View ValuationMODEC 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /16MODECの収益は年間3.5%で減少すると予測されていますが、年間利益は年間2.7%で増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予測されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に17.9% 2.7%なると予測されています。主要情報2.7%収益成長率2.68%EPS成長率Energy Services 収益成長15.6%収益成長率-3.5%将来の株主資本利益率17.91%アナリストカバレッジLow最終更新日13 May 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報Major Estimate Revision • Jan 29Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has improved. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$635.2b to US$685.5b. EPS estimate increased from US$697 to US$795 per share. Net income forecast to grow 30% next year vs 26% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target of JP¥11,267 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 12% to JP¥15,100 over the past week.お知らせ • Nov 12+ 1 more updateMODEC, Inc. Revises Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ending December 31, 2025MODEC, Inc. revised consolidated earnings guidance for the full year ending December 31, 2025. For year, the company expects revenue of USD 3,700,000,000 compared to previous guidance of USD 4,400,000,000. Operating profit of USD 440,000,000 compared to previous guidance of USD 410,000,000. Profit attributable to owners of parent of USD 350,000,000 compared to previous guidance of USD 270,000,000. Basic earnings per share of USD 5.12 compared to previous guidance of USD 3.95 per share.Major Estimate Revision • Nov 02Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has improved. 2025 revenue forecast increased from JP¥625.5b to JP¥647.7b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥530 to JP¥653 per share. Net income forecast to grow 33% next year vs 20% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥6,800 to JP¥9,600. Share price rose 8.7% to JP¥10,020 over the past week.Major Estimate Revision • Aug 09Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from US$577.1b to US$570.7b. EPS estimate rose from US$455 to US$512. Net income forecast to grow 14% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥5,100 to JP¥5,733. Share price rose 4.9% to JP¥6,820 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Aug 08Price target increased by 19% to JP¥5,733Up from JP¥4,800, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 16% below last closing price of JP¥6,820. Stock is up 144% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$3.48 for next year compared to US$3.24 last year.Major Estimate Revision • Jul 04Consensus EPS estimates increase by 52%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from US$593.3b to US$577.1b. EPS estimate rose from US$300 to US$455. Net income forecast to grow 4.7% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥4,800 to JP¥5,100. Share price rose 9.2% to JP¥6,650 over the past week.すべての更新を表示Recent updatesNew Risk • May 14New minor risk - Dividend sustainabilityThe company has an unstable dividend paying track record. The dividend has had an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Dividend yield: 1.7% This is considered a minor risk. If the company has cut or reduced its dividend in the past, it may be a sign that the underlying business is too cyclical to consistently maintain or grow the dividend over the long-term. It may also indicate the company prioritizes other outcomes instead of maintaining the dividend. For dividend paying companies, any reduction in the dividend can significantly impact the share price. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk High level of non-cash earnings (24% accrual ratio). Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.6% average weekly change).Declared Dividend • Apr 11Final dividend of JP¥100.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥100.00. Ex-date: 29th June 2026 Payment date: 9th September 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.3%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.7%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (17% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (37% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 19% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 8.3% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.お知らせ • Apr 04MODEC, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 13, 2026MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results at 12:30 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on May 13, 2026Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 16Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to JP¥14,375, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 1,077% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥27,062 per share.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 25Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%After last week's 15% share price decline to JP¥13,000, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 820% over the past three years.Reported Earnings • Feb 19Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥826 (up from JP¥510 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥717.1b (up 8.3% from FY 2024). Net income: JP¥56.5b (up 62% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 7.9% (up from 5.3% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 3.9%. Revenue is expected to decline by 6.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Energy Services industry in Asia are expected to grow by 6.3%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 59% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 115% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.New Risk • Feb 19New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.03% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (8.9% average weekly change). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.03% per year for the foreseeable future.お知らせ • Feb 17MODEC, Inc. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Mar 26, 2026MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Mar 26, 2026お知らせ • Feb 13+ 2 more updatesMODEC, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Mar 30, 2026MODEC, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Mar 30, 2026.分析記事 • Feb 11Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of MODEC, Inc. (TSE:6269)Key Insights MODEC's estimated fair value is JP¥18,763 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With JP¥15,580 share...Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 02Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 46% to JP¥14,655. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥18,577, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 4.3% per annum. Earnings are forecast to grow by 6.3% per annum over the same time period.Major Estimate Revision • Jan 29Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has improved. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$635.2b to US$685.5b. EPS estimate increased from US$697 to US$795 per share. Net income forecast to grow 30% next year vs 26% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target of JP¥11,267 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 12% to JP¥15,100 over the past week.