View ValuationAlphaville 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /06現在、 Alphavilleの成長と収益を予測するのに十分なアナリストの調査がありません。主要情報n/a収益成長率n/aEPS成長率Consumer Durables 収益成長17.5%収益成長率n/a将来の株主資本利益率n/aアナリストカバレッジLow最終更新日18 Dec 2023今後の成長に関する最新情報Breakeven Date Change • Dec 18Forecast to breakeven in 2024The analyst covering Alphaville expects the company to break even for the first time. New forecast suggests the company will make a profit of R$31.0m in 2024. Average annual earnings growth of 109% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule.すべての更新を表示Recent updatesReported Earnings • May 19First quarter 2026 earnings releasedFirst quarter 2026 results: R$0.18 loss per share. Revenue: R$110.5m (down 11% from 1Q 2025). Net loss: R$36.0m (loss widened 33% from 1Q 2025). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 100% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 42% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • May 02Alphaville S.A.(BOVESPA:AVLL3) dropped from Brazil Special Tag Along Stock IndexAlphaville S.A. has been removed from Brazil Special Tag Along Stock Index .お知らせ • May 01Alphaville S.A.(BOVESPA:AVLL3) dropped from Brazil Special Corporate Governance Stock IndexAlphaville S.A. has been removed from Brazil Special Corporate Governance Stock Index .Reported Earnings • Apr 06Full year 2025 earnings released: R$0.64 loss per share (vs R$0.44 profit in FY 2024)Full year 2025 results: R$0.64 loss per share (down from R$0.44 profit in FY 2024). Revenue: R$584.9m (down 14% from FY 2024). Net loss: R$125.7m (down 290% from profit in FY 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 88% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 37% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • Apr 02Alphaville S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2026Alphaville S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2026. Location: exclusively remotely, Brazil分析記事 • Jan 13Alphaville's (BVMF:AVLL3) Returns On Capital Are Heading HigherTo find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Ideally, a business will...New Risk • Dec 05New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Brazilian stocks, typically moving 6.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Negative equity (-R$146m). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.4% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (R$214.9m market cap, or US$40.4m).Reported Earnings • Nov 18Third quarter 2025 earnings releasedThird quarter 2025 results: Revenue: R$149.5m (down 22% from 3Q 2024). Net loss: R$54.9m (down R$59.1m from profit in 3Q 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 83% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 35% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.分析記事 • Nov 04Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3) Screens Well But There Might Be A CatchThere wouldn't be many who think Alphaville S.A.'s ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a...New Risk • Sep 19New major risk - Financial positionThe company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -R$99m This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-R$99m free cash flow). Negative equity (-R$100m). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (R$332.1m market cap, or US$62.4m).Reported Earnings • Aug 19Second quarter 2025 earnings released: R$0.32 loss per share (vs R$0.007 profit in 2Q 2024)Second quarter 2025 results: R$0.32 loss per share (down from R$0.007 profit in 2Q 2024). Revenue: R$143.5m (down 1.4% from 2Q 2024). Net loss: R$47.4m (down R$48.2m from profit in 2Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 28% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 71% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 58% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.分析記事 • Jul 02Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 25%Alphaville S.A. ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand...Reported Earnings • May 20First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2025 results: R$0.18 loss per share (down from R$0.45 profit in 1Q 2024). Revenue: R$124.1m (up 15% from 1Q 2024). Net loss: R$27.2m (down 154% from profit in 1Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 37%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 26% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 55% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 49% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.分析記事 • May 16Further Upside For Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 28% BounceAlphaville S.A. ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 14Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to R$2.38, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 3x. Average forward P/E is 5x in the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Total loss to shareholders of 87% over the past three years.New Risk • Apr 23New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Brazilian stocks, typically moving 7.2% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (currently running at an operating cash loss). Negative equity (-R$32m). High level of non-cash earnings (34% accrual ratio). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.2% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (R$380.9m market cap, or US$66.5m).