Goosehead Insurance Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 5/6
Goosehead Insurance devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 21.7% et de 15% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 27.7% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 1978.1% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
21.7%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
27.66%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Insurance croissance des bénéfices | 2.0% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 15.0% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 1,978.11% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 19 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • May 01
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Returns As AI Fears Ease
Analysts have increased the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by $1 to $67.58, reflecting a balance of lower projected revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a reduced future P/E assumption in light of recent price target resets and ongoing debate around AI related risks and growth headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Goosehead Insurance reflects a mix of optimism on long term growth potential and caution around execution risks, valuation, and the impact of AI related disruption on the insurance distribution model.Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
Goosehead Insurance: Secular Pressures Merit Caution
Summary Goosehead Insurance delivered strong Q1 results, with revenue up 23% and adjusted EBITDA up 57%, yet faces secular headwinds. AI-driven disintermediation and persistently weak customer retention (85%) pose significant long-term risks to GSHD’s agency model. NPS deterioration from 87 to 72 and slow retention improvement highlight potential service and satisfaction issues amid ongoing automation. I recommend a 'sell' rating on GSHD, citing secular pressures, AI risk, and an unattractive 23x earnings multiple despite recent operational gains. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaMise à jour du récit • Apr 15
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Returns Despite AI Concerns
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Goosehead Insurance, with the fair value estimate moving from about $73.00 to roughly $66.58. They are factoring in lower price targets across the Street and a reduced future P/E assumption tied to concerns about growth headwinds and potential AI-related risks.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 01
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Offset AI Disruption Concerns
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by about $3.70 to $73.00 as they factor in softer projected growth, slightly lower margins and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. They still see AI related disruption risks as more limited than some headlines suggest.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 17
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have lowered the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by about $14.82 to $76.73 as they factor in revised price targets, modestly higher discount rates, slightly softer margin expectations, and updated views on growth resilience and AI related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a mixed but engaged analyst view on Goosehead Insurance, with several firms trimming price targets while maintaining generally constructive ratings.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 03
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Goosehead Insurance by about $21 to $118.94. This reflects refreshed assumptions around growth, profitability, and valuation multiples following recent research updates that highlight both AI-related competitive questions and ongoing expectations for solid organic expansion.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 17
GSHD: Refined Assumptions And Franchise Expansion Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Goosehead Insurance by $14, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Even with the $14 reduction to the price target, bullish analysts see the revised figure as consistent with a constructive view on Goosehead Insurance, with the change described more as a recalibration of assumptions than a shift in overall stance.Article d’analyse • Feb 11
The Price Is Right For Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (NASDAQ:GSHD) Even After Diving 33%
The Goosehead Insurance, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...Mise à jour du récit • Feb 03
GSHD: Reset Expectations And Consistent Execution Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have lowered their price target on Goosehead Insurance by $14, reflecting updated views on the company’s growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are treating the lower price target as a reset rather than a loss of confidence, with recent commentary focusing on how updated growth and margin assumptions feed into new P/E expectations.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 20
GSHD: Higher Investment Spend And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to $140 from $150, citing lower price targets, trimmed long term growth and margin expectations, and higher assumed discount rates following recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Goosehead Insurance highlights a more cautious stance on near term earnings and investment spending, but there are still several points that more optimistic voices are watching closely.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 05
GSHD: Increased Investment Spending Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets on Goosehead Insurance, trimming expectations by roughly $10 to $15 per share as they factor in higher investment spending, softer renewal commission retention, and near term margin pressure, while maintaining unchanged long term growth and profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more balanced stance on Goosehead Insurance, with modestly lower price targets but generally constructive long term views on growth and execution.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 21
GSHD: Incremental Investment Spending Will Set Up Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to approximately $91.55 from about $90.82. This reflects expectations for slightly faster top line growth, offset by near term margin pressure and elevated investment spending that has led to a series of reduced but still generally constructive price targets across the Street.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 07
GSHD: Increased Investment And Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Goosehead Insurance, as slightly lower projected revenue growth and margins, along with increased investment spending and softer renewal commission retention, have led to a trimmed fair value estimate from about $93.70 to roughly $90.82 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance on Goosehead Insurance, with valuation adjustments driven more by updated assumptions on growth, retention, and spending than by a fundamental change in the long term narrative.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 22
