COVER Crescita futura
Criteri Future verificati 5/6
COVER prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 29.7% e 11.7% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 30.1% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 24.4% in 3 anni.
Informazioni chiave
29.7%
Tasso di crescita degli utili
30.05%
Tasso di crescita dell'EPS
| Entertainment crescita degli utili | 6.6% |
| Tasso di crescita dei ricavi | 11.7% |
| Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio | 24.40% |
| Copertura analitica | Good |
| Ultimo aggiornamento | 14 May 2026 |
Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura
Recent updates
Large 1 time write downs clears FY27 and F28 for refocused direction
(Fair Value adjusted to 13%, matching in-line with company Net Revenue forecast and accounting for a conservative outlook due to current headwinds.) Multi-model Intrinsic Value estimates: EPV: ¥1291 EV/EBITDA (Relative): ¥1480 P/E (Relative): ¥1150 DCF - EBITDA Exit: ¥2280 DCF - Growth Exit: ¥3640 Major headwinds: Rebounding by salvaging applicable technology from HoloEarth Reallocation of resources, staff or evaluation of necessary workforce reduction SG&A Continues to grow as management believes more talent managers and support staff or needed to make their talent more productive. Several new labor laws and standards came into effect in 2026 directly affecting Entrusted Business Operators (AKA the talent/VTubers) - These laws require companies be in compliance and in some cases, significantly their signed agreements which can significantly affect future terms and agreements made with the company.Significant headwinds will temper expectations for FY2027
12-month forecast for 2026-2027: 1150-1480 Yen a share DCF 5 year Exit forecast: 2280-3640 Yen a share Cover Corporation's annual fiscal report was soul crushing as missteps from management, wasted production time and unfocused effort all led to a significant amount of waste in workloads and investment potential. Cover's "Metaverse" project with HoloEarth is officially dead in the water and will be discontinued after spending over 3 Billion Yen in development/support costs over the past 2 1/2 years.Trading Multiple Forecast shows decreased Faire Value
Current P/E models project Cover Corporation's fair price at approximately 1466 JPY with a 6.6% upside. EV / EBITDA models are bearish with Cover's fair price at current levels hovering 1333 to 1376 JPY with a -3.1% upside.Margin compression will persist through FY 2028
*Effects of joint venture between Cover Corporation and NERD Inc expected to add margin compression no greater than 9% but worth watching given current spending levels.* News and statements made over the past 7 days have raised news doubts regarding the sticker price of Cover Corporation over the next 2-5 years. With new Japanese laws implemented in 2026 upending overwhelming control between talent and company, combined with the joint venture announcement between Cover and private talent management agency NERD Inc., the blindsiding announcement related to their male talent group "Holostars" shortly after the beginning of their new fiscal year shows a winding down of current contracts and expected exits sans further announcements over transition or control of management to a similar joint venture company or agency.Mixed signals; potential hints of year end miss
Q3 delivered a mixed result picture with increased foreshadowing of risk over the next 6 weeks. Total revenue fell short of analyst forecasts while forecasted EPS beat its target.Price cliff ahead! Watch the short selling
Price (Valuation): unchanged Rationale: Valuation update " Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 26%" is severely misleading. Updated "Investor sentiment" is from major short selling ahead of Cover Corporation's Q3 report.Q3 Déjà vu?
Current short term "Fair Value" price maintained at 1.72k. Long term Fair Value and price forecast will depend on the results from their Q3 report.Cover approaching critical Q3 report
Cover continues to lavishly spend while failing to produce any trackable data involving current live services still under development (ie. HoloEarth, Hololive RECORDS, and their (third) attempt at a "Fanclub" premium service).There Are Some Holes In COVER's (TSE:5253) Solid Earnings Release
Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...Here's Why We Think COVER (TSE:5253) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings Are Built On Soft Foundations
Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...Capital Investments At COVER (TSE:5253) Point To A Promising Future
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...What You Can Learn From COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E After Its 25% Share Price Crash
COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25...We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings
Following the solid earnings report from COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ), the market responded by bidding up the stock...The Price Is Right For COVER Corporation (TSE:5253) Even After Diving 29%
COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 31% Share Price Bounce
Those holding COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the...With EPS Growth And More, COVER (TSE:5253) Makes An Interesting Case
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Why We're Not Concerned Yet About COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) 26% Share Price Plunge
COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26...COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 68% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, COVER fair value estimate is JP¥3,193 COVER's JP¥1,905 share...COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.1x COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) may be sending very bearish signals...Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi
| Data | Ricavi | Utili | Flusso di cassa libero | Liquidità dell'operazione | Avg. Numero di analisti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2029 | 68,000 | 9,900 | 9,500 | 12,600 | 1 |
| 3/31/2028 | 67,285 | 8,840 | 7,797 | 11,010 | 6 |
| 3/31/2027 | 55,535 | 6,772 | 6,000 | 8,937 | 3 |
| 3/31/2026 | 49,330 | 3,016 | 4,669 | 7,204 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 49,219 | 5,709 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 48,051 | 5,438 | 2,802 | 5,335 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 46,614 | 5,632 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 43,401 | 5,559 | 2,810 | 5,285 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 39,804 | 5,289 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 34,994 | 4,600 | 2,731 | 4,881 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 31,440 | 4,136 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 30,166 | 4,137 | 1,069 | 4,765 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 26,874 | 3,852 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 20,451 | 2,508 | 2,504 | 4,866 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 13,663 | 1,244 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 5,724 | 1,220 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti
Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di 5253 ( 29.7% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 0.8% ).
Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di 5253 ( 29.7% all'anno) cresceranno più rapidamente del mercato JP ( 8.8% all'anno).
Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di 5253 cresceranno in modo significativo nei prossimi 3 anni.
Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di 5253 ( 11.7% all'anno) crescerà più rapidamente del mercato JP ( 5.3% all'anno).
Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di 5253 ( 11.7% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.
Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio
ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di 5253 sarà elevato tra 3 anni ( 24.4 %)
Scoprire le aziende in crescita
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/05/22 07:30 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Utili | 2026/03/31 |
| Utili annuali | 2026/03/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
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| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
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| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
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| Proprietà | 10 anni |
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| Gestione | 10 anni |
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| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
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* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
COVER Corporation è coperta da 9 analisti. 6 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Kazuki Sakaguchi | Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. |
| Norihiro Miyazaki | Goldman Sachs |
| Yasuyoshi Mimura | Ichiyoshi Research Institute Inc. |