分析記事 • Apr 07Shareholders Shouldn’t Be Too Comfortable With Alphaville's (BVMF:AVLL3) Strong EarningsDespite posting strong earnings, Alphaville S.A.'s ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) stock didn't move much over the last week. We looked...New Risk • Apr 02New major risk - Financial positionThe company's interest payments are not well covered by earnings. Net interest cover: 1.9x This is considered a major risk. If the company is unable to fund interest repayments on its debt through profits, it may be forced into reducing its debt burden through selling assets, undertaking a potentially costly capital raising or even into bankruptcy in the worst case scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Negative equity (-R$32m). High level of non-cash earnings (32% accrual ratio). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (R$416.1m market cap, or US$73.0m).お知らせ • Apr 02Alphaville S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2025Alphaville S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2025.分析記事 • Jan 23Shareholders Would Enjoy A Repeat Of Alphaville's (BVMF:AVLL3) Recent Growth In ReturnsWhat trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...分析記事 • Nov 28Investors Holding Back On Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3)It's not a stretch to say that Alphaville S.A.'s ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x right now seems...Reported Earnings • Nov 18Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: R$0.02 (vs R$2.97 loss in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: R$0.02 (up from R$2.97 loss in 3Q 2023). Revenue: R$190.4m (up 56% from 3Q 2023). Net income: R$4.15m (up R$79.8m from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 2.2% (up from net loss in 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 26% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 20% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 52% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.New Risk • Oct 22New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: R$560.6m (US$98.4m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Negative equity (-R$60m). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (over 5x increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (R$560.6m market cap, or US$98.4m).Reported Earnings • Aug 16Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: R$0.01 (vs R$9.58 loss in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: R$0.01 (up from R$9.58 loss in 2Q 2023). Revenue: R$145.6m (up 70% from 2Q 2023). Net income: R$764.0k (up R$245.1m from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 0.5% (up from net loss in 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 27% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 3% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 47% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.分析記事 • Aug 10Alphaville S.A.'s (BVMF:AVLL3) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 25% Share Price BounceAlphaville S.A. ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand...分析記事 • Aug 09Returns At Alphaville (BVMF:AVLL3) Are On The Way UpTo find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...Reported Earnings • May 18First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: R$0.45 (vs R$2.57 loss in 1Q 2023)First quarter 2024 results: EPS: R$0.45 (up from R$2.57 loss in 1Q 2023). Revenue: R$108.1m (up 14% from 1Q 2023). Net income: R$50.7m (up R$108.3m from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 47% (up from net loss in 1Q 2023). The move to profitability was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 28% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 10% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 48% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.Reported Earnings • Apr 01Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2023 results: R$22.90 loss per share (further deteriorated from R$18.33 loss in FY 2022). Revenue: R$474.4m (up 79% from FY 2022). Net loss: R$584.3m (loss widened 42% from FY 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 39%. Revenue is forecast to grow 27% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 19% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 45% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.分析記事 • Dec 19The Market Lifts Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3) Shares 30% But It Can Do MoreAlphaville S.A. ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in the last...Breakeven Date Change • Dec 18Forecast to breakeven in 2024The analyst covering Alphaville expects the company to break even for the first time. New forecast suggests the company will make a profit of R$31.0m in 2024. Average annual earnings growth of 109% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule.Reported Earnings • Nov 19Third quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectationsThird quarter 2023 results: Revenue: R$122.4m (up 59% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: R$10.1m (loss narrowed 91% from 3Q 2022). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 6.8%. Revenue is forecast to grow 68% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil.New Risk • Nov 15New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Brazilian stocks, typically moving 9.5% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (9.5% average weekly change). Negative equity (-R$510m). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable next year (R$232m net loss next year). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (28% increase in shares outstanding). Market cap is less than US$100m (R$130.7m market cap, or US$26.9m).Reported Earnings • Aug 17Second quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2023 results: Revenue: R$85.6m (up 9.8% from 2Q 2022). Net loss: R$244.3m (loss widened 119% from 2Q 2022). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 20%. Revenue is forecast to grow 43% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil.New Risk • Jun 23New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 27% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (20% average weekly change). Negative equity (-R$448m). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable next year (R$289m net loss next year). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (27% increase in shares outstanding). Market cap is less than US$100m (R$204.5m market cap, or US$42.9m).Reported Earnings • May 17First quarter 2023 earnings released: R$2.57 loss per share (vs R$3.82 loss in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: R$2.57 loss per share (improved from R$3.82 loss in 1Q 2022). Revenue: R$95.1m (up 249% from 1Q 2022). Net loss: R$57.6m (loss narrowed 33% from 1Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 40% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil.分析記事 • Apr 17Slammed 39% Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A CatchUnfortunately for some shareholders, the Alphaville S.A. ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) share price has dived 39% in the last thirty...Reported Earnings • Nov 16Third quarter 2022 earnings releasedThird quarter 2022 results: Revenue: R$77.1m (up 134% from 3Q 2021). Net loss: R$113.0m (loss widened 2.7% from 3Q 2021).Buying Opportunity • Jul 25Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 38%. The fair value is estimated to be R$23.35, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 26% over the last year. Earnings per share has declined by 20%.Buying Opportunity • Jul 05Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 40%. The fair value is estimated to be R$23.35, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 26% over the last year. Earnings per share has declined by 20%.Buying Opportunity • Jun 14Now 25% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 46%. The fair value is estimated to be R$23.36, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 26% over the last year. Earnings per share has declined by 20%.Buying Opportunity • May 27Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 41%. The fair value is estimated to be R$24.78, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 26% over the last year. Earnings per share has declined by 20%. このセクションでは通常、投資家が会社の利益創出能力を理解する一助となるよう、プロのアナリストのコンセンサス予想に基づく収益と利益の成長予測を提示する。しかし、Alphaville は十分な過去のデータを提供しておらず、アナリストの予測もないため、過去のデータを外挿したり、アナリストの予測を使用しても、その将来の収益を確実に算出することはできません。 シンプリー・ウォール・ストリートがカバーする企業の97%は過去の財務データを持っているため、これはかなり稀な状況です。 業績と収益の成長予測BOVESPA:AVLL3 - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )BRL Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数12/31/20261,141182N/AN/A13/31/2026571-13544N/A12/31/2025585-126-44-44N/A9/30/2025645-119-88-87N/A6/30/2025689-60-99-98N/A3/31/2025695-12-63-62N/A12/31/202467966-43-42N/A9/30/2024627-106-17-17N/A6/30/2024555-23188N/A3/31/2024491-4761313N/A12/31/2023479-5843031N/A9/30/2023400-5378790N/A6/30/2023341-515139145N/A3/31/2023333-383161166N/A12/31/2022265-411174179N/A9/30/2022231-41897101N/A6/30/2022201-4295557N/A3/31/2022192-3942731N/A12/31/2021228-377-58-54N/A9/30/2021289-358-80-70N/A6/30/2021352-348-84-72N/A3/31/2021260-328-123-113N/A12/31/2020180-307-74-63N/A9/30/2020197-456-117-113N/A6/30/2020130-451-77-76N/A3/31/2020161-402-81-79N/A12/31/2019164-491N/A-93N/A12/31/201852-548N/A-93N/A12/31/2017108-576N/A-128N/A12/31/201610N/A0N/A12/31/201510N/A0N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: AVLL3の予測収益成長が 貯蓄率 ( 12.4% ) を上回っているかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。収益対市場: AVLL3の収益がBR市場よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です高成長収益: AVLL3の収益が今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。収益対市場: AVLL3の収益がBR市場よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。高い収益成長: AVLL3の収益が年間20%よりも速く成長すると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: AVLL3の 自己資本利益率 が 3 年後に高くなると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YConsumer-durables 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/05/31 09:13終値2026/05/29 00:00収益2026/03/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Alphaville S.A. 1 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。1 アナリスト機関Elvis CredendioBTG Pactual
Breakeven Date Change • Dec 18Forecast to breakeven in 2024The analyst covering Alphaville expects the company to break even for the first time. New forecast suggests the company will make a profit of R$31.0m in 2024. Average annual earnings growth of 109% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule.
Reported Earnings • May 19First quarter 2026 earnings releasedFirst quarter 2026 results: R$0.18 loss per share. Revenue: R$110.5m (down 11% from 1Q 2025). Net loss: R$36.0m (loss widened 33% from 1Q 2025). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 100% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 42% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • May 02Alphaville S.A.(BOVESPA:AVLL3) dropped from Brazil Special Tag Along Stock IndexAlphaville S.A. has been removed from Brazil Special Tag Along Stock Index .
お知らせ • May 01Alphaville S.A.(BOVESPA:AVLL3) dropped from Brazil Special Corporate Governance Stock IndexAlphaville S.A. has been removed from Brazil Special Corporate Governance Stock Index .
Reported Earnings • Apr 06Full year 2025 earnings released: R$0.64 loss per share (vs R$0.44 profit in FY 2024)Full year 2025 results: R$0.64 loss per share (down from R$0.44 profit in FY 2024). Revenue: R$584.9m (down 14% from FY 2024). Net loss: R$125.7m (down 290% from profit in FY 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 88% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 37% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • Apr 02Alphaville S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2026Alphaville S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2026. Location: exclusively remotely, Brazil
分析記事 • Jan 13Alphaville's (BVMF:AVLL3) Returns On Capital Are Heading HigherTo find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Ideally, a business will...
New Risk • Dec 05New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Brazilian stocks, typically moving 6.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Negative equity (-R$146m). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.4% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (R$214.9m market cap, or US$40.4m).
Reported Earnings • Nov 18Third quarter 2025 earnings releasedThird quarter 2025 results: Revenue: R$149.5m (down 22% from 3Q 2024). Net loss: R$54.9m (down R$59.1m from profit in 3Q 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 83% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 35% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
分析記事 • Nov 04Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3) Screens Well But There Might Be A CatchThere wouldn't be many who think Alphaville S.A.'s ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a...
New Risk • Sep 19New major risk - Financial positionThe company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -R$99m This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-R$99m free cash flow). Negative equity (-R$100m). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (R$332.1m market cap, or US$62.4m).
Reported Earnings • Aug 19Second quarter 2025 earnings released: R$0.32 loss per share (vs R$0.007 profit in 2Q 2024)Second quarter 2025 results: R$0.32 loss per share (down from R$0.007 profit in 2Q 2024). Revenue: R$143.5m (down 1.4% from 2Q 2024). Net loss: R$47.4m (down R$48.2m from profit in 2Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 28% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 71% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 58% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
分析記事 • Jul 02Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 25%Alphaville S.A. ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand...
Reported Earnings • May 20First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2025 results: R$0.18 loss per share (down from R$0.45 profit in 1Q 2024). Revenue: R$124.1m (up 15% from 1Q 2024). Net loss: R$27.2m (down 154% from profit in 1Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 37%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 26% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 55% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 49% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
分析記事 • May 16Further Upside For Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 28% BounceAlphaville S.A. ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 14Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to R$2.38, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 3x. Average forward P/E is 5x in the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Total loss to shareholders of 87% over the past three years.
New Risk • Apr 23New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Brazilian stocks, typically moving 7.2% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (currently running at an operating cash loss). Negative equity (-R$32m). High level of non-cash earnings (34% accrual ratio). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.2% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (R$380.9m market cap, or US$66.5m).
分析記事 • Apr 07Shareholders Shouldn’t Be Too Comfortable With Alphaville's (BVMF:AVLL3) Strong EarningsDespite posting strong earnings, Alphaville S.A.'s ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) stock didn't move much over the last week. We looked...
New Risk • Apr 02New major risk - Financial positionThe company's interest payments are not well covered by earnings. Net interest cover: 1.9x This is considered a major risk. If the company is unable to fund interest repayments on its debt through profits, it may be forced into reducing its debt burden through selling assets, undertaking a potentially costly capital raising or even into bankruptcy in the worst case scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Negative equity (-R$32m). High level of non-cash earnings (32% accrual ratio). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (R$416.1m market cap, or US$73.0m).
お知らせ • Apr 02Alphaville S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2025Alphaville S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2025.
分析記事 • Jan 23Shareholders Would Enjoy A Repeat Of Alphaville's (BVMF:AVLL3) Recent Growth In ReturnsWhat trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...
分析記事 • Nov 28Investors Holding Back On Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3)It's not a stretch to say that Alphaville S.A.'s ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x right now seems...
Reported Earnings • Nov 18Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: R$0.02 (vs R$2.97 loss in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: R$0.02 (up from R$2.97 loss in 3Q 2023). Revenue: R$190.4m (up 56% from 3Q 2023). Net income: R$4.15m (up R$79.8m from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 2.2% (up from net loss in 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 26% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 20% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 52% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
New Risk • Oct 22New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: R$560.6m (US$98.4m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Negative equity (-R$60m). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (over 5x increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (R$560.6m market cap, or US$98.4m).
