El Pollo Loco Holdings Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 1/6
El Pollo Loco Holdings devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et ses revenus de 5.6% et de 3.1% par an respectivement, tandis que le BPA devrait croître de croître de 5.8% par an.
Informations clés
5.6%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
5.79%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Hospitality croissance des bénéfices | 18.4% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 3.1% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | n/a |
| Couverture par les analystes | Low |
| Dernière mise à jour | 18 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Article d’analyse • Nov 03
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Last week, you might have seen that El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) released its quarterly result to the...Article d’analyse • Aug 04
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Just Recorded A 19% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
It's been a good week for El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) shareholders, because the company has just...Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 03
LOCO: Brand Transformation And Expansion Efforts Will Drive A Cautiously Balanced Outlook
Narrative Update on El Pollo Loco Holdings The updated analyst price target for El Pollo Loco Holdings has moved from $13.00 to $15.00, with analysts pointing to consistent same store sales trends, the brand's transformation efforts, and interest in franchised expansion as key reasons for revisiting earnings and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted both constructive and cautious views on El Pollo Loco Holdings, with updated price targets and rating changes tied closely to store level performance, the brand transformation plan, and the pace of franchised expansion.Seeking Alpha • May 28
El Pollo Loco: Loco Tenders Put Pricing Power To The Test
Summary El Pollo Loco is executing a successful 'Taco Bell-ification' strategy, driving higher average checks and resilient traffic. LOCO's menu innovation—especially bowls, salads, and Baja Tostadas—has boosted same-store sales and restaurant-level margins above long-term targets. Systemwide traffic grew 0.6%, the average check rose 5.2%, and the restaurant-level margin reached 19.2%, supporting robust EBITDA and cash generation. I reiterate a 'Buy' rating with a $17 to $20 short-term target, citing asset-light expansion, strong cost control, and potential for further re-rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Mise à jour du récit • May 11
LOCO: Menu Transformation And Franchised Expansion Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for El Pollo Loco Holdings from $15.63 to $17.88, citing higher Street price targets and support from consistent same-store sales trends, menu and marketing initiatives, operational improvements, and early indications of renewed interest in franchised expansion. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have raised price targets, which supports the higher fair value estimate and reflects growing confidence in execution on the current transformation playbook.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 26
LOCO: Menu And Store Expansion Efforts Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for El Pollo Loco Holdings to $15.63 from $14.00, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E multiples in light of recent price target increases and commentary on consistent same store sales and expansion efforts. Analyst Commentary Recent research reports present a mixed but generally constructive view on El Pollo Loco, with some analysts becoming more optimistic about the company’s execution and others taking a wait and see approach regarding traffic trends and expansion.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 12
LOCO: Same Store Sales And Brand Transformation Will Drive Future Repricing
El Pollo Loco Holdings' analyst price targets have shifted modestly higher, with recent moves to $13 and $14. Analysts point to consistent same store sales, traction from the brand transformation playbook, and interest in franchised expansion, while still flagging the need for more proof of geographic portability and sustained traffic growth.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 29
LOCO: Brand Transformation Progress And Mixed Expansion Risks Will Shape Balanced Outlook
El Pollo Loco's updated analyst price target edges up from $12 to $13, as analysts point to consistent same store sales, traction from the brand transformation playbook, and improved expected returns on new units as key supports for a slightly higher fair value and modestly lower assumed P/E and discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around El Pollo Loco centers on two themes that matter to you as an investor.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 15
LOCO: Same Store Sales Consistency And Franchise Expansion Will Drive Repricing
Our updated narrative raises El Pollo Loco Holdings' fair value estimate to $20.00 from $18.00, reflecting analysts' higher price targets around $13 to $14 and their focus on consistent same store sales, brand transformation efforts, and potential benefits from renewed franchise expansion. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has centered on how El Pollo Loco is executing its brand transformation and what that could mean for valuation as the story evolves.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 22
LOCO: Higher Protein Menu And Steady Assumptions Will Support Balanced Outlook
Analysts have kept their price target for El Pollo Loco Holdings steady at $12.00. This reflects small adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions that together leave their overall valuation view broadly unchanged.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 08
