Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.

Report azionario NYSE:RCL

Capitalizzazione di mercato: US$69.8b

Royal Caribbean Cruises Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 2/6

Royal Caribbean Cruises prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 9.5% e 7.7% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 10.9% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 39.4% in 3 anni.

Informazioni chiave

9.5%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

10.86%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Hospitality crescita degli utili18.5%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi7.7%
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio39.37%
Copertura analitica

Good

Ultimo aggiornamento22 May 2026

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 14

Royal Caribbean Cruises: Buying The Dip

Summary Royal Caribbean Cruises remains best-in-class in the cruise industry, supported by strong fundamentals and growing popularity. Despite a negative ROIC-to-WACC ratio, RCL boasts a high return on equity, earnings, and revenue, underpinning its premium valuation case. Short-term stock underperformance is viewed as a buying opportunity for long-term dividend growth investors. Debt remains a risk, but the stock is now trading near fair value given a conservative DCF approach based on earnings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 04

RCL: Mixed Street Reset And 2026 Outlook Will Keep Upside In Check

Royal Caribbean's updated analyst price target has moved lower, with the fair value estimate shifting from $286.04 to $268.88 as analysts factor in a higher discount rate, slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple after a recent mix of target cuts and raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Royal Caribbean shows a mix of views, but the pattern of price target resets stands out.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 20

RCL: 2026 Margin Profile And Cash Returns Will Support Further Upside

Analyst price targets for Royal Caribbean Cruises have been revised lower by about $13, reflecting updated expectations for slightly softer revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin profile, a somewhat reduced future P/E, and a higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises shows a mixed but active debate on where the shares should trade, with several large firms adjusting their price targets both higher and lower in quick succession.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 05

RCL: Future Upside Will Rely On Enduring Cruise Demand Strength

Analysts maintained the Royal Caribbean Cruises fair value estimate at $425.00 and slightly adjusted underlying assumptions such as the discount rate and revenue growth, reflecting a mix of recent price target increases and trims across the Street while still leaning on expectations for solid demand and operational execution. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Royal Caribbean reflects a generally constructive tone, with most updates pointing to confidence in the company’s ability to execute on demand trends, pricing and capacity additions, even as some firms fine tune targets around shorter term Caribbean and geopolitical considerations.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 21

RCL: Future Upside Will Rely On Sustained Cruise Demand Strength

Analysts have nudged Royal Caribbean Cruises' target higher to $376, reflecting tweaks to slightly lower discount rates, modestly stronger projected revenue growth and margins, and a small adjustment to future P/E assumptions supported by recent research that points to ongoing cruise demand and double digit revenue expectations into fiscal 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Royal Caribbean points to an increasingly constructive tone, with several firms lifting price targets and highlighting supportive demand data, even as some acknowledge near term headwinds in specific regions such as the Caribbean.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 07

RCL: Future Profitability And Buybacks Are Expected To Drive Upside

The analyst price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises has been raised to $425.00 from $414.78, with analysts pointing to stronger projected profit margins and a lower assumed future P/E multiple, even as revenue growth expectations are adjusted. Analyst Commentary Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises has been active, with a cluster of price target revisions signaling how closely the stock is being tracked.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 21

RCL: Elevated Expectations And Caribbean Yield Pressures Will Restrain Share Upside

Analysts have lifted their aggregate price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises, reflecting a move from about $245 to roughly $286 as they factor in updated expectations around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises has been active, with several firms revisiting their price targets and near term views.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 06

RCL: 2026 Guidance And Margin Outlook Will Support Measured Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Royal Caribbean Cruises by about $31 to $362, citing updated research that reflects slightly lower growth assumptions alongside firmer profit margin expectations and a broadly higher set of Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Street research on Royal Caribbean Cruises has been active, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 23

