MOS 株式レポート

時価総額：US$8.1b

Mosaic 過去の業績

過去 基準チェック /06

Mosaicの収益は年間平均-39.2%の割合で減少していますが、 Chemicals業界の収益は年間 減少しています。収益は年間2.9% 4.4%割合で 減少しています。

主要情報

-39.25%

収益成長率

-36.67%

EPS成長率

Chemicals 業界の成長12.93%
収益成長率-4.43%
株主資本利益率-5.28%
ネット・マージン-5.21%
前回の決算情報30 Jun 2026

最近の業績更新

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 03

Mosaic: Potash Is Holding Up, But Phosphate Economics Keep Me On The Sidelines

Summary Mosaic Company is rated Hold due to weak phosphate margins, negative free cash flow, and high input costs despite strong potash fundamentals. Q2 results revealed adjusted EBITDA of $407M, a net loss of $273M, and negative free cash flow of $153M, with phosphate gross margins turning negative. Potash remains a profit center, but phosphate profitability is highly sensitive to sulfur and ammonia costs, which remain elevated into Q3 and Q4. Valuation at 7.9x EV/EBITDA lacks a margin of safety; upgrades require sulfur price normalization, sustained free cash flow, and improved Brazil profitability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 21

MOS: Elevated Sulfur Costs Will Pressure Phosphate Margins And Limit Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price expectations for Mosaic, with a lower implied fair value of about $18 per share from roughly $20, reflecting recent target cuts that cite compressed phosphate margins and updated EBITDA estimates, partly offset by at least one more optimistic view on future margin recovery. Analyst Commentary on Mosaic Recent research updates on Mosaic highlight a split in opinion, but the cautious voices are having a clear impact on how investors may think about risk and valuation.
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 07

MOS: Sulfur And Phosphate Margin Reset Will Shape Balanced Return Potential

The updated analyst price target framework for Mosaic reflects a modest fair value adjustment from about $19.36 to roughly $19.98, as analysts factor in slightly less severe revenue pressure, firmer profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple informed by recent research that balances reduced Street targets with arguments for eventual margin recovery in phosphate fertilizers. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Mosaic highlights a split view, with some firms pointing to potential value in the stock while several bearish analysts stress ongoing risks tied to phosphate margins, sulfur costs, and broader fertilizer demand.
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 23

MOS: Sulfur Supply Normalization Will Support Margin Recovery And Future Repricing

The updated analyst price target for Mosaic moves from $40.00 to about $34.64, as analysts factor in lower modeled revenue growth and profit margins, alongside higher expected future P/E multiples and ongoing sulfur and phosphate margin uncertainty, despite some recent upgrades tied to Strait of Hormuz related supply normalization. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Mosaic points to a mixed but increasingly constructive tone, with several bullish analysts highlighting room for valuation improvement as sulfur supply normalizes and phosphate margins potentially stabilize.
分析記事 • Jun 16

Mosaic (MOS) Stock Could Be 16% Undervalued After Upgrades And China Trade Deal

Mosaic (MOS) is back on investors’ radar after a series of broker upgrades and a new China U.S. agricultural trade deal that points to stronger medium term fertilizer demand. See our latest analysis for Mosaic. Despite a recent bounce helped by broker upgrades and the China U.S. farm deal, Mosaic’s 1-year total shareholder return is down 35.27%, and its 5-year total shareholder return is down 17.69%, showing recent momentum but a weaker longer-term record. If this kind of cyclical setup...
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 06

MOS: Depressed Phosphate Margins Will Eventually Support Stronger Free Cash Flow

Analysts have lowered Mosaic's fair value estimate from $30.43 to $26.82. This reflects broad reductions in price targets, more conservative assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, and a higher projected P/E multiple in light of ongoing fertilizer margin volatility.
ナラティブ更新 • May 23

MOS: Higher Input Costs And DOJ Probe Will Pressure Future Returns

The updated analyst price target for Mosaic moves lower, with fair value now at about $19.36 from $24.00. This reflects Street concerns about weaker phosphate margins, sulfur related cost pressure, and softer revenue and profit assumptions, even as several analysts still point to potential long term value for patient investors.
分析記事 • May 14

Results: The Mosaic Company Delivered A Surprise Loss And Now Analysts Have New Forecasts

Shareholders might have noticed that The Mosaic Company ( NYSE:MOS ) filed its quarterly result this time last week...
ナラティブ更新 • May 01

MOS: Tighter Profit Structure And Phosphate Margin Bottom Will Support Future Rebound

The analyst consensus price target for Mosaic has shifted slightly lower, with the modelled fair value moving from about $32.17 to $30.43 as analysts factor in ongoing pressure on phosphate margins, higher input costs, and recent rating and target cuts across several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Mosaic shows a mix of cautious and constructive views, with most firms adjusting price targets and ratings to reflect margin pressure in phosphate, high input costs, and evolving expectations for earnings and cash flow.
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 16

