TWFG Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 5/6
TWFG devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 49.2% et de 14.1% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 9.6% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 37.6% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
49.2%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
9.61%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Insurance croissance des bénéfices | 1.6% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 14.1% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 37.62% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 22 Apr 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Apr 24
TWFG: Organic Execution And AI Adoption Will Support Future Earnings Repricing
Narrative Update on TWFG TWFG's consensus analyst price target has been reduced by several dollars, reflecting analysts' updated models following recent earnings, revised sector assumptions, and mixed reactions to earlier target cuts and raises across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on TWFG clusters around a reset in expectations, with multiple firms trimming price targets while still highlighting a mix of execution strengths and valuation concerns.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Apr 09
TWFG: Organic Execution And AI Adoption Will Drive Future Earnings Repricing
Analysts have trimmed their TWFG price targets by $3 overall, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, profit margins, and future P/E, even as revenue growth estimates are adjusted in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on TWFG shows a cluster of price target revisions, with most firms trimming their targets by a few dollars while keeping existing ratings in place.
Nouvelle analyse • Apr 06
AI And Softening Insurance Pricing Will Pressure Margins Yet Longer Term Upside Remains
Catalysts About TWFG TWFG provides insurance distribution and related services through retail agencies and managing general agent platforms across personal, commercial and specialty lines. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Mise à jour de l'analyse • Mar 25
TWFG: Organic Execution And AI Adoption Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Narrative Update on TWFG Analyst Price Target The consolidated analyst price target for TWFG has been adjusted to $28, reflecting a series of recent target revisions. These include cuts from $39 to $34 and from $31 to $28, alongside one increase from $22 to $24, as analysts update their models for Q4 results, management guidance, and views on organic growth, margins, and AI commentary.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Mar 11
TWFG: Personal Lines Focus And AI Adoption Will Support Future Repricing Potential
The analyst fair value estimate for TWFG has been reduced from $31.57 to $28.00, reflecting recent cuts to Street price targets and updates to models following Q4 results and management guidance. Analyst Commentary Street research on TWFG has been mixed, with several firms revising price targets after Q4 results and management guidance.
Nouvelle analyse • Feb 24
Returning Carrier Appetite And High Retention Will Support A Stronger TWFG Earnings Profile
Catalysts About TWFG TWFG operates an independent, agent centric insurance distribution platform across retail agencies and MGA programs in the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Mise à jour de l'analyse • Feb 24
TWFG: Personal Lines Focus And Management Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for TWFG to about $31.57 from $33, reflecting reduced Street price targets, including Piper Sandler's cut to $22 from $32, as they factor in the recent selloff and a more cautious stance on insurance brokers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around TWFG centers on the reset in price targets following the sector selloff and a more guarded view on insurance brokers in general.Article d'analyse • Feb 11
Not Many Are Piling Into TWFG, Inc. (NASDAQ:TWFG) Just Yet
It's not a stretch to say that TWFG, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:TWFG ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x right now seems...Mise à jour de l'analyse • Feb 08
TWFG: Personal Lines Focus And Management Strength Will Drive Future Upside
Narrative Update on TWFG The analyst price target for TWFG has shifted to a clustered range around $31 to $33, reflecting updated sector models and a continued focus on the company’s long term growth potential in Personal Lines brokerage. This comes even as analysts highlight softening property and casualty conditions and emerging earnings headwinds into 2026.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Jan 24
TWFG: Personal Lines Positioning And Management Quality Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update Analysts now peg TWFG's price target at US$33. Recent research highlights expectations for steady revenue growth, modest adjustments to profit margins, and supportive views on its role in the Personal Lines brokerage space.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Jan 08
TWFG: Personal Lines Focus And Management Discipline Will Support Future Returns
Narrative Update on TWFG Analysts have kept their TWFG price target unchanged at US$33, reflecting expectations for steady fair value alongside modest tweaks to growth, margin, and P/E assumptions, supported by recent research that highlights both emerging P&C headwinds and a constructive view on the company’s long term personal lines brokerage opportunity and management quality. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates give you a mixed but useful read on how the Street is thinking about TWFG, with price targets clustering around the low US$30s and views shaped by both company specific strengths and property and casualty (P&C) cycle risks.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Dec 24
TWFG: Personal Lines And Management Quality Will Support Returns Through Softer Cycle
Analysts have nudged our TWFG price target higher to $33 from $31, reflecting expectations for resilient long term growth, steady ROE and book value expansion, even as a softening P&C cycle and emerging earnings headwinds temper sector wide optimism. Analyst Commentary Street research on TWFG reflects a balanced mix of optimism on the company specific growth story and caution around the broader property and casualty backdrop, with recent price target moves clustering in the low to mid 30 dollar range.Seeking Alpha • Dec 10
TWFG: A Growing Insurance 'Middle Man'
