Mister Car Wash 将来の成長
Future 基準チェック /16
Mister Car Wash利益と収益がそれぞれ年間16.6%と7.1%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に12.1% 15.9%なると予測されています。
主要情報
16.6%
収益成長率
15.87%
EPS成長率
| Consumer Services 収益成長 | 12.9% |
| 収益成長率 | 7.1% |
| 将来の株主資本利益率 | 12.13% |
| アナリストカバレッジ | Good |
| 最終更新日 | 19 May 2026 |
今後の成長に関する最新情報
Recent updates
ナラティブの更新 • May 15
MCW: Take Private Proposal At 7 Dollars Will Guide Deal Focused Outlook
Analysts have reset Mister Car Wash price targets to $7.00, converging around the announced take-private offer at $7 per share and citing the transaction terms as the main anchor for valuation. Analyst Commentary Street research has quickly shifted to reflect the take private proposal at US$7.00 per share, with most analysts now treating the offer price as the central reference point for Mister Car Wash valuation.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 21
MCW: Take Private Offer At 7 Dollars Will Define Balanced Outlook
The analyst price target for Mister Car Wash is now aligned at $7.00, as analysts adjust their views to reflect the agreed all-cash take-private offer at $7 per share and describe this valuation as fair given ongoing retail car wash pressures and continued reinvestment in the business. Analyst Commentary Analysts are largely converging around the US$7.00 take private price, treating it as the reference point for both ratings and valuation work.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 06
MCW: Take Private Deal At 7 Dollars Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have aligned Mister Car Wash price targets with the agreed $7 per share take-private offer, with several firms raising targets to $7 and generally shifting ratings to more neutral stances as they view the transaction valuation as fair and see limited likelihood of competing bids. Analyst Commentary Street research around Mister Car Wash has converged around the agreed US$7 per share take private price, with most firms shifting to neutral stances and framing the offer as a practical ceiling for the stock in the near term.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 23
MCW: Take Private Deal At 7 Dollars Will Frame Near Term Outcomes
The analyst price target for Mister Car Wash moves from $5.25 to $7.00 as analysts align their valuation with the announced take private offer at $7 per share and recent updates to revenue growth, discount rate, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research around Mister Car Wash has quickly converged on the proposed US$7.00 per share take private price, with multiple firms adjusting ratings and targets to reflect the announced transaction with Leonard Green & Partners.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 09
MCW: Take Private Offer At 7 Dollars Will Define Near Term Path
The analyst price target for Mister Car Wash has moved to $7.37 from $7.50, with analysts generally aligning expectations around the $7 per share take private offer and citing the agreed all cash acquisition as the key driver of their updated views. Analyst Commentary Across the Street, research updates are clustering around the US$7 per share take private price, with most firms either moving ratings to more neutral stances or fine tuning targets to match the agreed consideration.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 22
MCW: Take Private Deal At 7 Dollars Will Anchor Future Expectations
The analyst price target for Mister Car Wash has shifted from about $10.09 to $7.50, with analysts pointing to the agreed $7 per share take private offer from Leonard Green & Partners and a recalibration of assumptions such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to align expectations with the proposed deal valuation. Analyst Commentary Street research has largely converged around the proposed US$7.00 per share take private price, with many firms resetting ratings and targets to reflect the deal terms.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 08
MCW: Refined Discount And Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target on Mister Car Wash by US$1, citing slightly revised assumptions around discount rates, revenue, profit margins and future P/E that still support a fair value estimate near US$10.09. Analyst Commentary Analysts trimming their 12 month price target by US$1 while still landing near a fair value estimate around US$10.09 suggests that, even with slightly more conservative inputs, the broader thesis around Mister Car Wash remains intact.Seeking Alpha • Feb 03
Mister Car Wash: Painting A Cleaner Picture
Summary Mister Car Wash has seen realistic earnings rise to ~$0.35/share as shares fell from $7+ to ~$5, halving adjusted earnings multiples. MCW's business remains capital-intensive with manageable leverage at 2.4x, but operational lease liabilities and private equity ownership add risk. Memberships drive recurring revenue, with 2.2 million unlimited wash club members accounting for three-quarters of over $1 billion in sales. Valuation is more reasonable, and recent improvements in earnings and leverage make me cautiously more upbeat, though not yet compelled to buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Jan 29