RCL: Strong Demand And Buybacks Are Expected To Drive Upside

Analysts nudged their price targets higher on Royal Caribbean Cruises, with our fair value estimate moving from US$411.61 to about US$414.78 as they weighed stronger cruise demand data alongside mixed views on yields and costs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Royal Caribbean Cruises points to a split tape, but the more optimistic voices highlight demand strength, supportive spend data, and confidence in the company’s ability to execute through near term headwinds.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 09

RCL: Softer Revenue Yields And 2026 EPS Guidance Will Pressure Shares

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises by about $23 to reflect a combination of slightly higher required returns, a modestly lower assumed profit margin and valuation multiple, and updated views on revenue growth and earnings visibility following recent Q3 commentary and 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Royal Caribbean point to a more cautious tone, even as analysts continue to engage with the story following Q3 results and the release of 2026 guidance.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 25

RCL: Share Repurchases And Efficient Fleet Are Expected To Drive Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Royal Caribbean Cruises to about $411.61 from $420, citing slightly slower expected revenue growth, modestly lower profit margins, and a higher discount rate, even as they still see robust long term EPS expansion supported by the company's hardware advantages. Analyst Commentary Despite the modest recalibration in price targets, bullish analysts continue to emphasize Royal Caribbean's structural advantages, disciplined capacity growth, and strong earnings trajectory through the back half of the decade.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 11

RCL: Reset 2026 Guidance Will Unlock Upside From Conservative Earnings Outlook

Analysts have nudged down their Royal Caribbean Cruises price target by about $5 per share, reflecting slightly higher discount rates and more conservative long term earnings and yield assumptions, even as they still expect robust EPS growth through 2028. Analyst Commentary Analysts are recalibrating their views on Royal Caribbean Cruises following the latest earnings update, trimming price targets but generally maintaining expectations for solid medium term growth and balance sheet progress.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 27

RCL: Upside Will Emerge As 2026 Guidance Resets Market Expectations

Royal Caribbean’s analyst price target has been modestly reduced from $337 to $333, as analysts cite more cautious outlooks on future yield growth and mixed booking trends. This comes despite continued recognition of the company’s long-term strengths.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 13

RCL: Earnings Upside Will Emerge As Conservative 2026 Guidance Resets Expectations

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Royal Caribbean Cruises, trimming it from approximately $344 to $337. They cite a slightly higher discount rate, marginally slower revenue growth and profit margin projections, as well as recent indications of softer yield momentum in upcoming quarters.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 29

Earnings Momentum Will Recover As New Vessel Deliveries Accelerate Through 2028

Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst price target has shifted downward by $11.78 to $344.09, as analysts cite conservative earnings guidance, softer-than-expected revenue yield trends, and mixed forward booking indicators. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage of Royal Caribbean Cruises highlights both confidence in the company’s execution and caution around its future earnings trajectory.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 19

New Cruise Ships And Private Destinations Will Expand Markets

Analysts have raised Royal Caribbean Cruises' price target to $355.87, citing strong forward demand, robust pricing power, industry-leading margins, and accretive land-based initiatives, while recent share gains leave some caution on tactical positioning. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong forward demand and robust pricing power driving significant upward EPS revisions for Royal Caribbean through 2027/2028.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 04

New Cruise Ships And Private Destinations Will Expand Markets

Despite a less attractive near-term tactical setup following a sector rally, analysts cite strong demand, robust pricing, and superior margins as drivers for Royal Caribbean's long-term EPS and market share growth, resulting in the consensus price target remaining unchanged at $351.65. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight strong forward demand, robust pricing, and optionality from land-based projects as drivers for increased price targets.
Articolo di analisi • Jul 16

An Intrinsic Calculation For Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:RCL) Suggests It's 44% Undervalued

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Royal Caribbean Cruises fair value estimate is US$604 Current...
Articolo di analisi • Jul 04

Investors Appear Satisfied With Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s (NYSE:RCL) Prospects As Shares Rocket 25%

Despite an already strong run, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. ( NYSE:RCL ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...
Articolo di analisi • May 27

Investors Will Want Royal Caribbean Cruises' (NYSE:RCL) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 26

