Prada Crescita futura
Criteri Future verificati 1/6
Prada prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 5.2% e 6.3% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 5.2% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 17.1% in 3 anni.
Informazioni chiave
5.2%
Tasso di crescita degli utili
5.24%
Tasso di crescita dell'EPS
| Luxury crescita degli utili | 9.4% |
| Tasso di crescita dei ricavi | 6.3% |
| Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio | 17.09% |
| Copertura analitica | Good |
| Ultimo aggiornamento | 20 May 2026 |
Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura
Recent updates
Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 05
1913: Brand Elevation And Execution On Cash Generation Will Support 2026 Luxury Recovery
Analysts have trimmed their HK$ price targets on Prada, citing a lower fair value estimate and a more conservative future P/E multiple. A series of recent downgrades has reinforced a cautious stance on the stock.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 21
1913: 2026 Recovery Hopes Will Confront Cautious Stance On Execution Risks
Analysts have reduced their HK$ fair value estimate for Prada from about HK$40.81 to around HK$37.66, reflecting recent price target cuts and downgrades to more cautious stances. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a more cautious tone around Prada, with bearish analysts trimming fair value estimates and shifting to more neutral positions.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 06
1913: 2026 Dividend Catalyst Will Reward Patience After Tough 2025
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Prada to about HK$54 from roughly HK$59, citing slightly more conservative growth assumptions, a higher discount rate and lower future P/E expectations, along with recent rating downgrades from firms such as Kepler Cheuvreux and Macquarie, partly offset by a more constructive view from Barclays. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Prada shows a clear split between more constructive voices looking at potential upside and more cautious views focused on execution risk and valuation reset.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 23
1913: Brand Elevation And Direct Channels Will Underpin 2026 Luxury Recovery Potential
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their Prada price target to about HK$75 from roughly HK$83, reflecting slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins. At the same time, they factor in a higher future P/E and note mixed recent views that range from a Neutral stance with a HK$46 target to an Overweight call at HK$68.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 08
1913: Recovery In 2026 Will Reward Patience After Tough 2025
Analysts have trimmed their blended fair value estimate for Prada shares to about HK$59 from roughly HK$61. This reflects a more cautious stance after a recent downgrade to Neutral at HK$46, alongside a still constructive HK$68 Overweight target, and updated assumptions for a slightly higher discount rate, modestly stronger revenue growth, and a slightly lower profit margin and future P/E.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 22
1913: Recovery Expectations For 2026 Will Renew Interest After Tough 2025
Analysts have trimmed their HK$ price target on Prada by a small amount, reflecting slightly adjusted fair value and growth assumptions after what they expect to be a challenging 2025, followed by a potential recovery for the wider luxury sector in 2026. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the HK$68 price target as reflecting confidence that the brand can sustain its premium positioning once conditions for luxury spending improve after the period they expect to be challenging in 2025.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 08
1913: 2026 Sector Recovery Expectations Meet Measured View On Execution Risks
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Prada higher to HK$40.81 from HK$40.27, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with renewed optimism that the luxury sector could see a recovery after 2025. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Prada points to a split view.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 24
1913: Recovery Setup In 2026 Balances Margin Concerns And Reduced Market Multiple
Prada’s updated analyst price target moves from about $45.04 to $40.27, as analysts factor in higher assumed revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, and a reduced future P/E, while still describing a potential recovery setup for luxury in 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research frames Prada as part of a potential recovery setup for luxury in 2026.Articolo di analisi • Jan 23
Prada S.p.A.'s (HKG:1913) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 42% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights The projected fair value for Prada is HK$59.16 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Prada is...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 10
1913: Higher Growth Forecasts Will Support Renewed Interest Despite Margin Pressure
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Prada to €61.26 from €61.94, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions, a modest adjustment to profit margin expectations, and a revised future P/E input. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate reduced slightly to €61.26 from €61.94.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 27
