Moelis Performance degli utili passati
Criteri Il passato verificati 5/6
Gli utili di Moelis sono diminuiti a un tasso medio annuo di -19.2%, mentre il settore Capital Markets ha visto gli utili crescere a un tasso medio annuo di 5.8%. I ricavi sono cresciuti crescere a un tasso medio annuo di 0.6%. Il ritorno sul capitale proprio di Moelis è 39.9% e ha margini netti di 14.5%.
Informazioni chiave
-19.16%
Tasso di crescita degli utili
-24.61%
Tasso di crescita dell'EPS
| Capital Markets Crescita del settore | 10.26% |
| Tasso di crescita dei ricavi | 0.64% |
| Rendimento del capitale proprio | 39.88% |
| Margine netto | 14.46% |
| Ultimo aggiornamento sugli utili | 31 Mar 2026 |
Aggiornamenti sulle prestazioni recenti
Recent updates
Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Apr 29
MC: Rich Buyback Will Face Pressure From Weaker Profitability Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Moelis by $1 to $58. This reflects updated assumptions that pair slightly higher forecast revenue growth and P/E expectations with a more conservative profit margin outlook and a marginally higher discount rate.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Apr 15
MC: Future Buybacks Will Support Returns Despite Reduced Multiple Assumptions
Analysts have trimmed their Moelis price target from $90 to $86, reflecting updated assumptions that combine slightly lower projected revenue growth with a higher profit margin outlook and a reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Moelis reported that from October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025 it repurchased 716,257 shares, or 0.97% of shares, for US$45.09 million under an existing buyback program.Seeking Alpha • Apr 14
Moelis: Cost Of Capital Risks Mean Dealmaking Snag Could Endure
Summary Moelis & Company (MC) faces a worse Q1 containing the Iran War, SaaS-pocalypse effects and a translation upwards of the yield curve. Deal momentum in general has been affected by the Iran War; Q4 revenue growth had already decelerated to 11% despite marquee transactions and added managing directors. The factors that might have led to a sponsor return and sustained megadeals, i.e rate cuts and lower cost of capital with inflation calming, are in reverse. Logically we should expect an environment now more akin to the Ukraine war outbreak environment of 2023 and 2022. Expectations are a dangerous thing with inflation. Mid-market players have also been struck YTD almost as much in stalled price performance. While all should have declined, mid-market should have declined less than MC. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAggiornamento dell'analisi • Apr 01
MC: New Buyback Authorization And Fair View Will Shape Long Term Outlook
Analysts now set a slightly lower price target for Moelis at $59.00, compared with $60.81 previously, reflecting small refinements to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Completed a share repurchase tranche from October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025, buying 716,257 shares, or 0.97% of shares, for $45.09 million under the existing program (Key Developments).Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Mar 17
MC: New Buyback Authorization Will Support A Constructive Long Term Outlook
Analysts now see Moelis' fair value at about $60.81, down from $72.00. This reflects updated assumptions around higher revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Mar 03
MC: New Buyback Plan Will Support A Constructive Long Term Outlook
Analysts reaffirmed their $72.00 price target on Moelis, citing slight model adjustments around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations that, in their view, still support the existing valuation framework. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025, the company repurchased 700,000 shares, representing 0.95% of shares, for a total of $44.07 million under its existing buyback plan (Key Developments).Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Feb 16
MC: Share Repurchases And Updated Assumptions Will Shape A Still Cautious Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Moelis to $72.00 from $67.07, citing updated assumptions related to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025, Moelis repurchased 700,000 shares, representing 0.95%, for US$44.07 million under its existing buyback program (Key Developments).Articolo di analisi • Feb 08
Moelis (NYSE:MC) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.65
Moelis & Company ( NYSE:MC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.65 per share on the 26th of March. Based...Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Feb 02
MC: Modest Assumption Tweaks Will Support A Still Cautious Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Moelis higher from US$66.00 to about US$67.07, citing refined assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E as the key drivers of the adjustment. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Updated slightly higher from US$66.00 to about US$67.07 per share.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Jan 19
MC: Share Repurchases Will Offer Limited Support To A Still Cautious Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Moelis from US$68.00 to US$66.00, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly different revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, Moelis repurchased 205,966 shares for US$14.57 million, equal to 0.28% of its shares.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Jan 05
MC: Share Repurchases And Slightly Stronger Margins Will Support Moderate Future Upside
Analysts have modestly refined their price target on Moelis to reflect slightly faster expected revenue growth, marginally stronger profit margins, and a small reduction in the assumed cost of equity, while keeping fair value essentially unchanged at $68.00 per share. What's in the News Completed a multiyear share repurchase program, buying back a total of 3,352,750 shares, or about 5.57% of outstanding stock, for $152.4 million under the authorization announced on February 6, 2019 (company buyback disclosure).Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Dec 14
