Matador Resources Company

Report azionario NYSE:MTDR

Capitalizzazione di mercato: US$7.7b

Matador Resources Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 3/6

Matador Resources prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 21.8% e 5.7% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 21.4% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 13.3% in 3 anni.

Informazioni chiave

21.8%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

21.41%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Oil and Gas crescita degli utili11.3%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi5.7%
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio13.34%
Copertura analitica

Good

Ultimo aggiornamento13 May 2026

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Recent updates

Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 10

MTDR: Higher 2026 Oil Decks Are Expected To Drive Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their Matador Resources fair value estimate down by about $1 to $93.48, citing updated views on revenue growth, profitability, discount rates, and forward P/E levels following a series of higher Street price targets in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Matador Resources shows a cluster of higher price targets and generally constructive views, even as some analysts fine tune their fair value work.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 23

MTDR: Stronger Oil Strip Is Expected To Support Future Cash Generation

Analysts have lifted the Matador Resources fair value estimate from $57.53 to $72.05 as a series of recent price target increases, supported by updated oil price assumptions, revised exploration and production models, and views on capital efficiency, feed into expectations for slightly higher revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, a lower discount rate, and an updated future P/E of 10.77x. Analyst Commentary Street research on Matador Resources over the past few months has leaned constructive on valuation and execution, with a handful of more cautious voices highlighting capital allocation and risk factors.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 08

MTDR: Higher 2026 Oil Decks Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Matador Resources from $74.78 to $94.71, reflecting updated assumptions for a 6.98% discount rate, 7.70% revenue growth, a 24.75% profit margin, and a forward P/E of about 12.41, which are generally consistent with the series of recent price target hikes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Matador Resources shows a mix of optimism and caution, with a clear cluster of bullish analysts lifting price targets as they refresh commodity price decks and company specific models.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 25

MTDR: Heavy Hedging And Front Loaded Capex Will Restrain Future Equity Upside

Analysts lifted the fair value estimate for Matador Resources by $5 to $52, citing updated oil price decks, modest valuation multiple changes, and ongoing updates to exploration and production models as key drivers behind the higher targets across several recent research notes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Matador Resources has leaned constructive on fair value, with several firms updating price targets to reflect new commodity price decks, refreshed exploration and production models, and company specific meetings.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 11

MTDR: Lower Long Dated Oil Assumptions Will Pressure Future Equity Upside

Matador Resources' fair value estimate has been trimmed by $1 to $47, even as analysts lift price targets into the $52 to $62 range based on updated oil price assumptions, higher expected profit margins and lower forward P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Matador Resources has been mixed, with a cluster of higher price targets sitting above the current fair value estimate alongside a set of more guarded adjustments that highlight where things could go wrong.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 24

MTDR: Stronger Oil Strip Is Expected To Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Matador Resources slightly higher to about $57.53, with the latest price target moves, including a recent lift to $59, tied largely to updated views on the oil strip and commodity price outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Matador Resources reflects a mix of optimism around the commodity backdrop and some recalibration of expectations tied to longer dated oil assumptions and stock rating changes.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 10

MTDR: Recalibrated Oil Decks Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Matador Resources to approximately $74.78 from about $82.48, reflecting updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, a lower discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple in light of recent price target cuts and a downgrade in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Matador Resources has leaned cautious overall, with several firms trimming price targets and, in at least one case, issuing a downgrade.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 27

MTDR: Revised Commodity Decks Will Still Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Matador Resources by about $1 to roughly $57, as they factor in updated commodity price decks and company guidance, while still acknowledging modestly higher long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions alongside a slightly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Matador Resources shows a mix of optimism around the company’s execution and growth outlook, alongside some caution tied to updated commodity price assumptions and guidance.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 12

MTDR: Higher 2025 Production And Increased Payouts Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Matador Resources by a few dollars to around the mid US$50s. This reflects updated 2025 guidance, early 2026 commentary and a relative preference for gas focused names over oil producers.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 09

