Challenger Limited

Report azionario ASX:CGF

Capitalizzazione di mercato: AU$7.2b

Challenger Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 1/6

Si prevede che i ricavi di Challenger diminuiranno a 14.8% all'anno, mentre si prevede che i suoi utili annuali cresceranno a 6.1% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 7.7% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà 12.4% in 3 anni.

Informazioni chiave

6.1%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

7.73%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Diversified Financial crescita degli utili-22.9%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi-14.8%
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio12.38%
Copertura analitica

Good

Ultimo aggiornamento14 Jul 2026

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Recent updates

Aggiornamento narrativa • Jul 17

CGF: Retirement Tailwinds And Breakout Pattern Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have lifted their price target for Challenger to A$10.32 from A$9.75, citing slightly lower required returns, a modestly improved profit margin outlook and updated assumptions for long term P/E multiples across asset managers. Analyst Commentary Recent valuation work on Challenger is being shaped by broader views on listed asset managers, where research on peers highlights both supportive and challenging factors for the sector.
Nuova narrativa • Jul 14

Offshore Reinsurance And Private Credit Dependence Will Strain Future Retirement Income Margins

Catalysts About Challenger Challenger focuses on retirement income products, annuities and funds management, with a core presence in the Australian market and an expanding offshore reinsurance business. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jul 03

CGF: Retirement Tailwinds And Chart Breakout Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Challenger up from A$9.43 to A$9.75. This reflects slightly lower discount rate assumptions, a marginally weaker revenue outlook, and a modestly higher projected profit margin and future P/E multiple.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jun 18

CGF: Retirement Tailwinds And Risk Recalibration Will Guide Future Share Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their Challenger price target to A$9.43. This reflects slightly lower assumed risk in the discount rate while keeping fair value and earnings expectations broadly unchanged.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jun 03

CGF: Earnings Delivery And P E Calibration Will Shape Future Repricing Path

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Challenger slightly higher to A$9.43 from A$9.38, reflecting small adjustments to discount rate assumptions, revenue growth expectations and projected profit margins, while keeping future P/E assumptions broadly in line with recent sector research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research around global alternative asset managers, including several price target cuts for Carlyle from large brokers such as JPMorgan and others, highlights how quickly sentiment can swing when earnings quality is under scrutiny.
Aggiornamento narrativa • May 14

CGF: Capital Returns And P E Calibration Will Shape Future Repricing Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger by A$0.09 to reflect slightly lower assumed discount rates and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple, while keeping fair value estimates broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research on alternative asset managers has focused on resetting valuation assumptions, adjusting earnings expectations for fee based businesses and reassessing how much multiple investors may be willing to pay for forward earnings.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Apr 27

CGF: Capital Returns And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Repricing Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger to A$9.38 from A$9.50, citing slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping the discount rate broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research across the broader asset management sector shows a mix of optimism and caution on valuation, execution and growth, which offers useful context for Challenger investors assessing the latest price target trim.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Apr 09

CGF: Capital Returns And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target for Challenger slightly higher to A$9.50 from A$9.44, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate and future P/E that are broadly consistent with recent adjustments seen across alternative asset managers. Analyst Commentary The recent tweak to Challenger's A$9.50 price target fits into a broader pattern that research desks have been applying across global alternative asset managers, including the Carlyle updates referenced here.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Mar 25

CGF: Capital Returns And Fee Margins Will Drive Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have adjusted Challenger's price target slightly lower to A$9.44, citing updated sector-wide assumptions on earnings flows, discount rates and future P/E multiples, while still reflecting the same fair value estimate in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent changes to Challenger's valuation echo broader adjustments seen across the alternative asset manager space, where analysts have been fine tuning targets in response to updated assumptions on earnings flows, discount rates and P/E multiples.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Mar 11

CGF: Capital Returns And Fee Margins Will Drive Forward Market Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their A$ price target on Challenger, citing slightly more cautious assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends and margins, while still applying a modestly higher future P/E multiple in line with recent sector research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on global alternative asset managers provides some context for how analysts are thinking about valuation, growth and execution risks that can be relevant when assessing Challenger.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Feb 23

CGF: Capital Returns And Margin Execution Will Shape Forward Market Sentiment

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger to A$9.44 from A$9.63. This reflects slightly softer revenue growth expectations, a modestly lower discount rate, improved profit margin assumptions and a lower future P/E multiple.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Feb 09

CGF: Sector Sentiment And Fee-Based Opportunities Will Shape Forward Returns

Analysts have nudged up their price target on Challenger, citing slightly higher fair value estimates, a modestly higher discount rate, and a small adjustment to future P/E assumptions as the key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts around the sector are using higher price targets and slightly richer P/E assumptions to signal confidence in execution and earnings quality for similar asset managers, and that tone is feeding into how some investors read the recent Challenger target move.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jan 24

CGF: Sector Sentiment Swings And Credit Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Narrative Update on Challenger Analysts have nudged their price targets on Challenger slightly higher, reflecting a modest uplift in their fair value estimate to 9.58, a small change in the discount rate, and only marginal adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around comparable alternative asset managers gives some useful context for how analysts are thinking about valuation, growth, and execution risk for names like Challenger.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jan 06

CGF: Capital Markets Recovery And Credit Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have made a modest trim to their price target on Challenger to about A$9.47 from roughly A$9.47. This reflects slight adjustments to fair value, discount rate assumptions and expected P/E, while still seeing support from a recovering capital markets backdrop cited in recent research on alternative asset managers.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Dec 15

