View ValuationGrifal 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /46Grifal利益と収益がそれぞれ年間102.6%と15.2%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に17.7% 96.5%なると予測されています。主要情報102.6%収益成長率96.47%EPS成長率Packaging 収益成長33.8%収益成長率15.2%将来の株主資本利益率17.70%アナリストカバレッジLow最終更新日02 Apr 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報Major Estimate Revision • Oct 05Consensus revenue estimates fall by 16%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €45.5m to €38.3m. Forecast loss of -€0.122, down from profit of €0.086 per share profit previously. Packaging industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 4.4% next year. Consensus price target down from €2.50 to €1.70. Share price fell 8.6% to €1.27 over the past week.Major Estimate Revision • Apr 04Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €48.0m to €45.5m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.11 per share to €0.086 per share. Net income forecast to grow 559% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Packaging industry in Italy. Consensus price target of €2.50 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 12% to €1.54 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Dec 20Price target decreased by 40% to €2.50Down from €4.15, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 52% above last closing price of €1.65. Stock is down 30% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.04 for next year compared to €0.078 last year.Major Estimate Revision • Oct 20Consensus EPS estimates fall by 75%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from €46.5m to €43.5m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.16 per share to €0.04 per share. Net income forecast to grow 59% next year vs 12% growth forecast for Packaging industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €4.15 to €4.00. Share price was steady at €1.98 over the past week.Major Estimate Revision • Apr 12Consensus EPS estimates fall by 27%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from €48.0m to €44.9m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.22 per share to €0.16 per share. Net income forecast to grow 110% next year vs 2.5% growth forecast for Packaging industry in Italy. Consensus price target of €4.60 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 3.2% to €2.10 over the past week.Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to €7.35Up from €5.02, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 141% above last closing price of €3.05. Stock is down 24% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.17 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.073 last year.すべての更新を表示Recent updatesReported Earnings • Mar 31Full year 2025 earnings releasedFull year 2025 results: Revenue: €36.5m (down 16% from FY 2024). Net loss: €3.09m (down €3.24m from profit in FY 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 27% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 2.7% growth forecast for the Packaging industry in Europe.New Risk • Mar 18New major risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$10m. Market cap: €8.59m (US$9.86m) This is considered a major risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.2x net interest cover). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.7% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$10m (€8.59m market cap, or US$9.86m).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 23Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 4.1% to €1.16. The fair value is estimated to be €1.51, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 5.5% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Revenue is forecast to decline by 0.6% in a year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 89% in the next year.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 07Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 4.7% to €1.21. The fair value is estimated to be €1.55, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 5.5% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Revenue is forecast to decline by 0.6% in a year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 89% in the next year.分析記事 • Jan 07Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Grifal S.p.A.'s (BIT:GRAL) P/S RatioWith a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.6x in the Packaging industry in Italy, you could be...New Risk • Jan 06New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 6.6% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.2x net interest cover). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.6% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€14.7m market cap, or US$17.2m).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 03Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 21% to €1.16. The fair value is estimated to be €1.47, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 5.5% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Revenue is forecast to decline by 0.6% in a year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 89% in the next year.Major Estimate Revision • Oct 05Consensus revenue estimates fall by 16%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €45.5m to €38.3m. Forecast loss of -€0.122, down from profit of €0.086 per share profit previously. Packaging industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 4.4% next year. Consensus price target down from €2.50 to €1.70. Share price fell 8.6% to €1.27 over the past week.分析記事 • Oct 02The Returns At Grifal (BIT:GRAL) Aren't GrowingIf you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two...Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 28Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 10% to €1.60. The fair value is estimated to be €1.33, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 10% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 17% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 70% per annum over the same time period.Major Estimate Revision • Apr 04Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €48.0m to €45.5m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.11 per share to €0.086 per share. Net income forecast to grow 559% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Packaging industry in Italy. Consensus price target of €2.50 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 12% to €1.54 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Mar 31Full year 2024 earnings releasedFull year 2024 results: Revenue: €39.0m (down 8.5% from FY 2023). Net income: €150.3k (down 83% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 0.4% (down from 2.1% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 21% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 3.6% growth forecast for the Packaging industry in Europe.Price Target Changed • Dec 20Price target decreased by 40% to €2.50Down from €4.15, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 52% above last closing price of €1.65. Stock is down 30% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.04 for next year compared to €0.078 last year.分析記事 • Oct 25These Analysts Think Grifal S.p.A.'s (BIT:GRAL) Earnings Are Under ThreatMarket forces rained on the parade of Grifal S.p.A. ( BIT:GRAL ) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded their...Major Estimate Revision • Oct 20Consensus EPS estimates fall by 75%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from €46.5m to €43.5m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.16 per share to €0.04 per share. Net income forecast to grow 59% next year vs 12% growth forecast for Packaging industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €4.15 to €4.00. Share price was steady at €1.98 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Oct 03First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: €0.019 (vs €0.05 in 1H 2023)First half 2024 results: EPS: €0.019 (down from €0.05 in 1H 2023). Revenue: €21.1m (down 1.2% from 1H 2023). Net income: €211.4k (down 63% from 1H 2023). Profit margin: 1.0% (down from 2.7% in 1H 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 21% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.2% growth forecast for the Packaging industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 105% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 18% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Major Estimate Revision • Apr 12Consensus EPS estimates fall by 27%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from €48.0m to €44.9m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.22 per share to €0.16 per share. Net income forecast to grow 110% next year vs 2.5% growth forecast for Packaging industry in Italy. Consensus price target of €4.60 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 3.2% to €2.10 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Mar 28Full year 2023 earnings releasedFull year 2023 results: Revenue: €37.8m (down 5.8% from FY 2022). Net income: €887.2k (up 105% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 2.3% (up from 1.1% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 24% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.8% growth forecast for the Packaging industry in Europe.New Risk • Feb 16New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 5.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.7x net interest cover). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.4% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€25.5m market cap, or US$27.5m).Reported Earnings • Oct 05First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.05 (vs €0.011 in 1H 2022)First half 2023 results: EPS: €0.05 (up from €0.011 in 1H 2022). Revenue: €21.3m (up 8.4% from 1H 2022). Net income: €570.0k (up 370% from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 2.7% (up from 0.6% in 1H 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 25% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.4% growth forecast for the Packaging industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 84% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 2% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.New Risk • Jul 11New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 4.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.8x net interest cover). High level of non-cash earnings (22% accrual ratio). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (4.9% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€32.6m market cap, or US$35.8m).New Risk • Jul 07New major risk - Earnings qualityThe company has a high level of non-cash earnings. Accrual ratio: 22% This is considered a major risk. Non-cash earnings can arise from many different things. However, if a company consistently has a high level of non-cash earnings, it may be a sign that they are recognizing revenue from customers before the full value of the sales are received as cash or they are not depreciating the value of their assets appropriately. These are practices that inflate earnings, while not providing a similar increase to cash flows. Companies in some select industries naturally have a high level of non-cash earnings and it is not a major concern. However, in the worst case scenario it can be an early sign of performance manipulation by management. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.8x net interest cover). High level of non-cash earnings (22% accrual ratio). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (€31.1m market cap, or US$34.1m).Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Of these new board members, 1 was an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Director Paola Boromei was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Lack of board continuity.分析記事 • Nov 12Is Grifal (BIT:GRAL) A Risky Investment?The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...分析記事 • Jun 14Would Grifal (BIT:GRAL) Be Better Off With Less Debt?Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to €7.35Up from €5.02, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 141% above last closing price of €3.05. Stock is down 24% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.17 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.073 last year.Board Change • Apr 27Less than half of directors are independentThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Of these new board members, 1 was an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Director Paola Boromei was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Lack of board continuity.Reported Earnings • Apr 03Full year 2021 earnings releasedFull year 2021 results: Revenue: €27.1m (up 36% from FY 2020). Net loss: €836.5k (loss narrowed 12% from FY 2020). Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 37%, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the industry in Italy.分析記事 • Oct 26Grifal (BIT:GRAL) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of DebtThe external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Reported Earnings • Oct 03First half 2021 earnings releasedThe company reported a solid first half result with reduced losses, improved revenues and improved control over expenses. First half 2021 results: Revenue: €14.4m (up 56% from 1H 2020). Net loss: €184.5k (loss narrowed 69% from 1H 2020).分析記事 • Jun 09Should You Think About Buying Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) Now?While Grifal S.p.A. ( BIT:GRAL ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention...分析記事 • May 05Grifal (BIT:GRAL) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of DebtLegendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Price Target Changed • Apr 29Price target increased to €4.74Up from €3.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 19% above last closing price of €4.00. Stock is up 53% over the past year.Reported Earnings • Apr 01Full year 2020 earnings releasedThe company reported a poor full year result with weaker earnings, revenues and control over costs. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: €19.9m (down 5.9% from FY 2019). Net loss: €946.0k (down 288% from profit in FY 2019).分析記事 • Mar 13Did Grifal's (BIT:GRAL) Share Price Deserve to Gain 92%?These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But investors can...お知らせ • Mar 09Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) completed the acquisition of Operating Branch of Tieng Srl.Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) signed a binding agreement to acquire Operating Branch of Tieng Srl for €1.03 million on January 12, 2021. Giancarlo Boffi, will be the Chief Executive Officer of the new company. As of February 5, 2021, Grifal S.p.A. has completed 51% take in Operating Branch of Tieng Srl. Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) completed the acquisition of Operating Branch of Tieng Srl on Monday 8, 2021.Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 23New 90-day high: €3.20The company is up 32% from its price of €2.42 on 25 November 2020. The Italian market is up 4.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Packaging industry, which is up 10.0% over the same period.お知らせ • Feb 16Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) signed a binding agreement to acquire Cornelli Brand Packaging Experience Srl from Cornelli Srl for €1.3 million.Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) signed a binding agreement to acquire Cornelli Brand Packaging Experience Srl from Cornelli Srl for €1.3 million on February 15, 2021. Grifal S.p.A. will pay €0.85 million in cash at closing and will issue 0.16 million shares as consideration. Guido Tisi, Francesca Ghezzi and Marilena Rota of Studio BNC, acted as legal advisor for the tax and labor law part. AmbroMobiliare acted as financial advisor, while the NCTM Law Firm in Milan acted as legal advisor.Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 14New 90-day high: €2.90The company is up 32% from its price of €2.19 on 16 October 2020. The Italian market is up 17% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Packaging industry, which is up 12% over the same period.お知らせ • Jan 13Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) signed a binding agreement to acquire Operating Branch of Tieng Srl for €1.03 million.Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) signed a binding agreement to acquire Operating Branch of Tieng Srl for €1.03 million on January 12, 2021. Giancarlo Boffi, will be the Chief Executive Officer of the new company.分析記事 • Dec 04Factors Income Investors Should Consider Before Adding Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) To Their PortfolioIs Grifal S.p.A. ( BIT:GRAL ) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings...Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 25New 90-day high: €2.55The company is up 2.0% from its price of €2.49 on 26 August 2020. The Italian market is up 6.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Packaging industry, which is up 10.0% over the same period.Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 27New 90-day low: €2.07The company is down 13% from its price of €2.37 on 29 July 2020. The Italian market is down 5.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Packaging industry, which is up 7.0% over the same period.Reported Earnings • Sep 27First half earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total losses of €651.2k, with earnings decreasing by €1.43m from the prior year. Total revenue was €19.7m over the last 12 months, down 4.8% from the prior year.業績と収益の成長予測BIT:GRAL - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )EUR Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数12/31/202858335112/31/202750124112/31/202643036112/31/202537-3-60N/A9/30/202540-2-43N/A6/30/202544-1-26N/A3/31/2025440-25N/A12/31/2024430-34N/A9/30/2024430-26N/A6/30/2024421-17N/A3/31/202443108N/A12/31/202343119N/A9/30/2023421N/AN/AN/A6/30/2023421-37N/A3/31/2023411-54N/A12/31/2022400-71N/A9/30/2022380N/AN/AN/A6/30/202235-1N/AN/AN/A3/31/202233-1N/AN/AN/A12/31/202130-1-61N/A9/30/202128-1N/AN/AN/A6/30/202125-1N/AN/AN/A3/31/202123-1N/AN/AN/A12/31/202020-1-21N/A9/30/202020-1N/AN/AN/A6/30/202020-1-12N/A3/31/2020200-12N/A12/31/2019221-12N/A9/30/2019211N/AN/AN/A6/30/2019211N/A1N/A3/31/2019201N/A1N/A12/31/2018190N/A1N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: GRALは今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予測されており、これは 貯蓄率 ( 3.3% ) よりも高い成長率であると考えられます。収益対市場: GRAL今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予想されており、これは市場平均を上回る成長と考えられます。高成長収益: GRAL今後 3 年以内に収益を上げることが予想されます。収益対市場: GRALの収益 ( 15.2% ) Italian市場 ( 5.6% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高い収益成長: GRALの収益 ( 15.2% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: GRALの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 17.7 %)。成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YMaterials 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/05/12 18:32終値2026/05/12 00:00収益2025/12/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Grifal S.p.A. 1 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。1 アナリスト機関Davide RiminiIntesa Sanpaolo Equity Research