Matador Resources: The Market Is Not Perceiving The Full Valuation

Summary Matador Resources is rated a buy, leveraging operational efficiency, midstream integration, and attractive valuation metrics in the Permian Basin. MTDR's tri-frac and horseshoe well innovations drive 20% efficiency gains and record-low drilling costs, supporting 5% organic oil production growth. San Mateo Midstream, 51%-owned by MTDR, underpins stable EBITDA and offers strategic optionality, with potential monetization or retention debated for competitive advantage. MTDR's valuation is compelling at 3.39x EV/EBITDA and 5.95x P/E, with strong margins, a robust balance sheet, and a 10–15 year Tier 1 drilling runway. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 26

MTDR: Rising Production And Capital Returns Will Drive Future Upside Momentum

Analysts have nudged their consolidated price target for Matador Resources marginally higher to approximately $58.58 from about $58.16. This reflects slightly improved valuation assumptions even as updated 2025 and preliminary 2026 outlooks introduce modestly higher discount rates and more conservative growth expectations.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 12

MTDR: Rising Production And Dividend Growth Will Drive Future Upside Momentum

Analysts have slightly trimmed their average price target for Matador Resources by about $1, reflecting modestly softer long term growth and valuation assumptions, even as expectations for margins and free cash flow remain constructive. Analyst Commentary Street research on Matador Resources reflects a mix of constructive views on execution and cash generation, alongside some recalibration of valuation as updated 2025 guidance and early 2026 outlooks are incorporated.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 27

MTDR: Rising Production And Dividend Increase Will Support Upside Momentum

Matador Resources’ analyst price target has been lowered modestly, declining from $59.44 to $58.72. This adjustment reflects analysts factoring in updated company guidance and evolving sector preferences in North American energy markets.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 12

MTDR: Record Quarterly Production And Dividend Hike Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Matador Resources, trimming it from $59.72 to $59.44 per share. The adjustment reflects ongoing commodity headwinds while maintaining optimism around the company’s stable growth strategy and free cash flow priorities.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 29

Record Production And Strong Free Cash Flow Will Drive Margins Into 2026

Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target for Matador Resources from approximately $63.56 to $59.72 per share, citing softer expected revenue growth and recent commodity headwinds as key factors influencing the outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Matador Resources reflects a mix of optimism surrounding the company’s operational strengths and persistent caution over commodity market challenges.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 14

Delaware Basin Midstream Expansion Will Strengthen Margins Despite Risks

Matador Resources' average analyst price target has edged downward by about $1 to $63.56, as analysts reassess the impact of commodity headwinds and evolving free cash flow strategies on the company's growth prospects. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research offers a nuanced view of Matador Resources' outlook, with analysts weighing both the company's strategic strengths and the headwinds impacting future performance.
Articolo di analisi • Jul 03

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Matador Resources Company's (NYSE:MTDR) Low P/E

Matador Resources Company's ( NYSE:MTDR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.8x might make it look like a strong...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Matador Resources: Share Repurchases Should Provide A Positive Benefit

Summary Matador Resources announced a $400 million share repurchase program. It trimmed capex in response to weak commodity prices. Matador can generate around $6 per share in free cash flow at the current 2025 strip, much of which can go towards share repurchases. I estimate its value at $68 per share at long-term (after 2026) $70 WTI oil, so share repurchases at $40 per share can provide a significant benefit. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 21

Matador Resources: 2025 Free Cash Flow May Approach $1.1 Billion

Summary Matador is projected to generate $1.083 billion in free cash flow at the current strip. Matador increased its quarterly dividend to $0.3125 per share, a 25% increase from its prior dividend. It appears to have potential room for further dividend increases in 2025. Matador's Q4 2024 results and 2025 guidance were largely in-line with my prior expectations. It has made progress in continuing to reduce D&C costs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 19

Matador Resources Could Be Your Next Oil And Gas Winner

Summary Matador's recent growth has been driven primarily by efficiency gains and the acquisition of high-quality acreage. Valuation is attractive relative to the company's own recent history and that of peers like Diamondback Energy, Devon Energy, Permian Resources,.and EOG Resources. Despite a low forward dividend yield, Matador's low payout ratio and rapid CAGR make it attractive for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 25

Matador Resources Expects Over 200,000 BOEPD In 2025 Production

Summary Matador expects to produce over 200,000 BOEPD in 2025. This is driven by solid operational performance plus its Ameredev acquisition. MTDR is projected to generate over $7 per share in 2025 free cash flow at the current strip. It appears to have the capacity to continue increasing its dividend. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 30

