American Financial Group Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 1/6

American Financial Group prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 5.3% e 0.1% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 5.8% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 18.9% in 3 anni.

Informazioni chiave

5.3%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

5.78%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Insurance crescita degli utili	2.0%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi	0.1%
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio	18.89%
Copertura analitica	Good
Ultimo aggiornamento	13 May 2026

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Recent updates

Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 09

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Future Shareholder Returns At Fair Value

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for American Financial Group up by $1 to $141.83, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The estimate has risen slightly from $140.83 to $141.83.

Seeking Alpha • Apr 29

American Financial Group: Baby Bonds With Investment Grade And Yields Over 7% Opportunity

Summary American Financial Group (AFG) boasts $15.45B in assets, $2.04B in debt, and $4.82B in equity, with a $10.82B market cap. AFG has outperformed both the S&P 500 and KIE ETF over 5 years, delivering a 10% 5-year and 12.25% 10-year annualized total return. The company maintains investment-grade credit ratings and a 27-year streak of uninterrupted dividends, with a current yield of 5.3% and 20 consecutive annual increases. AFG's four baby bonds, all callable and trading below par, with maturities extending 33–34 years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 18

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Steady Shareholder Returns At Fair Value

Analysts have slightly reduced their average price target for American Financial Group, from about $141.50 to roughly $140.83. This reflects updated views on fair value that incorporate modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E assumptions.

Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 01

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Steady Shareholder Returns At Fair Value

Analysts have increased their price target on American Financial Group by $1 to $141.50, citing updated assumptions around fair value and forward P/E while keeping other key model inputs broadly unchanged. What's in the News The Board of Directors declared a special cash dividend of $1.50 per share, payable on February 25, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 16, 2026 (Key Developments).

Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 18

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Sustain Shareholder Returns At Stable Outlook

Analysts have kept their price target for American Financial Group steady at $140.50, citing unchanged assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. This indicates that their valuation view is currently stable.

Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 04

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Shareholder Returns At Fair Valuation

Analysts have nudged their price target for American Financial Group up from $138.20 to $140.50, citing updated assumptions around revenue trends, profit margin resilience near 13.34%, and a forward P/E of about 13.36x. What's in the News The Board of Directors declared a special cash dividend of $1.50 per share, payable on February 25, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 16, 2026 (Key Developments).

Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 17

AFG: Expanded Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Continue To Drive Shareholder Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price target for American Financial Group by about $4 to around $138, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and future P/E that are now slightly more conservative. What's in the News The board declared a special cash dividend of $1.50 per share, payable on February 25, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 16, 2026 (Key Developments).

Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 02

AFG: Expanded Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Shape Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price target for American Financial Group by about US$2.47 to roughly US$142, reflecting updated fair value estimates and slightly adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News On December 3, 2025, American Financial Group expanded its equity buyback authorization by 5,000,000 shares to a total of 57,188,938 shares and extended the program through December 31, 2030 (company announcement).

Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 19

AFG: Expanded Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Shape Measured Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have raised their price target on American Financial Group to about $144.67 from roughly $140.60, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, which slightly adjust their outlook on the shares. What's in the News On December 3, 2025, American Financial Group expanded its equity buyback authorization by 5,000,000 shares to a total of 57,188,938 shares and extended the program through December 31, 2030 (Key Developments).

Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 05

AFG: Expanded Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have modestly reaffirmed their outlook on American Financial Group, maintaining a target price of $140.60. They continue to see stable discount rates, largely unchanged revenue growth expectations, and steady profit margin and valuation assumptions.

Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 19

Analysts Raise American Financial Group Price Target as Dividends and Revenue Outlook Improve

Analysts have slightly increased their price target for American Financial Group from $135.00 to $137.40. They cite modest improvements in projected revenue growth as the primary rationale for this adjustment.

Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 08

Digital Transformation And Demographic Shifts Will Expand Insurance Markets

Analysts have raised their price target for American Financial Group from $132.60 to $135.00. This reflects increased optimism tied to improved profit margin forecasts.

Articolo di analisi • Oct 05

American Financial Group's (NYSE:AFG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

American Financial Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:AFG ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period...

Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 03

Digital Transformation And Demographic Shifts Will Expand Insurance Markets

The upward revision in American Financial Group’s consensus price target reflects improved revenue growth forecasts, while other key profitability metrics remain essentially unchanged, resulting in a modest increase in fair value to $132.60. What's in the News Increased regular annual dividend by 10% to $3.52 per share, marking the twentieth consecutive year of dividend increases; ten-year compound annual dividend growth rate is 12.3%.

Articolo di analisi • Jun 30

American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AFG) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...

Seeking Alpha • Mar 25

AFGC Debentures Still A Buy For Longer-Term Income Investors

Summary AFGC debentures offer an attractive yield of 6.52%, making them a solid choice for income investors with a medium-to-long-term perspective. Despite short-term concerns, AFG remains financially strong, supported by its excess capital and special dividends, making it a reliable investment. AFG's recent earnings show modest improvements, with total revenues and net income up year-over-year, despite short-term EPS declines. AFGC debentures are currently trading below face value, presenting a potential gain for long-term investors as they will eventually be redeemed at $25.00. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Jan 30

American Financial Group: Q4 2024 Earnings Preview

Summary American Financial Group is a mid-sized P&C insurer with strong underwriting performance and a focus on specialty lines, leading to consistent profitability. AFG's Q4 2024 earnings are expected to recover, with a combined ratio of around 88.7% and net income rising to $263 million. The company has a solid financial position, with excess capital and a flexible capital return policy, though its income appeal is less predictable. AFG's premium valuation limits short-term upside potential, making W. R. Berkley Corporation a potentially better value for long-term investors in the P&C sector. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Jan 23

American Financial Group: A Financially Stable Property Insurer And Dividend Grower

Summary Prior buy rating gets reiterated, after more in-depth analysis shows a financially stable property/casualty insurer with solid credit ratings. The dividend case can be made with a proven 5-year dividend CAGR, positive cashflow, and steady profitability along with a good profit margin. Catastrophe losses from weather/fire events are always a risk that has a business impact on this sector. Among P&C insurers in the US, AFG was ranked just below the top 20 in 2023, as bigger brands like State Farm and Allstate dominate this space. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Nuova narrazione • Aug 23

Alternative Investments And Calculated Underwriting Propel Insurance Giant To New Heights

Strategic underwriting and capital management efforts are poised to enhance underwriting margins, shareholder value, and EPS.

Seeking Alpha • Aug 07

American Financial Group: Solid Underwriting In Q2 With Potential Benefits From Rental Inflation

Summary American Financial Group's Q2 results beat estimates with improved underwriting margins driving gains, partially offset by lower alternative investment income. Premium growth lagged inflation due to reduced policies, but underwriting profits were solid across segments and crop growth should accelerate in Q3. Higher interest rates benefited AFG's investment income, and the apartment market may be bottoming, supporting future earnings growth. At 11x forward earnings, AFG is attractive given its strong insurance franchise and potential gains in alternative investments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Jun 05

American Financial: Debentures Better Than Dividends For Income Investors

Summary American Financial's C-series baby bond now offers investors a return of more than 6.0%. Or, investors could buy AFG common stock for regular dividends, potential special dividends, share buybacks, and capital gains. However, for income investors, the AFGC baby bond offers a less volatile share price and low risk thanks to the parent company's profitable growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • May 09

American Financial Group: Attractive Due To Solid Underwriting And Multifamily Upside

Summary American Financial Group has seen moderate performance, rising 16% in the past year and paying out special dividends. AFG's Q1 results showed improved underwriting and strong premium growth driven by pricing increases. The company's specialty P&C combined ratio was strong, and its underwriting profits remained flat from last year's Q1. While multifamily reduced investment returns in Q1 and will weigh in 2024, long-term fundamentals are positive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Nov 09

American Financial Group: An Underwriting Stumble Has Created Opportunity

Summary American Financial Group investors have been disappointed by underwriting results, causing the stock to drop 22%. AFG's earnings and net operating income have increased, but not as much as expected. Despite some setbacks, AFG is still growing its premiums and investment income, making it an attractive investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi

NYSE:AFG - Stime future degli analisti e dati finanziari passati (USD Millions )
Data	Ricavi	Utili	Flusso di cassa libero	Liquidità dell'operazione	Avg. Numero di analisti
12/31/2028	7,874	1,035	1,184	2,519	3
12/31/2027	7,612	994	1,123	2,416	5
12/31/2026	7,197	990	1,029	2,307	5
3/31/2026	7,947	879	1,665	1,665	N/A
12/31/2025	7,941	842	1,533	1,533	N/A
9/30/2025	8,014	798	1,423	1,423	N/A
6/30/2025	8,032	764	1,666	1,666	N/A
3/31/2025	7,987	799	1,387	1,387	N/A
12/31/2024	8,010	887	1,152	1,152	N/A
9/30/2024	7,916	895	1,234	1,234	N/A
6/30/2024	7,696	891	1,471	1,471	N/A
3/31/2024	7,621	882	1,674	1,674	N/A
12/31/2023	7,452	852	1,970	1,970	N/A
9/30/2023	7,311	865	1,324	1,324	N/A
6/30/2023	7,163	853	1,157	1,157	N/A
3/31/2023	6,906	820	1,053	1,053	N/A
12/31/2022	6,810	898	1,153	1,153	N/A
9/30/2022	6,681	977	1,332	1,332	N/A
6/30/2022	6,476	1,031	1,258	1,258	N/A
3/31/2022	6,472	1,104	1,590	1,590	N/A
12/31/2021	6,393	1,081	1,714	1,714	N/A
9/30/2021	6,297	991	1,912	1,912	N/A
6/30/2021	6,132	860	2,066	2,066	N/A
3/31/2021	6,047	733	2,278	2,278	N/A
12/31/2020	5,579	325	2,183	2,183	N/A
9/30/2020	6,035	271	2,461	2,461	N/A
6/30/2020	6,552	330	2,666	2,666	N/A
3/31/2020	7,050	427	2,534	2,534	N/A
12/31/2019	5,974	519	N/A	2,456	N/A
9/30/2019	7,572	657	N/A	2,497	N/A
6/30/2019	7,459	714	N/A	2,137	N/A
3/31/2019	7,337	714	N/A	2,146	N/A
12/31/2018	6,939	530	N/A	2,083	N/A
9/30/2018	7,070	725	N/A	2,088	N/A
6/30/2018	6,904	532	N/A	2,053	N/A
3/31/2018	6,720	467	N/A	2,271	N/A
12/31/2017	6,684	475	N/A	1,804	N/A
9/30/2017	6,615	694	N/A	1,397	N/A
6/30/2017	6,492	792	N/A	1,228	N/A
3/31/2017	6,440	701	N/A	666	N/A
12/31/2016	6,345	649	N/A	1,150	N/A
9/30/2016	6,240	393	N/A	1,192	N/A
6/30/2016	6,227	347	N/A	1,273	N/A
3/31/2016	6,199	434	N/A	1,364	N/A
12/31/2015	6,194	352	N/A	1,353	N/A
9/30/2015	6,131	350	N/A	1,455	N/A
6/30/2015	6,039	403	N/A	1,299	N/A

Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti

Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di AFG ( 5.3% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.5% ).

Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di AFG ( 5.3% all'anno) cresceranno più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 16.8% all'anno).

Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di AFG cresceranno, ma non in modo significativo.

Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di AFG ( 0.1% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 11.7% all'anno).

Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di AFG ( 0.1% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.

Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione

Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio

ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di AFG sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 18.9 %).

Scoprire le aziende in crescita

Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

Dati	Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda	2026/05/24 03:27
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata	2026/05/22 00:00
Utili	2026/03/31
Utili annuali	2025/12/31

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

Pacchetto	Dati	Tempistica	Esempio Fonte USA ^*
Dati finanziari della società	10 anni	Conto economico Rendiconto finanziario Bilancio	Modulo SEC 10-K Modulo SEC 10-Q
Stime di consenso degli analisti	+3 anni	Previsioni finanziarie Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti	Rapporti di ricerca degli analisti Blue Matrix
Prezzi di mercato	30 anni	Prezzi delle azioni Dividendi, scissioni e azioni	Dati di mercato ICE Modulo SEC S-1
Proprietà	10 anni	Top azionisti Insider trading	Modulo 4 SEC Modulo 13D SEC
Gestione	10 anni	Team di leadership Consiglio di amministrazione	Modulo SEC 10-K Modulo SEC DEF 14A
Sviluppi principali	10 anni	Annunci aziendali	Modulo 8-K SEC

