View ValuationOptorunLtd 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /46OptorunLtd利益と収益がそれぞれ年間37.5%と13.6%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に12.2% 37%なると予測されています。主要情報37.5%収益成長率37.02%EPS成長率Semiconductor 収益成長24.3%収益成長率13.6%将来の株主資本利益率12.17%アナリストカバレッジLow最終更新日23 Jun 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報分析記事 • May 16Optorun Co.,Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 58%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen NextThe quarterly results for Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its...Price Target Changed • Aug 21Price target increased by 18% to JP¥2,600Up from JP¥2,200, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 43% above last closing price of JP¥1,817. Stock is down 2.8% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥159 for next year compared to JP¥106 last year.Price Target Changed • Jan 10Price target decreased by 21% to JP¥2,200Down from JP¥2,800, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 33% above last closing price of JP¥1,650. Stock is down 35% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥152 for next year compared to JP¥159 last year.Price Target Changed • Nov 13Price target increased to JP¥2,772Up from JP¥2,483, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥2,667. Stock is up 17% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥137 for next year compared to JP¥147 last year.Major Estimate Revision • Sep 10Consensus forecasts updatedThe consensus outlook for 2022 has been updated. 2022 EPS estimate increased from JP¥113 to JP¥126. Revenue forecast unchanged at JP¥31.6b. Net income forecast to shrink 3.8% next year vs 6.3% growth forecast for Semiconductor industry in Japan . Consensus price target of JP¥2,650 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 3.6% to JP¥2,326 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Aug 10Price target decreased to JP¥2,483Down from JP¥2,750, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥2,419. Stock is up 13% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥108 for next year compared to JP¥147 last year.すべての更新を表示Recent updatesお知らせ • Jun 23Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Aug 07, 2026Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results on Aug 07, 2026Upcoming Dividend • Jun 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥28.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 June 2026. Payment date: 08 September 2026. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits but is generating plenty of cash to support the dividend. Trailing yield: 1.4%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.9%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.7%).Reported Earnings • May 15First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2026 results: JP¥2.06 loss per share (down from JP¥19.33 profit in 1Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥6.97b (down 12% from 1Q 2025). Net loss: JP¥82.0m (down 110% from profit in 1Q 2025). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 17%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 19% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 29% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 23% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 07Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥4,695, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 34x. Average forward P/E is 21x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 150% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥6,106 per share.お知らせ • Apr 24Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 13, 2026Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on May 13, 2026Declared Dividend • Apr 11Final dividend of JP¥28.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥28.00. Ex-date: 29th June 2026 Payment date: 8th September 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.7%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.0%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (74% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (30% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 3.7% per year over the past 8 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 117% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 10Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥3,175, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23x. Average forward P/E is 21x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 63% over the past three years.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 20Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 33%After last week's 33% share price gain to JP¥2,826, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 22x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 43% over the past three years.分析記事 • Feb 16Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Optorun Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:6235) 28% Share Price SurgeDespite an already strong run, Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the...Reported Earnings • Feb 16Full year 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥73.29 (down from JP¥145 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥33.9b (up 4.5% from FY 2024). Net income: JP¥2.96b (down 53% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 8.7% (down from 20% in FY 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 15%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 24% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 8% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.お知らせ • Feb 14+ 1 more updateOptorun Co.,Ltd. Announces Dividend for the Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2025, Payable on March 27, 2026; Provides Dividend Guidance for the End of Second Quarter and Full Year Ending December 31, 2026Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced dividend for the Fiscal Year ended December 31, 2025 and provided dividend guidance for the end of second quarter and full year Ending December 31, 2026. For the year, the company declared dividend of JPY 27.00 per share compared to JPY 26.00 per share paid a year ago. Scheduled date to commence dividend payments: March 27, 2026. The company provided dividend guidance of JPY 28.00 per share for the end of Second quarter of Fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, compared to JPY 27.00 per share paid a year ago. The company provided dividend guidance of JPY 28.00 per share for the Fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, compared to JPY 27.00 per share paid a year ago.お知らせ • Feb 13Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 26, 2026Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 26, 2026.分析記事 • Dec 23OptorunLtd (TSE:6235) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥27.00Optorun Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:6235 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥27.00 per share on 26th of March. This will...お知らせ • Dec 23Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Feb 13, 2026Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Feb 13, 2026Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥27.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2025. Payment date: 26 March 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 73% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.8%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.2%).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 19Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 7.8% to JP¥1,671. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,093, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 7.6% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 22%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 33% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 127% in the next 2 years.分析記事 • Nov 14Returns On Capital At OptorunLtd (TSE:6235) Paint A Concerning PictureThere are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a...New Risk • Nov 14New minor risk - Profit margin trendThe company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 9.6% Last year net profit margin: 18% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.4% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (9.6% net profit margin).New Risk • Nov 12New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 6.3% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.分析記事 • Oct 27OptorunLtd (TSE:6235) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥27.00The board of Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥27.00 per share on the 26th of...