分析記事 • Jan 27MODEC (TSE:6269) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To ContinueIf you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...分析記事 • Jan 12Does MODEC (TSE:6269) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 07Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%After last week's 20% share price gain to JP¥14,325, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 1,007% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥22,167 per share.分析記事 • Dec 25More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Shares After Tumbling 25%The MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) share price has softened a substantial 25% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of...Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥80.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2025. Payment date: 30 March 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 16% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.5%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.0%).分析記事 • Dec 09MODEC's (TSE:6269) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last YearMODEC, Inc.'s ( TSE:6269 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to $80.00 on 30th of...お知らせ • Dec 03MODEC, Inc. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Feb 13, 2026MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Feb 13, 2026分析記事 • Nov 25MODEC (TSE:6269) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $80.00The board of MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $80.00 on the 30th of March...分析記事 • Nov 24The Strong Earnings Posted By MODEC (TSE:6269) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The BusinessWhen companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like MODEC, Inc.'s ( TSE:6269 ) stock has...お知らせ • Nov 12+ 1 more updateMODEC, Inc. Revises Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ending December 31, 2025MODEC, Inc. revised consolidated earnings guidance for the full year ending December 31, 2025. For year, the company expects revenue of USD 3,700,000,000 compared to previous guidance of USD 4,400,000,000. Operating profit of USD 440,000,000 compared to previous guidance of USD 410,000,000. Profit attributable to owners of parent of USD 350,000,000 compared to previous guidance of USD 270,000,000. Basic earnings per share of USD 5.12 compared to previous guidance of USD 3.95 per share.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 12Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 28%After last week's 28% share price gain to JP¥12,980, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 775% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥21,268 per share.Major Estimate Revision • Nov 02Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has improved. 2025 revenue forecast increased from JP¥625.5b to JP¥647.7b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥530 to JP¥653 per share. Net income forecast to grow 33% next year vs 20% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥6,800 to JP¥9,600. Share price rose 8.7% to JP¥10,020 over the past week.分析記事 • Oct 31What MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) 28% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling YouMODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. The last...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 27Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥9,570, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 518% over the past three years.分析記事 • Sep 10MODEC's (TSE:6269) Dividend Will Be ¥60.00The board of MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥60.00 per share on the 30th of...Declared Dividend • Sep 10First half dividend of JP¥60.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥60.00. Ex-date: 29th December 2025 Payment date: 30th March 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.6%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.7%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (21% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (11% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 14% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 5.1% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.お知らせ • Sep 01MODEC, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 12, 2025MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Nov 12, 2025分析記事 • Aug 25What MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling YouMODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The...Reported Earnings • Aug 12Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$1.31 (up from US$0.90 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: US$1.20b (up 14% from 2Q 2024). Net income: US$89.4m (up 45% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 7.4% (up from 5.8% in 2Q 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 15%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 65%. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 6.4% growth forecast for the Energy Services industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 98% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 69% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Major Estimate Revision • Aug 09Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from US$577.1b to US$570.7b. EPS estimate rose from US$455 to US$512. Net income forecast to grow 14% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥5,100 to JP¥5,733. Share price rose 4.9% to JP¥6,820 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Aug 08Price target increased by 19% to JP¥5,733Up from JP¥4,800, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 16% below last closing price of JP¥6,820. Stock is up 144% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$3.48 for next year compared to US$3.24 last year.分析記事 • Aug 02Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At MODEC (TSE:6269)If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...分析記事 • Jul 17Calculating The Fair Value Of MODEC, Inc. (TSE:6269)Key Insights MODEC's estimated fair value is JP¥7,423 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price of...Major Estimate Revision • Jul 04Consensus EPS estimates increase by 52%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from US$593.3b to US$577.1b. EPS estimate rose from US$300 to US$455. Net income forecast to grow 4.7% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥4,800 to JP¥5,100. Share price rose 9.2% to JP¥6,650 over the past week.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 03Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥6,570, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 515% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥7,084 per share.分析記事 • Jul 02Earnings Not Telling The Story For MODEC, Inc. (TSE:6269) After Shares Rise 30%MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. The...分析記事 • Jul 01Is MODEC (TSE:6269) A Risky Investment?The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...New Risk • Jun 27New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 3.7% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 3.7% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.8% average weekly change).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 24Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 38% to JP¥5,790. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥7,370, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 13% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 0.5% per annum. Earnings are forecast to grow by 0.1% per annum over the same time period.Upcoming Dividend • Jun 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥60.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 June 2025. Payment date: 10 September 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 17% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (4.0%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.3%).分析記事 • Jun 01MODEC's (TSE:6269) Dividend Will Be Increased To ¥60.00MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 10th of September to...お知らせ • May 31MODEC, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 07, 2025MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results on Aug 07, 2025Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 15Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to JP¥4,900, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 315% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥9,303 per share.分析記事 • May 07There's No Escaping MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Muted Earnings Despite A 36% Share Price RiseThe MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 36...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 28Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to JP¥4,240, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 267% over the past three years.分析記事 • Apr 26MODEC's (TSE:6269) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year'sMODEC, Inc.'s ( TSE:6269 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥60.00 on 10th of...Board Change • Apr 16High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Outside Director Yuko Maeda was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.分析記事 • Apr 11MODEC (TSE:6269) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ¥60.00MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 10th of September to...Declared Dividend • Apr 11Final dividend of JP¥60.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥60.00. Ex-date: 27th June 2025 Payment date: 10th September 2025 Dividend yield will be 3.2%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.7%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (10% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (9% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 14% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 4.0% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 89% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 07Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 23%After last week's 23% share price decline to JP¥3,155, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 163% over the past three years.分析記事 • Mar 23MODEC (TSE:6269) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share PriceWhat are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...分析記事 • Mar 07MODEC, Inc. (TSE:6269) Surges 32% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For ExcitementThe MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 32...お知らせ • Mar 01MODEC, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 13, 2025MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on May 13, 2025Major Estimate Revision • Feb 27Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate increased from US$2.71 to US$3.08. Revenue forecast steady at US$4.11b. Net income forecast to shrink 4.4% next year vs 26% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan . Consensus price target up from JP¥4,300 to JP¥4,800. Share price fell 4.6% to JP¥4,050 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Feb 26Price target increased by 17% to JP¥4,800Up from JP¥4,100, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 18% above last closing price of JP¥4,080. Stock is up 35% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$3.07 for next year compared to US$3.23 last year.分析記事 • Feb 20Shareholders Can Be Confident That MODEC's (TSE:6269) Earnings Are High QualityMODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We did some digging...お知らせ • Feb 17MODEC, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Mar 27, 2025MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results on Mar 27, 2025Reported Earnings • Feb 15Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: US$3.23 (up from US$1.56 in FY 2023). Revenue: US$4.19b (up 16% from FY 2023). Net income: US$220.4m (up 127% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 5.3% (up from 2.7% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 33%. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Energy Services industry in Asia are expected to grow by 7.7%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 118% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 57% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Feb 13MODEC, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Mar 27, 2025MODEC, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Mar 27, 2025.New Risk • Feb 13New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 7.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 3.3% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.4% average weekly change).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 13Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 27%After last week's 27% share price gain to JP¥3,990, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 253% over the past three years.分析記事 • Jan 21MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift SharesWhen close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may consider MODEC...Upcoming Dividend • Dec 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥30.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 December 2024. Payment date: 28 March 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 10% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.5%).分析記事 • Dec 04MODEC's (TSE:6269) Dividend Will Be $30.00The board of MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $30.00 per share on the 28th of...お知らせ • Dec 03MODEC, Inc. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Feb 13, 2025MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Feb 13, 2025分析記事 • Dec 02Returns At MODEC (TSE:6269) Are On The Way UpWhat trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a...分析記事 • Nov 15MODEC (TSE:6269) Will Pay A Dividend Of $30.00The board of MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 28th of March, with investors...New Risk • Nov 15New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 4.9% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 4.9% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.5% average weekly change).Reported Earnings • Nov 15Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsThird quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.69 (up from US$0.18 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: US$1.12b (up 24% from 3Q 2023). Net income: US$47.0m (up 288% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 4.2% (up from 1.3% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 15%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 79%. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Energy Services industry in Asia are expected to grow by 7.9%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 110% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 29% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 23Now 26% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 18% to JP¥3,230. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,573, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 10% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.4% per annum. Earnings are forecast to decline by 0.9% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • Oct 15MODEC (TSE:6269) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥30.00MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) will pay a dividend of ¥30.00 on the 28th of March. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of...分析記事 • Oct 06MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The MarketMODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 18Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥3,025, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 82% over the past three years.Major Estimate Revision • Sep 18Consensus EPS estimates increase by 24%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from JP¥586.3b to JP¥605.0b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥293 to JP¥363 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 18% next year vs 27% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan . Consensus price target up from JP¥3,750 to JP¥4,050. Share price rose 16% to JP¥3,025 over the past week.New Risk • Sep 17New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.6% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (12% average weekly change). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.6% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past.分析記事 • Aug 30MODEC (TSE:6269) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥30.00The board of MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 28th of March, with investors...お知らせ • Aug 29MODEC, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 12, 2024MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Nov 12, 2024Reported Earnings • Aug 12Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.90 (up from US$0.38 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$1.05b (up 17% from 2Q 2023). Net income: US$61.5m (up 185% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 5.8% (up from 2.4% in 2Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 8.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 159%. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 7.7% growth forecast for the Energy Services industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 93% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 18% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.分析記事 • Aug 11MODEC (TSE:6269) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥30.00MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) will pay a dividend of ¥30.00 on the 28th of March. Although the dividend is now higher, the...Declared Dividend • Aug 10Dividend of JP¥30.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥30.00. Ex-date: 27th December 2024 Payment date: 28th March 2025 Dividend yield will be 2.1%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.7%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (6% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (3% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 2.9% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 15% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.お知らせ • Aug 08Modec, Inc. Revises Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2024MODEC, Inc. revised consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2024. For year, the company expected revenue of USD 4,300,000 compared to previous forecast of USD 3,900,000, operating profit of USD 290,000 compared to previous forecast of USD 200,000,profit attributable to owners of parent of USD 200,000 compared to previous forecast of USD 120,000 and earnings per share of USD 2.93 compared to previous forecast of USD 1.76.分析記事 • Aug 06Investors Don't See Light At End Of MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 30%Unfortunately for some shareholders, the MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days...New Risk • Aug 05New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 8.7% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (8.7% average weekly change). Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (21% increase in shares outstanding).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 05Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 32%After last week's 32% share price decline to JP¥1,918, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 15% over the past three years.分析記事 • Jun 28Forecast: Analysts Think MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Business Prospects Have Improved DrasticallyMODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades...Major Estimate Revision • Jun 28Consensus revenue estimates increase by 12%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from JP¥506.4b to JP¥566.4b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥215 to JP¥290 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 11% next year vs 29% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan . Consensus price target up from JP¥3,350 to JP¥3,750. Share price rose 3.6% to JP¥2,903 over the past week.お知らせ • Jun 06MODEC, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Aug 08, 2024分析記事 • Apr 09MODEC (TSE:6269) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance SheetHoward Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Major Estimate Revision • Feb 29Consensus EPS estimates increase by 19%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate increased from US$1.10 to US$1.31. Revenue forecast steady at US$3.36b. Net income forecast to shrink 10% next year vs 34% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan . Consensus price target up from JP¥2,600 to JP¥3,250. Share price was steady at JP¥3,050 over the past week.お知らせ • Feb 28MODEC, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 14, 2024MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on May 14, 2024分析記事 • Feb 26MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Shares Climb 30% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch UpDespite an already strong run, MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last...Reported Earnings • Feb 17Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.55 (vs US$0.67 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: US$1.55 (up from US$0.67 in FY 2022). Revenue: US$3.57b (up 30% from FY 2022). Net income: US$96.5m (up 157% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 2.7% (up from 1.4% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Energy Services industry in Asia are expected to grow by 9.8%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 47% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 19% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.