Major Estimate Revision • Oct 05Consensus revenue estimates fall by 16%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €45.5m to €38.3m. Forecast loss of -€0.122, down from profit of €0.086 per share profit previously. Packaging industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 4.4% next year. Consensus price target down from €2.50 to €1.70. Share price fell 8.6% to €1.27 over the past week.
Major Estimate Revision • Apr 04Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €48.0m to €45.5m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.11 per share to €0.086 per share. Net income forecast to grow 559% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Packaging industry in Italy. Consensus price target of €2.50 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 12% to €1.54 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Dec 20Price target decreased by 40% to €2.50Down from €4.15, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 52% above last closing price of €1.65. Stock is down 30% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.04 for next year compared to €0.078 last year.
Major Estimate Revision • Oct 20Consensus EPS estimates fall by 75%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from €46.5m to €43.5m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.16 per share to €0.04 per share. Net income forecast to grow 59% next year vs 12% growth forecast for Packaging industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €4.15 to €4.00. Share price was steady at €1.98 over the past week.
Major Estimate Revision • Apr 12Consensus EPS estimates fall by 27%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from €48.0m to €44.9m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.22 per share to €0.16 per share. Net income forecast to grow 110% next year vs 2.5% growth forecast for Packaging industry in Italy. Consensus price target of €4.60 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 3.2% to €2.10 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to €7.35Up from €5.02, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 141% above last closing price of €3.05. Stock is down 24% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.17 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.073 last year.
Reported Earnings • Mar 31Full year 2025 earnings releasedFull year 2025 results: Revenue: €36.5m (down 16% from FY 2024). Net loss: €3.09m (down €3.24m from profit in FY 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 27% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 2.7% growth forecast for the Packaging industry in Europe.
New Risk • Mar 18New major risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$10m. Market cap: €8.59m (US$9.86m) This is considered a major risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.2x net interest cover). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.7% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$10m (€8.59m market cap, or US$9.86m).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 23Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 4.1% to €1.16. The fair value is estimated to be €1.51, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 5.5% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Revenue is forecast to decline by 0.6% in a year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 89% in the next year.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 07Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 4.7% to €1.21. The fair value is estimated to be €1.55, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 5.5% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Revenue is forecast to decline by 0.6% in a year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 89% in the next year.
分析記事 • Jan 07Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Grifal S.p.A.'s (BIT:GRAL) P/S RatioWith a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.6x in the Packaging industry in Italy, you could be...
New Risk • Jan 06New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 6.6% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.2x net interest cover). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.6% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€14.7m market cap, or US$17.2m).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 03Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 21% to €1.16. The fair value is estimated to be €1.47, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 5.5% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Revenue is forecast to decline by 0.6% in a year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 89% in the next year.
Major Estimate Revision • Oct 05Consensus revenue estimates fall by 16%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €45.5m to €38.3m. Forecast loss of -€0.122, down from profit of €0.086 per share profit previously. Packaging industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 4.4% next year. Consensus price target down from €2.50 to €1.70. Share price fell 8.6% to €1.27 over the past week.
分析記事 • Oct 02The Returns At Grifal (BIT:GRAL) Aren't GrowingIf you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two...
