Waste Connections, Inc.

NYSE:WCN 株式レポート

時価総額：US$38.4b

Waste Connections 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /16

Waste Connections利益と収益がそれぞれ年間11.9%と5.6%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に18.5% 12.7%なると予測されています。

主要情報

11.9%

収益成長率

12.70%

EPS成長率

Commercial Services 収益成長13.7%
収益成長率5.6%
将来の株主資本利益率18.47%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日29 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

新しいナラティブ • May 13

RNG Projects And AI Adoption Will Transform Waste Services Earnings Profile

Catalysts About Waste Connections Waste Connections provides nonhazardous solid waste collection, transfer, disposal and recycling services, along with energy oriented waste handling and renewable natural gas from landfill gas. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
新しいナラティブ • Apr 25

AI And Landfill Gas Projects Will Shape A Steady But Limited Future Outlook

Catalysts About Waste Connections Waste Connections provides nonhazardous solid waste collection, transfer, disposal and related services across North America. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 19

WCN: Future Returns Will Rely On Premium P/E And Quality EBITDA Execution

Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to the fair value estimate for Waste Connections, with the updated price target moving from about $198.84 to roughly $199.16. This reflects recent research that highlights quality-driven EBITDA growth potential and a premium valuation stance within the waste group.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 12

Waste Connections: Waiting For A Better Entry Point Amid Iran Inflation Risks

Summary Waste Connections remains a hold, trading near intrinsic value given the current macro pressure. WCN projects double-digit adj. FCF growth in 2026, driven by core price increases, cost moderation, and accretive acquisitions. Leverage is at 2.75x EBITDA, within the target range, with well-laddered debt maturities and recent $600M notes issued at 4.8%. Macro risks, including economic slowdown and inflation from geopolitical tensions, could pressure WCN's business and stock price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 04

WCN: Future Returns Will Rely On Premium P/E Despite Chiquita Closure Costs

Analysts made a marginal trim to the Waste Connections fair value estimate, with the target easing by about $0.10 to roughly $198.80. A slightly higher discount rate and refreshed earnings models, including several reduced Street price targets and a new $199 Outperform initiation, fed into the updated view.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 21

WCN: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Premium P/E Despite Higher Chiquita Outlays

Narrative Update on Waste Connections The analyst fair value estimate for Waste Connections has inched up from $198.75 to $198.92, as analysts weigh a mix of reduced price targets following Q4 results and 2026 guidance updates against fresh bullish coverage that highlights the company as a higher quality operator that may warrant a premium P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Waste Connections reflects a mix of optimism around business quality and caution around longer term guidance and project related cash needs.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 07

WCN: Future Returns Will Be Driven By M&A Despite Higher Chiquita Outlays

Analysts have lowered their average price target for Waste Connections in line with recent Street reductions, while our fair value estimate remains at $198.75 as they incorporate updated Q4 results, 2026 guidance, and higher anticipated Chiquita landfill-related outlays. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around a similar message for Waste Connections: the stock is still generally viewed favorably, but analysts are marking their models to current guidance and higher expected Chiquita landfill spending, which has led to a series of lower price targets across the Street.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 20

WCN: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Compounding M&A Despite Chiquita Cash Outlays

Our updated fair value estimate for Waste Connections moves to $198.75 from $204.25, reflecting analysts' lower price targets after 2026 guidance that points to softer growth assumptions and higher expected cash outlays tied to the Chiquita landfill. Analyst Commentary Street research around the latest quarter and 2026 outlook has become more cautious, with most firms trimming price targets while largely maintaining positive ratings.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 06

WCN: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Compounding M&A And Chiquita Remediation Resolution

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Waste Connections by about $0.21 to roughly $204.25. This reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions and more conservative views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of recent target cuts across the Street.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 22

WCN: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Compounding M&A Despite Chiquita Remediation Uncertainty

