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Triumph Group, Inc.NYSE:TGI 株式レポート

時価総額 US$2.0b
株価
US$26.01
US$26
0.04% 割高 内在価値ディスカウント
1Y58.8%
7D0.5%
1D
ポートフォリオ価値
​
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Triumph Group, Inc.

NYSE:TGI 株式レポート

時価総額：US$2.0b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Triumph Group（TGI）株式概要

は、航空宇宙および防衛システム、サブシステム、部品、構造の設計、エンジニアリング、製造、修理、オーバーホール、販売を世界中で行っている。 詳細

TGI ファンダメンタル分析
スノーフレーク・スコア
評価2/6
将来の成長4/6
過去の実績2/6
財務の健全性0/6
配当金0/6

報酬

当社が推定した公正価値より27.9%で取引されている

収益は年間36.53%増加すると予測されています

今年は黒字化を達成

リスク分析

マイナスの株主資本

利払いは収益で十分にカバーされない

財務結果に影響を与える大きな一時的項目


TGI Community Fair Values

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Triumph Group, Inc. 競合他社

価格と性能

株価の高値、安値、推移の概要Triumph Group
過去の株価
現在の株価US$26.01
52週高値US$26.03
52週安値US$11.01
ベータ2.26
1ヶ月の変化0.97%
3ヶ月変化2.81%
1年変化58.79%
3年間の変化67.27%
5年間の変化289.96%
IPOからの変化139.17%

最新ニュース

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Feb 04

Triumph Group Acquired: Fair Price And Up 80% Since Buy Rating

Summary Triumph Group shareholders will receive $26 per share in cash, valuing the company at approximately $2.9 billion. My valuation model predicted a fair price of $25.73 per share, making the $26 offer more than fair with a 34% premium. Triumph Group will be bought at an 80% premium compared to my buy rating from March 2024. Given the company's debt challenges and aerospace exposure, the $26 per share buyout is a good deal, with a $0.87 spread to the current trading price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 14

Triumph Group Stock Only Has Appeal As An Aerospace Acquisition Target

Summary Triumph Group stock has gained 33% since August, but debt challenges remain significant, with $959 million maturing in 2028 and insufficient free cash flow. Q2 2025 saw flat sales year-on-year, with improved margins due to higher aftermarket sales, but commercial OEM sales declined, impacting overall growth. The company's debt load pressures its financial stability, with limited options to meet obligations without selling assets, diluting shareholders, or refinancing debt. While a strategic acquisition could provide upside, TGI stock remains a hold based on current fundamentals and debt servicing challenges. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Nov 07

The Market Lifts Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) Shares 27% But It Can Do More

Triumph Group, Inc. ( NYSE:TGI ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...
Seeking Alpha • Aug 27

Triumph Group: I Am Downgrading This Aerospace Underperformer

Summary Triumph Group's Q1 2025 results show limited sales growth due to supply chain issues and production rate pressures, impacting working capital and free cash flow generation. The company's debt remains high at $959 million, with a significant cash burn of $113 million, necessitating refinancing or capital raises. Free cash flow guidance for 2025 is underwhelming, significantly lower than previous estimates, highlighting the need for improved FCF conversion and debt management. Given the financial challenges and limited upside, I am downgrading Triumph Group stock to Hold, with a price target of $15.95. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 05

Triumph Group Stock: Lower Debt And Leverage Provides A More Compelling Value Proposition

Summary Triumph Group has sold a business unit to reduce its debt and avoid diluting shareholders. The company's cash generation and cash pile were not sufficient to cover its maturing debt. The debt reduction has improved Triumph Group's financial position and makes its stock more attractive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Mar 26

Triumph Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:TGI) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x Triumph Group, Inc. ( NYSE:TGI ) is a stock worth...
分析記事 • Nov 09

Return Trends At Triumph Group (NYSE:TGI) Aren't Appealing

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Seeking Alpha • Oct 24

Triumph Group: An Uphill Battle Against A Pile Of Debt

Summary Triumph Group stock has lost over 40% of its value. The stock price decline is driven by the exercise of warrants, diluting shareholders by 17.2%. Triumph Group's free cash flow is inadequate to pay off its $500 million debt due in 2025 and $1.2 billion due in 2028, requiring costly refinancing or further shareholder dilution. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Aug 04

Earnings Working Against Triumph Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:TGI) Share Price Following 26% Dive

Triumph Group, Inc. ( NYSE:TGI ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period...
Seeking Alpha • Aug 03

Triumph Is Cheap: The Stock Decline Cannot Really Be Explained

Summary Triumph Group's recent quarterly results did not justify the significant decline in its stock price in my view. The company's new product lines, including fueldraulic actuators and thermal systems, are expected to drive future net sales growth. Despite concerns about debt, management expects positive free cash flow growth and announced a small divestiture, indicating potential for higher valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 09

