Okta Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 3/6
Okta devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 20% et de 8.6% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 22% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 10.2% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
20.0%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
21.96%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| IT croissance des bénéfices | 22.2% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 8.6% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 10.15% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 05 Jun 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 07
Todd McKinnon delivered, but still needs to find a better payment-solution
Update from 07.06.2026 For a long time, the market criticized Todd McKinnon because Okta, despite having an excellent technical solution, failed to become profitable. With the Q1 FY2027 results, that discussion appears to be over.Seeking Alpha • Jun 01
Okta Stock Gains On Earnings But The Bull Case Is Still Intact
Summary Okta (OKTA) is rated a Buy, supported by improved execution, strong free cash flow margins, and attractive valuation relative to security SaaS peers. Q1 revenue grew 11% to $765 million, with net retention at 107% and future contracted revenue (RPO) up 16%, indicating robust customer engagement. Management guides for 9% revenue growth, mid-20s non-GAAP operating margins, and Rule of 40 performance at 42%, signaling confidence in sustained profitability. Key risks include intensified competition from Microsoft and potential reputational damage from security incidents, but upside exists from AI monetization and further re-rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Mise à jour du récit • May 24
OKTA: AI Agent Security And Solid Q4 Execution Will Support Repricing
Narrative Update Okta's updated analyst price target edges higher by about $1 to roughly $101, as analysts factor in steady security demand, improving buying activity and early signs that new AI agent and identity offerings could support stronger profitability and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a wide range of views on Okta, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after the latest Q4 results, fiscal 2027 outlook and product updates around AI agents and identity governance.Mise à jour du récit • May 09
OKTA: AI Agent Identity And Q4 Execution Will Drive Repricing
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Okta is now slightly lower at about $100. Many analysts cite mixed signals between strong Q4 execution, growing interest in Okta's role in securing AI agents, and sector wide multiple compression as the key drivers behind their revised assumptions.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 21
OKTA: AI Agent Identity Leadership And Q4 Execution Will Drive Repricing
The analyst price target for Okta has been adjusted slightly lower to reflect a new fair value of about $100.28 per share, as analysts balance modestly higher discount rate assumptions with supportive research that highlights solid Q4 execution, improving go-to-market progress, and growing interest in Okta's role in securing AI agents. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Okta offers a mix of optimism and caution, with many firms adjusting price targets while reaffirming their broader views on the company.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 07
OKTA: AI Agent Identity Demand And 90 Day Catalyst Watch Will Drive Repricing
Narrative Update On Okta The analyst price target has been reset from about $112.55 to roughly $100.93, as analysts factor in mixed target revisions across the Street alongside expectations for steadier revenue growth, slightly higher margins, and a lower future P/E multiple following Okta's recent Q4 results and its AI identity positioning. Analyst Commentary Street research on Okta clusters around two themes: how fast growth can improve from here, and what investors should pay for that growth as market multiples reset.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 24
OKTA: Identity Securing AI Agents Will Drive Future Upside
Okta's analyst price target edges slightly lower to $133.38 from $133.87, as analysts weigh stronger identity and AI agent tailwinds and improving go to market execution against lower sector multiples and more tempered valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are highlighting a mix of execution, product traction, and identity led AI themes as key supports for their positive stance on Okta, even as several firms trim targets to reflect lower sector multiples.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 09
OKTA: Identity For AI Agents And Strong Q4 Execution Will Drive Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for Okta has moved from $145.00 to about $133.87, reflecting a mix of slightly softer modeled revenue growth, a higher discount rate, and lower assumed future P/E multiples, even as analysts highlight solid Q4 execution, growing traction in AI agent use cases, and ongoing confidence in identity as a core part of AI adoption. Analyst Commentary Street research around Okta after the Q4 print has been broadly constructive, even with several target cuts, as many firms point to solid execution, improving sales productivity, and growing demand tied to AI agents and newer products such as Governance.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 23
OKTA: Cybersecurity Demand And 90 Day Catalyst Watch Will Drive Repricing
Analysts have slightly reduced their Okta fair value estimate by about $1 to $112.55, as lower sector valuation multiples and AI related sentiment have led to lower price targets, even though checks on Okta's business and profitability assumptions remain generally intact. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Okta reflects a mix of optimism about the company’s execution and caution around sector wide repricing and AI related sentiment.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 08
OKTA: Cybersecurity Demand And 90 Day Bookings Catalyst Will Drive Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Okta from $142 to $145, citing expectations for durable cybersecurity growth, a potential 90 day bookings catalyst, and scenario analysis around remaining performance obligation trends that affects revenue and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Okta highlights a mix of optimism and caution, with several bullish analysts pointing to potential upside tied to cybersecurity demand, bookings performance, and remaining performance obligation trends that flow through to revenue and P/E assumptions.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 25
OKTA: Cybersecurity Demand And 90 Day Catalyst Watch Will Support Premium Performance