1913: Brand Elevation And Direct Channels Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Prada to HK$53 from HK$50, reflecting slightly higher long term growth and valuation assumptions, even as they flag a multi year "hangover" period for the broader luxury sector and an increasingly crowded field of creative directors. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge a more challenging backdrop for the luxury sector, but still see room for Prada to outperform select peers over the medium term.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 13
1913: Brand Momentum And Direct Channels Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Prada to HK$53 from HK$60, citing a reassessment of sector growth prospects after an extended boom period and increased competitive uncertainty as more creative directors debut across leading luxury houses. Analyst Commentary While the latest move reflects a more cautious sector stance, bullish analysts still highlight several supportive factors underpinning Prada’s long term investment case, particularly around brand momentum, execution discipline, and structural growth opportunities.Articolo di analisi • Dec 12
Prada (HKG:1913) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 29
1913: New Creative Leadership Will Drive Renewed Interest Amid Sector Slowdown
Analysts have reduced their price target for Prada from HK$60 to HK$53. This change reflects a more cautious sector outlook amid a slowdown following several years of above-average luxury market growth.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 15
1913: Future Creative Direction Will Drive Momentum After Sector Challenges
Prada's analyst price target has been revised slightly upward to approximately HK$63.22 from HK$62.32. Analysts cite ongoing sector headwinds but maintain optimism for the brand's long-term fundamentals despite a period of industry adjustment.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 31
1913: Rising Creative Director Presence Will Shape Luxury Sector Dynamics Ahead
Prada's analyst price target has increased slightly from HK$61.64 to HK$62.32, as analysts acknowledge stable fundamentals and moderate growth expectations. This comes amid a cautious outlook for the luxury sector.Articolo di analisi • Oct 19
Getting In Cheap On Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) Is Unlikely
When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 17
Digital Retail And Sustainable Efforts Will Open New Markets
Narrative Update on Prada Analysts have lowered their price target for Prada from HK$60 to HK$53, citing expectations of a slower period of growth for the luxury sector and adjusting projections accordingly. Analyst Commentary The recent reassessment of Prada's rating and price target reflects a nuanced view on the company's near-term outlook as well as the broader luxury sector's trajectory.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 03
Digital Retail And Sustainable Efforts Will Open New Markets
Narrative Update: Analyst Price Target Adjustment for Prada Analysts have revised their price target for Prada downward from €64.60 to €62.78. Updated forecasts for revenue growth and profit margin are cited as key factors in the adjustment.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 17
Digital Retail And Sustainable Efforts Will Open New Markets
Prada’s future P/E ratio has surged markedly, indicating much higher expected earnings multiples, while the consensus analyst price target has remained nearly flat, rising only marginally from HK$63.71 to HK$64.60. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled to approve and announce unaudited interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2025.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Aug 27
Digital Retail And Sustainable Efforts Will Open New Markets
Despite the analyst price target for Prada remaining essentially stable, a sharp increase in the future P/E ratio suggests significantly higher earnings expectations have not materialized, ultimately leaving the fair value nearly unchanged at HK$63.77. What's in the News Meta and EssilorLuxottica plan to release AI-powered smart glasses under both Oakley and Prada brands, signaling Meta’s effort to expand wearable hardware into the luxury fashion segment through new partnerships (CNBC).Articolo di analisi • Aug 19
An Intrinsic Calculation For Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) Suggests It's 26% Undervalued
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Prada fair value estimate is HK$56.13 Prada's HK$41.52 share...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Aug 07
Digital Retail And Sustainable Efforts Will Open New Markets
With the consensus analyst price target for Prada unchanged at HK$63.92, the notable surge in the forward P/E ratio from 23.18x to 211.31x suggests sharply diminished earnings expectations, supporting the lack of upward revision in fair value. What's in the News Meta and EssilorLuxottica are launching AI-powered smart glasses under the Prada and Oakley brands, expanding Meta's wearable hardware to more fashion companies, with Prada marking a first-time partnership in this product category (CNBC).Articolo di analisi • Aug 01
Earnings Miss: Prada S.p.A. Missed EPS By 5.6% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
It's been a sad week for Prada S.p.A. ( HKG:1913 ), who've watched their investment drop 16% to HK$40.60 in the week...Articolo di analisi • Jul 28
Is Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) Potentially Undervalued?