Royal Caribbean Cruises' Selloff Is Finally Here - Upgrade To Buy

Summary RCL has had the much needed correction from recent heights, with it triggering the cheaper valuations and richer double digits upside potential. Combined with the growing net yields, expanding profit margins, and healthier balance sheet, we believe that the company is well positioned to outperform moving forward. With many of its cruise/ travel peers still reporting excellent performance metrics, we believe that RCL is likely to deliver a beat and raise earnings call in FQ1'25. We shall further discuss why we are finally upgrading the stock to a Buy here, significantly aided by the moderating CBOE Volatility Index, lower short interest, and robust bullish support at the 200 DMA. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 05

Royal Caribbean: Margin Expansion Will Drive Shares Higher

Summary Royal Caribbean will continue to grow revenue in 2025 while costs per APCD/berth will likely decline, resulting in significant margin expansion. I calculate Royal Caribbean's cruise pricing increased 3.9% in Q4 and industry sources suggest pricing is now 5.0% above year-ago levels. Based on the quarterly seasonality of 2024 earnings, first quarter earnings of $2.60 per share should translate into full year earnings of $17.36 per share. Royal Caribbean's history of exceeding full year earnings guidance suggests $2.00 to $3.00 EPS upside is possible in 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 19

Royal Caribbean Cruises: This Company Is Built To Withstand A Slowdown

Summary Royal Caribbean's strong recovery post-COVID, with a 203% total return over three years, demonstrates robust demand and effective management. The company’s Q4 earnings beat expectations, with $2.52 per share and strong booking numbers at higher pricing, despite rising cruise costs. Royal Caribbean's financial health is solid, with improved debt ratios, strong liquidity, and increasing cash flow, positioning it well for future growth. The cruise market's expected 12.9% compound growth rate through 2030 and RCL's premium brand status make it undervalued at 17.69x forward GAAP earnings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 10

Royal Caribbean Cruises: Fade The Rally - Consumer Spending Trends May Reverse Soon

Summary Royal Caribbean Cruises has had an eye-watering rally as consumer spending trends remain robust across commerce/ e-commerce/ retail/ travel, with the same sentiments reiterated by numerous market leaders. Despite the uncertain macroeconomic outlook, RCL continues to report growing top/ bottom-lines and increasing deposits, significantly aided by the raised prices and growing capacity. Even so, it is undeniable that the stock is now trading at a notable premium, with the pulled forward upside potential triggering a minimal margin of safety. If anything, FY2025 may bring forth a tougher YoY comparison and impacted consumer affordability, attributed to the potentially higher for longer inflationary pressure. This is also why we believe that RCL's growth derived from price hikes is unlikely to be replicated ahead, with it contributing to its incrementally tougher future growth opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 03

Royal Caribbean Cruises: Why You Should Disembark

Summary I am giving Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. a sell rating. RCL has a stellar high-quality earnings and a solid annual free cash flow. The company suffers from poor short-term liquidity and has substantial amounts of long-term debt and capital expenditures eating into its cash flow. Using a discounted cash flow model taking annual free cash flow as the primary metric, Royal Caribbean is overvalued by 227% from its current intrinsic value of $70.48. Though the company is a major player in a rapidly growing industry, my valuation model has already taken a lofty 34.6% growth rate over the next five years into account. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 01

Royal Caribbean: No Significant Upside Despite Factoring In Generous Assumptions

Summary RCL posted yet another strong quarter and posted a 17.45% y/y revenue growth. Operating margins expanded by 298bps to 33.46%. However, net income margin deteriorated due to higher interest expenses. The company raised guidance and expects a strong FY2024. Net yields are expected to grow 11.4%. Capacity will increase by 7.8%. Cruise costs per APCD will only grow 4.25%. RCL is well-positioned to continue enjoying industry-related tailwinds. Moreover, RCL's growth initiatives such as fleet expansion and investments in private islands will help increase the company's revenue capacity. Despite factoring in generous assumptions, valuation analysis suggests that market participants have already fully priced in the company's potential, suggesting that investors will be better off putting their capital elsewhere. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 19

