Goosehead Insurance, Inc.

NasdaqGS:GSHD 株式レポート

時価総額：US$1.4b

Goosehead Insurance 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /56

Goosehead Insurance利益と収益がそれぞれ年間21.7%と15%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に1978.1% 27.7%なると予測されています。

主要情報

21.7%

収益成長率

27.66%

EPS成長率

Insurance 収益成長2.2%
収益成長率15.0%
将来の株主資本利益率1,978.11%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日10 Jun 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • Jun 05

GSHD: Execution On Margins And Buybacks Is Expected To Support Future Upside

Analysts have modestly adjusted their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to $98.40, reflecting a slightly higher assumed revenue growth rate and profit margin, alongside a broadly mixed set of recent price target moves that include both reductions, such as Piper Sandler's cut to $52 and JPMorgan's to $55, and increases from firms like UBS, BofA, RBC Capital, and Keefe Bruyette. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have been active on Goosehead Insurance, adjusting price targets both up and down while reassessing the balance between growth prospects and margin pressures.
ナラティブの更新 • May 21

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Resilience

Analysts have trimmed the updated fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to about $98 from roughly $119, reflecting lower price targets across several firms as they factor in a slightly higher discount rate, somewhat softer projected revenue growth and profit margins, and a more conservative future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Goosehead Insurance has been active, with several firms adjusting price targets and updating views following the latest earnings and AI related debates around the business model.
ナラティブの更新 • May 01

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Returns As AI Fears Ease

Analysts have increased the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by $1 to $67.58, reflecting a balance of lower projected revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a reduced future P/E assumption in light of recent price target resets and ongoing debate around AI related risks and growth headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Goosehead Insurance reflects a mix of optimism on long term growth potential and caution around execution risks, valuation, and the impact of AI related disruption on the insurance distribution model.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Goosehead Insurance: Secular Pressures Merit Caution

Summary Goosehead Insurance delivered strong Q1 results, with revenue up 23% and adjusted EBITDA up 57%, yet faces secular headwinds. AI-driven disintermediation and persistently weak customer retention (85%) pose significant long-term risks to GSHD’s agency model. NPS deterioration from 87 to 72 and slow retention improvement highlight potential service and satisfaction issues amid ongoing automation. I recommend a 'sell' rating on GSHD, citing secular pressures, AI risk, and an unattractive 23x earnings multiple despite recent operational gains. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 15

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Returns Despite AI Concerns

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Goosehead Insurance, with the fair value estimate moving from about $73.00 to roughly $66.58. They are factoring in lower price targets across the Street and a reduced future P/E assumption tied to concerns about growth headwinds and potential AI-related risks.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 01

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Offset AI Disruption Concerns

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by about $3.70 to $73.00 as they factor in softer projected growth, slightly lower margins and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. They still see AI related disruption risks as more limited than some headlines suggest.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 17

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have lowered the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by about $14.82 to $76.73 as they factor in revised price targets, modestly higher discount rates, slightly softer margin expectations, and updated views on growth resilience and AI related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a mixed but engaged analyst view on Goosehead Insurance, with several firms trimming price targets while maintaining generally constructive ratings.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 03

GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Goosehead Insurance by about $21 to $118.94. This reflects refreshed assumptions around growth, profitability, and valuation multiples following recent research updates that highlight both AI-related competitive questions and ongoing expectations for solid organic expansion.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 17

GSHD: Refined Assumptions And Franchise Expansion Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Goosehead Insurance by $14, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Even with the $14 reduction to the price target, bullish analysts see the revised figure as consistent with a constructive view on Goosehead Insurance, with the change described more as a recalibration of assumptions than a shift in overall stance.
分析記事 • Feb 11

The Price Is Right For Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (NASDAQ:GSHD) Even After Diving 33%

The Goosehead Insurance, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 03

GSHD: Reset Expectations And Consistent Execution Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have lowered their price target on Goosehead Insurance by $14, reflecting updated views on the company’s growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are treating the lower price target as a reset rather than a loss of confidence, with recent commentary focusing on how updated growth and margin assumptions feed into new P/E expectations.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 20

GSHD: Higher Investment Spend And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to $140 from $150, citing lower price targets, trimmed long term growth and margin expectations, and higher assumed discount rates following recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Goosehead Insurance highlights a more cautious stance on near term earnings and investment spending, but there are still several points that more optimistic voices are watching closely.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 05

GSHD: Increased Investment Spending Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets on Goosehead Insurance, trimming expectations by roughly $10 to $15 per share as they factor in higher investment spending, softer renewal commission retention, and near term margin pressure, while maintaining unchanged long term growth and profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more balanced stance on Goosehead Insurance, with modestly lower price targets but generally constructive long term views on growth and execution.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 21

GSHD: Incremental Investment Spending Will Set Up Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to approximately $91.55 from about $90.82. This reflects expectations for slightly faster top line growth, offset by near term margin pressure and elevated investment spending that has led to a series of reduced but still generally constructive price targets across the Street.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 07