MC: Share Repurchases And Higher Profitability Will Support Moderate Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on Moelis up by 5 percent to 68 dollars, citing expectations for stronger profitability and a lower future earnings multiple, despite slightly softer projected revenue growth. What's in the News Completed a multi year share repurchase program totaling 3,352,750 shares, or 5.57 percent of outstanding shares, for 152.4 million dollars under the buyback announced on February 6, 2019 (Key Developments) In the latest tranche from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, repurchased 205,966 shares, or 0.28 percent of outstanding shares, for 14.57 million dollars (Key Developments) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly from 65.0 dollars to 68.0 dollars per share, reflecting a modestly higher intrinsic valuation.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Nov 28
MC: Share Repurchases And Solid Margins Will Drive Further Upside Ahead
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Moelis slightly downward from $76.75 to $76.50, citing minor updates to profitability metrics and discount rate assumptions. What's in the News Between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, Moelis repurchased 205,966 shares for a total of $14.57 million.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Nov 14
MC: Buyback Completion And Rising Margins Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Moelis to $76.75. They cite modest adjustments to growth assumptions and discount rates, despite improvements in profit margin and expected earnings multiples.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Oct 30
MC: Share Buybacks Will Drive Long-Term Value Amid Rising Profit Margins
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Moelis downward from $80 to approximately $76.86. They cite expectations for slightly slower revenue growth, a modest increase in profit margins, and a lower projected future price-to-earnings ratio.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Oct 03
Global Cross-Border M&A And PCA Expansion Will Boost Market Opportunities
Analysts have raised the fair value target for Moelis from $78.60 to $80.00. This reflects modest improvements in revenue growth expectations, along with adjustments for a slightly higher discount rate and a lower projected future price-earnings ratio.Aggiornamento dell'analisi • Sep 09
Global Cross-Border M&A And PCA Expansion Will Boost Market Opportunities
The modest rise in Moelis's consensus price target to $78.60 appears driven by a slight decline in its forward P/E multiple, signaling improved valuation attractiveness despite unchanged revenue growth expectations. What's in the News Completed repurchase of 3,146,784 shares (5.29% of outstanding) for $137.83 million under its buyback program.Articolo di analisi • Jul 15
Moelis & Company's (NYSE:MC) Shares Leap 26% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
Moelis & Company ( NYSE:MC ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone...Seeking Alpha • Jan 06
Moelis: Too Much Of A Sponsor Recovery Bet Amid Trumpflation
Summary MC is higher multiple than peers due to more latent earnings from a sponsor recovery. Our concern is that Trumpflation may extend timelines further for when PE comes back to market. While MC will benefit from a more lax FTC, there are other picks that will as well and have more to offer in terms of growth factors and multiple. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 14
Moelis: A Lot Still Riding On A Sponsor Recovery
Summary Moelis had a strong quarter, driven by capital markets and restructuring. We are a bit concerned about the sustainability of ECM and DCM activities. The firm is heavily reliant on a sponsor market recovery which still is facing challenges. We think market multiples reflect that a lot is riding on the sponsor recovery for Moelis, something we'd prefer not to bet on right now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nuova analisi • Aug 30
Interest Rate Fluctuations And Restructuring Shifts Pose Challenges, Yet M&A And Decisive Expansions Promise Revenue Growth
Dependency on high interest rates and conventional fee structures under pressure could negatively affect Moelis' restructuring revenues and overall revenue model.Seeking Alpha • Jun 21
Moelis: Sponsors Still On Sidelines
Summary Moelis saw a strong quarter led by recovery, with M&A weak due to the shortfall from little PE and other financial sponsor activity. The company was more optimistic last call on the M&A recovery. Timing considerations for PE may keep them on the sidelines for quite a bit longer until rates are cut. There is some latent earnings pressure from compensation-based dilution. We prefer Lazard on valuation and intermediate return considerations. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 01
Moelis: Restructuring One-Offs Surge Revenues
Summary Moelis had a strong quarter with substantial revenue growth, largely driven by a major restructuring that is not expected to be recurring. The underlying activity in M&A remains weak, in line with the end of 2022 levels, and the end of year quarters for M&A were not as strong as usual. MC has been aggressive in hiring, but its headcount has only increased by 3-4% and is mainly focused on optimizing its coverage rather than bloating the ranks. Some savings will be coming in incrementally, and any pickup in activity will translate rapidly to the bottom line. But the good news seems priced in. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 24
Moelis & Company: Solid Company, But A Rich Valuation
Summary Moelis & Company has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 since going public in 2014. The investment banking advisory industry is highly competitive, with low barriers to entry and low switching costs for customers. MC has used the recent industry downturn to significantly grow its managing director headcount and is poised to benefit once the industry recovers. The Company is currently trading at a high valuation relative to peers and its own historical norms, but the company now has significantly more earnings power than was the case in the past. I am initiating MC with a hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 15
Moelis: The Time Has Come For M&A
Summary Moelis & Company should start seeing a pickup in larger ticket deals and, therefore, in their end markets for some sequential improvements. A return of sponsor activity will be important for upfronting revenue events, but the drought seems to be ending with high-profile IPOs and market activity in again. Leading indicators for restructuring revenue look good, and this is a decent chunk, around 20%, of Moelis' business, and will help out in the coming quarters finally. Overall, historical prices show that Moelis may be slightly extended, but we are pretty optimistic about the advisory world. However, there are still risks on cost of capital uncertainties, especially with the latest CPI figures, that could derail things. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 12
Moelis: Deteriorating Financials And Further Downside Ahead
Summary Moelis & Company is facing financial underperformance due to a decrease in investment banking activity, and its stock is significantly overvalued compared to peers. The company's revenues are increasingly susceptible due to a lack of geographic diversification and heavy exposure to the U.S. market, whilst also facing increasing costs following ambitious hiring. Management insider transactions show heavy selling year-to-date, and the sell-side community consensus is skewed to the downside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 07
Moelis Q4 2022 Earnings Preview
Moelis (NYSE:MC) is scheduled to announce Q4 earnings results on Wednesday, February 8th, after market close. The consensus EPS Estimate is $0.33 (-76.8% Y/Y) and the consensus Revenue Estimate is $211.34M (-50.3% Y/Y). Over the last 2 years, MC has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time and has beaten revenue estimates 88% of the time. Over the last 3 months, EPS estimates have seen 0 upward revisions and 8 downward. Revenue estimates have seen 0 upward revisions and 6 downward.Ripartizione dei ricavi e delle spese
Ripartizione dei ricavi e delle spese
Come Moelis guadagna e spende denaro. In base agli ultimi utili dichiarati, su base LTM.
Storico di utili e ricavi
| Data | Ricavi | Utili | Spese G+A | Spese di R&S |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 1,530 | 221 | 1,083 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 1,517 | 233 | 1,082 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 1,468 | 235 | 1,036 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 1,384 | 198 | 993 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 1,284 | 170 | 936 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 1,195 | 136 | 887 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 971 | 41 | 809 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 969 | 13 | 845 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 884 | -12 | 794 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 855 | -25 | 775 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 847 | 1 | 734 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 808 | 37 | 643 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 871 | 88 | 636 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 985 | 150 | 663 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 1,203 | 229 | 759 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 1,460 | 324 | 904 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 1,579 | 364 | 979 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 1,541 | 365 | 962 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 1,538 | 393 | 915 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 1,254 | 305 | 737 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 1,053 | 220 | 673 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 943 | 179 | 609 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 745 | 74 | 591 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 769 | 81 | 602 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 762 | 117 | 534 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 747 | 105 | 528 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 761 | 123 | 496 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 737 | 115 | 476 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 804 | 121 | 521 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 886 | 141 | 558 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 817 | 77 | 518 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 779 | 63 | 495 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 731 | 47 | 465 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 685 | 29 | 438 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 720 | 69 | 457 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 701 | 60 | 444 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 660 | 47 | 422 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 613 | 38 | 392 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 584 | 34 | 375 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 585 | 35 | 376 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 579 | 35 | 366 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 552 | 33 | 347 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 521 | 32 | 318 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 498 | 28 | 289 | 0 |
Guadagni di qualità: MC ha guadagni di alta qualità.
Margine di profitto in crescita: Gli attuali margini di profitto netti di MC (14.5%) MC sono più alti rispetto allo scorso anno (13.2%).
Flusso di cassa libero e analisi degli utili
Analisi della crescita degli utili nel passato
Andamento degli utili: Gli utili di MC sono diminuiti del 19.2% all'anno negli ultimi 5 anni.
Accelerare la crescita: La crescita degli utili di MC nell'ultimo anno ( 30.3% ) supera la media quinquennale ( -19.2% all'anno).
Guadagni vs Settore: La crescita degli utili MC nell'ultimo anno ( 30.3% ) ha superato la percentuale del settore Capital Markets 26.9%.
Rendimento del capitale proprio
ROE elevato: Il Return on Equity ( 39.9% ) di MC è considerato alto.
Rendimento delle attività
Rendimento del capitale investito
Scoprire le aziende con forti performance passate
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/05/07 20:07 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Utili | 2026/03/31 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/12/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
| |
| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
|
|
| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
| |
| Proprietà | 10 anni |
| |
| Gestione | 10 anni |
| |
| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
|
* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
Moelis & Company è coperta da 18 analisti. 10 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Charles Hintz | Bernstein |
| Brennan Hawken | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Ebrahim Poonawala | BofA Global Research |