Narrative Update on Waste Connections Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Waste Connections by about $1. This reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions, marginally lower revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple, in line with recent target reductions from several firms.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 07

WCN: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Compounding M&A And Cash Return Programs

The analyst price target for Waste Connections has edged up by about $1 to roughly $205.71, as analysts point to consistent Q3 execution, solid waste margin potential, ongoing acquisition opportunities, and a generally supportive view of the company as a high quality compounder, despite some timing adjustments around future RNG contributions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Waste Connections centers on the quality of the core solid waste business, the role of acquisitions, and timing questions around renewable natural gas, or RNG, projects and other macro exposed areas like recycling and specialty waste.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 23

WCN: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Accretive M&A And Aggressive Buybacks

The analyst price target for Waste Connections has inched higher to approximately $205 from about $205 previously, as analysts highlight the company’s consistent outperformance, margin expansion potential, and long runway for value accretive M&A, despite near term sector headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts generally frame Waste Connections as a high quality compounder, emphasizing its history of value accretive acquisitions and a long runway to continue consolidating fragmented secondary and rural markets.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 09

WCN: Margin Expansion Will Be Driven By M&A And Aggressive Buybacks

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for Waste Connections modestly higher to about $205 per share, citing the company’s consistent outperformance versus quarterly expectations, a robust M&A pipeline, and its positioning as a high quality compounder with solid waste margin expansion and free cash flow inflection potential despite near term sector headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Waste Connections reflects a generally constructive stance, with most firms either initiating at positive ratings or modestly raising price targets while acknowledging pockets of execution and macro risk.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 25

WCN: Long-Term Margin Expansion Will Be Driven By Acquisitions And Buybacks

Analysts have slightly lowered their average price target for Waste Connections to $204.96 from $205.36. They cite near-term margin pressures and moderated growth expectations, despite continued confidence in the company's acquisition strategy and resilient core business.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 05

WCN: Share Repurchases And Dividend Hike Will Drive Long-Term Margin Expansion

Waste Connections saw its average analyst price target edge up modestly by $0.42 to $207.00, as analysts cited continued outperformance versus expectations and optimism around long-term margin expansion and project execution, even though some forecasts for 2026 have been tempered. Analyst Commentary Analysts covering Waste Connections provided a range of perspectives following the latest financial results and guidance updates.
分析記事 • Oct 29

Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

The board of Waste Connections, Inc. ( NYSE:WCN ) has announced that the dividend on 20th of November will be increased...
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 22

Analysts Update Price Target as Waste Connections Announces Dividend Increase and Share Repurchases

The analyst price target for Waste Connections has been modestly adjusted from $208.59 to $206.77 per share. This change reflects analysts' views on revenue growth, profit margins, and the company's differentiated strategy within a resilient waste management sector.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 08

Acquisitions And New Jersey Facility Integration Will Boost Operational Excellence

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Waste Connections, reducing the fair value from $210.95 to $208.59. They cited marginally softer growth and profitability expectations but affirmed confidence in the company’s long-term strategy and market position.
分析記事 • Sep 22

Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
分析記事 • Aug 26

Why We're Not Concerned About Waste Connections, Inc.'s (NYSE:WCN) Share Price

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may...
分析記事 • Jul 07

Slowing Rates Of Return At Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN) Leave Little Room For Excitement

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 20

Waste Connections: Hauling Trash And Stacking Cash

Summary Waste Connections (WCN) is a leading waste management provider in the U.S. and Canada, with a market cap of $45B and a CAGR of 18.23% since 2016. The company has grown revenue at 12% annually over the past decade, with recent years showing a rebound in gross profit margins close to 42%. Given its consistent revenue growth, improving gross margins, and reliable business model, WCN is a strong consideration for dividend-focused investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 09