CGF: Capital Markets Rebound And Credit Concerns Will Shape Returns Ahead

Analysts have nudged their price target on Challenger modestly higher to reflect a slightly lower perceived risk profile and stable long term earnings multiples, even as they continue to factor in cautious assumptions around capital markets activity and muted near term returns across alternative asset managers. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research on alternative asset managers highlights a mixed but generally constructive backdrop that informs views on Challenger.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Nov 28

CGF: Capital Markets Activity And Credit Conditions Will Drive Sentiment This Year

Challenger's analyst price target has increased slightly, rising from $9.38 to $9.47. Analysts cite broader market stabilization and modest improvements in sector valuation expectations.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Nov 13

CGF: Capital Market Activity And Discount Rates Will Influence Market Sentiment This Year

Challenger's analyst price target has increased modestly, rising by $0.18 to $9.38. Analysts are factoring in stable revenue growth, a slightly improved discount rate, and supportive updates from recent sector research, despite ongoing concerns over valuations and expected returns.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Oct 30

CGF: Future Market Conditions Will Guide Earnings Momentum And Balance Near-Term Risks

Analysts have increased their price target for Challenger from $9.03 to $9.19 per share, citing expectations for improved capital markets conditions and positive momentum in fundamentals. This comes despite modest adjustments to revenue growth and profit margin forecasts.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Oct 16

APRA Reforms And Digital Integration Will Uplift Retirement Income Sectors

Challenger's analyst price target has been modestly increased to $9.03 from $8.83, as analysts cite improving fundamentals and expectations of stronger future performance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a range of perspectives on Challenger's outlook, shedding light on both optimism and reservations among analysts.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Sep 04

APRA Reforms And Digital Integration Will Uplift Retirement Income Sectors

Despite improved business momentum, sector tailwinds, and greater earnings diversification supporting a positive outlook, the Challenger consensus Analyst Price Target remained unchanged at A$8.83. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong Q2 results and accelerating business momentum as key drivers for upward price target revisions.
Articolo di analisi • Jul 24

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Challenger Limited's (ASX:CGF) Price

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider...
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Nuova narrativa • Feb 23

Focus On Longer-Duration Annuities And Technology Will Improve Future Efficiency

Strategic sales shift to longer-duration annuities boosts book quality, earnings, and ROE, with a focus on lifetime and Japanese annuities.

Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi

ASX:CGF - Stime future degli analisti e dati finanziari passati (AUD Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliFlusso di cassa liberoLiquidità dell'operazioneAvg. Numero di analisti
6/30/20291,170586N/A4524
6/30/20281,1075365374297
6/30/20271,0315115034099
6/30/20269925433122779
12/31/20252,8004591,8841,884N/A
9/30/20252,9453261,1421,142N/A
6/30/20253,090192399400N/A
3/31/20253,017170370371N/A
12/31/20243,003147341342N/A
9/30/20242,896141695697N/A
6/30/20242,7891351,0501,051N/A
3/31/20242,993168789793N/A
12/31/20233,196202529535N/A
9/30/20232,886191906913N/A
6/30/20232,5751791,2831,291N/A
3/31/20234181091,7111,717N/A
12/31/2022-917152,1572,161N/A
9/30/2022-6241402,3212,324N/A
6/30/2022-3302642,4842,487N/A
3/31/20221,5924602,7772,784N/A
12/31/20213,5156563,0693,081N/A
9/30/20213,4216242,8172,829N/A
6/30/20213,3265922,5642,577N/A
3/31/20212,604891,4761,486N/A
12/31/20201,883-414388394N/A
9/30/20201,848-415432440N/A
6/30/20201,814-416476485N/A
3/31/20202,69453695712N/A
12/31/20193,575522914939N/A
9/30/20193,428415N/A796N/A
6/30/20193,280308N/A652N/A
3/31/20192,968221N/A1,159N/A
12/31/20182,655133N/A1,665N/A
9/30/20182,760228N/A1,821N/A
6/30/20182,865323N/A1,977N/A
3/31/20182,997357N/A1,801N/A
12/31/20173,128392N/A1,624N/A
9/30/20173,035395N/A1,611N/A
6/30/20172,941398N/A1,597N/A
3/31/20172,490346N/A1,676N/A
12/31/20162,040295N/A1,755N/A
9/30/20162,039311N/A1,519N/A
6/30/20162,038328N/A1,282N/A
3/31/20162,017365N/A1,049N/A
12/31/20151,996403N/A815N/A
9/30/20151,950351N/A815N/A

Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti

Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di CGF ( 6.1% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.6% ).

Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di CGF ( 6.1% all'anno) cresceranno più lentamente rispetto al mercato Australian ( 11.4% all'anno).

Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di CGF cresceranno, ma non in modo significativo.

Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che i ricavi di CGF diminuiranno nei prossimi 3 anni ( -14.8% all'anno).

Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che i ricavi di CGF diminuiranno nei prossimi 3 anni ( -14.8% all'anno).

Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione

Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio

ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di CGF sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 12.4 %).

Scoprire le aziende in crescita

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Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/07/23 01:05
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/07/23 00:00
Utili2025/12/31
Utili annuali2025/06/30

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina GitHub; abbiamo anche delle guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e dei tutorial su YouTube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

Challenger Limited è coperta da 21 analisti. 9 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
Andrew AdamsBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Benjamin BrayshawBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Marcus BarnardBell Potter