LOCO: Protein Focus And Stable Assumptions Will Support Measured Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on El Pollo Loco Holdings to US$12.00, with the adjustment tied to updated assumptions around discount rates, modest revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News El Pollo Loco launched Double Pollo Salads, positioned as higher protein options that aim to keep flavor while focusing on "eating better," featuring double portions of fire grilled, citrus marinated chopped chicken breast.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 25
LOCO: Margin Outperformance And Unit Expansion Are Expected To Support Upside
Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target on El Pollo Loco to $12 from $13, citing Q3 margin and EBITDA outperformance, quarter to date same store sales of 2.2%, and expectations for roughly 2% or better same store sales in Q4 and FY26, supported by multiple catalysts and an acceleration in unit growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research has kept a positive rating on El Pollo Loco while trimming the 12 month price target to US$12 from US$13.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 10
LOCO: Steady Margins And Unit Expansion Expected To Support Future Performance
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for El Pollo Loco Holdings to $12.00 from $11.00, citing recent research that highlights resilient margins, an updated discount rate, modestly revised growth assumptions, and expectations for steady same store sales and unit expansion that support the new price target framework. Analyst Commentary Recent research around El Pollo Loco reflects a more careful stance from some bearish analysts, even with supportive margin and EBITDA data in the latest quarter.Article d’analyse • May 29
Earnings Working Against El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LOCO) Share Price
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.8x might make it look like a...Seeking Alpha • Apr 17
El Pollo Loco Holdings: No More Poison Pills
Summary El Pollo Loco Holdings is a potential buyout target, with Sardar Biglari of Biglari Capital offering to acquire remaining shares after accumulating a 15.1% stake. Biglari's proven track record in restaurant takeovers and potential for long-term transformation makes LOCO an attractive investment, with a potential price rise to $12-14. The Board's confidentiality agreement with Biglari Capital, including a standstill condition, indicates serious negotiations and a constructive tone towards a potential buyout. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 20
El Pollo Loco: A Slowdown Is Here, Back Out Of This Stock (Downgrade)
Summary Restaurant stocks have seen a significant slowdown in same-store sales growth, but El Pollo Loco’s deceleration to just 0.5% growth stands out as particularly weak. The company has aggressive expansion plans to open ~10 new locations in FY25, supported by a lower new build cost from a new store blueprint that it pioneered last fall. However, El Pollo Loco failed to meet its original new build guidance for FY24, and may do so again in FY25 if sales are anemic. I’m downgrading El Pollo Loco to a neutral rating and moving to the sidelines. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 13
El Pollo Loco: Exploiting Restaurant Shutdowns For Nationwide Growth Of Pollo Loco
Summary Pollo Loco's Q4 FY 2024 results beat expectations with EPS of $0.20 and revenue of $114.28 million, despite market pessimism and recession fears. Pollo Loco plans to expand beyond California, focusing on franchise growth and repurposing closed restaurant sites to reduce construction costs and improve ROI. FY 2025 guidance includes 4.56% revenue growth, 10 new restaurant openings, and an EPS of $0.94, indicating strong future performance. Pollo Loco remains undervalued with a P/E of 11.26x, offering a significant margin of safety and a potential 51% upside, justifying a 'Buy' rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Feb 27
What Does El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LOCO) Share Price Indicate?
While El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of...Seeking Alpha • Jan 23
El Pollo Loco: Channeling Taco Bell's Playbook With A Unique Twist For 2025
Summary El Pollo Loco improved margins to 16.7% despite labor inflation, focusing on price increases and operational efficiencies. FY 2025 promises a stronger marketing calendar with new product launches inspired by Taco Bell's successful strategy. The new lean prototype model aims to boost franchise expansion with reduced construction costs and shorter payback periods. Despite current challenges, the stock is undervalued with a potential 25% margin of safety, making it an attractive medium-term investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 27
El Pollo Loco: Already Marinating, Now Offering A 25%+ Safety Margin (Upgrade)
Summary El Pollo Loco's stock price drop to around $11 offers a +25% margin of safety, making it a safer entry point for investors. Despite declining traffic and higher menu prices, value promotions and a strong 2025 calendar could drive growth and recovery. The worst-case scenario still suggests a price target above current levels, justifying a rating change from 'Hold' to 'Buy'. El Pollo Loco's focus on value offerings and digital-first initiatives positions it well for a potential rebound in FY 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 19
El Pollo Loco: Tremendous Value Not To Be Ignored
Summary Initiating El Pollo Loco at a buy rating. This small-cap grilled chicken chain is a great value play for 2025. The company posted ~3% same-store sales growth in its most recent quarter, outperforming many "unhealthy" fast-food chain rivals. It has found success in drawing customers to a value-conscious, healthy menu offering priced between $9-10. The company is planning on reducing its new build costs, which may trigger more franchisee development. The stock trades at a very appealing <8x forward adjusted EBITDA multiple, less than half of where peers like McDonald's and Yum Brands are trading. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Nov 03