業績と収益の成長予測TSE:6269 - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )JPY Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数12/31/2028670,95061,672N/A40,622212/31/2027692,61764,22279,75067,208312/31/2026661,49360,02878,49411,495312/31/2025717,10056,45637,04838,198N/A9/30/2025671,82143,608113,809114,897N/A6/30/2025660,09335,89475,95076,978N/A3/31/2025635,30932,016104,260105,680N/A12/31/2024662,08834,85686,76288,704N/A9/30/2024586,97433,29341,96343,595N/A6/30/2024571,77430,102133,406135,286N/A3/31/2024531,53623,31286,04787,457N/A12/31/2023507,03113,69167,85468,913N/A9/30/2023447,0458,44758,46859,199N/A6/30/2023402,0346,327-7,909-7,265N/A3/31/2023380,8317,685-19,272-18,486N/A12/31/2022363,5934,960-28,635-27,722N/A9/30/2022413,538-33,064N/AN/AN/A6/30/2022419,519-40,990-11,483-9,654N/A3/31/2022419,418-48,011N/AN/AN/A12/31/2021448,510-41,86014,13317,509N/A9/30/2021403,178-14,944N/AN/AN/A6/30/2021381,659-2,1094,5089,138N/A3/31/2021349,214865N/AN/AN/A12/31/2020309,925-13,07627,06231,004N/A9/30/2020343,349-18,654N/AN/AN/A6/30/2020340,662-28,67818,01321,281N/A3/31/2020355,118-30,249N/AN/AN/A12/31/2019332,644-18,227-5,958-3,248N/A9/30/2019274,4704,523N/AN/AN/A6/30/2019257,49412,490N/A34,344N/A3/31/2019233,21722,696N/AN/AN/A12/31/2018221,90921,891N/A45,193N/A9/30/2018211,04619,237N/AN/AN/A6/30/2018202,30623,335N/A5,190N/A3/31/2018187,80418,065N/AN/AN/A12/31/2017191,18219,454N/A-3,315N/A9/30/2017227,55325,953N/AN/AN/A6/30/2017227,67522,933N/A9,838N/A3/31/2017227,18720,037N/AN/AN/A12/31/2016229,98721,012N/A30,350N/A9/30/2016218,3817,206N/AN/AN/A6/30/2016242,85410,452N/A33,599N/A3/31/2016275,8369,610N/AN/AN/A12/31/2015295,5965,824N/A8,462N/A9/30/2015346,73012,060N/AN/AN/A6/30/2015373,3194,120N/A10,398N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: 6269の予測収益成長率 (年間2.7% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 0.8% ) を上回っています。収益対市場: 6269の収益 ( 2.7% ) JP市場 ( 8.9% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。高成長収益: 6269の収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。収益対市場: 6269の収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予想されています (年間-3.5% )。高い収益成長: 6269の収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-3.5% )。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: 6269の 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 17.9 %)。成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YEnergy 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/05/21 16:50終値2026/05/21 00:00収益2025/12/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋MODEC, Inc. 3 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。16 アナリスト機関Kunio SakaidaBarclaysTakahiro MoriBofA Global ResearchSatoshi AbeDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.13 その他のアナリストを表示
Major Estimate Revision • Jan 29Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has improved. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$635.2b to US$685.5b. EPS estimate increased from US$697 to US$795 per share. Net income forecast to grow 30% next year vs 26% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target of JP¥11,267 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 12% to JP¥15,100 over the past week.
お知らせ • Nov 12+ 1 more updateMODEC, Inc. Revises Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ending December 31, 2025MODEC, Inc. revised consolidated earnings guidance for the full year ending December 31, 2025. For year, the company expects revenue of USD 3,700,000,000 compared to previous guidance of USD 4,400,000,000. Operating profit of USD 440,000,000 compared to previous guidance of USD 410,000,000. Profit attributable to owners of parent of USD 350,000,000 compared to previous guidance of USD 270,000,000. Basic earnings per share of USD 5.12 compared to previous guidance of USD 3.95 per share.
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 02Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has improved. 2025 revenue forecast increased from JP¥625.5b to JP¥647.7b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥530 to JP¥653 per share. Net income forecast to grow 33% next year vs 20% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥6,800 to JP¥9,600. Share price rose 8.7% to JP¥10,020 over the past week.
Major Estimate Revision • Aug 09Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from US$577.1b to US$570.7b. EPS estimate rose from US$455 to US$512. Net income forecast to grow 14% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥5,100 to JP¥5,733. Share price rose 4.9% to JP¥6,820 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Aug 08Price target increased by 19% to JP¥5,733Up from JP¥4,800, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 16% below last closing price of JP¥6,820. Stock is up 144% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$3.48 for next year compared to US$3.24 last year.
Major Estimate Revision • Jul 04Consensus EPS estimates increase by 52%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from US$593.3b to US$577.1b. EPS estimate rose from US$300 to US$455. Net income forecast to grow 4.7% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥4,800 to JP¥5,100. Share price rose 9.2% to JP¥6,650 over the past week.
New Risk • May 14New minor risk - Dividend sustainabilityThe company has an unstable dividend paying track record. The dividend has had an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Dividend yield: 1.7% This is considered a minor risk. If the company has cut or reduced its dividend in the past, it may be a sign that the underlying business is too cyclical to consistently maintain or grow the dividend over the long-term. It may also indicate the company prioritizes other outcomes instead of maintaining the dividend. For dividend paying companies, any reduction in the dividend can significantly impact the share price. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk High level of non-cash earnings (24% accrual ratio). Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.6% average weekly change).
Declared Dividend • Apr 11Final dividend of JP¥100.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥100.00. Ex-date: 29th June 2026 Payment date: 9th September 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.3%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.7%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (17% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (37% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 19% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 8.3% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
お知らせ • Apr 04MODEC, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 13, 2026MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results at 12:30 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on May 13, 2026
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 16Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to JP¥14,375, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 1,077% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥27,062 per share.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 25Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%After last week's 15% share price decline to JP¥13,000, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 820% over the past three years.
