Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.

NYSE:ESRT Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : US$1.6b

Empire State Realty Trust Croissance future

Future contrôle des critères 0/6

Les bénéfices de Empire State Realty Trust devraient diminuer de 34.9% par an tandis que son chiffre d'affaires annuel devrait croître de 2.8% par an.

Informations clés

-34.9%

Taux de croissance des bénéfices

n/a

Taux de croissance du BPA

Office REITs croissance des bénéfices-5.9%
Taux de croissance des recettes2.8%
Rendement futur des capitaux propres0.72%
Couverture par les analystes

Low

Dernière mise à jour15 May 2026

Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future

Recent updates

Mise à jour du récit • May 06

ESRT: NYC Leasing And Capital Recycling Will Support Forward Repricing Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Empire State Realty Trust to $7.00 from $8.25, citing updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Empire State Realty Trust have focused on recalibrating price targets to US$7.00, with analysts aligning their views around current assumptions for revenue, margins, discount rates, and P/E multiples.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 21

ESRT: NYC Leasing And Capital Recycling Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Empire State Realty Trust reflects a modest fair value move from about $6.86 to $6.61. This is in line with recent reductions in Street targets to $7 from $8 as analysts factor in slightly higher discount rates and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 07

Empire State Realty: Positive Leasing Spreads On Healthy Manhattan Office Market

Summary Empire State Realty Trust trades at a historically low 5.6x multiple to FFO despite resilient Manhattan leasing and NOI growth. ESRT has maintained positive leasing spreads for 18 consecutive quarters, with its office occupancy at 89.9% and total commercial occupancy at 90.3%. Dividend yield is 2.71%, below the US 10-year Treasury, making ESRT more of an FFO recovery play than an income play. I rate ESRT a Buy, supported by manageable debt maturities, growing retail exposure, and discounted valuation versus broader market headwinds. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 07

ESRT: Leasing Momentum And NYC Asset Shift Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their implied fair value for Empire State Realty Trust from $7.26 to $6.86, reflecting recent cuts in Street price targets to $7 from $8 and a slightly lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has centered on a reset of price targets for Empire State Realty Trust to $7 from $8, alongside a Neutral and an In Line rating.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 24

ESRT: Neutral Ratings And Leasing Progress Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target for Empire State Realty Trust to $7 from $8, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, growth, margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a consistent reset of fair value assumptions for Empire State Realty Trust, with both major firms now aligning on a US$7 price target and maintaining neutral stances rather than expressing clear positive or negative conviction.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 08

ESRT: Leasing Momentum And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Empire State Realty Trust to $7 from $8, with the shift reflecting updated views on discount rates, profit margins, and longer term P/E assumptions in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Empire State Realty Trust points to a more measured stance on the shares, with price targets adjusted to $7 and ratings held in the middle of the range.
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 22

ESRT: Buybacks And New Manhattan Leasing Are Expected To Unlock Upside

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Empire State Realty Trust has been reduced by $1 to $7, as analysts reflect a lower fair value estimate of $7.36, a slightly higher discount rate, softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E of 129.45x. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a tighter range of expectations around Empire State Realty Trust, with several firms reducing price targets but maintaining their existing ratings.
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 08

ESRT: Cautious Outlook Will Balance Buybacks With Broadway Acquisition Risk

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Empire State Realty Trust to US$6.80 from US$8.30, citing generally healthy REIT operating conditions while maintaining a cautious stance on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are signaling a more cautious stance on Empire State Realty Trust after the latest review of the stock, pointing to risks that they believe are not fully reflected in the current share price.
Mise à jour du récit • Jan 24

ESRT: Share Repurchases And Portfolio Leasing Will Support Future Upside Potential

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Empire State Realty Trust from about US$10.00 to roughly US$9.00, citing modestly higher discount rates, slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E outlook, even as recent REIT earnings broadly reflected healthy operating conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary points to a more cautious stance on Empire State Realty Trust, with a lower fair value framework and a reduced published price target.
Mise à jour du récit • Jan 09

ESRT: Buybacks And Leasing Execution Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Empire State Realty Trust, with one prominent cut from US$8.30 to US$6.80. This reflects updated fair value estimates and views on sector operating conditions despite generally healthy recent REIT earnings.
Mise à jour du récit • Dec 14

ESRT: Share Repurchases And Leasing Strength Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lowered their price target on Empire State Realty Trust to $6.80 from $8.30, citing a more cautious view on valuation despite generally healthy operating conditions across most REITs. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on Empire State Realty Trust, with the latest price target cut to $6.80 reflecting a more conservative stance on valuation, even as fundamentals appear broadly stable across the REIT sector. Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to generally healthy Q3 2025 operating conditions across the REIT universe, suggesting that Empire State Realty Trust should continue to benefit from a supportive demand backdrop.
Mise à jour du récit • Nov 30

ESRT: Leasing Momentum Will Support Resilient Performance Amid Market Uncertainty

Empire State Realty Trust's analyst price target has been reduced from $8.97 to $8.55 per share, as analysts cite ongoing macroeconomic and labor market concerns even though the REIT sector has generally shown stable performance. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Several analysts note that, despite current macroeconomic and labor market headwinds, the majority of REITs, including Empire State Realty Trust, reported stable earnings and maintained positive outlooks for Q3 2025.
Article d’analyse • Feb 22