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

American Financial Group, Inc. è coperta da 16 analisti. 6 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

Analista	Istituzione
null null	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Michael Zaremski	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Jay Cohen	BofA Global Research

American Financial Group Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 1/6

Informazioni chiave

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Price target decreased by 7.6% to US$138

American Financial Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2025

Recent updates

American Financial Group Delivers Strong Underwriting and Plans Major Resort Sale in Mixed Q1 2026 Results

American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Controller Changes

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Future Shareholder Returns At Fair Value

First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

American Financial Group: Baby Bonds With Investment Grade And Yields Over 7% Opportunity

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Steady Shareholder Returns At Fair Value

American Financial Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 29, 2026

American Financial Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2026

Dividend of US$0.88 announced

American Financial Group, Inc. Declares A Quarterly Regular Dividend on Common Stock, Payable on April 24, 2026

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Steady Shareholder Returns At Fair Value

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Sustain Shareholder Returns At Stable Outlook

AFG: Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Shareholder Returns At Fair Valuation

AFG: Expanded Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Continue To Drive Shareholder Returns

Full year 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Special Dividend, Payable on February 25, 2026

AFG: Expanded Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Shape Future Shareholder Returns

AFG: Expanded Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Shape Measured Future Shareholder Returns

American Financial Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 03, 2026

Dividend of US$0.88 announced

AFG: Expanded Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Support Future Shareholder Returns

American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend on its Common Stock, Payable on January 27, 2026

AFG: Buybacks And Rising Dividends Will Support Returns Despite Margin Pressure

AFG: Buybacks And Dividends Will Sustain Returns Amid Softer Revenue Outlook

AFG: Higher Buyback Activity And Dividend Boost Will Support Long-Term Value

Dividend of US$2.00 announced

Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

AFG: Dividend Increases And Stable Outlook Will Drive Shareholder Returns

American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Special Cash Dividend, Payable on November 26, 2025

Analysts Raise American Financial Group Price Target as Dividends and Revenue Outlook Improve

American Financial Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 04, 2025

Digital Transformation And Demographic Shifts Will Expand Insurance Markets

American Financial Group's (NYSE:AFG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Dividend of US$0.88 announced

American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on October 24, 2025

Digital Transformation And Demographic Shifts Will Expand Insurance Markets

Co-CEO & Director recently sold US$1.3m worth of stock

American Financial Group, Inc. Increases Annual Common Stock Dividend by 10%

Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

American Financial Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 05, 2025

Dividend of US$0.80 announced

American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on July 25, 2025

American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AFG) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

American Financial Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 06, 2025

American Financial Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2025

Dividend of US$0.80 announced

An undisclosed buyer agreed to acquire Charleston Harbor Resort & Marina from American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AFG).

American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on April 25, 2025

AFGC Debentures Still A Buy For Longer-Term Income Investors

Upcoming dividend of US$2.00 per share

American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Special Dividend, Payable on March 28, 2025

American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Changes to Its Board of Directors

Price target decreased by 7.6% to US$138

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

American Financial Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2025

American Financial Group: Q4 2024 Earnings Preview

American Financial Group: A Financially Stable Property Insurer And Dividend Grower

Brand Engineering Network Inc. Files Lawsuit Against AFG Companies, Inc

American Financial Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 04, 2025

Dividend of US$0.80 announced

American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on January 24, 2025

Insufficient new directors

Dividend of US$4.00 announced

Third quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Special Dividend, Payable on November 26, 2024

American Financial Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 05, 2024

Dividend of US$0.80 announced

American Financial Group, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on October 25, 2024

Alternative Investments And Calculated Underwriting Propel Insurance Giant To New Heights

American Financial Group, Inc. Increases Annual Common Stock Dividend

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

American Financial Group: Solid Underwriting In Q2 With Potential Benefits From Rental Inflation