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 28Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 10% to €1.60. The fair value is estimated to be €1.33, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 10% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 17% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 70% per annum over the same time period.
Major Estimate Revision • Apr 04Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €48.0m to €45.5m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.11 per share to €0.086 per share. Net income forecast to grow 559% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Packaging industry in Italy. Consensus price target of €2.50 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 12% to €1.54 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Mar 31Full year 2024 earnings releasedFull year 2024 results: Revenue: €39.0m (down 8.5% from FY 2023). Net income: €150.3k (down 83% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 0.4% (down from 2.1% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 21% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 3.6% growth forecast for the Packaging industry in Europe.
Price Target Changed • Dec 20Price target decreased by 40% to €2.50Down from €4.15, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 52% above last closing price of €1.65. Stock is down 30% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.04 for next year compared to €0.078 last year.
分析記事 • Oct 25These Analysts Think Grifal S.p.A.'s (BIT:GRAL) Earnings Are Under ThreatMarket forces rained on the parade of Grifal S.p.A. ( BIT:GRAL ) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded their...
Major Estimate Revision • Oct 20Consensus EPS estimates fall by 75%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from €46.5m to €43.5m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.16 per share to €0.04 per share. Net income forecast to grow 59% next year vs 12% growth forecast for Packaging industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €4.15 to €4.00. Share price was steady at €1.98 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Oct 03First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: €0.019 (vs €0.05 in 1H 2023)First half 2024 results: EPS: €0.019 (down from €0.05 in 1H 2023). Revenue: €21.1m (down 1.2% from 1H 2023). Net income: €211.4k (down 63% from 1H 2023). Profit margin: 1.0% (down from 2.7% in 1H 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 21% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.2% growth forecast for the Packaging industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 105% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 18% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Major Estimate Revision • Apr 12Consensus EPS estimates fall by 27%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from €48.0m to €44.9m. EPS estimate also fell from €0.22 per share to €0.16 per share. Net income forecast to grow 110% next year vs 2.5% growth forecast for Packaging industry in Italy. Consensus price target of €4.60 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 3.2% to €2.10 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Mar 28Full year 2023 earnings releasedFull year 2023 results: Revenue: €37.8m (down 5.8% from FY 2022). Net income: €887.2k (up 105% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 2.3% (up from 1.1% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 24% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.8% growth forecast for the Packaging industry in Europe.
New Risk • Feb 16New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 5.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.7x net interest cover). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.4% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€25.5m market cap, or US$27.5m).
Reported Earnings • Oct 05First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.05 (vs €0.011 in 1H 2022)First half 2023 results: EPS: €0.05 (up from €0.011 in 1H 2022). Revenue: €21.3m (up 8.4% from 1H 2022). Net income: €570.0k (up 370% from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 2.7% (up from 0.6% in 1H 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 25% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.4% growth forecast for the Packaging industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 84% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 2% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
New Risk • Jul 11New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 4.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.8x net interest cover). High level of non-cash earnings (22% accrual ratio). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (4.9% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€32.6m market cap, or US$35.8m).
New Risk • Jul 07New major risk - Earnings qualityThe company has a high level of non-cash earnings. Accrual ratio: 22% This is considered a major risk. Non-cash earnings can arise from many different things. However, if a company consistently has a high level of non-cash earnings, it may be a sign that they are recognizing revenue from customers before the full value of the sales are received as cash or they are not depreciating the value of their assets appropriately. These are practices that inflate earnings, while not providing a similar increase to cash flows. Companies in some select industries naturally have a high level of non-cash earnings and it is not a major concern. However, in the worst case scenario it can be an early sign of performance manipulation by management. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.8x net interest cover). High level of non-cash earnings (22% accrual ratio). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (€31.1m market cap, or US$34.1m).
Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Of these new board members, 1 was an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Director Paola Boromei was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Lack of board continuity.
分析記事 • Nov 12Is Grifal (BIT:GRAL) A Risky Investment?The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
分析記事 • Jun 14Would Grifal (BIT:GRAL) Be Better Off With Less Debt?Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to €7.35Up from €5.02, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 141% above last closing price of €3.05. Stock is down 24% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.17 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.073 last year.