Narrative Update on Okta Our analyst price target for Okta edges higher by about US$1, supported by slightly lower discount rate assumptions and steady growth and profitability expectations that align with recent research pointing to durable cybersecurity demand and potential near term bookings strength. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Okta reflects a mix of optimism about growth and execution along with caution around near term expectations and valuation sensitivity ahead of key earnings events.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 11
OKTA: Future Identity Demand And RPO Resilience Will Support Premium Performance
Our analyst price target for Okta has been adjusted slightly higher from US$112.62 to US$113.02, as analysts factor in more measured expectations around remaining performance obligation growth following Barclays' recent reduction of its target to US$95 ahead of the December 2 earnings report. Analyst Commentary Recent adjustments to Okta’s price targets reflect a more cautious stance around growth expectations, especially heading into the December 2 earnings report.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 25
OKTA: Future Identity Demand And Data Compliance Will Drive Premium Performance
Narrative Update on Okta The analyst price target for Okta has been reduced by $1 to approximately $112.62 as analysts factor in slightly higher discount rates and more conservative assumptions around remaining performance obligation growth ahead of upcoming earnings. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary reflects a more balanced stance on Okta, with modestly reduced expectations for near term growth but a continued focus on execution into the upcoming earnings report.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 11
OKTA: Future Identity Data Compliance And AI Security Will Drive Performance
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Okta, trimming fair value estimates by about $7 to reflect slightly slower projected revenue growth and a lower future earnings multiple, even as profit margin expectations edge higher. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts note that management's guidance still implies solid mid-teens top-line expansion over the medium term, which supports a premium to slower-growing security peers despite the lower price target.Article d’analyse • Dec 10
Solid Earnings Reflect Okta's (NASDAQ:OKTA) Strength As A Business
Okta, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:OKTA ) strong earnings report was rewarded with a positive stock price move. We have done some...Mise à jour du récit • Nov 27
OKTA: Future Performance Will Benefit From Growing Identity Data Compliance Demand
Narrative Update on Okta Analysts have slightly reduced Okta's fair value estimate from $120.37 to $118.80, citing moderated expectations for the company's near-term growth and updated revenue forecasts. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the potential for upside in Okta’s remaining performance obligations, suggesting that third quarter growth could reach 13 percent year-over-year if demand outperforms baseline assumptions.Mise à jour du récit • Sep 27
Cloud Migration And AI Security Will Reshape Identity Markets
Despite strong Q2 results and improved guidance driven by robust demand and enterprise traction, mixed analyst sentiment—balancing enhanced profitability with caution around long-term growth and valuation—led to a slight reduction in Okta’s consensus price target from $120.92 to $120.37. Analyst Commentary Strong Q2 results with cRPO growth exceeding guidance and upward revisions to full-year revenue outlook, suggesting robust underlying demand and improved execution.Article d’analyse • Jun 16
Is Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA) Trading At A 31% Discount?
Key Insights Okta's estimated fair value is US$142 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Okta is estimated to be...Nouveau récit • May 26
Digital Transformation And AI Will Advance Identity Security
Rising demand for secure, unified identity management fueled by AI, remote work, and growing cybersecurity threats is driving Okta's growth and competitive differentiation.Seeking Alpha • Apr 16
Okta: Market Doesn't Believe Management, But You Should (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Okta has crushed guidance by large magnitudes over recent quarters. I am concerned that investor sentiment may be overly optimistic, expecting large beats against management guidance despite management warning otherwise. With a PEG ratio over 2 times and peers experiencing downward re-ratings, I do not see Okta delivering market-beating returns and thus downgrade it to neutral. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 31
Okta: Death And Resurrection
Summary Today, I'll provide a unique take on Okta, Inc.'s current business performance and prospects with the help of Palo Alto Networks. In 2017-2018, Palo Alto Networks was seen in a similar light to the way investors have come to view Okta. However, after evolving its platform and accelerating growth, investors shifted their perspective on Palo Alto Networks. I argue that Okta has taken and continues to take the necessary steps to reenter the good graces of investors and the market. And, through this process, it could experience a Palo Alto Networks-like resurrection in the years ahead. In short, I like Okta at $104/share. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 12
Okta: A Cash-Rich SaaS Stock With Underrated Growth Potential
Summary I love that Okta holds over $2.1 billion in cash—giving it flexibility and stability. At 18x forward free cash flow, Okta’s valuation looks compelling for a SaaS leader. I see room for revenue growth to reaccelerate beyond management’s conservative guidance. Okta’s improving margins could drive nearly $1 billion in free cash flow, making this a strong setup. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 04
Okta Q4: Enterprise Business Is Booming, Even Management Is Surprised
Summary Okta's Q4 FY25 earnings saw its revenue and earnings grow 13% and 30% earnings YoY respectively, surpassing analyst estimates and driving the stock up 16%. During the quarter, Okta saw its cRPO grow at an even higher pace compared to Q3, driven by the accelerating momentum in its $100K+ and $1M+ ACV customers. For FY26, the management remains committed to investing in ongoing product innovation, where its portfolio of new products has seen growing adoption along with the help from a targeted GTM strategy. Although NRR declined for the 3rd consecutive quarter, while FY26 revenue estimates came lower than my expectations, I believe directionally, OKTA is on the right track, reiterating my “buy” rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 31
Okta: Cybersecurity Leader In IAM Submarket
Summary Okta's market share in cybersecurity increased from 0.3% to 1.2% (2017-2024) due to its strong R&D investment and focus on IAM. Okta's competitive pricing and extensive feature set, second only to Microsoft, enhance its market position and customer adoption. Strategic partnerships and high customer ratings drive Okta's popularity, with a focus on acquiring larger, high-value customers. We rate Okta as a Strong Buy based on its competitive edge and growth prospects in IAM. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNouveau récit • Jan 20
