Rio Tinto Group

LSE:RIO 株式レポート

時価総額：UK£134.0b

Rio Tinto Group 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /16

Rio Tinto Group利益と収益がそれぞれ年間6.9%と2.9%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に18.2% 4.7%なると予測されています。

主要情報

6.9%

収益成長率

4.72%

EPS成長率

Metals and Mining 収益成長17.0%
収益成長率2.9%
将来の株主資本利益率18.23%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日22 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • May 14

RIO: Copper Outlook And Asset Sales Will Shape Fairly Valued Shares

Analysts have raised the average price target for Rio Tinto Group by about £3 to reflect updated assumptions for fair value, discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, based on recent research that includes several price target increases and a few reductions. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture for Rio Tinto Group, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets in both US$ and GBp, while a handful of large banks have turned more cautious on valuation and commodity risk.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 29

RIO: Cautious Tone Will Persist As Copper And Iron Ore Risks Intensify

Rio Tinto Group’s updated analyst price target reflects a modest uplift of about £0.25 per share, with analysts pointing to refreshed commodity assumptions, slightly higher revenue growth expectations, and updated P/E multiples, partly offset by more conservative margin and discount rate inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a split view on Rio Tinto Group, with some firms lifting price targets while several bearish analysts have taken a more cautious stance on valuation, commodity exposure, and near term execution risks.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 14

RIO: Cautious Tone Will Tighten As Copper And Iron Ore Risks Deepen

Analysts have slightly lowered the fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group to £57.66 from £58.52, reflecting updated price targets that balance higher revenue and margin assumptions with a modestly higher discount rate and P/E expectations highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rio Tinto Group reflects a mix of upgraded and downgraded views, with some firms lifting price targets while others trim expectations or move to more neutral stances.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 31

RIO: Cautious Outlook As Copper And Iron Ore Assumptions Turn More Conservative

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group to £58.52 from £41.00. This change reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and sector valuation following a series of mixed price target revisions and rating downgrades across the Street.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 17

RIO: Ended Glencore Talks Will Refocus On Copper And Asset Sales

Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for Rio Tinto Group by roughly £400 to around £7,200, reflecting updated views on commodity risk, iron ore seasonality and valuation after recent share gains. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mixed but generally cautious stance on Rio Tinto, with several firms trimming price targets and shifting ratings toward more neutral positions after a strong share price run.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 03

RIO: Post Glencore Talks And Copper Outlook Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group to the equivalent of about £69.66 per share, from £63.89. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, margins and future P/E, even as recent Street research shows a mix of reduced and raised price targets in the £5,900 to £8,300 range and a shift toward more Neutral and Equal Weight ratings.
新しいナラティブ • Feb 23

Rio Tinto (RIO): Cash Machine with a China Beta Problem — and a Copper Glow-Up

If I had to summarise Rio Tinto in one line, I would describe it as a world-class iron ore franchise that is now being forced to adapt to a changing China and a changing commodity landscape. For years, Rio’s investment case has been built on the strength of its Pilbara iron ore operations.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 16

RIO: Ended Glencore Talks And Planned Asset Sales Will Support Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group higher to about £84 from roughly £83, citing Street research that includes several recent price target increases and mixed rating changes. These changes balance a slightly higher assumed revenue growth rate with a modestly lower profit margin and a marginally higher future P/E and discount rate.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 02

RIO: Potential Glencore Deal And Asset Sales Will Drive Future Upside

The latest Narrative Update on Rio Tinto Group reflects a higher implied fair value of about $83.33 per share, up from roughly $74.17, as analysts adjust their price targets to account for tweaked discount rates, slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rio Tinto Group has been mixed, but there are several clear positives that bullish analysts are highlighting when they adjust their models and targets.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 19

RIO: Megamerger Talks And Critical Mineral Moves Will Shape Medium Term Outlook

Rio Tinto's updated analyst price targets, including recent moves to about £57.00, reflect analysts' use of higher fair value estimates, slightly adjusted discount rates, and refreshed assumptions around revenue, profit margins, and P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting price targets toward about £57.00, which signals more confidence in the underlying fair value they assign to Rio Tinto based on their updated models.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 05

RIO: Higher Commodity Exposure And Asset Sales Will Drive Future Upside

Analyst price targets for Rio Tinto Group have shifted higher overall, with recent moves such as Citi lifting its target to £57.00 from £46.00 and other banks adjusting into the £52.00 to £61.70 range, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a generally constructive tone around Rio Tinto Group, with several bullish analysts adjusting their price targets into a higher £52.00 to £61.70 band.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 17

RIO: Stronger Commodity Pricing And Cost Discipline Will Drive Upside Potential

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has been revised higher, with fair value estimates rising from approximately 65.08 to 74.18 as analysts factor in stronger expected revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a more favorable, though slightly higher risk-adjusted, earnings multiple implied by the latest round of target hikes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a constructive tone on Rio Tinto, with a series of price target increases signaling growing confidence in the company’s earnings power and balance of risk and reward.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 03