お知らせ • Sep 10Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 11, 2025Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Nov 11, 2025分析記事 • Sep 09OptorunLtd's (TSE:6235) Dividend Will Be ¥27.00The board of Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥27.00 per share on the 26th of...Declared Dividend • Sep 09First half dividend of JP¥27.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥27.00. Ex-date: 29th December 2025 Payment date: 26th March 2026 Dividend yield will be 3.3%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.0%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (52% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (30% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 3.2% per year over the past 8 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 99% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.分析記事 • Aug 15OptorunLtd's (TSE:6235) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its ProblemsTSE:6235 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore OptorunLtd's Fair Values from the Community and select yours The...Reported Earnings • Aug 11Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥7.41 (up from JP¥2.50 loss in 2Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥5.94b (up 11% from 2Q 2024). Net income: JP¥295.6m (up JP¥405.6m from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 5.0% (up from net loss in 2Q 2024). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 14%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 47%. Revenue is forecast to grow 16% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 16% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 11% per year.分析記事 • Jun 26OptorunLtd's (TSE:6235) Dividend Will Be Increased To ¥27.00Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment...お知らせ • Jun 26Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 08, 2025Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results on Aug 08, 2025Upcoming Dividend • Jun 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥27.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 June 2025. Payment date: 09 September 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 58% but the company is paying out more than the cash it is generating. Trailing yield: 3.5%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (4.0%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.7%).Declared Dividend • May 18Dividend increased to JP¥27.00Dividend of JP¥27.00 is 3.8% higher than last year. Ex-date: 27th June 2025 Payment date: 9th September 2025 Dividend yield will be 3.6%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.0%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (58% earnings payout ratio) but not covered by cash flows (117% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 3.7% per year over the past 7 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 94% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.分析記事 • May 18OptorunLtd (TSE:6235) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At ¥27.00Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment...分析記事 • May 16Optorun Co.,Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 58%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen NextThe quarterly results for Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its...Reported Earnings • May 15First quarter 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFirst quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥19.32 (down from JP¥74.93 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥7.91b (down 30% from 1Q 2024). Net income: JP¥809.0m (down 75% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 10% (down from 29% in 1Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 58%. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.3% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 11% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 6% per year.分析記事 • Apr 07Market Cool On Optorun Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:6235) Earnings Pushing Shares 25% LowerTo the annoyance of some shareholders, Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last...New Risk • Apr 07New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 5.6% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (117% cash payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.6% average weekly change).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 04Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%After last week's 17% share price decline to JP¥1,338, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 27% over the past three years.Reported Earnings • Mar 28Full year 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥145 (up from JP¥106 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥32.4b (down 12% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥6.35b (up 37% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 20% (up from 13% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 7.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 3.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.2% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 6% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year.お知らせ • Mar 22Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 13, 2025Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on May 13, 2025Reported Earnings • Feb 16Full year 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥145 (up from JP¥106 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥32.4b (down 12% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥6.35b (up 37% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 20% (up from 13% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 7.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 3.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 8.7% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 6% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year.お知らせ • Feb 15Optorun Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6235) announces an Equity Buyback for 2,500,100 shares, representing 5.64% for ¥4,145.17 million.Optorun Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6235) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 2,500,100 shares, representing 5.64% for a total of ¥4,145.17 million. The purpose of repurchase program is to implement flexible capital policies in response to changes in the business environment, to improve capital efficiency, and to provide shareholder returns. The repurchase program is valid till April 30, 2025. As of February 14, 2025, the company had 44,358,000 shares outstanding .お知らせ • Feb 14Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 25, 2025Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 25, 2025.お知らせ • Jan 03Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Feb 14, 2025Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Feb 14, 2025Upcoming Dividend • Dec 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥26.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 December 2024. Payment date: 25 March 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 37% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 2.7%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.7%).Reported Earnings • Nov 15Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥51.50 (vs JP¥14.38 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥51.50 (up from JP¥14.38 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥8.51b (up 6.3% from 3Q 2023). Net income: JP¥2.27b (up 261% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 27% (up from 7.8% in 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 9% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 7% per year.お知らせ • Sep 25Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 12, 2024Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Nov 12, 2024Price Target Changed • Aug 21Price target increased by 18% to JP¥2,600Up from JP¥2,200, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 43% above last closing price of JP¥1,817. Stock is down 2.8% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥159 for next year compared to JP¥106 last year.