CarMax, Inc.

Report azionario NYSE:KMX

Capitalizzazione di mercato: US$5.5b

CarMax Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 3/6

Si prevede che i ricavi di CarMax diminuiranno a 0.7% all'anno, mentre si prevede che i suoi utili annuali cresceranno a 23.3% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 23.5% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà 7.4% in 3 anni.

Informazioni chiave

23.3%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

23.50%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Specialty Retail crescita degli utili9.9%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi-0.7%
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio7.40%
Copertura analitica

Good

Ultimo aggiornamento21 May 2026

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 21

CarMax: Turnaround Potential Worth Watching

Summary CarMax, Inc.'s earnings have dropped in the past three quarters. Weak industry conditions continue to weigh on margins and sales volume. Strategic changes after a CEO change and activist pressure should help KMX. An eventual earnings rebound could present significant upside potential given KMX's low stock price. I estimate 30% base scenario upside to $48.6. For now, I believe that investors should still practice caution. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 18

KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And New CEO Will Support Re Rating Potential

Analysts collectively see a slightly higher long term value for CarMax stock, with the average price target moving up about $2 as updated models factor in modestly higher fair value and profit margin assumptions, partly offset by softer revenue growth expectations and a slightly higher discount rate and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax has been mixed, but the pricing and rating changes skew modestly constructive, with several firms adjusting models and price targets to reflect updated views on execution, profitability and long term positioning.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 01

KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And New Leadership Will Drive Re Rating Potential

The updated analyst price target on CarMax reflects a modest reset, with a roughly $2 swing in recent targets as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, lower profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple based on the latest research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax shows a mix of views, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets while others stay more cautious on the shares.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 17

KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And AI Rollout Will Drive Re Rating Potential

Analysts have adjusted the CarMax fair value estimate upward by about $1.73 to $77.89, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E expectations following a mix of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax shows a mix of views, with several bullish analysts adjusting price targets upward while a few take a more cautious stance.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 02

KMX: Activist Demands And Execution Risks Will Limit Future Share Returns

Analysts have lifted their price targets on CarMax by mid single digit dollar amounts, citing refreshed models following the recent investor meeting and updated views on the company's earnings power, as reflected in slightly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CarMax has centered on refreshed models following the investor meeting, with several firms revising their price targets by mid single digit dollar amounts.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 19

KMX: Activist Pressure And Execution Risks Will Restrain Future Share Returns

Analysts have nudged CarMax price targets higher, with recent moves such as Evercore ISI raising its target to $39 from $37 and Baird moving to $48 from $44, reflecting updated views on the company following its investor meeting and other research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on CarMax show a mix of support and caution.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 05

KMX: Refreshed Investor Day Plan And AI Initiatives Will Drive Re Rating Potential

Narrative Update on CarMax Analysts have lifted their price target for CarMax by $4 to $48, citing refreshed models after the recent investor meeting, improved revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower expected future P/E multiple in their updated views. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more constructive tone on CarMax, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets after reviewing the latest investor meeting materials and updating their models.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 18

KMX: Refreshed Investor Day Framework Will Drive Re Rating Potential

Analysts have raised their CarMax price targets, with recent updates moving one estimate to $48 from $44 and others higher by $2 to $4. They cited refreshed models following the company’s investor meeting and modestly adjusted expectations for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 04

KMX: Mixed Sector Backdrop And Weaker Margins Will Pressure Future Returns

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price targets on CarMax by a few dollars, citing mixed sector fundamentals, questions around the company’s direction, and lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E, which together support a more conservative but still constructive outlook. Analyst Commentary Street research around CarMax has centered on how the business fits into a mixed auto retail sector, with some firms taking a cautious stance even as they fine tune price targets.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 21

KMX: Digital Auction Execution Will Drive Re Rating Potential Despite Sector Caution

The analyst price target for CarMax has been cut from about US$114 to roughly US$75, with analysts citing a reduced revenue growth outlook, a lower assumed future P/E multiple, and ongoing uncertainty around the company’s strategy. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage highlights that views on CarMax are cautious overall, but there are still a few angles that more optimistic investors might focus on.
Articolo di analisi • Jan 18

CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Soars 27% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand...
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 06

KMX: Future Returns Will Hinge On Credit Risk And Execution Clarity

Narrative Update: CarMax Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts have reduced their average CarMax price target by $32, from $78 to $46. This reflects fresh concerns around the company's strategy and credit risk, even as they point to mixed but resilient sector fundamentals and updated earnings guidance.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 20