Reported Earnings • Feb 19Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥826 (up from JP¥510 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥717.1b (up 8.3% from FY 2024). Net income: JP¥56.5b (up 62% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 7.9% (up from 5.3% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 3.9%. Revenue is expected to decline by 6.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Energy Services industry in Asia are expected to grow by 6.3%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 59% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 115% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.
New Risk • Feb 19New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.03% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (8.9% average weekly change). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.03% per year for the foreseeable future.
お知らせ • Feb 17MODEC, Inc. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Mar 26, 2026MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Mar 26, 2026
お知らせ • Feb 13+ 2 more updatesMODEC, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Mar 30, 2026MODEC, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Mar 30, 2026.
分析記事 • Feb 11Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of MODEC, Inc. (TSE:6269)Key Insights MODEC's estimated fair value is JP¥18,763 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With JP¥15,580 share...
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 02Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 46% to JP¥14,655. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥18,577, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 4.3% per annum. Earnings are forecast to grow by 6.3% per annum over the same time period.
Major Estimate Revision • Jan 29Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has improved. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$635.2b to US$685.5b. EPS estimate increased from US$697 to US$795 per share. Net income forecast to grow 30% next year vs 26% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target of JP¥11,267 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 12% to JP¥15,100 over the past week.
分析記事 • Jan 27MODEC (TSE:6269) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To ContinueIf you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
分析記事 • Jan 12Does MODEC (TSE:6269) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 07Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%After last week's 20% share price gain to JP¥14,325, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 1,007% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥22,167 per share.
分析記事 • Dec 25More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Shares After Tumbling 25%The MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) share price has softened a substantial 25% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of...
Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥80.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2025. Payment date: 30 March 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 16% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.5%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.0%).
分析記事 • Dec 09MODEC's (TSE:6269) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last YearMODEC, Inc.'s ( TSE:6269 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to $80.00 on 30th of...
お知らせ • Dec 03MODEC, Inc. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Feb 13, 2026MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Feb 13, 2026
分析記事 • Nov 25MODEC (TSE:6269) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $80.00The board of MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $80.00 on the 30th of March...
分析記事 • Nov 24The Strong Earnings Posted By MODEC (TSE:6269) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The BusinessWhen companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like MODEC, Inc.'s ( TSE:6269 ) stock has...
お知らせ • Nov 12+ 1 more updateMODEC, Inc. Revises Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ending December 31, 2025MODEC, Inc. revised consolidated earnings guidance for the full year ending December 31, 2025. For year, the company expects revenue of USD 3,700,000,000 compared to previous guidance of USD 4,400,000,000. Operating profit of USD 440,000,000 compared to previous guidance of USD 410,000,000. Profit attributable to owners of parent of USD 350,000,000 compared to previous guidance of USD 270,000,000. Basic earnings per share of USD 5.12 compared to previous guidance of USD 3.95 per share.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 12Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 28%After last week's 28% share price gain to JP¥12,980, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 775% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥21,268 per share.
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 02Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has improved. 2025 revenue forecast increased from JP¥625.5b to JP¥647.7b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥530 to JP¥653 per share. Net income forecast to grow 33% next year vs 20% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥6,800 to JP¥9,600. Share price rose 8.7% to JP¥10,020 over the past week.
分析記事 • Oct 31What MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) 28% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling YouMODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. The last...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 27Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥9,570, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 518% over the past three years.
分析記事 • Sep 10MODEC's (TSE:6269) Dividend Will Be ¥60.00The board of MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥60.00 per share on the 30th of...
Declared Dividend • Sep 10First half dividend of JP¥60.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥60.00. Ex-date: 29th December 2025 Payment date: 30th March 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.6%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.7%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (21% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (11% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 14% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 5.1% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
お知らせ • Sep 01MODEC, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 12, 2025MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Nov 12, 2025
分析記事 • Aug 25What MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling YouMODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The...
Reported Earnings • Aug 12Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$1.31 (up from US$0.90 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: US$1.20b (up 14% from 2Q 2024). Net income: US$89.4m (up 45% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 7.4% (up from 5.8% in 2Q 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 15%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 65%. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 6.4% growth forecast for the Energy Services industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 98% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 69% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Major Estimate Revision • Aug 09Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from US$577.1b to US$570.7b. EPS estimate rose from US$455 to US$512. Net income forecast to grow 14% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥5,100 to JP¥5,733. Share price rose 4.9% to JP¥6,820 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Aug 08Price target increased by 19% to JP¥5,733Up from JP¥4,800, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 16% below last closing price of JP¥6,820. Stock is up 144% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$3.48 for next year compared to US$3.24 last year.