お知らせ • Aug 11Optorun Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6235) announces an Equity Buyback for 3,400,000 shares, representing 7.72% for ¥5,000 million.Optorun Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6235) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 3,400,000 shares, representing 7.72% of its total shares outstanding excluding treasury shares, for a total of ¥5,000 million. The purpose of repurchase program is to implement flexible capital policies in response to changes in the business environment, to improve capital efficiency, and to provide shareholder returns. The repurchase program is valid till December 31, 2024. As of June 30, 2024, the company had 44,016,289 shares outstanding excluding treasury shares and had 341,711 shares in treasury.New Risk • Aug 05New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 7.6% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.6% average weekly change). Minor Risk Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (dividend per share is over 175x cash flows per share).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 05Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 25%After last week's 25% share price decline to JP¥1,466, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 23% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥683 per share.分析記事 • Aug 03Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Optorun Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6235)With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.5x Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) may be sending bullish signals at the...お知らせ • Jun 27Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Aug 08, 2024Board Change • Apr 03Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Outside Director Shimaoka Mikuko was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2023. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.お知らせ • Mar 28Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 13, 2024Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on May 13, 2024Reported Earnings • Mar 28Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥106 (down from JP¥159 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥36.8b (up 7.3% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥4.63b (down 33% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 13% (down from 20% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 30%. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 5% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 11% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.お知らせ • Feb 15Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 22, 2024Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 22, 2024.Reported Earnings • Feb 14Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥106 (down from JP¥159 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥36.8b (up 7.3% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥4.63b (down 33% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 13% (down from 20% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 30%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.6% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 5% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 15% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 19Now 22% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 5.3% to JP¥1,732. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,424, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 2.8% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 0.9% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 47% in the next 2 years.Price Target Changed • Jan 10Price target decreased by 21% to JP¥2,200Down from JP¥2,800, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 33% above last closing price of JP¥1,650. Stock is down 35% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥152 for next year compared to JP¥159 last year.お知らせ • Dec 28Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Feb 13, 2024Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Feb 13, 2024Upcoming Dividend • Dec 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥50.00 per share at 3.0% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 December 2023. Payment date: 29 March 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 42% but the company is paying out more than the cash it is generating. Trailing yield: 3.0%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.5%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.2%).New Risk • Nov 17New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 5.5% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (296% cash payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.5% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (13% net profit margin).Reported Earnings • Nov 15Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsThird quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥14.38 (down from JP¥67.81 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥8.01b (down 29% from 3Q 2022). Net income: JP¥628.0m (down 79% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 7.8% (down from 26% in 3Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 19%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.New Risk • Aug 14New major risk - Earnings qualityThe company has a high level of non-cash earnings. Accrual ratio: 35% This is considered a major risk. Non-cash earnings can arise from many different things. However, if a company consistently has a high level of non-cash earnings, it may be a sign that they are recognizing revenue from customers before the full value of the sales are received as cash or they are not depreciating the value of their assets appropriately. These are practices that inflate earnings, while not providing a similar increase to cash flows. Companies in some select industries naturally have a high level of non-cash earnings and it is not a major concern. However, in the worst case scenario it can be an early sign of performance manipulation by management. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk High level of non-cash earnings (35% accrual ratio). Minor Risk Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (295% cash payout ratio).New Risk • Aug 11New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 5.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.4% average weekly change).Reported Earnings • Aug 10Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥47.42 (down from JP¥53.49 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥11.9b (up 41% from 2Q 2022). Net income: JP¥2.07b (down 11% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 17% (down from 28% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 26%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 50%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.6% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 5% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • Jun 30Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 09, 2023Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results on Aug 09, 2023Reported Earnings • May 14First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥32.22 (up from JP¥13.93 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥9.06b (up 77% from 1Q 2022). Net income: JP¥1.40b (up 133% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 16% (up from 12% in 1Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 40%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 123%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.9% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 3% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Reported Earnings • Mar 31Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2022 results: EPS: JP¥159 (up from JP¥147 in FY 2021). Revenue: JP¥34.3b (up 11% from FY 2021). Net income: JP¥6.89b (up 8.8% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 20% (in line with FY 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 1.4%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year and the company’s share price has also fallen by 4% per year.お知らせ • Feb 15Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 28, 2023Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 28, 2023.Reported Earnings • Feb 14Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2022 results: EPS: JP¥159 (up from JP¥147 in FY 2021). Revenue: JP¥34.3b (up 11% from FY 2021). Net income: JP¥6.89b (up 8.8% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 20% (in line with FY 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 1.4%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.6% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 15% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 14Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 21%After last week's 21% share price decline to JP¥1,982, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 34% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥1,950 per share.お知らせ • Jan 07Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Feb 13, 2023Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2022 results on Feb 13, 2023Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥50.