KMX: Future Returns Will Depend On Credit Normalization Amid Execution Concerns

Analysts have trimmed their CarMax fair value estimate by about $1.50 per share to roughly $38, reflecting a series of reduced Street price targets in the $40s and $50s as concerns mount over slowing unit growth, weaker margins, and uncertainty around the company’s strategic execution. Analyst Commentary Street research on CarMax has shifted decisively toward caution, but views are not uniformly negative.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 06

KMX: Future Recovery Will Hinge On Loan Loss And Credit Normalization

Analysts have trimmed their CarMax price target slightly, reflecting a modest reset in fair value to about $40 per share as they factor in weaker unit trends, persistent credit headwinds, and increased uncertainty around the company’s strategic execution. Analyst Commentary Research coverage around CarMax has tilted more cautious in recent weeks, with multiple firms cutting price targets and downgrading ratings as they recalibrate expectations for growth, margins, and credit performance.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 22

KMX: Recovery Will Depend On Resolution Of Loan Loss Headwinds

CarMax's analyst price target has been reduced significantly from approximately $55 to $40 per share, as analysts cite weaker revenue growth, margin compression, and persistent headwinds in retail trends and credit quality. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage on CarMax reflects a divided outlook in the wake of disappointing financial results and evolving market dynamics.
Articolo di analisi • Nov 18

Not Many Are Piling Into CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Stock Yet As It Plummets 25%

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days...
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 07

KMX: Future Recovery Will Rely on Easing Loan Loss Pressures

CarMax's analyst price target has been lowered significantly, with the consensus now reflecting a cut of more than $20 per share. Analysts cite continued earnings misses, weaker retail sales, and growing uncertainty around the company’s recovery outlook.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 24

Auto Credit Trends And Digital Expansion Will Shape Dealer Reach Ahead

CarMax’s analyst fair value target has been lowered from $57.79 to $55.50. Analysts cite continued softness in earnings, elevated loan losses, and weaker retail sales forecasts following recent quarterly results.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 10

Auto Finance And Digital Sales Will Expand Dealer Reach

CarMax's fair value estimate has been revised sharply lower, dropping from $76.93 to $57.79. Analysts point to mounting sales uncertainty, downward earnings revisions, and lack of visible turnaround strategies following weaker-than-expected Q2 results and multiple price target cuts across the Street.
Articolo di analisi • Sep 27

CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%

The CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. The...
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 26

Auto Finance And Digital Sales Will Expand Dealer Reach

CarMax’s consensus price target has been reduced from $81.44 to $76.93 as weaker-than-expected Q2 results, increased uncertainty around future strategy, and ongoing operating headwinds overshadow cautious optimism regarding operational improvements and growth initiatives. Analyst Commentary Weak Q2 results, including a broad earnings miss and underperformance across key metrics, have raised doubts about CarMax's ability to sustain market leadership and deliver additional growth.
Articolo di analisi • Sep 10

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, CarMax fair value estimate is US$66.00 Current share price of...
Articolo di analisi • Aug 09

Investors Could Be Concerned With CarMax's (NYSE:KMX) Returns On Capital

NYSE:KMX 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore CarMax's Fair Values from the Community and select yours If you're...
Articolo di analisi • Jun 15

Earnings Tell The Story For CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.8x CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ) may be sending bearish signals at the...
Articolo di analisi • May 25

Why CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Could Be Worth Watching

CarMax, Inc. ( NYSE:KMX ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 28

CarMax: Tariff Benefits Appear Priced In

Summary CarMax shares have declined 12% in the past year due to a stagnant used car market and rising credit losses. President Trump's 25% auto tariffs could indirectly benefit CarMax by increasing used car prices, though this may not boost long-term profitability. Higher used car prices may provide a one-time windfall for CarMax, but affordability issues could reduce sales volumes. Despite potential short-term gains, CarMax stock remains overvalued; I maintain a sell rating, cautious of extrapolating temporary benefits. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 22

CarMax: Near-Term Growth Outlook Is Not Great

Summary I recommend a sell rating for CarMax due to affordability challenges and fierce competition, which are significant growth headwinds. KMX faces declining revenues and affordability issues, with average selling prices of used vehicles dropping for eight consecutive quarters. Competition from Carvana is intensifying, with CVNA showing better growth and profitability, putting additional pressure on KMX. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 19

CarMax Delivers Despite Lower Car Prices, Lock In Gains

Summary CarMax, Inc.'s fiscal Q2 2025 revenues increased slightly, with a $170 million beat versus consensus, driven by higher volumes despite lower pricing. Comparable store used unit sales rose 4.3%, and total retail used vehicle unit sales increased 5.4%, showing positive momentum. Gross profit increased 10.6% year-over-year, with retail gross profit per used unit flat and wholesale gross profit per unit up $54. CarMax repurchased 1.5 million shares for $114.8 million in Q2, with $2.04 billion remaining for repurchase, supporting a long-term investment thesis. The author has provided multiple winning trades on CarMax and suggests letting some profit run. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Nuova narrazione • Sep 29