分析記事 • Aug 02Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At MODEC (TSE:6269)If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...
分析記事 • Jul 17Calculating The Fair Value Of MODEC, Inc. (TSE:6269)Key Insights MODEC's estimated fair value is JP¥7,423 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price of...
Major Estimate Revision • Jul 04Consensus EPS estimates increase by 52%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from US$593.3b to US$577.1b. EPS estimate rose from US$300 to US$455. Net income forecast to grow 4.7% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥4,800 to JP¥5,100. Share price rose 9.2% to JP¥6,650 over the past week.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 03Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥6,570, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 515% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥7,084 per share.
分析記事 • Jul 02Earnings Not Telling The Story For MODEC, Inc. (TSE:6269) After Shares Rise 30%MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. The...
分析記事 • Jul 01Is MODEC (TSE:6269) A Risky Investment?The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
New Risk • Jun 27New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 3.7% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 3.7% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.8% average weekly change).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 24Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 38% to JP¥5,790. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥7,370, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 13% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 0.5% per annum. Earnings are forecast to grow by 0.1% per annum over the same time period.
Upcoming Dividend • Jun 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥60.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 June 2025. Payment date: 10 September 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 17% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (4.0%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.3%).
分析記事 • Jun 01MODEC's (TSE:6269) Dividend Will Be Increased To ¥60.00MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 10th of September to...
お知らせ • May 31MODEC, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 07, 2025MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results on Aug 07, 2025
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 15Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to JP¥4,900, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 315% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥9,303 per share.
分析記事 • May 07There's No Escaping MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Muted Earnings Despite A 36% Share Price RiseThe MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 36...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 28Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to JP¥4,240, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 267% over the past three years.
分析記事 • Apr 26MODEC's (TSE:6269) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year'sMODEC, Inc.'s ( TSE:6269 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥60.00 on 10th of...
Board Change • Apr 16High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Outside Director Yuko Maeda was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
分析記事 • Apr 11MODEC (TSE:6269) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ¥60.00MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 10th of September to...
Declared Dividend • Apr 11Final dividend of JP¥60.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥60.00. Ex-date: 27th June 2025 Payment date: 10th September 2025 Dividend yield will be 3.2%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.7%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (10% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (9% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 14% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 4.0% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 89% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 07Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 23%After last week's 23% share price decline to JP¥3,155, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 163% over the past three years.
分析記事 • Mar 23MODEC (TSE:6269) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share PriceWhat are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
分析記事 • Mar 07MODEC, Inc. (TSE:6269) Surges 32% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For ExcitementThe MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 32...
お知らせ • Mar 01MODEC, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 13, 2025MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on May 13, 2025
Major Estimate Revision • Feb 27Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate increased from US$2.71 to US$3.08. Revenue forecast steady at US$4.11b. Net income forecast to shrink 4.4% next year vs 26% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan . Consensus price target up from JP¥4,300 to JP¥4,800. Share price fell 4.6% to JP¥4,050 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Feb 26Price target increased by 17% to JP¥4,800Up from JP¥4,100, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 18% above last closing price of JP¥4,080. Stock is up 35% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$3.07 for next year compared to US$3.23 last year.
分析記事 • Feb 20Shareholders Can Be Confident That MODEC's (TSE:6269) Earnings Are High QualityMODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We did some digging...
お知らせ • Feb 17MODEC, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Mar 27, 2025MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results on Mar 27, 2025
Reported Earnings • Feb 15Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: US$3.23 (up from US$1.56 in FY 2023). Revenue: US$4.19b (up 16% from FY 2023). Net income: US$220.4m (up 127% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 5.3% (up from 2.7% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 33%. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Energy Services industry in Asia are expected to grow by 7.7%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 118% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 57% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Feb 13MODEC, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Mar 27, 2025MODEC, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Mar 27, 2025.
New Risk • Feb 13New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 7.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 3.3% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.4% average weekly change).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 13Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 27%After last week's 27% share price gain to JP¥3,990, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 253% over the past three years.
分析記事 • Jan 21MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift SharesWhen close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may consider MODEC...
Upcoming Dividend • Dec 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥30.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 December 2024. Payment date: 28 March 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 10% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.5%).
分析記事 • Dec 04MODEC's (TSE:6269) Dividend Will Be $30.00The board of MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $30.00 per share on the 28th of...
お知らせ • Dec 03MODEC, Inc. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Feb 13, 2025MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Feb 13, 2025
分析記事 • Dec 02Returns At MODEC (TSE:6269) Are On The Way UpWhat trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a...