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2022. Payment date: 30 March 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 28% and the cash payout ratio is 78%. Trailing yield: 1.8%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.4%).Board Change • Nov 16No independent directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 11 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. No independent directors (8 non-independent directors). was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.Price Target Changed • Nov 13Price target increased to JP¥2,772Up from JP¥2,483, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥2,667. Stock is up 17% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥137 for next year compared to JP¥147 last year.Reported Earnings • Nov 12Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsThird quarter 2022 results: EPS: JP¥67.81 (up from JP¥41.47 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: JP¥11.3b (up 60% from 3Q 2021). Net income: JP¥2.94b (up 64% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 26% (in line with 3Q 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 24%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 154%. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.4% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 5% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 2% per year.お知らせ • Sep 24Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 10, 2022Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2022 results on Nov 10, 2022Major Estimate Revision • Sep 10Consensus forecasts updatedThe consensus outlook for 2022 has been updated. 2022 EPS estimate increased from JP¥113 to JP¥126. Revenue forecast unchanged at JP¥31.6b. Net income forecast to shrink 3.8% next year vs 6.3% growth forecast for Semiconductor industry in Japan . Consensus price target of JP¥2,650 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 3.6% to JP¥2,326 over the past week.Buying Opportunity • Aug 15Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock is up 21%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,936, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 13% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 13%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 39% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 9.3% in the next 2 years.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 12Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 25% share price gain to JP¥2,395, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 15% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥2,946 per share.Price Target Changed • Aug 10Price target decreased to JP¥2,483Down from JP¥2,750, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥2,419. Stock is up 13% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥108 for next year compared to JP¥147 last year.Reported Earnings • Aug 07Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2022 results: EPS: JP¥53.49 (up from JP¥29.79 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: JP¥8.39b (up 4.0% from 2Q 2021). Net income: JP¥2.32b (up 81% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 28% (up from 16% in 2Q 2021). The increase in margin was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 9.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 101%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 21%, compared to a 22% growth forecast for the industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 13% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 15% per year.お知らせ • Jun 24Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 05, 2022Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2022 results on Aug 05, 2022Reported Earnings • May 17First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2022 results: EPS: JP¥13.93 (down from JP¥33.76 in 1Q 2021). Revenue: JP¥5.12b (down 26% from 1Q 2021). Net income: JP¥602.0m (down 59% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 12% (down from 21% in 1Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 32%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 50%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 17%, compared to a 21% growth forecast for the industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 16% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 7% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.Buying Opportunity • May 02Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 20%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,345, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 13% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 13%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.0% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 7.0% per annum over the same time period.Board Change • Apr 27No independent directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 11 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. No independent directors (8 non-independent directors). was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.お知らせ • Apr 08Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 12, 2022Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2022 results on May 12, 2022Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 14Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥1,868, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 3.1% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥2,314 per share.Major Estimate Revision • Mar 01Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from JP¥33.5b to JP¥32.6b. EPS estimate also fell from JP¥147 per share to JP¥131 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 11% next year vs 14% growth forecast for Semiconductor industry in Japan . Consensus price target down from JP¥2,788 to JP¥2,538. Share price was steady at JP¥1,854 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Mar 01Price target decreased to JP¥2,538Down from JP¥2,788, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is 37% above last closing price of JP¥1,854. Stock is down 27% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥131 for next year compared to JP¥147 last year.Reported Earnings • Feb 16Full year 2021 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectationsFull year 2021 results: EPS: JP¥147 (down from JP¥159 in FY 2020). Revenue: JP¥30.9b (down 18% from FY 2020). Net income: JP¥6.33b (down 6.9% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 21% (up from 18% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 11%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 8.5%, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 13% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 5% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.お知らせ • Feb 16Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 29, 2022Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 29, 2022.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 15Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price decline to JP¥1,882, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 11% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥3,435 per share.Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥50.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2021. Payment date: 25 March 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 30% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.1%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.3%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.5%).Reported Earnings • Nov 10Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS JP¥41.47 (vs JP¥31.81 in 3Q 2020)The company reported a decent third quarter result with improved earnings and profit margins, although revenues were weaker. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: JP¥7.06b (down 12% from 3Q 2020). Net income: JP¥1.79b (up 31% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 25% (up from 17% in 3Q 2020). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 14% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 2% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.Reported Earnings • May 14First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS JP¥33.76 (vs JP¥33.97 in 1Q 2020)The company reported a mediocre first quarter result with flat earnings, revenues and profit margins. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: JP¥6.88b (flat on 1Q 2020). Net income: JP¥1.45b (flat on 1Q 2020). Profit margin: 21% (in line with 1Q 2020).