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Confluent Crescita futura
Criteri Future verificati 1/6
Confluent prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 37.7% e 14.4% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 42.3% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 16.2% in 3 anni.
Informazioni chiave
37.7%
Tasso di crescita degli utili
42.34%
Tasso di crescita dell'EPS
| Software crescita degli utili | 19.6% |
| Tasso di crescita dei ricavi | 14.4% |
| Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio | 16.18% |
| Copertura analitica | Good |
| Ultimo aggiornamento | 19 Mar 2026 |
Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura
Recent updates
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 08
CFLT: IBM Takeover And AI Features Will Shape Future Share Performance
Analysts now set their fair value estimate for Confluent at $31.00, down from $34.11, citing reduced revenue growth and margin expectations, along with the pending IBM takeover, as key drivers of the updated targets and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Confluent and the pending IBM acquisition has been mixed, but there are a few clear themes you can use to frame the setup.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 22
CFLT: Fair Value View Will Reflect IBM Takeover And Integration Risks
Narrative Update on Confluent Analysts have nudged their Confluent price target to $30.00 as they factor in slightly lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, alongside a higher future P/E of about 77x. This largely reflects the pending IBM takeover and recent downgrades tied to that deal.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 08
CFLT: Fair Value Outlook Weighs IBM Takeover Risks And Execution Uncertainty
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Confluent to US$30.00 from about US$28.35, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E in light of the pending IBM takeover and recent rating changes. Analyst Commentary Recent research around the pending IBM acquisition has turned more cautious, with several bearish analysts flagging risks around both the deal outcome and Confluent's stand alone execution.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 25
CFLT: IBM Deal And Cloud Momentum Will Guide Future Share Performance
Narrative Update Analysts trimmed their fair value estimate for Confluent slightly from about $30.77 to $30.65, reflecting a mix of cautious views around the pending IBM acquisition and downgrades, as well as more upbeat commentary on stabilizing cloud growth, improving margins, and ongoing product momentum that supports a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a split in how professionals view Confluent, with some focused on execution and product momentum and others centering on the pending IBM takeover and deal mechanics.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 10
CFLT: Fair Value View Balances IBM Deal Overhang And Cloud Execution
Our fair value estimate for Confluent moves from about US$20.00 to roughly US$28.35 per share, as analysts point to stabilizing cloud consumption, stronger Confluent Cloud driven results, healthier optimization trends, and improved revenue outlooks following recent quarterly performance and price target increases across several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Confluent has tilted more supportive on fundamentals, but there are still a few caution flags you should keep in mind as you think about valuation and execution risk.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 25
CFLT: Cloud Demand And Sale Prospects Will Drive Shares Higher
Analysts have nudged our Confluent fair value estimate higher to approximately $34 from about $31, citing stabilizing cloud consumption, stronger than expected Confluent Cloud driven upside, and improving execution. This has led to a wave of Street price target increases into the high $20s to around $30.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 11
CFLT: Sale Exploration And Cloud Stabilization Will Shape Future Share Performance
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Confluent higher from approximately $27.87 to $30.77 per share, reflecting increased confidence in stabilizing cloud consumption, stronger than expected subscription and cloud growth, and improved execution that has driven a series of upward price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has skewed clearly positive, with multiple firms lifting price targets in response to Confluent's improving cloud trends, stronger than expected subscription performance, and a more constructive demand backdrop.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 27
CFLT: Recent Sale Exploration And Cloud Stabilization Will Drive Share Price Momentum
Confluent's analyst price target has been raised by as much as $6. The new average reflects increased confidence in the company's stabilized growth and improving execution, according to analysts.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 12
CFLT: Cloud Momentum And Acquisition Interest Will Drive Renewed Upside Potential
Confluent's analyst price target was raised by $1 to $29. Analysts cited solid cloud consumption trends, strong quarterly results, and signs of improving execution, which are driving renewed confidence in the company's growth outlook.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 28
Cloud Stability And Acquisition Interest Will Impact Future Market Potential
Analysts have raised their price target for Confluent from approximately $25.20 to $27.87 per share. They cite stabilizing cloud consumption and improving growth prospects as the primary drivers for the upward revision.Seeking Alpha • Oct 28
Confluent: Robust Demand At A Great Price
Summary Confluent is a compelling "Buy" as Q3 results reinforce its robust ~20% subscription revenue growth and significant total addressable market. CFLT trades at attractive valuation multiples (6.3x EV/FY25 revenue), notably lower than peers with similar or slower growth profiles. The company's horizontal data streaming platform and strong customer expansion, even in a tough macro, support a durable growth thesis. Recent go-to-market improvements and a successful land-and-expand model drive continued enterprise adoption and justify maintaining a bullish outlook. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 14
Real Time AI And Streaming Solutions Will Shape Future Markets
Analysts have raised their price target for Confluent from $24.69 to $25.20. They cite continued takeover interest, strong positioning in data streaming, and positive momentum among enterprise customers as supporting factors for the modest increase.Articolo di analisi • Aug 20
Confluent, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CFLT) 32% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk
NasdaqGS:CFLT 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Confluent's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Articolo di analisi • Jul 25
Confluent, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CFLT) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 53% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Confluent's estimated fair value is US$40.76 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Confluent's...Articolo di analisi • Jul 03
Pinning Down Confluent, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CFLT) P/S Is Difficult Right Now
Confluent, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:CFLT ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.6x might make it look like a strong sell right...Articolo di analisi • May 22
Is Confluent, Inc. (NASDAQ:CFLT) Potentially Undervalued?