Many Still Looking Away From Mister Car Wash, Inc. (NASDAQ:MCW)
It's not a stretch to say that Mister Car Wash, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:MCW ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.2x right...ナラティブの更新 • Jan 24
MCW: Steady Guidance And Margins Will Support Membership And Comp Stabilization
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mister Car Wash slightly higher to about US$10.09 from roughly US$10.08, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions following recent price target revisions, such as the US$1 cut highlighted by Morgan Stanley research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts looking at Mister Car Wash are framing recent price target revisions as more of a fine tune than a reset, with the modest US$1 adjustment fitting into an updated view of revenue, margin outlook, and P/E assumptions rather than a change in thesis.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 09
MCW: Rebased Expectations Set Stage For Membership And Comp Trend Stabilization
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Mister Car Wash from about US$10.48 to around US$10.08, reflecting concerns about sluggish same store sales trends, challenging upcoming comparisons, and ongoing declines in members per store. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to growing caution around Mister Car Wash as same store sales trends soften and membership levels per location remain under pressure.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 26
MCW: Future Upside Will Hinge On Stabilizing Membership Trends Amid Tough Compares
Analysts have reduced their price target on Mister Car Wash to $6 from $8, citing increasingly sluggish comparable sales trends, tough upcoming comparisons in Q4 and Q1, and a persistent decline in members per store over the past six quarters. Analyst Commentary Analysts see the reset in expectations as reflecting mounting execution risks while still acknowledging a credible long term growth runway if trends stabilize.分析記事 • Dec 12
A Look At The Fair Value Of Mister Car Wash, Inc. (NASDAQ:MCW)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Mister Car Wash fair value estimate is US$6.40 Mister Car...ナラティブの更新 • Dec 12
MCW: Membership Slump And Tough Comparisons Will Pressure Near-Term Performance
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Mister Car Wash from $8.00 to $6.00, citing increasingly sluggish same store sales trends, tough Q4 and Q1 comparisons, and a persistent decline in members per store that raises the risk of negative comps in the coming quarters. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have shifted to a more cautious stance on Mister Car Wash, cutting their price targets to around $6 as they recalibrate expectations for the company’s near term performance.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 28
MCW: Future Gains Will Depend On Stabilizing Membership Trends Into 2025
The analyst price target for Mister Car Wash was reduced from $8 to $6 per share, reflecting analysts’ concerns over sluggish comparable store trends and declining membership figures. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions reflect a shifting sentiment surrounding Mister Car Wash, prompted by uneven operational performance and challenging growth comparisons.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 13
MCW: Recovery Potential Will Depend On Membership Trends Stabilizing In 2025
The analyst price target for Mister Car Wash has been lowered from $8 to $6, as analysts cite ongoing sluggish comparable trends and a sustained decline in membership per store. Analyst Commentary Analyst perspectives on Mister Car Wash have shifted as recent trends reflect both growth challenges and valuation reassessments.ナラティブの更新 • Oct 30
MCW: Future Membership Stabilization Will Drive Recovery Amid Recent Weakness
Analysts have lowered their price target for Mister Car Wash from $8.17 to $7.52. They cite ongoing sluggish comparable trends, persistent membership declines, and weaker non-member demand, all of which are impacting near-term growth expectations.分析記事 • Oct 07
These 4 Measures Indicate That Mister Car Wash (NASDAQ:MCW) Is Using Debt Extensively
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...分析記事 • Sep 13
Many Still Looking Away From Mister Car Wash, Inc. (NASDAQ:MCW)
It's not a stretch to say that Mister Car Wash, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:MCW ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.3x right...分析記事 • Jul 11
Is It Time To Consider Buying Mister Car Wash, Inc. (NASDAQ:MCW)?
Mister Car Wash, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MCW ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 13% on...分析記事 • Jun 14
Is Mister Car Wash (NASDAQ:MCW) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...分析記事 • May 16
Shareholders May Be Wary Of Increasing Mister Car Wash, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MCW) CEO Compensation Package
Key Insights Mister Car Wash's Annual General Meeting to take place on 22nd of May Salary of US$1.00m is part of CEO...分析記事 • Mar 19
What Is Mister Car Wash, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MCW) Share Price Doing?
