Toyota Motor Corporation

NYSE:TM Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : US$219.5b

Toyota Motor Croissance future

Future contrôle des critères 1/6

Toyota Motor devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 3% et de 3% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 5.6% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 9.8% dans 3 ans.

Informations clés

3.0%

Taux de croissance des bénéfices

5.56%

Taux de croissance du BPA

Auto croissance des bénéfices37.0%
Taux de croissance des recettes3.0%
Rendement futur des capitaux propres9.75%
Couverture par les analystes

Good

Dernière mise à jour04 Aug 2026

Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • 7h

Toyota: Struggling Through Macro Tensions, But There's A Path To EPS Growth

Summary Toyota Motor Corporation is reiterated as a Buy, with attractive valuation despite lackluster technicals and recent underperformance versus the S&P 500. Q1 results were solid, with revenue up 10.4% and favorable FX effects, but macro headwinds and earnings estimate downgrades persist. Management raised FY 2027 guidance, expects operating income of 3.4 trillion yen, and announced a 1 trillion yen share repurchase with plans to retire 200 million shares. TM faces risks from global economic softness, USDJPY volatility, China EV competition, and supply chain pressures, but earnings growth is expected to return by FY 2029. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 14

Toyota May Benefit From A Tighter Market

Summary Toyota Motor Corporation shares have outperformed peers, down only -2.55% following Liberation Day. Despite Japan initiating the negotiation process with the U.S., the 25% automotive tariff still stands. Tariffs are impacting all automotive OEMs and may potentially lead to consumer migration to Toyota as the automaker's vehicles are seen as a budget-friendly product. Management is investing in training staff and expanding into growth areas in the U.S. and China with new battery and battery-electric vehicle production. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 30

Toyota: Tariffs Can Limit Price Upside

Summary Toyota's price has dropped in recent days following news of higher tariffs on vehicles imported into the US. Quick estimates on the likely impact shows that while the net margin can still look healthy, the stock's prospects can be impacted by the tariff effect. This is unfortunate, given that just the financial outlook for FY25 otherwise indicates a robust upside to the stock, which is negated by possible earnings and even broader market developments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 05

Toyota: Potential Trade-War Winner As Japan Sits On Sidelines

Summary Toyota's recent earnings report showed a 4.8% revenue increase but a 13.2% decline in operating income, leading to a 2.5% pre-market bounce on upbeat guidance. The company faces mixed headwinds and tailwinds, including potential benefits from a weaker Yen and trade war dynamics but risks from global economic and manufacturing conditions. Toyota's long-term investment in solid-state battery technology could provide significant upside despite current challenges in EV production and market competition. My outlook on TM for 2025 is neutral due to economic risks, but long-term investors may find buying opportunities in its potential growth factors. I expect to become bullish on Toyota if it emerges as a trade-conflict winner, TM's price discount grows, or if the rebound in vehicle sales continues despite headwinds. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 09

Toyota's 'Woven City' Mobility Test Hub Points To Visionary Future, Uncertain Financial Return

Summary Toyota Motor Corporation's Woven City, an innovation hub at Mt. Fuji, aims to advance SDVs, AI, and autonomous driving despite uncertain financial returns. Toyota's historical success with unconventional projects, like the Prius and lean manufacturing, underscores its potential for future breakthroughs. Strong financials and a stable S&P rating enable Toyota to invest heavily in next-gen technologies, maintaining a leading market position. Toyota shares, with a 2.84% dividend yield, remain a Buy for long-term investors due to robust profitability and strategic innovation investments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 26

Toyota: Stock Rises On ROE Target, Can't Wait For The New Hybrid 4Runner

Summary Toyota Motor stock has surged due to its ambitious 2030 goals, making it a buy despite recent tepid stock performance and currency risks. Toyota's gross margins are impressive, rivaling Tesla, and its buyback plans could significantly enhance shareholder value and earnings per share. Toyota's hybrid models and software services present a solid investment thesis, with hybrids outperforming EVs in affordability and sales growth. Using the Graham Number valuation, TM stock remains undervalued with a fair price target of $228.8, offering potential upside and a strong dividend yield. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 27