Let's talk about the popular Prada S.p.A. ( HKG:1913 ). The company's shares saw significant share price movement...Articolo di analisi • Jul 10
Prada S.p.A.'s (HKG:1913) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't
Prada S.p.A.'s ( HKG:1913 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.7x might make it look like a sell right now...Articolo di analisi • May 23
These 4 Measures Indicate That Prada (HKG:1913) Is Using Debt Safely
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Nuova narrazione • Mar 09
Expansion Of Miu Miu Will Broaden Market Presence In Future
Prada's strategic investments in store renovation and Miu Miu expansion are set to enhance consumer experience and drive substantial revenue growth.Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi
| Data | Ricavi | Utili | Flusso di cassa libero | Liquidità dell'operazione | Avg. Numero di analisti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 7,221 | 971 | 1,094 | 2,043 | 13 |
| 12/31/2027 | 6,792 | 872 | 1,259 | 1,909 | 17 |
| 12/31/2026 | 6,403 | 786 | 1,154 | 1,766 | 16 |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,718 | 852 | 1,043 | 1,654 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 5,670 | 847 | 1,019 | 1,598 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,623 | 841 | 994 | 1,541 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 5,527 | 840 | 1,093 | 1,597 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 5,432 | 839 | 1,192 | 1,652 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 5,237 | 794 | 980 | 1,606 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 5,043 | 749 | 768 | 1,561 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,885 | 710 | 582 | 1,358 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,726 | 671 | 396 | 1,155 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,629 | 627 | 618 | 1,149 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,532 | 582 | 840 | 1,143 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,366 | 524 | 861 | 1,133 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,201 | 465 | 882 | 1,124 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,983 | 425 | 831 | 1,068 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,766 | 385 | 780 | 1,011 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,566 | 340 | 852 | 1,077 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 3,366 | 294 | 924 | 1,144 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,176 | 259 | 868 | 1,046 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,986 | 223 | 812 | 948 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,704 | 85 | 647 | 770 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,423 | -54 | 483 | 592 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,508 | -67 | 453 | 595 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,593 | -79 | 423 | 597 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,909 | 88 | 461 | 703 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,226 | 256 | 499 | 810 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,201 | 255 | N/A | 680 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,177 | 255 | N/A | 549 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,160 | 230 | N/A | 457 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,142 | 205 | N/A | 365 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,990 | 238 | N/A | 487 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 3,099 | 252 | N/A | 573 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 3,141 | 265 | N/A | 603 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 3,184 | 278 | N/A | 632 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 3,334 | 306 | N/A | 617 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 3,278 | 284 | N/A | 572 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 3,497 | 343 | N/A | 476 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 3,548 | 331 | N/A | 368 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 3,582 | 366 | N/A | 320 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 3,625 | 394 | N/A | 338 | N/A |
Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti
Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di 1913 ( 5.2% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3% ).
Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di 1913 ( 5.2% all'anno) cresceranno più lentamente rispetto al mercato Hong Kong ( 12.5% all'anno).
Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di 1913 cresceranno, ma non in modo significativo.
Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di 1913 ( 6.3% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato Hong Kong ( 8.6% all'anno).
Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di 1913 ( 6.3% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.
Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio
ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di 1913 sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 17.1 %).
Scoprire le aziende in crescita
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/05/21 09:46 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Utili | 2025/12/31 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/12/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
| |
| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
|
|
| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
| |
| Proprietà | 10 anni |
| |
| Gestione | 10 anni |
| |
| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
|
* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
Prada S.p.A. è coperta da 51 analisti. 17 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Jiaying Huang | Barclays |
| Carole Madjo | Barclays |
| Julian Easthope | Barclays |