業績と収益の成長予測TSE:6235 - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )JPY Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数12/31/202848,2508,600N/AN/A212/31/202743,6507,450N/AN/A212/31/202638,0005,800N/AN/A23/31/202632,9252,067N/AN/AN/A12/31/202533,8612,9597,5358,528N/A9/30/202530,9262,975N/AN/AN/A6/30/202529,5784,2837,0609,032N/A3/31/202529,0123,877N/AN/AN/A12/31/202432,4056,3511,9315,049N/A9/30/202433,0635,973N/AN/AN/A6/30/202432,5604,334-594,037N/A3/31/202439,0426,512N/AN/AN/A12/31/202336,8074,631133,180N/A9/30/202338,4435,128N/AN/AN/A6/30/202341,7207,4407375,160N/A3/31/202338,2507,689N/AN/AN/A12/31/202234,3046,8894,1598,560N/A9/30/202233,6847,663N/AN/AN/A6/30/202229,4536,5122,7353,836N/A3/31/202229,1285,479N/AN/AN/A12/31/202130,8916,3309,72210,685N/A9/30/202134,8447,076N/AN/AN/A6/30/202135,8476,6498,7419,514N/A3/31/202137,5346,804N/AN/AN/A12/31/202037,4916,796-1,328-535N/A9/30/202033,7205,878N/AN/AN/A6/30/202032,7355,9912,1592,695N/A3/31/202035,6846,941N/AN/AN/A12/31/201942,8229,101N/A16,232N/A9/30/201940,4737,262N/AN/AN/A6/30/201949,6299,767N/A26,108N/A3/31/201948,0288,969N/AN/AN/A12/31/201844,7637,745N/A9,572N/A9/30/201850,1279,112N/AN/AN/A12/31/201733,3854,815N/A4,695N/A12/31/201614,9031,466N/AN/AN/A12/31/201515,2781,484N/AN/AN/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: 6235の予測収益成長率 (年間37.5% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 0.8% ) を上回っています。収益対市場: 6235の収益 ( 37.5% ) はJP市場 ( 9.8% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高成長収益: 6235の収益は今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されています。収益対市場: 6235の収益 ( 13.6% ) JP市場 ( 6.4% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高い収益成長: 6235の収益 ( 13.6% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: 6235の 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 12.2 %)。成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YSemiconductors 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/06/25 14:26終値2026/06/25 00:00収益2026/03/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレークこのレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社の Github ページ でご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使い方に関する ガイド や YouTube の チュートリアル もご用意しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Optorun Co.,Ltd. 2 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。4 アナリスト機関Katsuhiko IshibashiIchiyoshi Research Institute Inc.Masahiro NakanomyoJefferies LLCDamian ThongMacquarie Research1 その他のアナリストを表示
分析記事 • May 16Optorun Co.,Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 58%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen NextThe quarterly results for Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its...
Price Target Changed • Aug 21Price target increased by 18% to JP¥2,600Up from JP¥2,200, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 43% above last closing price of JP¥1,817. Stock is down 2.8% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥159 for next year compared to JP¥106 last year.
Price Target Changed • Jan 10Price target decreased by 21% to JP¥2,200Down from JP¥2,800, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 33% above last closing price of JP¥1,650. Stock is down 35% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥152 for next year compared to JP¥159 last year.
Price Target Changed • Nov 13Price target increased to JP¥2,772Up from JP¥2,483, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥2,667. Stock is up 17% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥137 for next year compared to JP¥147 last year.
Major Estimate Revision • Sep 10Consensus forecasts updatedThe consensus outlook for 2022 has been updated. 2022 EPS estimate increased from JP¥113 to JP¥126. Revenue forecast unchanged at JP¥31.6b. Net income forecast to shrink 3.8% next year vs 6.3% growth forecast for Semiconductor industry in Japan . Consensus price target of JP¥2,650 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 3.6% to JP¥2,326 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Aug 10Price target decreased to JP¥2,483Down from JP¥2,750, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥2,419. Stock is up 13% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥108 for next year compared to JP¥147 last year.
お知らせ • Jun 23Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Aug 07, 2026Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results on Aug 07, 2026
Upcoming Dividend • Jun 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥28.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 June 2026. Payment date: 08 September 2026. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits but is generating plenty of cash to support the dividend. Trailing yield: 1.4%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.9%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.7%).
Reported Earnings • May 15First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2026 results: JP¥2.06 loss per share (down from JP¥19.33 profit in 1Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥6.97b (down 12% from 1Q 2025). Net loss: JP¥82.0m (down 110% from profit in 1Q 2025). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 17%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 19% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 29% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 23% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 07Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥4,695, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 34x. Average forward P/E is 21x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 150% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥6,106 per share.
お知らせ • Apr 24Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 13, 2026Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on May 13, 2026
Declared Dividend • Apr 11Final dividend of JP¥28.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥28.00. Ex-date: 29th June 2026 Payment date: 8th September 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.7%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.0%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (74% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (30% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 3.7% per year over the past 8 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 117% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 10Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥3,175, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23x. Average forward P/E is 21x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 63% over the past three years.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 20Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 33%After last week's 33% share price gain to JP¥2,826, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 22x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 43% over the past three years.
分析記事 • Feb 16Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Optorun Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:6235) 28% Share Price SurgeDespite an already strong run, Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the...
Reported Earnings • Feb 16Full year 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥73.29 (down from JP¥145 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥33.9b (up 4.5% from FY 2024). Net income: JP¥2.96b (down 53% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 8.7% (down from 20% in FY 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 15%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 24% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 8% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
お知らせ • Feb 14+ 1 more updateOptorun Co.,Ltd. Announces Dividend for the Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2025, Payable on March 27, 2026; Provides Dividend Guidance for the End of Second Quarter and Full Year Ending December 31, 2026Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced dividend for the Fiscal Year ended December 31, 2025 and provided dividend guidance for the end of second quarter and full year Ending December 31, 2026. For the year, the company declared dividend of JPY 27.00 per share compared to JPY 26.00 per share paid a year ago. Scheduled date to commence dividend payments: March 27, 2026. The company provided dividend guidance of JPY 28.00 per share for the end of Second quarter of Fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, compared to JPY 27.00 per share paid a year ago. The company provided dividend guidance of JPY 28.00 per share for the Fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, compared to JPY 27.00 per share paid a year ago.