Mister Car Wash, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MCW ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise...Seeking Alpha • Mar 04
Mister Car Wash: Downgrade To Hold On Uncertain FY25 Performance
Summary I recommend a hold rating for Mister Car Wash stock due to uncertainties in FY25, despite strong long-term growth prospects. MCW reported $251 million in revenue with 6% same-store sales growth and 2.3% membership growth, showing strong execution and cost management. Concerns for FY25 include weaker consumer spending, potential inflation resurgence, and lower greenfield expansion targets, impacting membership and revenue growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 20
Mister Car Wash: Quarterly Results Demonstrate That Upside Is Warranted
Summary Mister Car Wash, Inc. reported a 9.2% revenue increase in Q4 2024, driven by new locations and a 6% rise in comparable store sales. Despite a mixed bottom line, adjusted earnings per share exceeded expectations, and profitability metrics like operating cash flow and EBITDA improved year-over-year. The company's 2025 guidance is positive, with expected revenue growth and reduced capital expenditures, focusing on new locations and operational improvements. MCW shares are attractively priced, with a low price-to-book multiple, making Mister Car Wash a compelling “buy” despite recent underperformance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Feb 18
Investors Appear Satisfied With Mister Car Wash, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MCW) Prospects
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may...
新しいナラティブ • Feb 09
Expansion Of Titanium Membership And Operational Efficiencies Will Improve Future Prospects
Successful introduction of new membership and marketing strategies suggests potential for continued revenue growth and improved ad spend efficiency.分析記事 • Jan 22
Does Mister Car Wash (NASDAQ:MCW) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...分析記事 • Nov 25
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Mister Car Wash, Inc. (NYSE:MCW)?
While Mister Car Wash, Inc. ( NYSE:MCW ) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the NYSE gainers with a...Seeking Alpha • Nov 15
Mister Car Wash: A Clean Way To Capture Nice Upside
Summary Despite past mistakes, I now see Mister Car Wash as a soft 'buy' due to its attractive valuation and continued business expansion. The company has shown impressive growth in locations and subscribers, with revenue rising as locations and comparable sales grow. Mister Car Wash's subscription model ensures predictable cash flow, with subscriber revenue growing from 64% in 2021 to 71% in 2023, with that figure rising further this year. While profitability has been volatile, the company's forward-looking metrics and strategic growth initiatives make it a compelling investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 05
Mister Car Wash: Growth On Track To Accelerate In FY25
Summary I recommend a buy rating for Mister Car Wash (MCW) due to expected 7% growth in FY24 and accelerated growth in FY25. Despite a decline in membership per store, higher-tier membership upgrades and increased revenue per member indicate strong customer value perception. Risks include a prolonged weak consumer spending environment, but MCW's focus on driving retail traffic and price increases supports a positive growth outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Oct 29
Earnings Tell The Story For Mister Car Wash, Inc. (NYSE:MCW)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.6x Mister Car Wash, Inc. ( NYSE:MCW ) may be sending very bearish...業績と収益の成長予測
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | フリー・キャッシュフロー | 営業活動によるキャッシュ | 平均アナリスト数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,302 | 161 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,206 | 168 | 124 | 295 | 8 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,125 | 144 | 118 | 268 | 5 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,068 | 110 | 31 | 278 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,052 | 103 | 30 | 286 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,042 | 92 | 27 | 276 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,028 | 87 | -16 | 264 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,017 | 81 | -25 | 278 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 995 | 70 | -81 | 249 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 974 | 73 | -131 | 238 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 958 | 71 | -157 | 206 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 940 | 76 | -142 | 196 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 927 | 80 | -123 | 205 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 911 | 86 | -69 | 209 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 895 | 90 | -31 | 212 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 883 | 99 | -19 | 215 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 877 | 113 | 38 | 229 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 854 | 131 | 34 | 205 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 830 | 135 | 30 | 188 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 802 | -11 | 80 | 203 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 758 | -22 | 48 | 173 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 729 | -18 | 74 | 177 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 690 | -25 | 92 | 168 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 595 | 76 | 65 | 136 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 575 | 60 | 43 | 102 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 630 | 1 | N/A | 70 | N/A |
アナリストによる今後の成長予測
収入対貯蓄率: MCWの予測収益成長率 (年間16.6% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。
収益対市場: MCWの収益 ( 16.6% ) US市場 ( 16.8% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。
高成長収益: MCWの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。
収益対市場: MCWの収益 ( 7.1% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。
高い収益成長: MCWの収益 ( 7.1% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。
一株当たり利益成長率予想
将来の株主資本利益率
将来のROE: MCWの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 12.1 %)。
成長企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/05/20 23:26 |
| 終値 | 2026/05/18 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
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| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
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* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Mister Car Wash, Inc. 8 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。17
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Tristan Thomas-Martin | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Robert Ohmes | BofA Global Research |
| Marvin Fong | BTIG |