Triumph Group: Upside Catalyst Expected From Achieving FY25 Target

Summary Triumph Group plans to double its EBITDA from FY22 to FY25, driven by increased volumes, improved contract pricing, and the exit of loss-making programs. The Systems and Support segment is expected to grow, fueled by the recovery of commercial travel, while the Commercial Aero backlog provides visibility for near-term growth. TGI stock deserves to trade at a premium to peers, given it is expected to grow much faster than peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Jul 07

Triumph Group (NYSE:TGI) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things...
Seeking Alpha • Jun 08

Triumph Group: Bright Aerospace Prospects, Little Value Upside For The Stock

Summary Triumph Group, Inc. is seeing promising margin expansion and industry forecasts for airplane production. This might be a stock you regret buying years from now. Current projections for Triumph Group stock, however, don't justify a buy due to its debt load. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • May 09

Calculating The Fair Value Of Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Triumph Group fair value estimate is US$12.46 Triumph Group's...
分析記事 • Mar 13

The Returns At Triumph Group (NYSE:TGI) Aren't Growing

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Seeking Alpha • Feb 08

Triumph Group: Concerns On Pension And Refinancing

Summary TGI has upcoming debt maturities and pension contributions as pressing issues. Management guided to positive FCF expected in FY23. It would be wiser to stay neutral or take a small position and wait for refinancing activities to clear before sizing up. Summary As a whole, I don't see any major changes to the strength of the equity story for Triumph Group (TGI) as a result of 3Q23 earnings. There hasn't been much of a shift in the long-term story, with FCF continuing to serve as key metric. However, TGI's upcoming debt maturities and pension contributions are the most pressing issues. The current rates environment needs to improve so that management can take advantage of refinancing opportunities; otherwise, there may be short-term headwinds at the bottom line. Therefore, while I am optimistic about the long-term growth story, it is prudent to stay neutral or hold only a small position today until the fog of uncertainty (refinancing) lifts. Earnings overview Nearly 30% of Systems & Support revenue in 3Q23 came from commercial MRO, up 59% year-over-year. Notably, the $83 million in revenue represents a sustainable increase from the $60 million and $63 million in Q1 and Q2 respectively. In addition, as travel is on the upswing, which, combined with a shortage of new planes, is driving up aftermarket demand. Suppose imply 20%+ growth in commercial MRO in FY23. Also, commercial OEM sales were up 18% on higher production rates, which is in line with growth trends seen in the first half of the year thanks to a one-time sale of IP. The Interiors division of Structures saw minor profitability. The Aerospace Structures segment generated $44 million in revenues, with an adj EBITDA margin of 13%. This figure included $7 million in non-recurring revenues and $4 million in profits. However, in the next few quarters, this one-time revenue will begin to taper off. In my opinion, the increased production of 787s and the narrowbody ramp will drive both revenue and profit. Backlog The total backlog for TGI dropped by 18% y/y to $1.59 billion, but 3Q23 saw a 21% increase in bookings, to $400 million, for a book-to-bill ratio of 1.21x. About 45 percent of wins in this quarter (~$130 million) were tied to either new products or customers. Relatively to consensus, the estimated $1.03 billion backlog that will be shipped within the next 12 months represents a sizable portion of consensus estimate (which means it is unlikely to miss). TGI, in my opinion, will be able to support its expansion by broadening its exposure to new platforms and customers. One primary method of accomplishing this goal is by persistently seeking out opportunities to perform OE and MRO on military platforms. Recent successes are promising because they show no sign of slowing. Systems and Support Revenue grew by 21% on an organic basis in 3Q23 as narrowbody volumes with the Military stabilized. Specifically, there was a rise of 19% in sales of Commercial OE and a rise of 59% in sales of MRO. The uptick in international flight hours was the primary factor in MRO expansion. The military saw a decline in volumes of 1% year over year, but a rise of 5% quarter over quarter. Overall, I expect this segment to continue growing strongly as the commercial aero business continues to improve, and management has previously laid out a framework for 18-22% growth in FY23. In terms of profitability, adj EBITDA margins rose to 17.5%, a slight increase of 20bps. Profitability varied by quarter due to fluctuations in the sale of military spares, but management is confident that rising narrowbody volumes will eventually boost the bottom line. Management's long-term goal is to achieve low-to-mid 20% margins in Systems and Support by the year 2025. As TGI continues its transition to narrowbody aircraft, I am confident that they will be able to achieve this goal, which will aid in the gradual increase of EBITDA. FCF TGT has announced that they expect higher FCF in FY23, with a midpoint of -$60m. This translates to an implied $65 million FCF in 4Q23 (FY23 guidance - 9M23 FCF), which is mainly driven by working capital and inventory management. I expect TGI's FCF to remain in positive territory going forward as the company maintains positive EBITDA growth based on its long-term framework and improves its working capital management. CY24 refinancing
Seeking Alpha • Jan 31