お知らせ • Feb 13Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 26, 2026Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 26, 2026.
分析記事 • Dec 23OptorunLtd (TSE:6235) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥27.00Optorun Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:6235 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥27.00 per share on 26th of March. This will...
お知らせ • Dec 23Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Feb 13, 2026Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Feb 13, 2026
Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥27.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2025. Payment date: 26 March 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 73% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.8%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.2%).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 19Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 7.8% to JP¥1,671. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,093, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 7.6% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 22%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 33% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 127% in the next 2 years.
分析記事 • Nov 14Returns On Capital At OptorunLtd (TSE:6235) Paint A Concerning PictureThere are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a...
New Risk • Nov 14New minor risk - Profit margin trendThe company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 9.6% Last year net profit margin: 18% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.4% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (9.6% net profit margin).
New Risk • Nov 12New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 6.3% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.
分析記事 • Oct 27OptorunLtd (TSE:6235) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥27.00The board of Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥27.00 per share on the 26th of...
お知らせ • Sep 10Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 11, 2025Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Nov 11, 2025
分析記事 • Sep 09OptorunLtd's (TSE:6235) Dividend Will Be ¥27.00The board of Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥27.00 per share on the 26th of...
Declared Dividend • Sep 09First half dividend of JP¥27.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥27.00. Ex-date: 29th December 2025 Payment date: 26th March 2026 Dividend yield will be 3.3%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.0%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (52% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (30% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 3.2% per year over the past 8 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 99% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
分析記事 • Aug 15OptorunLtd's (TSE:6235) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its ProblemsTSE:6235 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore OptorunLtd's Fair Values from the Community and select yours The...
Reported Earnings • Aug 11Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥7.41 (up from JP¥2.50 loss in 2Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥5.94b (up 11% from 2Q 2024). Net income: JP¥295.6m (up JP¥405.6m from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 5.0% (up from net loss in 2Q 2024). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 14%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 47%. Revenue is forecast to grow 16% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 16% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 11% per year.
分析記事 • Jun 26OptorunLtd's (TSE:6235) Dividend Will Be Increased To ¥27.00Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment...
お知らせ • Jun 26Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 08, 2025Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results on Aug 08, 2025
Upcoming Dividend • Jun 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥27.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 June 2025. Payment date: 09 September 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 58% but the company is paying out more than the cash it is generating. Trailing yield: 3.5%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (4.0%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.7%).
Declared Dividend • May 18Dividend increased to JP¥27.00Dividend of JP¥27.00 is 3.8% higher than last year. Ex-date: 27th June 2025 Payment date: 9th September 2025 Dividend yield will be 3.6%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.0%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (58% earnings payout ratio) but not covered by cash flows (117% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 3.7% per year over the past 7 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 94% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
分析記事 • May 18OptorunLtd (TSE:6235) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At ¥27.00Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment...
分析記事 • May 16Optorun Co.,Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 58%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen NextThe quarterly results for Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its...
Reported Earnings • May 15First quarter 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFirst quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥19.32 (down from JP¥74.93 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥7.91b (down 30% from 1Q 2024). Net income: JP¥809.0m (down 75% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 10% (down from 29% in 1Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 58%. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.3% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 11% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 6% per year.
分析記事 • Apr 07Market Cool On Optorun Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:6235) Earnings Pushing Shares 25% LowerTo the annoyance of some shareholders, Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last...
New Risk • Apr 07New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 5.6% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (117% cash payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.6% average weekly change).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 04Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%After last week's 17% share price decline to JP¥1,338, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 27% over the past three years.
Reported Earnings • Mar 28Full year 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥145 (up from JP¥106 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥32.4b (down 12% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥6.35b (up 37% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 20% (up from 13% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 7.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 3.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.2% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 6% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year.
お知らせ • Mar 22Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 13, 2025Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on May 13, 2025
Reported Earnings • Feb 16Full year 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥145 (up from JP¥106 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥32.4b (down 12% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥6.35b (up 37% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 20% (up from 13% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 7.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 3.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 8.7% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 6% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year.
お知らせ • Feb 15Optorun Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6235) announces an Equity Buyback for 2,500,100 shares, representing 5.64% for ¥4,145.17 million.Optorun Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6235) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 2,500,100 shares, representing 5.64% for a total of ¥4,145.17 million. The purpose of repurchase program is to implement flexible capital policies in response to changes in the business environment, to improve capital efficiency, and to provide shareholder returns. The repurchase program is valid till April 30, 2025. As of February 14, 2025, the company had 44,358,000 shares outstanding .
お知らせ • Feb 14Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 25, 2025Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 25, 2025.
お知らせ • Jan 03Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Feb 14, 2025Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Feb 14, 2025
Upcoming Dividend • Dec 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥26.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 December 2024. Payment date: 25 March 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 37% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 2.7%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.7%).
Reported Earnings • Nov 15Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥51.50 (vs JP¥14.38 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥51.50 (up from JP¥14.38 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥8.51b (up 6.3% from 3Q 2023). Net income: JP¥2.27b (up 261% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 27% (up from 7.8% in 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 9% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 7% per year.