Toyota: Engine Of Revenue Growth Has Finally Stalled

Summary In 2Q25, TM posted revenues of ¥11.45 trillion, representing a growth of 0.09% year-on-year and -3.32% sequentially; Since 2021, this is the first time the company's quarterly revenue declined. Despite a robust automotive market, Toyota saw poor vehicle sales due to production setbacks. TM continues to expect deteriorated production and lowered its guidance. TM is facing other challenges such as potential tariffs and a surge in labor costs that may continue eroding margins, affecting the profitability of the company. TM continues to struggle in China and is likely to continue to do so due to price wars and a shift in consumption patterns. Foreign brands have all lost market share. Despite factoring generous assumptions, valuation analysis suggests that TM's share price is fairly valued without any margin of safety. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 07

Toyota Earnings: Production Halts And EV Concerns Justify Cautious Valuation

Summary Toyota Motor Corporation's fiscal Q2 was weakened by production halts and macroeconomic weakness in especially the European market, with a stable performance and outlook underneath. The weak positioning in EV manufacturing stands as a notable concern for Toyota's future growth, as the company is rather focusing on satisfying current market demand with HEVs. The stock's current valuation accounts for slow growth from Toyota going forward, being fair in my opinion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 21

Toyota Is Not Facing Reality In China

Summary Toyota is lagging behind competitors like BYD, Tesla, and Geely in BEV development, impacting their sales in China where NEVs dominate. Despite issues in China, Toyota's overall FY2024 operating income surged to 5.35 trillion yen. Investors should monitor 2Q25 results on November 6th for further insights into Toyota's performance and strategy adjustments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 01

Toyota Stays With Hybrids And Hydrogen

Summary Toyota is struggling in China, but that isn’t the only market threatened by its insistence on making cars with an internal combustion engine. The SE Asian NEV market is 80% dominated by Chinese brands, especially BYD, and it is targeting Toyota’s dominant market presence with ICE vehicles. Toyota and BMW insist that by 2028 they will have mass-produced FCEV vehicles and built a hydrogen network so that the world will abandon the BEV. Core elements of Toyota’s long-term plans conflict with what is happening as transport gets fully electrified. For this reason, I’m cautious about investment in Toyota. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 09

Toyota Dials Back Battery Electric (BEV) Production Plans, Strengthening Global Leadership

Summary Toyota's multi-pathway strategy, including BEVs, hybrids, and fossil fuel engines, aligns with consumer preferences and reduces emissions more effectively than pure BEV approaches. Despite a 30% share price drop due to temporary issues, Toyota's strong balance sheet, growing revenue, and consistent dividends make it a solid investment. Seeking Alpha’s Quant rating upgraded Toyota to "strong buy" due to improved valuation and attractive dividend yield, ranking it second among 29 automakers. Toyota's partnerships with Chinese automakers like BYD are crucial for maintaining its competitive edge amidst China's rapidly advancing auto industry. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 08

Toyota Motors Stock: Take Advantage Of The Japan Crash

Summary Toyota Motors stock has dropped due to the Japanese carry trade and yen appreciation, presenting a buying opportunity. Toyota's strong reputation for quality and durability, along with recent earnings growth, make it a solid investment choice. The stock is currently undervalued based on various valuation metrics, making it a compelling buy for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 21

Price Drop For Toyota Stock Presents Buying Opportunity For Long-Term Investors

Summary Toyota and other Japanese automakers faced regulatory cheating allegations, but findings did not result in recalls or safety defects. Toyota's slow approach to introducing battery-electric vehicles has faced criticism, but the McKinsey report supports the strategy. Toyota plans to sell 3.5 million EVs annually by 2030, focusing on solid-state batteries for longer range and faster charging. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 11