Revamping Retail Experience And Finance Innovation Fuels Company's Growth Path

The new order processing system and omnichannel retail strategy emphasize operational efficiency and digital sales growth, aiming for increased margins and sales.
Seeking Alpha • Sep 27

CarMax: Still Overvalued Relative To Peers

Summary CarMax lacks competitive advantages and has underperformed the market, with stagnant stock prices, while the S&P 500 gained 30% over the same period. CarMax's Q2 results showed mixed performance, with retail used unit sales up but overall revenue down 4.3% due to a strong decline in wholesale vehicles. KMX's margins and ROIC are significantly lower than its peers, indicating a weaker competitive position and capital allocation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 05

CarMax: Mixed Signs Of Stabilization

Summary CarMax, Inc.'s sales continue to be pressured by a weak automotive sales industry, but the company's focus on gross profit has already started stabilizing the gross margin. The industry outlook remains cloudy regarding used car prices, the consumer sentiment, and interest rates. A fair midterm earnings recovery is still priced into CarMax's stock price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 19

CarMax: Continued Share Loss Should Drive De-Rating

Summary KMX is underperforming the industry and continued share loss should drive de-rating going forward. The industry is facing supply headwinds and it's not looking good for the company as it doesn't have the flexibility to ramp up older cars. KMX is trading at 18.5x FY2 P/E, above the industry mean of 15x, which is too high given the current backdrop. Sell. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi

NYSE:KMX - Stime future degli analisti e dati finanziari passati (USD Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliFlusso di cassa liberoLiquidità dell'operazioneAvg. Numero di analisti
2/28/202926,726495517N/A3
2/29/202826,57641353664415
2/28/202725,98032357844917
2/28/202627,7552471,2431,784N/A
11/30/202527,8344581,9492,484N/A
8/31/202528,2805216851,208N/A
5/31/202528,6735585411,042N/A
2/28/202528,207501157624N/A
11/30/202427,796461338788N/A
8/31/202427,6794185531,021N/A
5/31/202427,69240394526N/A
2/29/202428,213479-7459N/A
11/30/202328,248498-688-230N/A
8/31/202328,544454314743N/A
5/31/202329,556461102567N/A
2/28/202331,1264858611,283N/A
11/30/202233,0515767941,195N/A
8/31/202235,037807-1,060-685N/A
5/31/202234,848967-2,251-1,907N/A
2/28/202233,1971,151-2,858-2,549N/A
11/30/202130,6331,201-2,551-2,283N/A
8/31/202127,2491,167-1,818-1,607N/A
5/31/202124,5891,179-854-694N/A
2/28/202120,092747503668N/A
11/30/202019,883752543750N/A
8/31/202019,478690526779N/A
5/31/202019,303627654970N/A
2/29/202021,424888-569-237N/A
11/30/201920,747866N/A-70N/A
8/31/201920,222883N/A-73N/A
5/31/201919,754871N/A-25N/A
2/28/201919,146842N/A163N/A
11/30/201818,880772N/A227N/A
8/31/201818,661731N/A-51N/A
5/31/201818,253691N/A-41N/A
2/28/201817,977664N/A-81N/A
11/30/201717,918695N/A-312N/A
8/31/201717,488682N/A-341N/A
5/31/201717,076663N/A-351N/A
2/28/201716,637627N/A-455N/A
11/30/201616,274615N/A-103N/A
8/31/201616,096607N/A-97N/A
5/31/201615,963617N/A-179N/A
2/29/201615,833623N/A-117N/A
11/30/201515,619626N/A-565N/A
8/31/201515,461627N/A-616N/A
5/31/201515,156610N/A-641N/A

Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti

Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di KMX ( 23.3% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.5% ).

Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di KMX ( 23.3% all'anno) cresceranno più rapidamente del mercato US ( 16.8% all'anno).

Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di KMX cresceranno in modo significativo nei prossimi 3 anni.

Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che i ricavi di KMX diminuiranno nei prossimi 3 anni ( -0.7% all'anno).

Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che i ricavi di KMX diminuiranno nei prossimi 3 anni ( -0.7% all'anno).

Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione

Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio

ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di KMX sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 7.4 %).

Scoprire le aziende in crescita

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Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/05/22 22:56
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/05/22 00:00
Utili2026/02/28
Utili annuali2026/02/28

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

CarMax, Inc. è coperta da 35 analisti. 17 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
null nullArgus Research Company
Craig KennisonBaird
John BabcockBarclays