Confluent, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CFLT ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during...Seeking Alpha • Apr 20
Confluent: Cloud Momentum Drives Re-Rating
Summary I initiate coverage on Confluent with a Buy rating and $36 PT, predicated on cloud momentum and a 21.5% CY25E revenue estimate. Confluent trades at a 19.1% discount to peer group despite strong fundamentals (45% YoY cloud growth, $1.01bn RPO, 58% CY25E revs visibility). Cloud, now 55% of sub revs, is a key lever for Confluent growth, supported by non-GAAP operating margin expansion and enterprise demand for AI/ML workloads. Risks include hyperscaler competition, Kafka dependency, and regulatory headwinds, but we see these priced into shares, justifying our Buy rating and 9.5x EV/Sales multiple. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 31
Confluent: A Software Powerhouse That's Just Too Pricey
Summary I love Confluent’s business model and its strong revenue growth, but 105x forward free cash flow is just too rich for me. The company’s $1 billion subscription revenue milestone and 800% free cash flow growth are impressive, but not enough to justify a buy at this valuation. With institutional investors likely stepping in, Confluent’s stock could remain elevated—but that doesn’t mean I want to chase it. While I no longer see a reason to be bearish, I’m not ready to be bullish either—so I’m staying neutral for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nuova narrazione • Mar 20
Partnership With Databricks Will Integrate Data Streaming With Real-Time AI Analytics
Strategic partnerships and new products enhance Confluent's market reach and customer adoption, potentially boosting revenue and solidifying its leadership in data streaming.Seeking Alpha • Mar 06
Confluent: Product Innovation Yet To Pay Off
Summary While Confluent's stock has performed well recently, fundamental business issues persist, including weak customer growth and a declining net retention rate. Expansion of the company's product portfolio and a shift in sales strategy could eventually turn this situation around, but there are no signs of this so far. The macro environment likely isn't helping the situation but I continue to question the breadth of Confluent's appeal given the cost of its products. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 26
Confluent: Strong Subscription Momentum
Summary Confluent's strong Q4 results and bullish FY25 outlook indicate the stock's rally has further momentum, making it a compelling buy for long-term holders. Confluent's leadership in data streaming, wide applicability across industries in a $100 billion TAM, and nearly pure subscription revenue base create a reliable and sticky revenue stream. The company's Q4 revenue grew 23% y/y to $261.2 million, beating expectations, with subscription revenue expected to maintain above 20% growth in FY25. I'm reiterating my buy rating on CFLT with a $32 price target. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrevisioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi
| Data | Ricavi | Utili | Flusso di cassa libero | Liquidità dell'operazione | Avg. Numero di analisti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,850 | -94 | 304 | 314 | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,589 | -151 | 159 | 220 | 8 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,382 | -193 | 133 | 188 | 3 |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,167 | -295 | 38 | 64 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,113 | -304 | 32 | 57 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,065 | -312 | 16 | 42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,018 | -320 | 8 | 33 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 964 | -345 | 9 | 33 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 916 | -351 | -13 | 10 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 866 | -370 | -35 | -14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 820 | -383 | -73 | -52 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 777 | -443 | -124 | -104 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 732 | -455 | -162 | -143 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 684 | -478 | -195 | -176 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 634 | -492 | -196 | -180 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 586 | -453 | -172 | -157 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 537 | -461 | -168 | -154 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 488 | -441 | -143 | -130 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 437 | -411 | -151 | -140 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 388 | -343 | -114 | -105 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 338 | -260 | -109 | -102 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 297 | -303 | -98 | -93 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 263 | -241 | -76 | -71 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 237 | -230 | -87 | -82 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 150 | -95 | -72 | -69 | N/A |
Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti
Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: Si prevede che CFLT rimarrà non redditizia nei prossimi 3 anni.
Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che CFLT rimarrà non redditizia nei prossimi 3 anni.
Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che CFLT rimarrà non redditizia nei prossimi 3 anni.
Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di CFLT ( 14.4% all'anno) crescerà più rapidamente del mercato US ( 11.6% all'anno).
Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di CFLT ( 14.4% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.
Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio
ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di CFLT sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 16.2 %).
Scoprire le aziende in crescita
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/03/20 08:24 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/03/16 00:00 |
| Utili | 2025/12/31 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/12/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
| |
| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
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| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
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| Proprietà | 10 anni |
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| Gestione | 10 anni |
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| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
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* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
Confluent, Inc. è coperta da 12 analisti. 8 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Adam Shepherd | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Tyler Radke | Citigroup Inc |
| Patrick Walravens | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |