Orica Crescita futura
Criteri Future verificati 3/6
Orica prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 27.6% e 2.4% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 24.2% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 17.5% in 3 anni.
Informazioni chiave
27.6%
Tasso di crescita degli utili
24.24%
Tasso di crescita dell'EPS
| Chemicals crescita degli utili | 27.8% |
| Tasso di crescita dei ricavi | 2.4% |
| Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio | 17.48% |
| Copertura analitica | Good |
| Ultimo aggiornamento | 20 May 2026 |
Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura
Recent updates
Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 02
ORI: Refined Forecast Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Outlook
Analysts have made a marginal adjustment to Orica's price target, with fair value moving slightly from A$25.44 to A$25.42, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised from A$25.44 to A$25.42, a very small downward adjustment in the modelled fair value.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 17
ORI: Refined Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly lower to A$25.44 from A$25.64. This reflects updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 03
ORI: Refined Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Orica slightly to A$25.64 from A$25.75. This reflects small adjustments to assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 19
ORI: Slightly Higher Assumptions Will Support A Steady Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Orica from A$26.50 to A$25.75 as small adjustments to key inputs, including discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, filter through their valuation models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$26.50 to A$25.75, a small downward adjustment to the modelled valuation.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 04
ORI: Slightly Lower Assumptions Will Support A Steady Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Orica slightly lower to A$26.50 from A$26.58, reflecting modest adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions while keeping the future P/E view broadly stable. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly to A$26.50 from A$26.58.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 18
ORI: Slightly Higher Return Assumptions Will Support A Steady Fair Value Outlook
Analysts now set their price target for Orica at about A$26.58, up slightly from around A$26.44, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$26.44 to A$26.58, a slight upward adjustment in the modelled estimate.Articolo di analisi • Feb 16
Is Orica (ASX:ORI) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 04
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Stable Assumptions Will Support Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly higher to A$26.44 from A$26.10, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Orica increased its equity buyback authorization by A$100 million to a total of A$500 million on November 13, 2025, expanding the size of its existing program (Key Developments).Articolo di analisi • Jan 26
Why We're Not Concerned About Orica Limited's (ASX:ORI) Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 74.3x Orica Limited ( ASX:ORI ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 20
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Steady Assumptions Will Support Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts now keep their fair value estimate for Orica steady at A$26.10, with only marginal adjustments to model inputs such as the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions resulting in an unchanged price target. What's in the News On November 13, 2025, Orica increased its equity buyback authority by A$100 million to a total of A$500 million, signaling continued use of capital for share repurchases (Key Developments).Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 06
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Steady Assumptions Will Support Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts have reaffirmed their price target on Orica at A$26.10, with only minor tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate, long run revenue growth, profit margin and assumed future P/E. This keeps their valuation view broadly unchanged.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 22
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Higher Dividend Will Support Moderately Balanced Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have raised their price target on Orica to approximately A$26.10 from A$23.68, reflecting slightly lower perceived risk, stronger expected revenue growth, and a higher future earnings multiple that more than offset a modest downward revision to profit margins. What's in the News Expanded equity buyback authorization by AUD 100 million, lifting the total program to AUD 500 million as of November 13, 2025 (company announcement) Declared an increased ordinary dividend of AUD 0.32 per share for the six months ended September 30, 2025, with ex date November 21, record date November 24, and payment date December 22, 2025 (company announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has risen moderately to approximately A$26.10 from about A$23.68.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 08
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Dividend Will Support Moderately Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly higher to reflect a modest improvement in the company’s risk profile and earnings sustainability, with the updated valuation now implying a fair value of approximately $23.68 per share. What's in the News Orica increased its equity buyback plan by AUD 100 million on November 13, 2025, lifting the total authorization to AUD 500 million (company announcement).Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 24
ORI: Buyback Expansion And Dividend Actions Will Shape Balanced Market Sentiment
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Orica upward from $23.38 to $23.68. This change reflects updated forecasts and supportive changes in core financial metrics.Articolo di analisi • Nov 17
Orica (ASX:ORI) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
Orica Limited ( ASX:ORI ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 07
ORI: Revenue Forecasts Will Drive Modest Shifts In Future Market Expectations
Analysts have raised their price target for Orica, increasing the estimated fair value from $22.95 to $23.38. This change reflects slightly improved revenue growth forecasts and updated discount rates.Articolo di analisi • Nov 03
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Orica Limited (ASX:ORI)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Orica is AU$24.40 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Orica's AU$22.14...Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 24
Sustained Earnings Expected From Recent Acquisitions And Technology Improvements
Analysts have raised their price target for Orica from $22.56 to $22.95. They cite a slight improvement in projected revenue growth, while discount rates remain stable and profit margin expectations have been adjusted only slightly.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 23
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Orica's fair value has been revised marginally higher as analysts factor in slightly improved revenue growth expectations, with the consensus price target moving from A$22.17 to A$22.56. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Orica The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from A$22.17 to A$22.56.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 08
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Despite lower consensus revenue growth forecasts, a higher future P/E multiple has supported a moderate increase in Orica’s analyst price target to A$22.17. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Orica The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from A$21.56 to A$22.17.Articolo di analisi • Aug 08
Does Orica (ASX:ORI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
ASX:ORI 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Orica's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Some say...Articolo di analisi • Jul 08
An Intrinsic Calculation For Orica Limited (ASX:ORI) Suggests It's 41% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Orica is AU$33.84 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Orica's AU$19.82...Articolo di analisi • Jun 20
The Price Is Right For Orica Limited (ASX:ORI)
It's not a stretch to say that Orica Limited's ( ASX:ORI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x right now seems...