GSHD: Increased Investment And Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Goosehead Insurance, as slightly lower projected revenue growth and margins, along with increased investment spending and softer renewal commission retention, have led to a trimmed fair value estimate from about $93.70 to roughly $90.82 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance on Goosehead Insurance, with valuation adjustments driven more by updated assumptions on growth, retention, and spending than by a fundamental change in the long term narrative.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 22

GSHD: New Investment Spend Will Support Long-Term Earnings Stability

Analysts have lowered price targets for Goosehead Insurance, citing incremental expenses from new investments and softer commission retention. Recent target cuts have ranged from a reduction of $10 to $23 per share.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 06

GSHD: Market Share Expansion Will Support Resilient Performance Amid Sector Headwinds

Goosehead Insurance's fair value estimate has been revised downward to $93.70 from $98.10. Analysts cite lower renewal commission retention, increased investment-related expenses, and reduced revenue growth and profit margin projections following recent price target cuts.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 22

Analysts Offer Mixed Outlook on Goosehead Insurance Amid Modest Growth and Valuation Adjustments

Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets for Goosehead Insurance, citing slightly softer expectations for growth and profitability. Targets have dropped by as much as $10 to $150 and $5 to $85, reflecting concerns about slower sales growth and a more competitive pricing environment in the sector.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 08

AI And Digital Platforms Will Fuel Insurance Excellence

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance from $109.70 to $101.30. They cite softer forecasts for new sales growth and commission retention expectations, despite improvements in profit margin and future earnings projections.
分析記事 • Jul 08

Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) Price In Tune With Revenues

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Insurance industry in the United States have price-to-sales...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 28

Goosehead Insurance: Balancing Franchise Reacceleration, Mixed Industry Outlook

Summary Goosehead Insurance's franchise health. The franchise size is nearing stabilization and reacceleration, and productivity has rapidly increased. The outlook for personal line insurers remains uncertain. Auto insurance profitability is expected to remain subdued for 2025, and home sales have remained pressured. I estimate GSHD to have a fair value of roughly $86.5. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Feb 02

Here's Why Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
分析記事 • Nov 12

Revenues Tell The Story For Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) As Its Stock Soars 31%

Goosehead Insurance, Inc ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month...
分析記事 • Oct 24

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Passed With Ease

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
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新しいナラティブ • Sep 24

Leveraging Technology And Expansion To Surge In The Personal Insurance Market

Goosehead Insurance's focus on technology-enhanced productivity and strategic workforce expansion signals strong potential for accelerated revenue growth.
分析記事 • Jul 26

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) 53% Share Price Surge

The Goosehead Insurance, Inc ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...
分析記事 • Jul 24

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Presents An Opportunity

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
分析記事 • Apr 28

Getting In Cheap On Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) Might Be Difficult

Goosehead Insurance, Inc's ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.3x may look like a poor investment...

業績と収益の成長予測

NasdaqGS:GSHD - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/202859453861343
12/31/2027491488012111
12/31/2026419376210011
3/31/2026382307199N/A
12/31/2025365286892N/A
9/30/2025353306381N/A
6/30/2025341307085N/A
3/31/2025325316275N/A
12/31/2024314305972N/A
9/30/2024283195973N/A
6/30/2024275195266N/A
3/31/2024266164464N/A
12/31/2023260143251N/A
9/30/2023254113040N/A
6/30/202324162542N/A
3/31/202322532740N/A
12/31/202220812336N/A
9/30/202219102042N/A
6/30/202217521326N/A
3/31/20221604722N/A
12/31/202115052035N/A
9/30/202114582136N/A
6/30/202113572338N/A
3/31/202112792334N/A
12/31/202011691425N/A
9/30/20209561420N/A
6/30/20208531117N/A
3/31/20207411418N/A
12/31/2019774N/A21N/A
9/30/2019784N/A19N/A
6/30/2019734N/A14N/A
3/31/201968-6N/A10N/A
12/31/201860-9N/A10N/A
9/30/201856-9N/A9N/A
6/30/201851-9N/A13N/A
3/31/201847N/AN/A15N/A
12/31/201742N/AN/A14N/A
12/31/2016315N/A4N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: GSHDの予測収益成長率 (年間21.7% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: GSHDの収益 ( 21.7% ) はUS市場 ( 17.9% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高成長収益: GSHDの収益は今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されています。

収益対市場: GSHDの収益 ( 15% ) US市場 ( 12.5% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高い収益成長: GSHDの収益 ( 15% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: GSHDの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には非常に高くなると予測されています ( 1978.1 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/06/11 08:22
終値2026/06/11 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Goosehead Insurance, Inc. 11 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。15

アナリスト機関
Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Joshua ShankerBofA Global Research
Ryan TunisCantor Fitzgerald & Co.