GSHD: New Investment Spend Will Support Long-Term Earnings Stability
Analysts have lowered price targets for Goosehead Insurance, citing incremental expenses from new investments and softer commission retention. Recent target cuts have ranged from a reduction of $10 to $23 per share.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 06
GSHD: Market Share Expansion Will Support Resilient Performance Amid Sector Headwinds
Goosehead Insurance's fair value estimate has been revised downward to $93.70 from $98.10. Analysts cite lower renewal commission retention, increased investment-related expenses, and reduced revenue growth and profit margin projections following recent price target cuts.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 22
Analysts Offer Mixed Outlook on Goosehead Insurance Amid Modest Growth and Valuation Adjustments
Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets for Goosehead Insurance, citing slightly softer expectations for growth and profitability. Targets have dropped by as much as $10 to $150 and $5 to $85, reflecting concerns about slower sales growth and a more competitive pricing environment in the sector.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 08
AI And Digital Platforms Will Fuel Insurance Excellence
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance from $109.70 to $101.30. They cite softer forecasts for new sales growth and commission retention expectations, despite improvements in profit margin and future earnings projections.Article d’analyse • Jul 08
Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) Price In Tune With Revenues
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Insurance industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Seeking Alpha • Apr 28
Goosehead Insurance: Balancing Franchise Reacceleration, Mixed Industry Outlook
Summary Goosehead Insurance's franchise health. The franchise size is nearing stabilization and reacceleration, and productivity has rapidly increased. The outlook for personal line insurers remains uncertain. Auto insurance profitability is expected to remain subdued for 2025, and home sales have remained pressured. I estimate GSHD to have a fair value of roughly $86.5. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Feb 02
Here's Why Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Article d’analyse • Nov 12
Revenues Tell The Story For Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) As Its Stock Soars 31%
Goosehead Insurance, Inc ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month...Article d’analyse • Oct 24
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Passed With Ease
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Nouveau récit • Sep 24
Leveraging Technology And Expansion To Surge In The Personal Insurance Market
Goosehead Insurance's focus on technology-enhanced productivity and strategic workforce expansion signals strong potential for accelerated revenue growth.Article d’analyse • Jul 26
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) 53% Share Price Surge
The Goosehead Insurance, Inc ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...Article d’analyse • Jul 24
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Presents An Opportunity
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Article d’analyse • Apr 28
Getting In Cheap On Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) Might Be Difficult
Goosehead Insurance, Inc's ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.3x may look like a poor investment...Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 594 | 53 | 86 | 134 | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 491 | 48 | 80 | 121 | 11 |
| 12/31/2026 | 420 | 37 | 62 | 100 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 382 | 30 | 71 | 99 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 365 | 28 | 68 | 92 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 353 | 30 | 63 | 81 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 341 | 30 | 70 | 85 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 325 | 31 | 62 | 75 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 314 | 30 | 59 | 72 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 283 | 19 | 59 | 73 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 275 | 19 | 52 | 66 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 266 | 16 | 44 | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 260 | 14 | 32 | 51 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 254 | 11 | 30 | 40 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 241 | 6 | 25 | 42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 225 | 3 | 27 | 40 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 208 | 1 | 23 | 36 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 191 | 0 | 20 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 175 | 2 | 13 | 26 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 160 | 4 | 7 | 22 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 150 | 5 | 20 | 35 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 145 | 8 | 21 | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 135 | 7 | 23 | 38 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 127 | 9 | 23 | 34 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 116 | 9 | 14 | 25 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 95 | 6 | 14 | 20 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 85 | 3 | 11 | 17 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 74 | 1 | 14 | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 77 | 4 | N/A | 21 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 78 | 4 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 73 | 4 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 68 | -6 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 60 | -9 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 56 | -9 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 51 | -9 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 47 | N/A | N/A | 15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 42 | N/A | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 31 | 5 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de GSHD ( 21.7% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de GSHD ( 21.7% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 16.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de GSHD devraient augmenter de manière significative au cours des 3 prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de GSHD ( 15% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 11.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de GSHD ( 15% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de GSHD devrait être très élevé dans 3 ans ( 1978.1 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/21 19:17 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. est couverte par 15 analystes. 11 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Michael Zaremski | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Joshua Shanker | BofA Global Research |
| Ryan Tunis | Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. |