お知らせ • Sep 25Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 12, 2024Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Nov 12, 2024
Price Target Changed • Aug 21Price target increased by 18% to JP¥2,600Up from JP¥2,200, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 43% above last closing price of JP¥1,817. Stock is down 2.8% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥159 for next year compared to JP¥106 last year.
お知らせ • Aug 11Optorun Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6235) announces an Equity Buyback for 3,400,000 shares, representing 7.72% for ¥5,000 million.Optorun Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6235) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 3,400,000 shares, representing 7.72% of its total shares outstanding excluding treasury shares, for a total of ¥5,000 million. The purpose of repurchase program is to implement flexible capital policies in response to changes in the business environment, to improve capital efficiency, and to provide shareholder returns. The repurchase program is valid till December 31, 2024. As of June 30, 2024, the company had 44,016,289 shares outstanding excluding treasury shares and had 341,711 shares in treasury.
New Risk • Aug 05New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 7.6% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.6% average weekly change). Minor Risk Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (dividend per share is over 175x cash flows per share).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 05Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 25%After last week's 25% share price decline to JP¥1,466, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 23% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥683 per share.
分析記事 • Aug 03Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Optorun Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6235)With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.5x Optorun Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:6235 ) may be sending bullish signals at the...
お知らせ • Jun 27Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Aug 08, 2024
Board Change • Apr 03Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Outside Director Shimaoka Mikuko was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2023. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
お知らせ • Mar 28Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 13, 2024Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on May 13, 2024
Reported Earnings • Mar 28Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥106 (down from JP¥159 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥36.8b (up 7.3% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥4.63b (down 33% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 13% (down from 20% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 30%. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 5% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 11% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
お知らせ • Feb 15Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 22, 2024Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 22, 2024.
Reported Earnings • Feb 14Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥106 (down from JP¥159 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥36.8b (up 7.3% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥4.63b (down 33% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 13% (down from 20% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 30%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.6% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 5% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 15% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 19Now 22% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 5.3% to JP¥1,732. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,424, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 2.8% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 0.9% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 47% in the next 2 years.
Price Target Changed • Jan 10Price target decreased by 21% to JP¥2,200Down from JP¥2,800, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 33% above last closing price of JP¥1,650. Stock is down 35% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥152 for next year compared to JP¥159 last year.
お知らせ • Dec 28Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Feb 13, 2024Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Feb 13, 2024
Upcoming Dividend • Dec 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥50.00 per share at 3.0% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 December 2023. Payment date: 29 March 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 42% but the company is paying out more than the cash it is generating. Trailing yield: 3.0%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.5%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.2%).
New Risk • Nov 17New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 5.5% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (296% cash payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.5% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (13% net profit margin).
Reported Earnings • Nov 15Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsThird quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥14.38 (down from JP¥67.81 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥8.01b (down 29% from 3Q 2022). Net income: JP¥628.0m (down 79% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 7.8% (down from 26% in 3Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 19%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
New Risk • Aug 14New major risk - Earnings qualityThe company has a high level of non-cash earnings. Accrual ratio: 35% This is considered a major risk. Non-cash earnings can arise from many different things. However, if a company consistently has a high level of non-cash earnings, it may be a sign that they are recognizing revenue from customers before the full value of the sales are received as cash or they are not depreciating the value of their assets appropriately. These are practices that inflate earnings, while not providing a similar increase to cash flows. Companies in some select industries naturally have a high level of non-cash earnings and it is not a major concern. However, in the worst case scenario it can be an early sign of performance manipulation by management. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk High level of non-cash earnings (35% accrual ratio). Minor Risk Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (295% cash payout ratio).
New Risk • Aug 11New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 5.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.4% average weekly change).
Reported Earnings • Aug 10Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥47.42 (down from JP¥53.49 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥11.9b (up 41% from 2Q 2022). Net income: JP¥2.07b (down 11% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 17% (down from 28% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 26%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 50%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.6% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 5% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • Jun 30Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 09, 2023Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results on Aug 09, 2023
Reported Earnings • May 14First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥32.22 (up from JP¥13.93 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥9.06b (up 77% from 1Q 2022). Net income: JP¥1.40b (up 133% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 16% (up from 12% in 1Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 40%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 123%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.9% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 3% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Reported Earnings • Mar 31Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2022 results: EPS: JP¥159 (up from JP¥147 in FY 2021). Revenue: JP¥34.3b (up 11% from FY 2021). Net income: JP¥6.89b (up 8.8% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 20% (in line with FY 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 1.4%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year and the company’s share price has also fallen by 4% per year.
お知らせ • Feb 15Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 28, 2023Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 28, 2023.
Reported Earnings • Feb 14Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2022 results: EPS: JP¥159 (up from JP¥147 in FY 2021). Revenue: JP¥34.3b (up 11% from FY 2021). Net income: JP¥6.89b (up 8.8% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 20% (in line with FY 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 1.4%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.6% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 15% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 14Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 21%After last week's 21% share price decline to JP¥1,982, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 34% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥1,950 per share.