Board Change • Apr 27Less than half of directors are independentThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Of these new board members, 1 was an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Director Paola Boromei was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Lack of board continuity.
Reported Earnings • Apr 03Full year 2021 earnings releasedFull year 2021 results: Revenue: €27.1m (up 36% from FY 2020). Net loss: €836.5k (loss narrowed 12% from FY 2020). Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 37%, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the industry in Italy.
分析記事 • Oct 26Grifal (BIT:GRAL) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of DebtThe external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Reported Earnings • Oct 03First half 2021 earnings releasedThe company reported a solid first half result with reduced losses, improved revenues and improved control over expenses. First half 2021 results: Revenue: €14.4m (up 56% from 1H 2020). Net loss: €184.5k (loss narrowed 69% from 1H 2020).
分析記事 • Jun 09Should You Think About Buying Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) Now?While Grifal S.p.A. ( BIT:GRAL ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention...
分析記事 • May 05Grifal (BIT:GRAL) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of DebtLegendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Price Target Changed • Apr 29Price target increased to €4.74Up from €3.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 19% above last closing price of €4.00. Stock is up 53% over the past year.
Reported Earnings • Apr 01Full year 2020 earnings releasedThe company reported a poor full year result with weaker earnings, revenues and control over costs. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: €19.9m (down 5.9% from FY 2019). Net loss: €946.0k (down 288% from profit in FY 2019).
分析記事 • Mar 13Did Grifal's (BIT:GRAL) Share Price Deserve to Gain 92%?These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But investors can...
お知らせ • Mar 09Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) completed the acquisition of Operating Branch of Tieng Srl.Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) signed a binding agreement to acquire Operating Branch of Tieng Srl for €1.03 million on January 12, 2021. Giancarlo Boffi, will be the Chief Executive Officer of the new company. As of February 5, 2021, Grifal S.p.A. has completed 51% take in Operating Branch of Tieng Srl. Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) completed the acquisition of Operating Branch of Tieng Srl on Monday 8, 2021.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 23New 90-day high: €3.20The company is up 32% from its price of €2.42 on 25 November 2020. The Italian market is up 4.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Packaging industry, which is up 10.0% over the same period.
お知らせ • Feb 16Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) signed a binding agreement to acquire Cornelli Brand Packaging Experience Srl from Cornelli Srl for €1.3 million.Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) signed a binding agreement to acquire Cornelli Brand Packaging Experience Srl from Cornelli Srl for €1.3 million on February 15, 2021. Grifal S.p.A. will pay €0.85 million in cash at closing and will issue 0.16 million shares as consideration. Guido Tisi, Francesca Ghezzi and Marilena Rota of Studio BNC, acted as legal advisor for the tax and labor law part. AmbroMobiliare acted as financial advisor, while the NCTM Law Firm in Milan acted as legal advisor.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 14New 90-day high: €2.90The company is up 32% from its price of €2.19 on 16 October 2020. The Italian market is up 17% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Packaging industry, which is up 12% over the same period.
お知らせ • Jan 13Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) signed a binding agreement to acquire Operating Branch of Tieng Srl for €1.03 million.Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) signed a binding agreement to acquire Operating Branch of Tieng Srl for €1.03 million on January 12, 2021. Giancarlo Boffi, will be the Chief Executive Officer of the new company.
分析記事 • Dec 04Factors Income Investors Should Consider Before Adding Grifal S.p.A. (BIT:GRAL) To Their PortfolioIs Grifal S.p.A. ( BIT:GRAL ) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings...
Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 25New 90-day high: €2.55The company is up 2.0% from its price of €2.49 on 26 August 2020. The Italian market is up 6.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Packaging industry, which is up 10.0% over the same period.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 27New 90-day low: €2.07The company is down 13% from its price of €2.37 on 29 July 2020. The Italian market is down 5.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Packaging industry, which is up 7.0% over the same period.
Reported Earnings • Sep 27First half earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total losses of €651.2k, with earnings decreasing by €1.43m from the prior year. Total revenue was €19.7m over the last 12 months, down 4.8% from the prior year.