Earnings Beat: Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. ( NYSE:ESRT ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 20

Empire State Realty Trust In An Empire State Of Mind, As NYC Office Demand Returns

Summary ESRT gets a buy rating, more bullish than the consensus, as macro and micro-level growth factors drive future upside potential. A strong profit margin vs peers, and stable positive cash flow per share, add to the upside case. This stock does not have a strong 5-year dividend growth CAGR, for investors focused on proven dividend growth stocks. An overconcentration in one geography, and heavy concentration in office property, could pose a portfolio risk to consider, compared to REITs that have nationwide properties. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 15

Empire State Realty Trust Is A Way To Go Long New York City

Summary Empire State Realty Trust has surged 16% in the past year, driven by Manhattan's office market recovery and increasing return-to-office mandates. ESRT's fiscal 2024 third-quarter revenue rose 4.2% year-over-year, fueled by its diversified portfolio, including the iconic Empire State Building. The REIT's strong FFO growth, record free cash flow, and strategic acquisitions position it well for future expansion and increased occupancy rates. Trading at 10.8x annualized Q3 FFO, ESRT is reasonably valued, with a promising outlook for its core assets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 10

Empire State Realty Trust: Expensive Valuation, Wait For A Better Entry Point

Summary Empire State Realty Trust offers investors exposure to NYC real estate, including office, retail, and multifamily properties, and the iconic Empire State Building. The REIT's diverse portfolio includes significant rentable office and retail space, along with 727 residential units, providing a balanced investment opportunity. Q2'24 results came in better than expected and the near-term outlook looks strong with occupancy gains ahead for the office portfolio. Compared to its peers, ESRT looks expensive and so investors should consider waiting for a better entry point before initiating a position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Nouveau récit • Sep 05

Williamsburg Expansion And ESG Focus Risk Undermining ESRT's Financial Stability

Expansion into Williamsburg and an optimistic office leasing strategy amidst evolving work dynamics might increase operational risks and strain occupancy rates.
Article d’analyse • May 03

Shareholders May Not Be So Generous With Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.'s (NYSE:ESRT) CEO Compensation And Here's Why

Key Insights Empire State Realty Trust will host its Annual General Meeting on 9th of May CEO Tony Malkin's total...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 05

Empire State Realty Trust: A Bet On The Mean Reversion

Summary Like its peers, Empire State Realty Trust suffered greatly through the pandemic. But Empire State has done perhaps the best job of any NYC REIT of returning to pre-pandemic levels. It's now expanding and diversifying, leveraging its strong financial position. A massive buyback program could turbocharge returns going forward. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus

NYSE:ESRT - Estimations futures des analystes et données financières antérieures (USD Millions )
DateRecettesLes revenusFlux de trésorerie disponibleCash from OpMoy. Nombre d'analystes
12/31/202781620N/AN/A1
12/31/202679114N/AN/A1
3/31/202677735235235N/A
12/31/202576843249249N/A
9/30/202576635265265N/A
6/30/202576340263263N/A
3/31/202576251273273N/A
12/31/202476347261261N/A
9/30/202475845247247N/A
6/30/202475543235235N/A
3/31/202475648217217N/A
12/31/202374049232232N/A
9/30/202372853233233N/A
6/30/202372047233233N/A
3/31/202370954230230N/A
12/31/202270736211211N/A
9/30/202268621219219N/A
6/30/20226568212212N/A
3/31/2022627-19207207N/A
12/31/2021608-11212212N/A
9/30/2021591-8186186N/A
6/30/2021584-9192192N/A
3/31/2021574-24191191N/A
12/31/2020600-17182182N/A
9/30/20206500198198N/A
6/30/202069424218218N/A
3/31/202073048219219N/A
12/31/201972749N/A233N/A
9/30/201971455N/A290N/A
6/30/201970956N/A259N/A
3/31/201971161N/A288N/A
12/31/201870866N/A279N/A
9/30/201870560N/A207N/A
6/30/201870562N/A212N/A
3/31/201870262N/A202N/A
12/31/201769663N/A194N/A
9/30/201768862N/A231N/A
6/30/201767959N/A219N/A
3/31/201767054N/A220N/A
12/31/201667051N/A215N/A
9/30/201666443N/A206N/A
6/30/201666138N/A218N/A
3/31/201666038N/A215N/A
12/31/201565634N/A203N/A
9/30/201566030N/A197N/A
6/30/201565727N/A170N/A

Prévisions de croissance des analystes

Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: Les bénéfices de ESRT devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -34.9% par an).

Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de ESRT devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -34.9% par an).

Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de ESRT devraient baisser au cours des trois prochaines années.

Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de ESRT ( 2.8% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 11.7% par an).

Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de ESRT ( 2.8% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.

Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action

Rendement futur des capitaux propres

ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de ESRT devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 0.7 %).

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Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/05/24 17:54
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/05/22 00:00
Les revenus2026/03/31
Revenus annuels2025/12/31

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.

Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. est couverte par 18 analystes. 1 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
John KimBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Jing Xian Tan BonnelBofA Global Research
William CatherwoodBTIG