お知らせ • Jan 07Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Feb 13, 2023Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2022 results on Feb 13, 2023
Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥50.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2022. Payment date: 30 March 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 28% and the cash payout ratio is 78%. Trailing yield: 1.8%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.4%).
Board Change • Nov 16No independent directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 11 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. No independent directors (8 non-independent directors). was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.
Price Target Changed • Nov 13Price target increased to JP¥2,772Up from JP¥2,483, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥2,667. Stock is up 17% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥137 for next year compared to JP¥147 last year.
Reported Earnings • Nov 12Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsThird quarter 2022 results: EPS: JP¥67.81 (up from JP¥41.47 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: JP¥11.3b (up 60% from 3Q 2021). Net income: JP¥2.94b (up 64% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 26% (in line with 3Q 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 24%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 154%. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.4% growth forecast for the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 5% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 2% per year.
お知らせ • Sep 24Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 10, 2022Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2022 results on Nov 10, 2022
Major Estimate Revision • Sep 10Consensus forecasts updatedThe consensus outlook for 2022 has been updated. 2022 EPS estimate increased from JP¥113 to JP¥126. Revenue forecast unchanged at JP¥31.6b. Net income forecast to shrink 3.8% next year vs 6.3% growth forecast for Semiconductor industry in Japan . Consensus price target of JP¥2,650 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 3.6% to JP¥2,326 over the past week.
Buying Opportunity • Aug 15Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock is up 21%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,936, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 13% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 13%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 39% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 9.3% in the next 2 years.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 12Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 25% share price gain to JP¥2,395, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 15% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥2,946 per share.
Price Target Changed • Aug 10Price target decreased to JP¥2,483Down from JP¥2,750, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥2,419. Stock is up 13% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥108 for next year compared to JP¥147 last year.
Reported Earnings • Aug 07Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2022 results: EPS: JP¥53.49 (up from JP¥29.79 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: JP¥8.39b (up 4.0% from 2Q 2021). Net income: JP¥2.32b (up 81% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 28% (up from 16% in 2Q 2021). The increase in margin was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 9.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 101%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 21%, compared to a 22% growth forecast for the industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 13% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 15% per year.
お知らせ • Jun 24Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 05, 2022Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2022 results on Aug 05, 2022
Reported Earnings • May 17First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2022 results: EPS: JP¥13.93 (down from JP¥33.76 in 1Q 2021). Revenue: JP¥5.12b (down 26% from 1Q 2021). Net income: JP¥602.0m (down 59% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 12% (down from 21% in 1Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 32%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 50%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 17%, compared to a 21% growth forecast for the industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 16% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 7% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
Buying Opportunity • May 02Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 20%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,345, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 13% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 13%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.0% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 7.0% per annum over the same time period.
Board Change • Apr 27No independent directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 11 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. No independent directors (8 non-independent directors). was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in . The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.
お知らせ • Apr 08Optorun Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 12, 2022Optorun Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2022 results on May 12, 2022
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 14Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥1,868, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 3.1% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥2,314 per share.
Major Estimate Revision • Mar 01Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from JP¥33.5b to JP¥32.6b. EPS estimate also fell from JP¥147 per share to JP¥131 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 11% next year vs 14% growth forecast for Semiconductor industry in Japan . Consensus price target down from JP¥2,788 to JP¥2,538. Share price was steady at JP¥1,854 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Mar 01Price target decreased to JP¥2,538Down from JP¥2,788, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is 37% above last closing price of JP¥1,854. Stock is down 27% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥131 for next year compared to JP¥147 last year.
Reported Earnings • Feb 16Full year 2021 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectationsFull year 2021 results: EPS: JP¥147 (down from JP¥159 in FY 2020). Revenue: JP¥30.9b (down 18% from FY 2020). Net income: JP¥6.33b (down 6.9% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 21% (up from 18% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 11%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 8.5%, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 13% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 5% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
お知らせ • Feb 16Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 29, 2022Optorun Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Mar 29, 2022.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 15Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price decline to JP¥1,882, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Semiconductor industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 11% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥3,435 per share.
Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥50.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2021. Payment date: 25 March 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 30% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.1%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.3%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.5%).
Reported Earnings • Nov 10Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS JP¥41.47 (vs JP¥31.81 in 3Q 2020)The company reported a decent third quarter result with improved earnings and profit margins, although revenues were weaker. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: JP¥7.06b (down 12% from 3Q 2020). Net income: JP¥1.79b (up 31% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 25% (up from 17% in 3Q 2020). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 14% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 2% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
Reported Earnings • May 14First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS JP¥33.76 (vs JP¥33.97 in 1Q 2020)The company reported a mediocre first quarter result with flat earnings, revenues and profit margins. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: JP¥6.88b (flat on 1Q 2020). Net income: JP¥1.45b (flat on 1Q 2020). Profit margin: 21% (in line with 1Q 2020).