Royal Caribbean: Let Your Winners Run - Downgrade To Hold

Summary Market trends continue to point to durable cruise demand, with Cruise Lines International Association already projecting robust growth in passengers and capacity through 2027. These developments naturally trigger RCL's raised FY2024 guidance along with the raised consensus forward estimates, with it implying that the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic is behind us. If anything, the company continues to report improved balance sheet health attributed to the richer adj EBITDA margins, despite the new fleet deliveries. Even so, with RCL already charting triple digit 1Y gains, it is undeniable that the stock is trading at a premium compared to historical trends and its peers. We urge investors to not chase the rally at these heights, while recommending traders to take most of their gains upon the reversal of the stock price trend. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi

NYSE:RCL - Stime future degli analisti e dati finanziari passati (USD Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliFlusso di cassa liberoLiquidità dell'operazioneAvg. Numero di analisti
12/31/202822,9375,9653,3758,76913
12/31/202721,0895,3383,5767,77724
12/31/202619,6394,6442,2197,12924
3/31/202618,3884,4791,3716,672N/A
12/31/202517,9354,2681,2366,465N/A
9/30/202517,4364,0672,0356,309N/A
6/30/202517,1833,6033,5875,737N/A
3/31/202516,7553,2472,1105,564N/A
12/31/202416,4842,8771,9975,265N/A
9/30/202416,0552,602-3704,914N/A
6/30/202415,3302,500-5554,676N/A
3/31/202414,7422,1056084,495N/A
12/31/202313,9001,6975804,477N/A
9/30/202313,1729202,4413,937N/A
6/30/202312,005-561,7933,233N/A
3/31/202310,667-1,0377212,320N/A
12/31/20228,840-2,156-2,229481N/A
9/30/20227,219-3,013-3,418-300N/A
6/30/20224,683-4,470-3,920-658N/A
3/31/20222,549-5,296-4,129-1,597N/A
12/31/20211,532-5,260-4,108-1,878N/A
9/30/2021584-5,270-4,544-2,498N/A
6/30/202193-5,193-4,812-2,952N/A
3/31/2021218-5,485-6,514-4,740N/A
12/31/20202,209-5,797-5,697-3,732N/A
9/30/20204,692-4,157-4,553-2,297N/A
6/30/20207,913-1,927-3,078-528N/A
3/31/202010,544185-9702,837N/A
12/31/201910,9511,879N/A3,716N/A
9/30/201910,7661,921N/A3,839N/A
6/30/201910,3751,849N/A3,743N/A
3/31/20199,9061,842N/A3,633N/A
12/31/20189,4941,811N/A3,479N/A
9/30/20189,1661,783N/A3,167N/A
6/30/20188,9391,726N/A3,147N/A
3/31/20188,7971,629N/A3,002N/A
12/31/20178,7781,625N/A2,875N/A
9/30/20178,6831,598N/A2,970N/A
6/30/20178,6771,539N/A2,905N/A
3/31/20178,5871,399N/A2,835N/A
12/31/20168,4961,283N/A2,517N/A
9/30/20168,4891,229N/A2,339N/A
6/30/20168,448765N/A2,177N/A
3/31/20168,401720N/A1,998N/A
12/31/20158,299666N/A1,946N/A
9/30/20158,215569N/A1,892N/A
6/30/20158,081830N/A1,903N/A

Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti

Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di RCL ( 9.5% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.5% ).

Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di RCL ( 9.5% all'anno) cresceranno più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 16.8% all'anno).

Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di RCL cresceranno, ma non in modo significativo.

Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di RCL ( 7.7% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 11.7% all'anno).

Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di RCL ( 7.7% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.

Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione

Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio

ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di RCL sarà elevato tra 3 anni ( 39.4 %)

Scoprire le aziende in crescita

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1Y

7D

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Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/05/22 18:06
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/05/22 00:00
Utili2026/03/31
Utili annuali2025/12/31

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. è coperta da 48 analisti. 24 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Felicia Kantor HendrixBarclays
Brandt MontourBarclays