Toyota: Durable Goods Recession Points Toward Underperformance (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Toyota's recent safety testing scandal casts a shadow on consumer and investor trust, particularly regarding its solid-state battery claims or the development timeline. Macroeconomic data regarding consumer financial stability indicates a more significant decline in durable goods sales. Japan's ongoing currency weakness may benefit Toyota, but significant FX volatility can become harmful if it creates supply chain issues. Toyota trades at a significant premium to most other car companies that may no longer be justified given its potentially declining prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 20

Toyota: A Profit-Growth Pause No Reason For Concern

Summary Japan's economic and investment conditions are favorable, with rising equity prices and increasing dividends from Japanese firms. With the country's stock market in a bullish phase and a weak yen, export companies particularly benefit. I reiterate a buy rating on Toyota Motor, given its modest valuation, though the firm forecasts a pause in EPS growth this year to focus on improving its position. I highlight key price levels to watch on the chart. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 18

Toyota: Auto Giant's Calculated Shift Towards EVs

Summary Toyota’s shift towards EVs aligns with market trends and presents new opportunities. Despite the slow adoption, Toyota’s scale and reputation should help attract customers to their new EVs. Toyota has had strong revenue and EPS growth over the last few years, while the balance sheet remains solid. Toyota is a hold based on a projected annual return of 6% over the next five years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 14

Toyota: Short-Term Boost Hides Long-Term Challenges

Summary Toyota announces record-breaking financial projections due to increase in hybrid vehicle sales. Consumer preference for hybrids reflects uncertainty and hesitation towards fully electric vehicles. Tesla's expanding infrastructure and aggressive pricing strategy pose a long-term challenge to Toyota's leadership position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 28

Toyota Drives Japanese Stocks To Fresh Highs, More Gains Likely

Summary The Nikkei 225 Index in Japan has reached all-time highs, with the stock market featuring robust momentum and earnings growth. Toyota Motor is ranked among the largest automakers globally and has recently expanded its reach into emerging markets, while its stock price has helped send the Japanese market higher. Toyota's earnings were strong in the quarter just ended, and analysts predict continued growth and an increase in dividends. I highlight key price points to monitor on the chart ahead of key interim sales data due out later this week and quarterly results in May. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 24

Toyota: Stock Performance, Competition And 'Electrification'

Summary Toyota Chairman Akio Toyoda doesn’t believe BEVs will exceed 30% penetration, with hybrids and hydrogen-powered cars making up the balance. Toyota sold 14,715 BEV vehicles in the US in 2023, just 0.7% of its total sales. The argument by Toyota that hybrids result in reduced emissions is contestable. Toyota is resisting electrification even as companies (e.g. Tesla, BYD) driving the BEV revolution are doing so successfully. Investment in legacy car company Toyota requires discounting what's happening in the car industry as electric vehicles rapidly take market share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 11

Toyota Stock Remains A Strong Buy Amid EV Sales Surge

Summary In October, I recommended Toyota as a Strong Buy and strong year-end sales results have bolstered this thesis as the auto giant executes on its bid to gain EV market share. Toyota EV sales volumes surged 30% YOY in the U.S. in 2023, accounting for ⅓ of units sold. Toyota is #1 among Seeking Alpha’s Quant-rated automaker stocks, securing high grades in every key category, including growth, valuation, and profitability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 11

Toyota: Solid State Batteries Will Create A New Electric Vehicle Era

Summary Toyota's stock has risen by around 36% this year, driven by a rebound in revenue and operating margins and an improved technology outlook. The company's new battery technology could give it a substantial competitive edge in the EV market, potentially making EVs a no-brainer against legacy vehicles. Toyota's valuation is lower than its historical range, but caution is advised due to competitive and macroeconomic risks. Growing auto loan delinquencies in the US and slow global sales point toward potential vehicle sales recession risks from 2024 to 2025. While immediate risks are high, TM appears undervalued if we project trends into the late 2020s. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus

NYSE:TM - Estimations futures des analystes et données financières antérieures (JPY Millions )
DateRecettesLes revenusFlux de trésorerie disponibleCash from OpMoy. Nombre d'analystes
3/31/202956,676,4894,421,1122,523,1055,648,12619
3/31/202855,092,7554,114,3392,357,3095,162,24821
3/31/202753,578,2203,645,9952,140,7544,893,46610
6/30/202651,957,0264,483,797-1,222,9684,132,990N/A
3/31/202650,684,9523,848,098179,5725,472,920N/A
12/31/202550,450,7633,695,58835,1094,642,948N/A
9/30/202549,385,0074,631,399-16,0394,824,366N/A
6/30/202548,452,1514,273,084-113,4294,889,754N/A
3/31/202548,036,7044,765,086-1,560,9933,696,934N/A
12/31/202446,746,1505,098,080-1,758,6944,243,957N/A
9/30/202446,396,1584,262,618-1,941,1583,745,471N/A
6/30/202446,386,3734,966,908-1,839,4853,531,816N/A
3/31/202445,095,3254,944,933-842,0214,206,373N/A
12/31/202343,712,9854,499,534-560,1553,915,294N/A
9/30/202341,426,5673,869,662-600,7193,574,358N/A
6/30/202339,210,0133,025,870-426,9573,549,207N/A
3/31/202337,154,2982,451,318-750,7562,955,076N/A
12/31/202235,576,4992,432,914-750,2632,907,030N/A
9/30/202233,607,5562,496,710-19,8983,508,632N/A
6/30/202231,935,0652,689,098-67,8403,527,744N/A
3/31/202231,379,5072,850,110-107,6293,722,615N/A
12/31/202130,956,3793,093,419-411,0773,534,581N/A
9/30/202131,320,6693,140,377-875,3773,310,428N/A
6/30/202130,549,3552,984,250-1,074,3163,012,868N/A
3/31/202127,214,5932,245,261-1,040,7832,727,162N/A
12/31/202026,625,0831,526,916-1,025,9822,535,851N/A
9/30/202026,019,6201,421,933-574,6702,812,592N/A
6/30/202026,884,6971,539,089-60,9623,355,525N/A
3/31/202029,866,5472,036,140N/A2,398,496N/A
12/31/201930,580,2972,455,916N/A3,788,708N/A
9/30/201930,837,2701,899,421N/A4,007,974N/A
6/30/201930,509,0391,893,129N/A3,850,951N/A
3/31/201930,225,6811,868,085N/A3,766,597N/A
12/31/201830,058,0841,889,950N/A4,246,017N/A
9/30/201829,862,3092,651,508N/A3,997,941N/A
6/30/201829,694,6372,525,318N/A3,961,660N/A
3/31/201829,379,5102,481,692N/A4,223,128N/A
12/31/201729,239,4472,399,915N/A4,096,830N/A
9/30/201728,717,8671,945,221N/A3,878,117N/A
6/30/201728,055,6861,881,281N/A3,308,389N/A
3/31/201727,597,1931,821,314N/A3,568,488N/A
12/31/201627,126,4681,850,172N/A3,556,272N/A
9/30/201627,382,1631,992,230N/A4,077,710N/A
6/30/201628,004,5832,210,229N/A4,515,695N/A
3/31/201628,403,1182,306,607N/A4,460,857N/A
12/31/201528,550,2772,328,267N/A4,414,015N/A
9/30/201528,380,4122,302,154N/A3,991,970N/A

Prévisions de croissance des analystes

Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de TM ( 3% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).

Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de TM ( 3% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché US ( 16.5% par an).

Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de TM devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.

Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de TM ( 3% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 12.7% par an).

Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de TM ( 3% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.

Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action

Rendement futur des capitaux propres

ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de TM devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 9.8 %).

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Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/08/04 21:48
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/08/04 00:00
Les revenus2026/06/30
Revenus annuels2026/03/31

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github ; nous proposons également des guides sur la façon d’utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.

Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

Toyota Motor Corporation est couverte par 42 analystes. 21 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
Kei NihonyanagiBarclays
Masahiro AkitaBernstein
James KanBNP Paribas