Matador's Valuation Doesn't Account For The Threat Of An Exploration Ban

Summary Regulatory risks loom for Matador Resources, with potential future bans on new exploration licenses posing significant threats to its long-term growth and valuation. Matador's business model relies heavily on exploration and acquisitions, making it vulnerable to regulatory changes that could halt new drilling activities. A ban on future exploration is more likely than a ban on production. Current market valuation appears overly optimistic, not fully accounting for the existential risks, leading to my recommendation to sell Matador Resources stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 24

Matador Resources Company: Acquisition Of Upstream Assets Set To Grow Valuation Into 2025

Summary Matador Resources' acquisition of Ameredev II for $1.832 billion will significantly boost its enterprise value by nearly $2 billion, enhancing its Delaware Basin portfolio. The deal is strategically advantageous, as MTDR acquired Ameredev II at a bargain price compared to EnCap's 2022 valuation of $4 billion. MTDR's forward P/E ratio of 7.14X indicates the stock is undervalued, presenting a substantial upside potential into 2025. Despite increased debt, the acquisition is expected to generate an adjusted EBITDA of $475 million, making MTDR stock a compelling buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi

NYSE:MTDR - Stime future degli analisti e dati finanziari passati (USD Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliFlusso di cassa liberoLiquidità dell'operazioneAvg. Numero di analisti
12/31/20284,1921,0931,2252,7046
12/31/20274,2261,0881,0972,7367
12/31/20263,5996979112,4815
3/31/20263,592483592,168N/A
12/31/20253,6577592422,425N/A
9/30/20253,8727814142,526N/A
6/30/20253,8208534412,414N/A
3/31/20253,7549325502,506N/A
12/31/20243,4798852802,247N/A
9/30/20243,1009253452,290N/A
6/30/20243,0179411962,141N/A
3/31/20242,8258772471,997N/A
12/31/20232,8188463181,868N/A
9/30/20232,5038453651,696N/A
6/30/20232,5829196451,792N/A
3/31/20232,8831,1708251,989N/A
12/31/20223,1971,2148951,979N/A
9/30/20222,8371,1757141,867N/A
6/30/20222,5271,0415521,601N/A
3/31/20222,0347313251,213N/A
12/31/20211,8625853201,053N/A
9/30/20211,451281374876N/A
6/30/20211,173-199123695N/A
3/31/2021900-658-104538N/A
12/31/2020851-593-303478N/A
9/30/2020805-480-412519N/A
6/30/2020861-160-402568N/A
3/31/2020957230-356602N/A
12/31/20191,02688N/A552N/A
9/30/2019866200N/A542N/A
6/30/2019825174N/A549N/A
3/31/2019803197N/A532N/A
12/31/2018830274N/A609N/A
9/30/2018778176N/A496N/A
6/30/2018685173N/A432N/A
3/31/2018582142N/A374N/A
12/31/2017539126N/A299N/A
9/30/2017439192N/A260N/A
6/30/2017389189N/A206N/A
3/31/201734754N/A177N/A
12/31/2016280-97N/A134N/A
9/30/2016242-432N/A119N/A
6/30/2016232-686N/A145N/A
3/31/2016249-737N/A134N/A
12/31/2015267-680N/A209N/A
9/30/2015306-403N/A257N/A
6/30/2015333-131N/A251N/A

Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti

Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di MTDR ( 21.8% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.5% ).

Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di MTDR ( 21.8% all'anno) cresceranno più rapidamente del mercato US ( 16.8% all'anno).

Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di MTDR cresceranno in modo significativo nei prossimi 3 anni.

Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di MTDR ( 5.7% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 11.6% all'anno).

Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di MTDR ( 5.7% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.

Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione

Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio

ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di MTDR sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 13.3 %).

Scoprire le aziende in crescita

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Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/05/20 23:41
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/05/20 00:00
Utili2026/03/31
Utili annuali2025/12/31

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

Matador Resources Company è coperta da 41 analisti. 14 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
Jeffrey RobertsonBarclays
Subhasish ChandraBenchmark Company
Randy OllenbergerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research