Nuova narrazione • Dec 06
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Strategic acquisitions and focus on advanced technology are expected to drive revenue growth and enhance earnings through integration and cross-selling opportunities.Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi
| Data | Ricavi | Utili | Flusso di cassa libero | Liquidità dell'operazione | Avg. Numero di analisti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 8,651 | 706 | 902 | 1,234 | 14 |
| 9/30/2027 | 8,414 | 646 | 751 | 1,109 | 14 |
| 9/30/2026 | 8,124 | 269 | 303 | 642 | 14 |
| 3/31/2026 | 8,116 | 251 | 465 | 935 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 8,149 | 207 | 500 | 942 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 8,183 | 162 | 535 | 949 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 8,104 | 130 | 495 | 906 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,999 | 98 | 456 | 862 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,845 | 311 | 403 | 835 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,691 | 525 | 351 | 808 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 7,647 | 518 | 468 | 948 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 7,604 | 511 | 585 | 1,088 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 7,775 | 403 | 522 | 993 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,945 | 296 | 460 | 899 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,997 | 282 | 314 | 710 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 8,049 | 267 | 169 | 521 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 7,573 | 206 | 91 | 441 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 7,096 | 145 | 13 | 362 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,870 | -262 | -19 | 323 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,556 | -225 | 138 | 471 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,242 | -188 | 296 | 619 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,690 | -21 | -70 | 176 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,926 | 25 | -158 | 161 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,161 | 71 | -247 | 145 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 5,789 | 273 | -44 | 474 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,948 | 377 | 158 | 671 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,922 | 311 | N/A | 708 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,896 | 245 | N/A | 746 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 5,794 | 230 | N/A | 758 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 5,691 | 214 | N/A | 770 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 5,547 | 83 | N/A | 692 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 5,402 | -48 | N/A | 615 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 5,282 | -43 | N/A | 478 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 5,162 | -38 | N/A | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,116 | 174 | N/A | 403 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,070 | 386 | N/A | 466 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,035 | 388 | N/A | 633 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,999 | 389 | N/A | 800 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,055 | 366 | N/A | 789 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,111 | 343 | N/A | 778 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,431 | -1,336 | N/A | 593 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,552 | -1,306 | N/A | 666 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,673 | -1,275 | N/A | 739 | N/A |
Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti
Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di ORI ( 27.6% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.6% ).
Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di ORI ( 27.6% all'anno) cresceranno più rapidamente del mercato Australian ( 11.9% all'anno).
Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di ORI cresceranno in modo significativo nei prossimi 3 anni.
Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di ORI ( 2.4% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato Australian ( 6.1% all'anno).
Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di ORI ( 2.4% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.
Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio
ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di ORI sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 17.5 %).
Scoprire le aziende in crescita
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/05/21 07:25 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Utili | 2026/03/31 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/09/30 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
| |
| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
|
|
| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
| |
| Proprietà | 10 anni |
| |
| Gestione | 10 anni |
| |
| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
|
* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
Orica Limited è coperta da 33 analisti. 14 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Brook Campbell-Crawford | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Benjamin Brayshaw | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Joseph House | Bell Potter |