MOS: Higher Input Costs And DOJ Probe Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have kept Mosaic's fair value estimate steady at $24.00, while slightly adjusting assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, margins, and future P/E to reflect a mix of recent downgrades tied to margin pressures and input costs, alongside select price target increases on tighter industry fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Mosaic has leaned cautious, with several bearish analysts reducing ratings or trimming price targets as they reassess the balance between input cost pressures, margin recovery, and execution on capital plans.
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 01

MOS: Margin Reset And Sector Tailwinds Will Support Future Repricing

Analysts have adjusted Mosaic's fair value estimate to $40.00 from $38.20, citing shifts in fertilizer pricing expectations, updated views on revenue growth and margins, and a higher discount rate that reflects recent sector downgrades along with select price target increases. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Mosaic, with several downgrades on margin and earnings concerns alongside a cluster of more constructive views that focus on reset expectations, improved cash generation, and higher valuation benchmarks for fertilizer names.
ナラティブ更新 • Mar 18

MOS: Sector Repricing And Cash Flow Discipline Will Support Future Rebound

Analysts have nudged Mosaic's average price target slightly higher to around $32, reflecting a mix of cautious revisions tied to softer revenue growth and margins, along with a modestly higher forward P/E multiple as some now see more support for fertilizer sector valuations despite recent earnings pressures. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Mosaic reflects a mixed setup, with some bullish analysts pointing to improving sector valuations and reset expectations, while bearish analysts focus on margin pressure, input cost risks, and execution issues at key assets.
ナラティブ更新 • Mar 04

MOS: Higher Input Costs And Weaker Margins Will Pressure Future Returns

Analyst price targets for Mosaic are broadly lower, with changes clustered in the $1 to $6 range as analysts factor in weaker phosphate margins, higher input costs and expectations for softer earnings, even as some highlight potential improvements in cash flow and reset volume expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Mosaic point to a generally cautious tone, with several firms trimming price targets and a mix of ratings that highlight both operational pressure and valuation questions.
ナラティブ更新 • Feb 18

MOS: Phosphate Margin Stabilization And Sector Catalysts Will Drive Future Repricing

Analysts have adjusted their price targets for Mosaic in a tight range in recent weeks, with small changes around the low to mid $30s reflecting mixed views on phosphate margins, Q4 commentary, and the broader chemicals and agriculture setup. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Mosaic has been split, but there is a cluster of more optimistic calls focused on phosphate stripping margins, execution around Q4, and how the stock is positioned within broader chemicals and agriculture coverage lists.
ナラティブ更新 • Feb 04

MOS: Phosphate Margin Recovery Will Drive Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Mosaic. The blended fair value estimate has moved from about US$49.00 to roughly US$38.20, reflecting lower assumed revenue growth and P/E multiples, even as several recent research notes point to improving phosphate margins and mixed views on execution and demand risk.
ナラティブ更新 • Jan 21

MOS: Strong Harvest And Buybacks Will Support Future Rebound

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Mosaic by about $0.66 per share. This reflects a blend of recent price target cuts tied to softer phosphate trends and demand deferrals, partly offset by a few upward revisions from firms that see some potential catalysts ahead.
分析記事 • Jan 16

Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.22

The Mosaic Company ( NYSE:MOS ) will pay a dividend of $0.22 on the 19th of March. The dividend yield will be 3.2...
ナラティブ更新 • Jan 07

MOS: Strong Harvest And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Mosaic by a few dollars to roughly the low to mid US$30s, reflecting softer near term fertilizer demand, mixed phosphate volume guidance and execution questions, even as some analysts highlight supportive factors such as a strong U.S. harvest and previous earnings beats in certain segments. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Mosaic clusters around similar themes, but opinions split on how much upside or downside that implies for the stock.
分析記事 • Dec 25

Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.22

The Mosaic Company's ( NYSE:MOS ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.22 per share on 19th of March. The...
ナラティブ更新 • Dec 22

MOS: Fertilizer Demand And Phosphate Pricing Will Shape A Cautious Outlook

The analyst price target for Mosaic has been cut materially, from about $33.00 to $24.00. Analysts are factoring in weaker near term revenue growth amid softer fertilizer demand and phosphate pricing headwinds, despite some offsetting strength in margins and select business segments.
ナラティブ更新 • Dec 07

MOS: Strong Harvest And Deferred Demand Will Support Future Upside

We trim our Mosaic fair value estimate by approximately $1 to $34 per share, as analysts broadly lower price targets in response to softer near term fertilizer demand, weaker phosphate volumes and margins, and higher expected input costs, partially offset by selective optimism on execution and harvest driven demand. Analyst Commentary Street research on Mosaic has turned more mixed as analysts recalibrate expectations for fertilizer pricing, volumes, and input costs.
ナラティブ更新 • Nov 23

MOS: Improved Margins And Recent Buyback Will Support Upside Amid Industry Risks

The analyst price target for Mosaic has been lowered by $1.47. This adjustment reflects recent research that cites demand deferrals, softer pricing, and a more cautious near-term outlook.
ナラティブ更新 • Nov 07