Triumph Q3 2023 Earnings Preview

Triumph (NYSE:TGI) is scheduled to announce Q3 earnings results on Wednesday, February 1st, before market open. The consensus EPS Estimate is $0.11 (-47.6% Y/Y) and the consensus Revenue Estimate is $308.13M (-3.5% Y/Y). Over the last 2 years, TGI has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time and has beaten revenue estimates 50% of the time. Over the last 3 months, EPS estimates have seen 7 upward revisions and 1 downward. Revenue estimates have seen 4 upward revisions and 2 downward.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 25

Triumph secures door actuation contract from Airbus

Triumph Group's (NYSE:TGI) Actuation Products and Services business has been awarded a contract from Airbus to provide A220 On Wing Emergency Exit Door (OWEED) control cables. The multi-year contract will be performed in Shelbyville, Indiana.  "Building upon our long-term relationship with Airbus and providing support throughout the product lifecycle, this award is a testament to our continued commitment to servicing our valued customers. The OWEED cable is just one of the many solutions TRIUMPH provides to Airbus and we are delighted to further strengthen our relationship with this contract extension," said Mike Boland, President of TRIUMPH Actuation Products & Services.

株主還元

TGIUS Aerospace & DefenseUS 市場
7D0.5%2.2%1.2%
1Y58.8%30.6%28.7%

業界別リターン: TGI過去 1 年間で30.6 % の収益を上げたUS Aerospace & Defense業界を上回りました。

リターン対市場: TGI過去 1 年間で28.7 % の収益を上げたUS市場を上回りました。

価格変動

Is TGI's price volatile compared to industry and market?
TGI volatility
TGI Average Weekly Movement0.4%
Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement9.0%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

安定した株価: TGI 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。

時間の経過による変動: TGIの 週次ボラティリティ は、過去 1 年間で8%から0%に減少しました。

会社概要

設立従業員CEO（最高経営責任者ウェブサイト
19933,696Dan Crowleywww.triumphgroup.com

航空宇宙・防衛システム、サブシステム、部品、構造物の設計、エンジニアリング、製造、修理、オーバーホール、販売を世界中で行っている。トライアンフ・システム＆サポート部門とトライアンフ・インテリア部門の2部門で事業を展開。同社は、航空機およびエンジン搭載アクセサリードライブ、熱制御システムおよびコンポーネント、貨物フック、高揚力作動装置、コックピット制御レバー、油圧システムおよびコンポーネント、制御システムバルブボディ、着陸装置作動システム、電子エンジン制御、着陸装置コンポーネントおよびアセンブリ、サイバー保護プロセスコントローラ、メインエンジンギアボックスアセンブリ、ギヤードトランスミッションおよびドライブトレインコンポーネント、メイン燃料ポンプ、燃料計量ユニット、振動吸収装置、ならびにハイドロメカニカルおよびエレクトロメカニカルプライマリーおよびセカンダリーフライトコントロールを提供している。また、熱音響絶縁システム、環境制御システムダクト、その他の航空機内装品も提供している。同社は民間航空機、地域航空機、軍用航空機の相手先商標製品メーカーにサービスを提供している。トライアンフ・グループは1993年に法人化され、ペンシルベニア州ラドナーに本社を置いている。

Triumph Group, Inc. 基礎のまとめ

Triumph Group の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。
TGI 基礎統計学
時価総額US$2.01b
収益（TTM）US$35.86m
売上高(TTM)US$1.26b
56.4x
PER（株価収益率
1.6x
P/Sレシオ

TGI は割高か？

公正価値と評価分析を参照

収益と収入

最新の決算報告書（TTM）に基づく主な収益性統計
TGI 損益計算書（TTM）
収益US$1.26b
売上原価US$863.83m
売上総利益US$398.14m
その他の費用US$362.28m
収益US$35.86m

直近の収益報告

Mar 31, 2025

次回決算日

該当なし

一株当たり利益（EPS）0.46
グロス・マージン31.55%
純利益率2.84%
有利子負債／自己資本比率-1,242.2%

TGI の長期的なパフォーマンスは？

過去の実績と比較を見る

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2025/07/24 01:24
終値2025/07/24 00:00
収益2025/03/31
年間収益2025/03/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Triumph Group, Inc. 6 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。18

アナリスト機関
Peter ArmentBaird
Kenneth HerbertCanaccord Genuity
J. B. GrohD.A. Davidson & Co.