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Last week, you might have seen that El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) released its quarterly result to the...Seeking Alpha • Sep 25
El Pollo Loco Stock: 3 Reasons To Stay Bullish
Summary El Pollo Loco stock is at a near three-year high amid strong financial results. The company's effort to transfer restaurants to franchisees is supporting higher profitability margins. We see good value in LOCO and expect shares to climb higher. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nouveau récit • Sep 24
Revitalized Fire-grilled Burritos And Digital First Strategy Propel Margins And Customer Loyalty
Revamped Fire-grilled Burritos and digital-first strategies aim to boost customer attraction and retention, enhancing revenue through better value and loyalty programs.Article d’analyse • Aug 19
Returns On Capital At El Pollo Loco Holdings (NASDAQ:LOCO) Have Stalled
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business...Article d’analyse • Aug 04
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Just Recorded A 19% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
It's been a good week for El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) shareholders, because the company has just...Seeking Alpha • Jul 12
El Pollo Loco: Franchising Growth Drives An Undervalued Growth Strategy
Summary El Pollo Loco operates and franchises restaurants, with the strategy turning more into franchised restaurants. The franchising growth provides capital light, low-risk earnings growth with proceeds from company-owned restaurant divestitures into franchisees. The downward long-term margins should reverse with greater franchising margins, franchised locations' better long-term comparable sales performance, and identified cost savings. Q1 showed an impressive comparable restaurant growth in a slowly performing restaurant industry, with the momentum carrying onto April as well. The stock's valuation seems to undervalue the expansion strategy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • May 04
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About El Pollo Loco Holdings' (NASDAQ:LOCO) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Article d’analyse • Mar 16
We Think That There Are Some Issues For El Pollo Loco Holdings (NASDAQ:LOCO) Beyond Its Promising Earnings
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:LOCO ) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors...Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 524 | 32 | 25 | 69 | 5 |
| 12/31/2026 | 504 | 29 | 18 | 54 | 5 |
| 4/1/2026 | 497 | 29 | 27 | 56 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 490 | 26 | 25 | 48 | N/A |
| 9/24/2025 | 481 | 26 | 21 | 40 | N/A |
| 6/25/2025 | 480 | 25 | 21 | 38 | N/A |
| 3/26/2025 | 476 | 25 | 22 | 40 | N/A |
| 12/25/2024 | 473 | 26 | 28 | 47 | N/A |
| 9/25/2024 | 471 | 24 | 29 | 49 | N/A |
| 6/26/2024 | 471 | 27 | 24 | 47 | N/A |
| 3/27/2024 | 470 | 27 | 29 | 48 | N/A |
| 12/27/2023 | 469 | 26 | 19 | 41 | N/A |
| 9/27/2023 | 472 | 28 | 27 | 49 | N/A |
| 6/28/2023 | 472 | 24 | 28 | 49 | N/A |
| 3/29/2023 | 474 | 24 | 23 | 45 | N/A |
| 12/28/2022 | 470 | 21 | 19 | 39 | N/A |
| 9/28/2022 | 463 | 20 | 14 | 32 | N/A |
| 6/29/2022 | 459 | 26 | 20 | 37 | N/A |
| 3/30/2022 | 457 | 27 | 27 | 42 | N/A |
| 12/29/2021 | 454 | 29 | 35 | 52 | N/A |
| 9/29/2021 | 456 | 28 | 34 | 49 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 451 | 28 | 43 | 56 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 429 | 25 | 45 | 55 | N/A |
| 12/30/2020 | 426 | 24 | 34 | 41 | N/A |
| 9/23/2020 | 423 | 23 | 29 | 38 | N/A |
| 6/24/2020 | 424 | 19 | 22 | 34 | N/A |
| 3/25/2020 | 439 | 28 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 12/25/2019 | 442 | 25 | N/A | 36 | N/A |
| 9/25/2019 | 441 | -2 | N/A | 36 | N/A |
| 6/26/2019 | 441 | -2 | N/A | 33 | N/A |
| 3/27/2019 | 439 | -11 | N/A | 43 | N/A |
| 12/26/2018 | 436 | -9 | N/A | 45 | N/A |
| 9/26/2018 | 425 | 14 | N/A | 43 | N/A |
| 6/27/2018 | 414 | 4 | N/A | 49 | N/A |
| 3/28/2018 | 408 | 6 | N/A | 47 | N/A |
| 12/27/2017 | 402 | 9 | N/A | 54 | N/A |
| 9/27/2017 | 399 | 9 | N/A | 62 | N/A |
| 6/28/2017 | 394 | 18 | N/A | 59 | N/A |
| 3/29/2017 | 386 | 18 | N/A | 57 | N/A |
| 12/28/2016 | 380 | 18 | N/A | 49 | N/A |
| 9/28/2016 | 374 | 23 | N/A | 54 | N/A |
| 6/29/2016 | 367 | 23 | N/A | 49 | N/A |
| 3/30/2016 | 359 | 23 | N/A | 55 | N/A |
| 12/30/2015 | 355 | 24 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 359 | 23 | N/A | 40 | N/A |
| 7/1/2015 | 356 | 44 | N/A | 34 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de LOCO ( 5.6% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de LOCO ( 5.6% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché US ( 17.9% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de LOCO devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de LOCO ( 3.1% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 12.5% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de LOCO ( 3.1% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Données insuffisantes pour déterminer si le retour sur capitaux propres de LOCO devrait être élevé dans 3 ans
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/06/12 22:46 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/06/12 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/04/01 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. est couverte par 11 analystes. 5 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Todd Brooks | Benchmark Company |
| Todd Brooks | CL King & Associates, Inc. |
| Jeremy Hamblin | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |