- Brazil
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- Consumer Durables
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- BOVESPA:AVLL3
Alphaville S.A. (BVMF:AVLL3) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch
There wouldn't be many who think Alphaville S.A.'s (BVMF:AVLL3) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Consumer Durables industry in Brazil is similar at about 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Alphaville
How Alphaville Has Been Performing
Recent revenue growth for Alphaville has been in line with the industry. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to show no drastic signs of changing, justifying the P/S being at current levels. Those who are bullish on Alphaville will be hoping that revenue performance can pick up, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.
Keen to find out how analysts think Alphaville's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Alphaville?
Alphaville's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 243% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 44% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 20%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that Alphaville's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Alphaville's P/S
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Looking at Alphaville's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Alphaville (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Alphaville, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:AVLL3
Alphaville
Engages in residential subdivision business under the Alphaville brand in Brazil.
Low risk and slightly overvalued.
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