Pricey, But Waste Connections Still A Good Deal

Summary Waste Connections, Inc. is rated a Strong Buy due to its steady price growth, strong fundamentals, and effective management strategy. WCN's competitive advantage lies in targeting less competitive markets and maintaining solid net margins comparable to larger competitors. Q3-2025 earnings beat estimates, showing strong revenue growth and increased EBITDA margins, reinforcing the company's growth trajectory. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 28

Waste Connections: Great Business, Poor Valuation

Summary Waste Connections, Inc. is not undervalued but has a strong cash-generative history in a favorable market. WCN operates similarly to its main competitor, Waste Management, showcasing significant cash flow growth over the years. The company has tripled its cash flow over the past decade, highlighting its robust financial performance. Valuation is stretched as the FCF yield doesn't offer any downside protection from a re-rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 08

Waste Connections: Waste Margin Improved 80-90bps

Summary I reiterate a 'Buy' rating for Waste Connections, with a fair value of $200 per share, due to strong margin expansion and pricing growth. Waste Connections reported 11.2% revenue growth and 16.4% EBITDA increase, driven by terminating lower-margin contracts and optimizing cost structures. The company has a robust M&A pipeline, expecting $700 million additional revenue in FY24, with $1.5 billion already spent on acquisitions this year. Despite potential cost increases from new EPA rules, Waste Connections maintains a strong balance sheet and prioritizes profitability over volume growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:WCN - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/202811,1981,5201,9203,19215
12/31/202710,5941,3751,7052,93626
12/31/20269,9921,1791,4312,67926
3/31/20269,6091,0541,1402,418N/A
12/31/20259,4671,0771,2202,414N/A
9/30/20259,3546221,2342,426N/A
6/30/20259,2346441,1402,307N/A
3/31/20259,0756291,1822,280N/A
12/31/20248,9206181,1732,229N/A
9/30/20248,6959401,2382,216N/A
6/30/20248,4218611,2852,212N/A
3/31/20248,1947951,2472,175N/A
12/31/20238,0227631,1932,127N/A
9/30/20237,8568301,1832,093N/A
6/30/20237,6718381,1302,066N/A
3/31/20237,4668531,0882,024N/A
12/31/20227,2128361,1102,022N/A
9/30/20226,9678081,0451,928N/A
6/30/20226,6846859791,823N/A
3/31/20226,4026389391,739N/A
12/31/20216,1516189541,698N/A
9/30/20215,9255828361,493N/A
6/30/20215,7186268531,504N/A
3/31/20215,4902228161,439N/A
12/31/20205,4462057441,409N/A
9/30/20205,4102078521,541N/A
6/30/20205,4332088431,541N/A
3/31/20205,4965848571,546N/A
12/31/20195,389567N/A1,541N/A
9/30/20195,288566N/A1,559N/A
6/30/20195,157558N/A1,499N/A
3/31/20195,027548N/A1,468N/A
12/31/20184,923547N/A1,411N/A
9/30/20184,818729N/A1,337N/A
6/30/20184,744702N/A1,300N/A
3/31/20184,679687N/A1,207N/A
12/31/20174,630577N/A1,187N/A
9/30/20174,522347N/A1,145N/A
6/30/20174,400313N/A1,088N/A
3/31/20173,952217N/A918N/A
12/31/20163,376247N/A795N/A
9/30/20162,859213N/A653N/A
6/30/20162,322-133N/A517N/A
3/31/20162,126-103N/A579N/A
12/31/20152,117-96N/A577N/A
9/30/20152,112-87N/A594N/A
6/30/20152,110230N/A585N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: WCNの予測収益成長率 (年間11.9% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: WCNの収益 ( 11.9% ) US市場 ( 17% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: WCNの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: WCNの収益 ( 5.6% ) US市場 ( 11.8% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: WCNの収益 ( 5.6% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: WCNの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 18.5 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/29 22:34
終値2026/05/29 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Waste Connections, Inc. 26 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。37

アナリスト機関
Harriet LiAccountability Research Corporation
Christopher MurrayATB Cormark
William GrippinBarclays