Reported Earnings • Aug 16Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: R$0.01 (vs R$9.58 loss in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: R$0.01 (up from R$9.58 loss in 2Q 2023). Revenue: R$145.6m (up 70% from 2Q 2023). Net income: R$764.0k (up R$245.1m from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 0.5% (up from net loss in 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 27% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 3% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 47% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
分析記事 • Aug 10Alphaville S.A.'s (BVMF:AVLL3) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 25% Share Price BounceAlphaville S.A. ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand...
分析記事 • Aug 09Returns At Alphaville (BVMF:AVLL3) Are On The Way UpTo find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...
Reported Earnings • May 18First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: R$0.45 (vs R$2.57 loss in 1Q 2023)First quarter 2024 results: EPS: R$0.45 (up from R$2.57 loss in 1Q 2023). Revenue: R$108.1m (up 14% from 1Q 2023). Net income: R$50.7m (up R$108.3m from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 47% (up from net loss in 1Q 2023). The move to profitability was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 28% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 10% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 48% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
Reported Earnings • Apr 01Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2023 results: R$22.90 loss per share (further deteriorated from R$18.33 loss in FY 2022). Revenue: R$474.4m (up 79% from FY 2022). Net loss: R$584.3m (loss widened 42% from FY 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 39%. Revenue is forecast to grow 27% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 19% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 45% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
分析記事 • Dec 19The Market Lifts Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3) Shares 30% But It Can Do MoreAlphaville S.A. ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in the last...
Breakeven Date Change • Dec 18Forecast to breakeven in 2024The analyst covering Alphaville expects the company to break even for the first time. New forecast suggests the company will make a profit of R$31.0m in 2024. Average annual earnings growth of 109% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule.
Reported Earnings • Nov 19Third quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectationsThird quarter 2023 results: Revenue: R$122.4m (up 59% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: R$10.1m (loss narrowed 91% from 3Q 2022). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 6.8%. Revenue is forecast to grow 68% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil.
New Risk • Nov 15New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Brazilian stocks, typically moving 9.5% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (9.5% average weekly change). Negative equity (-R$510m). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable next year (R$232m net loss next year). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (28% increase in shares outstanding). Market cap is less than US$100m (R$130.7m market cap, or US$26.9m).
Reported Earnings • Aug 17Second quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2023 results: Revenue: R$85.6m (up 9.8% from 2Q 2022). Net loss: R$244.3m (loss widened 119% from 2Q 2022). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 20%. Revenue is forecast to grow 43% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil.
New Risk • Jun 23New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 27% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (20% average weekly change). Negative equity (-R$448m). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable next year (R$289m net loss next year). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (27% increase in shares outstanding). Market cap is less than US$100m (R$204.5m market cap, or US$42.9m).
Reported Earnings • May 17First quarter 2023 earnings released: R$2.57 loss per share (vs R$3.82 loss in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: R$2.57 loss per share (improved from R$3.82 loss in 1Q 2022). Revenue: R$95.1m (up 249% from 1Q 2022). Net loss: R$57.6m (loss narrowed 33% from 1Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 40% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil.
分析記事 • Apr 17Slammed 39% Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A CatchUnfortunately for some shareholders, the Alphaville S.A. ( BVMF:AVLL3 ) share price has dived 39% in the last thirty...
Reported Earnings • Nov 16Third quarter 2022 earnings releasedThird quarter 2022 results: Revenue: R$77.1m (up 134% from 3Q 2021). Net loss: R$113.0m (loss widened 2.7% from 3Q 2021).
Buying Opportunity • Jul 25Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 38%. The fair value is estimated to be R$23.35, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 26% over the last year. Earnings per share has declined by 20%.
Buying Opportunity • Jul 05Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 40%. The fair value is estimated to be R$23.35, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 26% over the last year. Earnings per share has declined by 20%.
Buying Opportunity • Jun 14Now 25% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 46%. The fair value is estimated to be R$23.36, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 26% over the last year. Earnings per share has declined by 20%.
Buying Opportunity • May 27Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 41%. The fair value is estimated to be R$24.78, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 26% over the last year. Earnings per share has declined by 20%.