分析記事 • Nov 15MODEC (TSE:6269) Will Pay A Dividend Of $30.00The board of MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 28th of March, with investors...
New Risk • Nov 15New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 4.9% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 4.9% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.5% average weekly change).
Reported Earnings • Nov 15Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsThird quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.69 (up from US$0.18 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: US$1.12b (up 24% from 3Q 2023). Net income: US$47.0m (up 288% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 4.2% (up from 1.3% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 15%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 79%. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Energy Services industry in Asia are expected to grow by 7.9%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 110% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 29% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 23Now 26% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 18% to JP¥3,230. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,573, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 10% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.4% per annum. Earnings are forecast to decline by 0.9% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • Oct 15MODEC (TSE:6269) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥30.00MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) will pay a dividend of ¥30.00 on the 28th of March. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of...
分析記事 • Oct 06MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The MarketMODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 18Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥3,025, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 82% over the past three years.
Major Estimate Revision • Sep 18Consensus EPS estimates increase by 24%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from JP¥586.3b to JP¥605.0b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥293 to JP¥363 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 18% next year vs 27% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan . Consensus price target up from JP¥3,750 to JP¥4,050. Share price rose 16% to JP¥3,025 over the past week.
New Risk • Sep 17New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.6% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (12% average weekly change). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.6% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past.
分析記事 • Aug 30MODEC (TSE:6269) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥30.00The board of MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 28th of March, with investors...
お知らせ • Aug 29MODEC, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 12, 2024MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Nov 12, 2024
Reported Earnings • Aug 12Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.90 (up from US$0.38 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$1.05b (up 17% from 2Q 2023). Net income: US$61.5m (up 185% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 5.8% (up from 2.4% in 2Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 8.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 159%. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 7.7% growth forecast for the Energy Services industry in Asia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 93% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 18% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
分析記事 • Aug 11MODEC (TSE:6269) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥30.00MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) will pay a dividend of ¥30.00 on the 28th of March. Although the dividend is now higher, the...
Declared Dividend • Aug 10Dividend of JP¥30.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥30.00. Ex-date: 27th December 2024 Payment date: 28th March 2025 Dividend yield will be 2.1%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.7%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (6% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (3% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 2.9% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 15% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
お知らせ • Aug 08Modec, Inc. Revises Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2024MODEC, Inc. revised consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2024. For year, the company expected revenue of USD 4,300,000 compared to previous forecast of USD 3,900,000, operating profit of USD 290,000 compared to previous forecast of USD 200,000,profit attributable to owners of parent of USD 200,000 compared to previous forecast of USD 120,000 and earnings per share of USD 2.93 compared to previous forecast of USD 1.76.
分析記事 • Aug 06Investors Don't See Light At End Of MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 30%Unfortunately for some shareholders, the MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days...
New Risk • Aug 05New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 8.7% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (8.7% average weekly change). Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (21% increase in shares outstanding).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 05Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 32%After last week's 32% share price decline to JP¥1,918, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Energy Services industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 15% over the past three years.
分析記事 • Jun 28Forecast: Analysts Think MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Business Prospects Have Improved DrasticallyMODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades...
Major Estimate Revision • Jun 28Consensus revenue estimates increase by 12%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from JP¥506.4b to JP¥566.4b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥215 to JP¥290 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 11% next year vs 29% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan . Consensus price target up from JP¥3,350 to JP¥3,750. Share price rose 3.6% to JP¥2,903 over the past week.
お知らせ • Jun 06MODEC, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Aug 08, 2024
分析記事 • Apr 09MODEC (TSE:6269) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance SheetHoward Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Major Estimate Revision • Feb 29Consensus EPS estimates increase by 19%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate increased from US$1.10 to US$1.31. Revenue forecast steady at US$3.36b. Net income forecast to shrink 10% next year vs 34% growth forecast for Energy Services industry in Japan . Consensus price target up from JP¥2,600 to JP¥3,250. Share price was steady at JP¥3,050 over the past week.
お知らせ • Feb 28MODEC, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 14, 2024MODEC, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on May 14, 2024
分析記事 • Feb 26MODEC, Inc.'s (TSE:6269) Shares Climb 30% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch UpDespite an already strong run, MODEC, Inc. ( TSE:6269 ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last...
Reported Earnings • Feb 17Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$1.55 (vs US$0.67 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: US$1.55 (up from US$0.67 in FY 2022). Revenue: US$3.57b (up 30% from FY 2022). Net income: US$96.5m (up 157% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 2.7% (up from 1.4% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Energy Services industry in Asia are expected to grow by 9.8%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 47% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 19% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.