Summary TWFG (TWFG) is a fast-growing insurance intermediary, achieving 15% annual revenue growth and EBITDA margins above 23%. The company leverages demographic shifts and agency acquisitions for inorganic growth, with a large addressable market but intensifying competition. TWFG’s 2024 IPO provides capital for 2-3 years of acquisitions, but inorganic growth is constrained without further funding. I see TWFG as fully valued relative to peers, with margin headwinds from a softening P&C market; I rate it a Hold. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaMise à jour de l'analyse • Dec 10
TWFG: Personal Lines Strength Will Support Returns Through Softening Property And Casualty Cycle
Analysts have nudged their blended price target on TWFG modestly higher to about $33, reflecting expectations for faster top line growth into 2026, even as a softening P&C cycle and emerging earnings headwinds temper profit margin and valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research points to a balanced but cautiously optimistic view on TWFG, with recent target changes clustering in the low to mid 30s and ratings tilting toward positive but not universally bullish.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Nov 26
TWFG: Resilient Earnings Outlook Will Drive Long-Term Strength Amid Softening Cycle
The analyst price target for TWFG has been raised slightly from $32.67 to $33.00 as analysts cite expectations for steady long-term growth, despite emerging headwinds in the property and casualty insurance sector. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports on TWFG reveal a mix of optimism and caution as the company navigates the evolving landscape of property and casualty insurance.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Nov 07
TWFG: Margin Expansion And Strong Cost Management Will Drive Resilience Amid Headwinds
Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets for TWFG, citing sector-wide commercial property and casualty headwinds and a slowdown in organic growth. New targets now range from $30 to $39, down from previous estimates as high as $42.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Oct 24
Branch Expansion And AI Tools Will Steady Market Position Amid Industry Headwinds
Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets for TWFG, with new estimates now ranging from $30 to $39. They cite ongoing headwinds in the property and casualty insurance sector, including slower commercial property pricing and market-wide performance trends.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Oct 09
Branch Expansion And AI Tools Will Broaden US Market Reach
Analysts have decreased their fair value estimate for TWFG from $34.50 to approximately $32.67, citing sector-wide headwinds in commercial property and casualty pricing along with tempered growth expectations, despite improving margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reveals a cautious but nuanced view of TWFG, as analysts update their expectations in response to sector dynamics and company-specific trends.Mise à jour de l'analyse • Sep 05
Branch Expansion And AI Tools Will Broaden US Market Reach
Consensus analyst sentiment on TWFG has turned more cautious amid heightened competition, softer organic growth, and lower management guidance, partially offset by stronger-than-expected margin expansion, resulting in no change to the analyst price target at $34.50. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts cite increased competition in the personal auto insurance market as a headwind impacting growth prospects for TWFG.Article d'analyse • Aug 16
Results: TWFG, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
NasdaqGS:TWFG 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore TWFG's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Nouvelle analyse • Jul 20
Branch Network Expansion And Digital Transformation Will Open New Markets
Expanding branch network, technology investments, and digital transformation are driving market penetration, revenue growth, efficiency, and higher margins.Article d'analyse • May 16
Earnings Beat: TWFG, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
It's been a good week for TWFG, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TWFG ) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest...Seeking Alpha • Oct 28
TWFG, Inc.: A Significant Skin-In-The-Game Opportunity
Summary TWFG, Inc., a Texas-based insurance broker, supports independent agents with a turnkey solution, offering carrier relationships, technology, training, and branding. The U.S. P&C market is over $850 billion, with independent agents gaining market share from captive agents, especially in homeowners' insurance. Founded by Gordy Bunch, TWFG has scaled to over $1 billion in premiums, with a presence in 40+ states and 400+ branded agencies. TWFG's capital-light model, attractive 80/20 commission split, and opportunities for accretive M&A make it a compelling investment with significant growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 373 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 345 | 27 | 57 | N/A | 6 |
| 12/31/2026 | 298 | 25 | 46 | N/A | 7 |
| 12/31/2025 | 249 | 8 | -9 | 54 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 230 | 7 | -6 | 52 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 219 | 6 | -2 | 49 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 211 | -3 | 31 | 46 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 204 | 3 | 15 | 40 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 191 | -20 | 5 | 35 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 186 | -13 | 0 | 31 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 178 | -6 | -5 | 30 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 172 | -1 | 15 | 30 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 154 | 3 | 16 | 26 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de TWFG ( 49.2% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de TWFG ( 49.2% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 16.4% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de TWFG devraient augmenter de manière significative au cours des 3 prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de TWFG ( 14.1% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 11.4% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de TWFG ( 14.1% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de TWFG devrait être élevé dans 3 ans ( 37.6 %)
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/06 15:49 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/06 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2025/12/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
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| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
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* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
TWFG, Inc. est couverte par 13 analystes. 7 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Michael Zaremski | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| null null | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Jamminder Bhullar | J.P. Morgan |