Good foundation, but now it's all about the next steps
Okta was founded in 2009 by Todd McKinnon (CEO) and Frederic Kerrest with a vision to fundamentally improve the world of identity and access management (IAM). The company has established itself in a hSeeking Alpha • Jan 15
Okta: Mind The GAAP
Summary Many tech stocks have reached lofty valuations, but Okta has been left out. Investors may be disappointed with management's preliminary guidance for the upcoming year. Investors may be underestimating the company's entry into GAAP profitability. Okta looks like a solid opportunity in a frothy market. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 30
Okta's Breakout Imminent - Wait Out The Near-Term Customer Retention Issues
Summary OKTA has continued to report robust performance metrics across growing multi-year RPO and adj subscription gross margin, with it implying the growing customer demand and its excellent pricing power. If anything, the cybersecurity company has reported an impressive 3Y CAGR of +70.9% in the $1M+ Annual Contract Value customers, from $200M in FQ4'22 to $1B in FQ3'25. Combined with the "hundreds of millions of dollars of pipeline" from the Octane event, we believe that OKTA's sell off has been overly done. Despite the near-term customer retention issues, the new upsell/ cross sell activities are likely to drive new growth opportunities and a potential bottoming soon. With OKTA still painfully discounted compared to historical trends and its peers, we are looking at a rich double digits capital appreciation opportunity ahead. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 16
Okta: You Should Be Thankful It's Still So Cheap
Summary Okta stock has underperformed the market recently as it struggled to replicate its early 2024 momentum. Okta has revised its go-to-market strategies to target enterprise and government customers. While the recent gains are constructive, the market is likely awaiting more developments to validate its approach. Okta faces intense competition against Microsoft, while IT spending headwinds could affect near-term buying sentiments. I argue why investors have already baked in significant pessimism, as its well-battered PEG ratio highlights a solid buying opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 10
Okta: Growth Outlook Has Gotten Better
Summary I maintain a buy rating for Okta stock due to strong operational metrics, improved growth outlook, and successful partner-led strategy. 3Q25 earnings exceeded expectations with 14% y/y revenue growth and improved EBIT margins, leading to an upward revision of FY25 guidance. New products and partners-led GTM strategy should continue to drive growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/31/2029 | 3,857 | 489 | 1,160 | 1,175 | 16 |
| 1/31/2028 | 3,505 | 358 | 1,009 | 1,044 | 44 |
| 1/31/2027 | 3,200 | 280 | 877 | 905 | 44 |
| 4/30/2026 | 2,996 | 247 | 896 | 920 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 2,919 | 235 | 863 | 884 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 2,840 | 195 | 895 | 912 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 2,763 | 168 | 838 | 853 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 2,681 | 130 | 754 | 772 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 2,610 | 28 | 730 | 750 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 2,533 | -39 | 612 | 638 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 2,452 | -136 | 607 | 635 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 2,362 | -276 | 578 | 602 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 2,263 | -355 | 488 | 512 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 2,168 | -464 | 394 | 414 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 2,065 | -592 | 251 | 268 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 1,961 | -691 | 177 | 196 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 1,858 | -815 | 63 | 86 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 1,731 | -903 | -4 | 23 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 1,600 | -915 | 23 | 51 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 1,464 | -982 | 44 | 67 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 1,300 | -848 | 87 | 104 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 1,152 | -683 | 115 | 125 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 1,019 | -534 | 123 | 132 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 904 | -318 | 134 | 145 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 835 | -266 | 111 | 128 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 768 | -241 | 96 | 118 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 704 | -232 | 64 | 85 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 644 | -215 | 44 | 73 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 586 | -209 | N/A | 56 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 534 | -189 | N/A | 41 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 487 | -155 | N/A | 37 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 441 | -152 | N/A | 32 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 399 | -125 | N/A | 15 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 361 | -118 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 322 | -121 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 288 | -108 | N/A | -12 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 257 | -110 | N/A | -25 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 228 | -105 | N/A | -32 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 204 | -94 | N/A | -31 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 181 | -88 | N/A | -37 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 161 | -75 | N/A | -42 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 139 | -87 | N/A | -44 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 86 | -76 | N/A | -42 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de OKTA ( 20% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de OKTA ( 20% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 16.8% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de OKTA devraient augmenter de manière significative au cours des 3 prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de OKTA ( 8.6% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 11.8% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de OKTA ( 8.6% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de OKTA devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 10.2 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/06/08 00:56 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/06/08 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/04/30 |
| Revenus annuels | 2026/01/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Okta, Inc. est couverte par 62 analystes. 44 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ellie Bagshaw | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Shrenik Kothari | Baird |
| Saket Kalia | Barclays |