RIO: Critical Mineral Moves And Board Decisions Will Shape Medium Term Outlook

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has edged higher to approximately $57.09 from about $56.84, as analysts broadly lift their expectations on the shares amid a series of upward revisions to U.K. price targets, despite slightly softer long term growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions indicate that bullish analysts see further upside for Rio Tinto shares, with multiple upward adjustments across the U.K. coverage universe.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 19

RIO: Upcoming Board Decisions And Mineral Trade Shifts Will Shape Outlook

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has been increased from £56.23 to £56.84, as analysts point to improved revenue growth estimates. Recent upward revisions from major firms also support a slightly stronger outlook for the stock.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 03

RIO: Steady Copper And Iron Ore Outlook Will Offset Operational And Governance Risks

Rio Tinto Group’s analyst price target has been adjusted upward from £54.85 to £56.23. This reflects analysts’ expectations for steady fundamentals in light of recent incremental changes in revenue growth and profit margin forecasts.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 20

Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has risen to £54.85 from £53.30. This reflects analysts' expectations for improved revenue growth and profit margins, despite ongoing adjustments to market risk assessments.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 05

Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has been modestly increased to £53.30 from £52.27, reflecting analysts' expectations for improved revenue growth and profitability, even as caution remains around iron ore market risks. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates highlight a mix of confidence and caution surrounding Rio Tinto Group's outlook.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 20

Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds

Analyst price targets for Rio Tinto Group have increased modestly to £52.27 as bullish analysts cited strong operational performance despite iron ore demand concerns and sector headwinds, though target upgrades remain incremental. Analyst Commentary Rising downside risks to iron ore prices, particularly in the near term, have led to more cautious outlooks and downgrades by bearish analysts.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 04

Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Rio Tinto Group to £51.49, reflecting increased caution due to downside risks in iron ore prices and muted Chinese stimulus, with earnings estimates trimmed and consensus now factoring a more conservative commodity outlook. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts flag downside risks to iron ore prices, particularly in the months ahead, impacting Rio Tinto’s earnings outlook.
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新しいナラティブ • Feb 23

Energy Transition Demand Will Aid Copper And Aluminum Prospects Despite Iron Ore Headwinds

Strategic diversification into copper, aluminum, and lithium aligns with global energy trends, potentially boosting future revenue and aligning with decarbonization efforts.

業績と収益の成長予測

LSE:RIO - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/202866,48114,22213,82322,54517
12/31/202764,66814,16211,41621,23118
12/31/202663,21413,8719,95919,58218
12/31/202557,6389,9664,49716,832N/A
9/30/202555,68410,1194,81416,150N/A
6/30/202553,72910,2725,13015,467N/A
3/31/202553,69410,9125,55415,533N/A
12/31/202453,65811,5525,97815,599N/A
9/30/202453,91711,1516,55815,420N/A
6/30/202454,17610,7497,13815,241N/A
3/31/202454,10910,4047,60615,201N/A
12/31/202354,04110,0588,07415,160N/A
9/30/202353,2449,3127,05213,898N/A
6/30/202352,4468,5666,03012,635N/A
3/31/202354,00010,4797,70714,385N/A
12/31/202255,55412,3929,38416,134N/A
9/30/202257,87115,07912,17419,146N/A
6/30/202260,18717,72414,96422,158N/A
3/31/202261,84119,40916,46323,752N/A
12/31/202163,49521,11517,96125,345N/A
9/30/202160,91419,93017,51924,627N/A
6/30/202158,33218,76617,07623,908N/A
3/31/202151,47214,26813,38119,892N/A
12/31/202044,6119,7699,68615,875N/A
9/30/202043,2088,4839,02415,013N/A
6/30/202041,8057,1968,36114,151N/A
3/31/202042,4857,6038,89314,532N/A
12/31/201943,1658,0109,42414,912N/A
9/30/201942,24810,699N/A13,947N/A
6/30/201941,33013,388N/A12,982N/A
3/31/201940,92613,513N/A12,402N/A
12/31/201840,52213,638N/A11,821N/A
9/30/201840,57411,738N/A12,314N/A
6/30/201840,6259,837N/A12,806N/A
3/31/201840,3289,300N/A13,345N/A
12/31/201740,0308,762N/A13,884N/A
9/30/201738,8157,486N/A12,708N/A
6/30/201737,6006,209N/A11,531N/A
3/31/201735,6915,413N/A9,998N/A
12/31/201633,7814,617N/A8,465N/A
9/30/201633,0652,329N/A8,327N/A
6/30/201632,34941N/A8,188N/A
3/31/201633,589-412N/A8,786N/A
12/31/201534,829-866N/A9,383N/A
9/30/201538,0681,033N/A11,324N/A
6/30/201541,3072,931N/A13,265N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: RIOの予測収益成長率 (年間6.9% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.4% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: RIOの収益 ( 6.9% ) UK市場 ( 11.4% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: RIOの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: RIOの収益 ( 2.9% ) UK市場 ( 4.5% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: RIOの収益 ( 2.9% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: RIOの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 18.2 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/22 23:40
終値2026/05/22 00:00
収益2025/12/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Rio Tinto Group 18 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。52

アナリスト機関
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Amos FletcherBarclays
Peter WardBarclays