MOS: Multiyear Fertilizer Demand Outlook Will Drive Upside Despite Market Headwinds

The analyst price target for Mosaic has been modestly reduced amid a series of downward revisions from $43 to $46 into the $30 to $44 range, as analysts cite inconsistent phosphate performance, softer sales volume outlooks, and ongoing macroeconomic headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes on Mosaic reflect a wide range of outlooks from Wall Street, with both bullish and bearish analysts highlighting key factors influencing the company’s valuation and growth prospects.
ナラティブ更新 • Oct 23

Future Pricing Shifts and Market Headwinds Will Shape Fertilizer Momentum

The average analyst price target for Mosaic has decreased modestly to approximately $40 from around $43. Analysts cite cautious earnings setups, inconsistent end market conditions, and ongoing commodity price pressures for the adjustment.
ナラティブ更新 • Oct 09

Brazil Facilities And Automation Will Unlock Fertilizer Potential

The analyst price target for Mosaic has edged down recently. The consensus has fallen from $40.46 to $39.96 as analysts cite balanced fertilizer demand and ongoing industry risks, which are offset by improving sector fundamentals.
ナラティブ更新 • Sep 04

Brazil Facilities And Automation Will Unlock Fertilizer Potential

Analysts maintain a cautious stance on Mosaic, citing strong fertilizer pricing and defensive sector characteristics offset by management execution concerns, resulting in an unchanged consensus price target of $39.75. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts noted stronger-than-expected fertilizer pricing across nitrogen, phosphate, and potash, driven by geopolitical disruptions, tight supply, and resilient demand.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 06

Mosaic's Revenue Is Growing, But Investors Should Worry About Its Profits

Summary Mosaic has transformed into a global fertilizer leader, but its revenue growth of 2.5% CAGR from 2015 to 2024 is price-driven, not volume-based. Profitability has declined significantly, with 2024 net income at just 20% of 2015 levels, and external risks like US tariffs pose further challenges. Despite being financially sound, my valuation shows insufficient margin of safety. Together with the tariff risks, Mosaic is not an investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

収支内訳

Mosaic の稼ぎ方とお金の使い方。LTMベースの直近の報告された収益に基づく。

収益と収入の歴史

NYSE:MOS 収益、費用、利益 ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益G+A経費研究開発費
30 Jun 2612,248-6385120
31 Mar 2612,430455470
31 Dec 2512,0525415340
30 Sep 2511,8951,2295290
30 Jun 2511,2539405520
31 Mar 2511,0643685130
31 Dec 2411,1231754970
30 Sep 2411,4563715060
30 Jun 2412,1942454780
31 Mar 2412,7717754800
31 Dec 2313,6961,1655010
30 Sep 2315,0281,3235100
30 Jun 2316,8282,1695150
31 Mar 2318,8072,8364930
31 Dec 2219,1253,5834980
30 Sep 2218,4853,7244890
30 Jun 2216,5553,2554620
31 Mar 2213,9832,6564610
31 Dec 2112,3571,6314310
30 Sep 2110,9741,7944180
30 Jun 219,9371,4164180
31 Mar 219,1811,0264050
31 Dec 208,6826663720
30 Sep 208,301-1,0833650
30 Jun 208,673-1,1213460
31 Mar 208,805-1,4013290
31 Dec 198,906-1,0673540
30 Sep 199,351-343400
30 Jun 199,5252583400
31 Mar 199,5535593410
31 Dec 189,5874703410
30 Sep 189,159-733350
30 Jun 188,215-933220
31 Mar 187,765-643140
31 Dec 177,409-1073010
30 Sep 177,1803362930
30 Jun 177,1471482940
31 Mar 177,067402950
31 Dec 167,1632983040
30 Sep 167,4644413140
30 Jun 167,6175623230
31 Mar 168,4309623400
31 Dec 158,8951,0003500
30 Sep 159,1111,2033560

質の高い収益: MOSは現在利益が出ていません。

利益率の向上: MOSは現在利益が出ていません。

フリー・キャッシュフローと収益の比較

過去の収益成長分析

収益動向: MOSは利益が出ておらず、過去 5 年間で損失は年間39.2%の割合で増加しています。

成長の加速: MOSの過去 1 年間の収益成長を 5 年間の平均と比較することはできません。現在は利益が出ていないためです。

収益対業界: MOSは利益が出ていないため、過去 1 年間の収益成長をChemicals業界 ( 2.4% ) と比較することは困難です。

株主資本利益率

高いROE: MOSは現在利益が出ていないため、自己資本利益率 ( -5.28% ) はマイナスです。

総資産利益率

使用総資本利益率

過去の好業績企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/09/11 16:02
終値2026/09/11 00:00
収益2026/06/30
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した ご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

The Mosaic Company 19 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。37

アナリスト機関
Benjamin TheurerBarclays
Farooq HamedBarclays
Aron CeccarelliBerenberg